Polygenic subtype identified in ACCORD trial displays a favorable type 2 diabetes phenotype in the UKBiobank population.

INTRODUCTION: We previously identified a genetic subtype (C4) of type 2 diabetes (T2D), benefitting from intensive glycemia treatment in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial. Here, we characterized the population of patients that met the C4 criteria in the UKBiobank cohort. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using our polygenic score (PS), we identified C4 individuals in the UKBiobank and tested C4 status with risk of developing T2D, cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, and differences in T2D medications. RESULTS: C4 individuals were less likely to develop T2D, were slightly older at T2D diagnosis, had lower HbA1c values, and were less likely to be prescribed T2D medications (P < .05). Genetic variants in MAS1 and IGF2R, major components of the C4 PS, were associated with fewer overall T2D prescriptions. CONCLUSION: We have confirmed C4 individuals are a lower risk subpopulation of patients with T2D.

Diagnosis and Risk Factors of Prediabetes and Diabetes in People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: Evaluation of Clinical and Microbiome Parameters.

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is more common among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) compared with healthy individuals. In a prospective multicenter study (N = 248), we identified normoglycemic (48.7%), prediabetic (44.4%), and diabetic (6.9%) PLWH. Glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting blood glucose (FBG) sensitivity in defining dysglycemia was 96.8%, while addition of oral glucose tolerance test led to reclassification of only 4 patients. Inclusion of 93 additional PLWH with known DM enabled identification of multiple independent predictors of dysglycemia or diabetes: older age, higher body mass index, Ethiopian origin, HIV duration, lower integrase inhibitor exposure, and advanced disease at diagnosis. Shotgun metagenomic microbiome analysis revealed 4 species that were significantly expanded with hyperglycemia/hyperinsulinemia, and 2 species that were differentially more prevalent in prediabetic/diabetic PLWH. Collectively, we uncover multiple potential host and microbiome predictors of altered glycemic status in PLWH, while demonstrating that FBG and HbA1c likely suffice for diabetes screening. These potential diabetic predictors merit future prospective validation.

Optimal glycaemic control and the reduced risk of colorectal adenoma and cancer in patients with diabetes: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Whether varying degrees of glycaemic control impact colonic neoplasm risk in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) remains uncertain. DESIGN: Patients with newly diagnosed DM were retrieved from 2005 to 2013. Optimal glycaemic control at baseline was defined as mean haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)<7%. Outcomes of interest included colorectal cancer (CRC) and colonic adenoma development. We used propensity score (PS) matching with competing risk models to estimate subdistribution HRs (SHRs). We further analysed the combined effect of baseline and postbaseline glycaemic control based on time-weighted mean HbA1c during follow-up. RESULTS: Of 88 468 PS-matched patients with DM (mean (SD) age: 61.5 (±11.7) years; male: 47 127 (53.3%)), 1229 (1.4%) patients developed CRC during a median follow-up of 7.2 (IQR: 5.5-9.4) years. Optimal glycaemic control was associated with lower CRC risk (SHR 0.72; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.81). The beneficial effect was limited to left-sided colon (SHR 0.71; 95% CI 0.59 to 0.85) and rectum (SHR 0.71; 95% CI 0.57 to 0.89), but not right-sided colon (SHR 0.86; 95% CI 0.67 to 1.10). Setting suboptimal glycaemic control at baseline/postbaseline as a reference, a decreased CRC risk was found in optimal control at postbaseline (SHR 0.79), baseline (SHR 0.71) and both time periods (SHR 0.61). Similar associations were demonstrated using glycaemic control as a time-varying covariate (HR 0.75). A stepwise greater risk of CRC was found (Ptrend<0.001) with increasing HbA1c (SHRs 1.34, 1.30, 1.44, 1.58 for HbA1c 7.0% to <7.5%, 7.5% to <8.0%, 8.0% to <8.5% and ≥8.5%, respectively). Optimal glycaemic control was associated with a lower risk of any, non-advanced and advanced colonic adenoma (SHRs 0.73-0.87). CONCLUSION: Glycaemic control in patients with DM was independently associated with the risk of colonic adenoma and CRC development with a biological gradient.

Advanced cardiovascular physiology in an individual with type 1 diabetes after 10-year ketogenic diet.

Adults with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have an elevated risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared with the general population. HbA1c is the primary modifiable risk factor for CVD in T1D. Fewer than 1% of patients achieve euglycemia (<5.7% HbA1c). Ketogenic diets (KD; ≤50 g carbohydrate/day) may improve glycemia and downstream vascular dysfunction in T1D by reducing HbA1c and insulin load. However, there are concerns regarding the long-term CVD risk from a KD. Therefore, we compared data collected in a 60-day window in an adult with T1D on exogenous insulin who consumed a KD for 10 years versus normative values in those with T1D (T1D norms). The participant achieved euglycemia with an HbA1c of 5.5%, mean glucose of 98 [5] mg/dL (median [interquartile range]), 90 [11]% time-in-range 70-180 mg/dL (T1D norms: 1st percentile for all), and low insulin requirements of 0.38 ± 0.03 IU/kg/day (T1D norms: 8th percentile). Seated systolic blood pressure (SBP) was 113 mmHg (T1D norms: 18th percentile), while ambulatory awake SBP was 132 ± 15 mmHg (T1D target: <130 mmHg), blood triglycerides were 69 mg/dL (T1D norms: 34th percentile), low-density lipoprotein was 129 mg/dL (T1D norms: 60th percentile), heart rate was 56 beats/min (T1D norms: >1SD below the mean), carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity was 7.17 m/s (T1D norms: lowest quartile of risk), flow-mediated dilation was 12.8% (T1D norms: >1SD above mean), and cardiac vagal baroreflex gain was 23.5 ms/mmHg (T1D norms: >1SD above mean). Finally, there was no indication of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction from echocardiography. Overall, these data demonstrate below-average CVD risk relative to T1D norms despite concerns regarding the long-term impact of a KD on CVD risk.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Adults with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have a 10-fold higher risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared with the general population. We assessed cardiovascular health metrics in an adult with T1D who presented with a euglycemic HbA1c after following a ketogenic diet for the past 10 years. Despite concerns about the ketogenic diet increasing CVD risk, the participant exhibited below-average CVD risk relative to others with T1D when considering all outcomes together.

Machine learning-based reproducible prediction of type 2 diabetes subtypes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Clustering-based subclassification of type 2 diabetes, which reflects pathophysiology and genetic predisposition, is a promising approach for providing personalised and effective therapeutic strategies. Ahlqvist's classification is currently the most vigorously validated method because of its superior ability to predict diabetes complications but it does not have strong consistency over time and requires HOMA2 indices, which are not routinely available in clinical practice and standard cohort studies. We developed a machine learning (ML) model to classify individuals with type 2 diabetes into Ahlqvist's subtypes consistently over time. METHODS: Cohort 1 dataset comprised 619 Japanese individuals with type 2 diabetes who were divided into training and test sets for ML models in a 7:3 ratio. Cohort 2 dataset, comprising 597 individuals with type 2 diabetes, was used for external validation. Participants were pre-labelled (T2Dkmeans) by unsupervised k-means clustering based on Ahlqvist's variables (age at diagnosis, BMI, HbA1c, HOMA2-B and HOMA2-IR) to four subtypes: severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD) and mild age-related diabetes (MARD). We adopted 15 variables for a multiclass classification random forest (RF) algorithm to predict type 2 diabetes subtypes (T2DRF15). The proximity matrix computed by RF was visualised using a uniform manifold approximation and projection. Finally, we used a putative subset with missing insulin-related variables to test the predictive performance of the validation cohort, consistency of subtypes over time and prediction ability of diabetes complications. RESULTS: T2DRF15 demonstrated a 94% accuracy for predicting T2Dkmeans type 2 diabetes subtypes (AUCs ≥0.99 and F1 score [an indicator calculated by harmonic mean from precision and recall] ≥0.9) and retained the predictive performance in the external validation cohort (86.3%). T2DRF15 showed an accuracy of 82.9% for detecting T2Dkmeans, also in a putative subset with missing insulin-related variables, when used with an imputation algorithm. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the diabetes clusters of T2DRF15 demonstrated distinct accumulation risks of diabetic retinopathy in SIDD and that of chronic kidney disease in SIRD during a median observation period of 11.6 (4.5-18.3) years, similarly to the subtypes using T2Dkmeans. The predictive accuracy was improved after excluding individuals with low predictive probability, who were categorised as an 'undecidable' cluster. T2DRF15, after excluding undecidable individuals, showed higher consistency (100% for SIDD, 68.6% for SIRD, 94.4% for MOD and 97.9% for MARD) than T2Dkmeans. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The new ML model for predicting Ahlqvist's subtypes of type 2 diabetes has great potential for application in clinical practice and cohort studies because it can classify individuals with missing HOMA2 indices and predict glycaemic control, diabetic complications and treatment outcomes with long-term consistency by using readily available variables. Future studies are needed to assess whether our approach is applicable to research and/or clinical practice in multiethnic populations.

Heterogeneity of glycaemic phenotypes in type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Our study aims to uncover glycaemic phenotype heterogeneity in type 1 diabetes. METHODS: In the Study of the French-speaking Society of Type 1 Diabetes (SFDT1), we characterised glycaemic heterogeneity thanks to a set of complementary metrics: HbA1c, time in range (TIR), time below range (TBR), CV, Gold score and glycaemia risk index (GRI). Applying the Discriminative Dimensionality Reduction with Trees (DDRTree) algorithm, we created a phenotypic tree, i.e. a 2D visual mapping. We also carried out a clustering analysis for comparison. RESULTS: We included 618 participants with type 1 diabetes (52.9% men, mean age 40.6 years [SD 14.1]). Our phenotypic tree identified seven glycaemic phenotypes. The 2D phenotypic tree comprised a main branch in the proximal region and glycaemic phenotypes in the distal areas. Dimension 1, the horizontal dimension, was positively associated with GRI (coefficient [95% CI]) (0.54 [0.52, 0.57]), HbA1c (0.39 [0.35, 0.42]), CV (0.24 [0.19, 0.28]) and TBR (0.11 [0.06, 0.15]), and negatively with TIR (-0.52 [-0.54, -0.49]). The vertical dimension was positively associated with TBR (0.41 [0.38, 0.44]), CV (0.40 [0.37, 0.43]), TIR (0.16 [0.12, 0.20]), Gold score (0.10 [0.06, 0.15]) and GRI (0.06 [0.02, 0.11]), and negatively with HbA1c (-0.21 [-0.25, -0.17]). Notably, socioeconomic factors, cardiovascular risk indicators, retinopathy and treatment strategy were significant determinants of glycaemic phenotype diversity. The phenotypic tree enabled more granularity than traditional clustering in revealing clinically relevant subgroups of people with type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study advances the current understanding of the complex glycaemic profile in people with type 1 diabetes and suggests that strategies based on isolated glycaemic metrics might not capture the complexity of the glycaemic phenotypes in real life. Relying on these phenotypes could improve patient stratification in type 1 diabetes care and personalise disease management.

The use of technology in type 2 diabetes and prediabetes: a narrative review.

The increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes, which represents 90% of diabetes cases globally, is a major public health concern. Improved glucose management reduces the risk of vascular complications and mortality; however, only a small proportion of the type 2 diabetes population have blood glucose levels within the recommended treatment targets. In recent years, diabetes technologies have revolutionised the care of people with type 1 diabetes, and it is becoming increasingly evident that people with type 2 diabetes can also benefit from these advances. In this review, we describe the current knowledge regarding the role of technologies for people living with type 2 diabetes and the evidence supporting their use in clinical practice. We conclude that continuous glucose monitoring systems deliver glycaemic benefits for individuals with type 2 diabetes, whether treated with insulin or non-insulin therapy; further data are required to evaluate the role of these systems in those with prediabetes (defined as impaired glucose tolerance and/or impaired fasting glucose and/or HbA1c levels between 39 mmol/mol [5.7%] and 47 mmol/mol [6.4%]). The use of insulin pumps seems to be safe and effective in people with type 2 diabetes, especially in those with an HbA1c significantly above target. Initial results from studies exploring the impact of closed-loop systems in type 2 diabetes are promising. We discuss directions for future research to fully understand the potential benefits of integrating evidence-based technology into care for people living with type 2 diabetes and prediabetes.

Trajectories of BMI before and after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in a real-world population.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Few studies have examined the clinical characteristics associated with changes in weight before and after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Using a large real-world cohort, we derived trajectories of BMI before and after diabetes diagnosis, and examined the clinical characteristics associated with these trajectories, including assessing the impact of pre-diagnosis weight change on post-diagnosis weight change. METHODS: We performed an observational cohort study using electronic medical records from individuals in the Scottish Care Information Diabetes Collaboration database. Two trajectories were calculated, based on observed BMI measurements between 3 years and 6 months before diagnosis and between 1 and 5 years after diagnosis. In the post-diagnosis trajectory, each BMI measurement was time-dependently adjusted for the effects of diabetes medications and HbA1c change. RESULTS: A total of 2736 individuals were included in the study. There was a pattern of pre-diagnosis weight gain, with 1944 individuals (71%) gaining weight overall, and 875 (32%) gaining more than 0.5 kg/m2 per year. This was followed by a pattern of weight loss after diagnosis, with 1722 individuals (63%) losing weight. Younger age and greater social deprivation were associated with increased weight gain before diagnosis. Pre-diagnosis weight change was unrelated to post-diagnosis weight change, but post-diagnosis weight loss was associated with older age, female sex, higher BMI, higher HbA1c and weight gain during the peri-diagnosis period. When considering the peri-diagnostic period (defined as from 6 months before to 12 months after diagnosis), we identified 986 (36%) individuals who had a high HbA1c at diagnosis but who lost weight rapidly and were most aggressively treated at 1 year; this subgroup had the best glycaemic control at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Average weight increases before diagnosis and decreases after diagnosis; however, there were significant differences across the population in terms of weight changes. Younger individuals gained weight pre-diagnosis, but, in older individuals, type 2 diabetes is less associated with weight gain, consistent with other drivers for diabetes aetiology in older adults. We have identified a substantial group of individuals who have a rapid deterioration in glycaemic control, together with weight loss, around the time of diagnosis, and who subsequently stabilise, suggesting that a high HbA1c at diagnosis is not inevitably associated with a poor outcome and may be driven by reversible glucose toxicity.

Discordance between mean glucose and time in range in relation to HbA1c in individuals with type 1 diabetes: results from the GOLD and SILVER trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Previous studies have shown that individuals with similar mean glucose levels (MG) or percentage of time in range (TIR) may have different HbA1c values. The aim of this study was to further elucidate how MG and TIR are associated with HbA1c. METHODS: Data from the randomised clinical GOLD trial (n=144) and the follow-up SILVER trial (n=98) of adults with type 1 diabetes followed for 2.5 years were analysed. A total of 596 paired HbA1c/continuous glucose monitoring measurements were included. Linear mixed-effects models were used to account for intra-individual correlations in repeated-measures data. RESULTS: In the GOLD trial, the mean age of the participants (± SD) was 44±13 years, 63 (44%) were female, and the mean HbA1c (± SD) was 72±9.8 mmol/mol (8.7±0.9%). When correlating MG with HbA1c, MG explained 63% of the variation in HbA1c (r=0.79, p<0.001). The variation in HbA1c explained by MG increased to 88% (r=0.94, p value for improvement of fit <0.001) when accounting for person-to-person variation in the MG-HbA1c relationship. Time below range (TBR; <3.9 mmol/l), time above range (TAR) level 2 (>13.9 mmol/l) and glycaemic variability had little or no effect on the association. For a given MG and TIR, the HbA1c of 10% of individuals deviated by >8 mmol/mol (0.8%) from their estimated HbA1c based on the overall association between MG and TIR with HbA1c. TBR and TAR level 2 significantly influenced the association between TIR and HbA1c. At a given TIR, each 1% increase in TBR was related to a 0.6 mmol/mol lower HbA1c (95% CI 0.4, 0.9; p<0.001), and each 2% increase in TAR level 2 was related to a 0.4 mmol/mol higher HbA1c (95% CI 0.1, 0.6; p=0.003). However, neither TIR, TBR nor TAR level 2 were significantly associated with HbA1c when accounting for MG. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Inter-individual variations exist between MG and HbA1c, as well as between TIR and HbA1c, with clinically important deviations in relatively large groups of individuals with type 1 diabetes. These results may provide important information to both healthcare providers and individuals with diabetes in terms of prognosis and when making diabetes management decisions.

Gut microbiome shifts in people with type 1 diabetes are associated with glycaemic control: an INNODIA study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The gut microbiome is implicated in the disease process leading to clinical type 1 diabetes, but less is known about potential changes in the gut microbiome after the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes and implications in glucose homeostasis. We aimed to analyse potential associations between the gut microbiome composition and clinical and laboratory data during a 2 year follow-up of people with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes, recruited to the Innovative approaches to understanding and arresting type 1 diabetes (INNODIA) study. In addition, we analysed the microbiome composition in initially unaffected family members, who progressed to clinical type 1 diabetes during or after their follow-up for 4 years. METHODS: We characterised the gut microbiome composition of 98 individuals with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes (ND cohort) and 194 autoantibody-positive unaffected family members (UFM cohort), representing a subgroup of the INNODIA Natural History Study, using metagenomic sequencing. Participants from the ND cohort attended study visits within 6 weeks from the diagnosis and 3, 6, 12 and 24 months later for stool sample collection and laboratory tests (HbA1c, C-peptide, diabetes-associated autoantibodies). Participants from the UFM cohort were assessed at baseline and 6, 12, 18, 24 and 36 months later. RESULTS: We observed a longitudinal increase in 21 bacterial species in the ND cohort but not in the UFM cohort. The relative abundance of Faecalibacterium prausnitzii was inversely associated with the HbA1c levels at diagnosis (p=0.0019). The rate of the subsequent disease progression in the ND cohort, as assessed by change in HbA1c, C-peptide levels and insulin dose, was associated with the abundance of several bacterial species. Individuals with rapid decrease in C-peptide levels in the ND cohort had the lowest gut microbiome diversity. Nineteen individuals who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes in the UFM cohort had increased abundance of Sutterella sp. KLE1602 compared with the undiagnosed UFM individuals (p=1.2 × 10-4). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our data revealed associations between the gut microbiome composition and the disease progression in individuals with recent-onset type 1 diabetes. Future mechanistic studies as well as animal studies and human trials are needed to further validate the significance and causality of these associations.

Associations of 24 h time-use compositions of sitting, standing, physical activity and sleeping with optimal cardiometabolic risk and glycaemic control: The Maastricht Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The associations of sitting, standing, physical activity and sleep with cardiometabolic health and glycaemic control markers are interrelated. We aimed to identify 24 h time-use compositions associated with optimal metabolic and glycaemic control and determine whether these varied by diabetes status. METHODS: Thigh-worn activPAL data from 2388 participants aged 40-75 years (48.7% female; mean age 60.1 [SD = 8.1] years; n=684 with type 2 diabetes) in The Maastricht Study were examined. Compositional isometric log ratios were generated from mean 24 h time use (sitting, standing, light-intensity physical activity [LPA], moderate-to-vigorous physical activity [MVPA] and sleeping) and regressed with outcomes of waist circumference, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2 h plasma glucose, HbA1c, the Matsuda index expressed as z scores, and with a clustered cardiometabolic risk score. Overall analyses were adjusted for demographics, smoking, dietary intake and diabetes status, and interaction by diabetes status was examined separately. The estimated difference when substituting 30 min of one behaviour with another was determined with isotemporal substitution. To identify optimal time use, all combinations of 24 h compositions possible within the study footprint (1st-99th percentile of each behaviour) were investigated to determine those cross-sectionally associated with the most-optimal outcome (top 5%) for each outcome measure. RESULTS: Compositions lower in sitting time and with greater standing time, physical activity and sleeping had the most beneficial associations with outcomes. Associations were stronger in participants with type 2 diabetes (p<0.05 for interactions), with larger estimated benefits for waist circumference, FPG and HbA1c when sitting was replaced by LPA or MVPA in those with type 2 diabetes vs the overall sample. The mean (range) optimal compositions of 24 h time use, considering all outcomes, were 6 h (range 5 h 40 min-7 h 10 min) for sitting, 5 h 10 min (4 h 10 min-6 h 10 min) for standing, 2 h 10 min (2 h-2 h 20 min) for LPA, 2 h 10 min (1 h 40 min-2 h 20 min) for MVPA and 8 h 20 min (7 h 30 min-9 h) for sleeping. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Shorter sitting time and more time spent standing, undergoing physical activity and sleeping are associated with preferable cardiometabolic health. The substitutions of behavioural time use were significantly stronger in their associations with glycaemic control in those with type 2 diabetes compared with those with normoglycaemic metabolism, especially when sitting time was balanced with greater physical activity.

HbA1c variability is independently associated with progression of diabetic kidney disease in an urban multi-ethnic cohort of people with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The role of HbA1c variability in the progression of diabetic kidney disease is unclear, with most studies to date performed in White populations and limited data on its role in predicting advanced kidney outcomes. Our aim was to evaluate if long-term intra-individual HbA1c variability is a risk factor for kidney disease progression (defined as an eGFR decline of ≥50% from baseline with a final eGFR of <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2) in an ethnically heterogeneous cohort of people with type 1 diabetes with a preserved eGFR ≥45 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at baseline. METHODS: Electronic health record data from people attending outpatient clinics between 2004 and 2018 in two large university hospitals in London were collected. HbA1c variability was assessed using three distinct methods: (1) SD of HbA1c (SD-HbA1c); (2) visit-adjusted SD (adj-HbA1c): SD-HbA1c/√n/(n-1), where n is the number of HbA1c measurements per participant; and (3) CV (CV-HbA1c): SD-HbA1c/mean-HbA1c. All participants had six or more follow-up HbA1c measurements. The eGFR was measured using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation and clinical/biochemical results from routine care were extracted from electronic health records. RESULTS: In total, 3466 participants (50% female, 78% White, 13% African Caribbean, 3% Asian and 6% of mixed heritage or self-reporting as 'other') were followed for a median (IQR) of 8.2 (4.2-11.6) years. Of this cohort, 249 (7%) showed kidney disease progression. Higher HbA1c variability was independently associated with a higher risk of kidney disease progression, with HRs (95% CIs) of 7.76 (4.54, 13.26), 2.62 (1.75, 3.94) and 5.46 (3.40, 8.79) (lowest vs highest HbA1c variability quartile) for methods 1-3, respectively. Increasing age, baseline HbA1c, systolic BP and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio were also associated with kidney disease progression (p<0.05 for all). African Caribbean ethnicity was associated with an increased risk of kidney disease progression (HR [95% CI] 1.47 [1.09, 1.98], 1.76 [1.32, 2.36] and 1.57 [1.17, 2.12] for methods 1-3, respectively) and this effect was independent of glycaemic variability and other traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We observed an independent association between HbA1c variability, evaluated using three distinct methods, and significant kidney disease progression in a multi-ethnic type 1 diabetes cohort. Further studies are needed to elucidate the mechanisms that may explain our results and evaluate if HbA1c variability is a modifiable risk factor for preventing diabetic kidney disease progression.

Diabetes technology in people with diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease.

Diabetes is the leading cause and a common comorbidity of advanced chronic kidney disease. Glycaemic management in this population is challenging and characterised by frequent excursions of hypoglycaemia and hyperglycaemia. Current glucose monitoring tools, such as HbA1c, fructosamine and glycated albumin, have biases in this population and provide information only on mean glucose exposure. Revolutionary developments in glucose sensing and insulin delivery technology have occurred in the last decade. Newer factory-calibrated continuous glucose monitors provide real-time glucose data, with predictive alarms, allowing improved assessment of glucose excursions and preventive measures, particularly during and between dialysis sessions. Furthermore, integration of continuous glucose monitors and their predictive alerts with automated insulin delivery systems enables insulin administration to be decreased or stopped proactively, leading to improved glycaemic management and diminishing glycaemic fluctuations. While awaiting regulatory approval, emerging studies, expert real-world experience and clinical guidelines support the use of diabetes technology devices in people with diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease.

The INNODIA Type 1 Diabetes Natural History Study: a European cohort of newly diagnosed children, adolescents and adults.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Type 1 diabetes is an heterogenous condition. Characterising factors explaining differences in an individual's clinical course and treatment response will have important clinical and research implications. Our aim was to explore type 1 diabetes heterogeneity, as assessed by clinical characteristics, autoantibodies, beta cell function and glycaemic outcomes, during the first 12 months from diagnosis, and how it relates to age at diagnosis. METHODS: Data were collected from the large INNODIA cohort of individuals (aged 1.0-45.0 years) newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, followed 3 monthly, to assess clinical characteristics, C-peptide, HbA1c and diabetes-associated antibodies, and their changes, during the first 12 months from diagnosis, across three age groups: <10 years; 10-17 years; and ≥18 years. RESULTS: The study population included 649 individuals (57.3% male; age 12.1±8.3 years), 96.9% of whom were positive for one or more diabetes-related antibodies. Baseline (IQR) fasting C-peptide was 242.0 (139.0-382.0) pmol/l (AUC 749.3 [466.2-1106.1] pmol/l × min), with levels increasing with age (p<0.001). Over time, C-peptide remained lower in participants aged <10 years but it declined in all age groups. In parallel, glucose levels progressively increased. Lower baseline fasting C-peptide, BMI SD score and presence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis were associated with lower stimulated C-peptide over time. HbA1c decreased during the first 3 months (p<0.001), whereas insulin requirement increased from 3 months post diagnosis (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In this large cohort with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes, we identified age-related differences in clinical and biochemical variables. Of note, C-peptide was lower in younger children but there were no main age differences in its rate of decline.

Associations between daily step count classifications and continuous glucose monitoring metrics in adults with type 1 diabetes: analysis of the Type 1 Diabetes Exercise Initiative (T1DEXI) cohort.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Adults with type 1 diabetes should perform daily physical activity to help maintain health and fitness, but the influence of daily step counts on continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics are unclear. This analysis used the Type 1 Diabetes Exercise Initiative (T1DEXI) dataset to investigate the effect of daily step count on CGM-based metrics. METHODS: In a 4 week free-living observational study of adults with type 1 diabetes, with available CGM and step count data, we categorised participants into three groups-below (<7000), meeting (7000-10,000) or exceeding (>10,000) the daily step count goal-to determine if step count category influenced CGM metrics, including per cent time in range (TIR: 3.9-10.0 mmol/l), time below range (TBR: <3.9 mmol/l) and time above range (TAR: >10.0 mmol/l). RESULTS: A total of 464 adults with type 1 diabetes (mean±SD age 37±14 years; HbA1c 48.8±8.1 mmol/mol [6.6±0.7%]; 73% female; 45% hybrid closed-loop system, 38% standard insulin pump, 17% multiple daily insulin injections) were included in the study. Between-participant analyses showed that individuals who exceeded the mean daily step count goal over the 4 week period had a similar TIR (75±14%) to those meeting (74±14%) or below (75±16%) the step count goal (p>0.05). In the within-participant comparisons, TIR was higher on days when the step count goal was exceeded or met (both 75±15%) than on days below the step count goal (73±16%; both p<0.001). The TBR was also higher when individuals exceeded the step count goals (3.1%±3.2%) than on days when they met or were below step count goals (difference in means -0.3% [p=0.006] and -0.4% [p=0.001], respectively). The total daily insulin dose was lower on days when step count goals were exceeded (0.52±0.18 U/kg; p<0.001) or were met (0.53±0.18 U/kg; p<0.001) than on days when step counts were below the current recommendation (0.55±0.18 U/kg). Step count had a larger effect on CGM-based metrics in participants with a baseline HbA1c ≥53 mmol/mol (≥7.0%). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that, compared with days with low step counts, days with higher step counts are associated with slight increases in both TIR and TBR, along with small reductions in total daily insulin requirements, in adults living with type 1 diabetes. DATA AVAILABILITY: The data that support the findings reported here are available on the Vivli Platform (ID: T1-DEXI; https://doi.org/10.25934/PR00008428 ).

The association of chronic complications with time in tight range and time in range in people with type 1 diabetes: a retrospective cross-sectional real-world study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of chronic complications with time in tight range (TITR: 3.9-7.8 mmol/l) and time in range (TIR: 3.9-10.0 mmol/l) in people with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The prevalence of microvascular complications (diabetic retinopathy, diabetic nephropathy and diabetic peripheral neuropathy [DPN]) and macrovascular complications according to sensor-measured TITR/TIR was analysed cross-sectionally in 808 adults with type 1 diabetes. Binary logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between TITR/TIR and the presence of complications without adjustment, with adjustment for HbA1c, and with adjustment for HbA1c and other confounding factors (sex, age, diabetes duration, BMI, BP, lipid profile, smoking, and use of statins and renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors). RESULTS: The mean TITR and TIR were 33.9 ± 12.8% and 52.5 ± 15.0%, respectively. Overall, 46.0% had any microvascular complication (34.5% diabetic retinopathy, 23.8% diabetic nephropathy, 16.0% DPN) and 16.3% suffered from any macrovascular complication. The prevalence of any microvascular complication, diabetic retinopathy, diabetic nephropathy and a cerebrovascular accident (CVA) decreased with increasing TITR/TIR quartiles (all ptrend<0.05). Each 10% increase in TITR was associated with a lower incidence of any microvascular complication (OR 0.762; 95% CI 0.679, 0.855; p<0.001), diabetic retinopathy (OR 0.757; 95% CI 0.670, 0.856; p<0.001), background diabetic retinopathy (OR 0.760; 95% CI 0.655, 0.882; p<0.001), severe diabetic retinopathy (OR 0.854; 95% CI 0.731, 0.998; p=0.048), diabetic nephropathy (OR 0.799; 95% CI 0.699, 0.915; p<0.001), DPN (OR 0.837; 95% CI 0.717, 0.977; p=0.026) and CVA (OR 0.651; 95% CI 0.470, 0.902; p=0.010). The independent association of TITR with any microvascular complication (OR 0.867; 95% CI 0.762, 0.988; p=0.032), diabetic retinopathy (OR 0.837; 95% CI 0.731, 0.959; p=0.010), background diabetic retinopathy (OR 0.831; 95% CI 0.705, 0.979; p=0.027) and CVA (OR 0.619; 95% CI 0.426, 0.899; p=0.012) persisted after adjustment for HbA1c. Similar results were obtained when controlling for HbA1c and other confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: TITR and TIR are inversely associated with the presence of microvascular complications and CVA in people with type 1 diabetes. Although this study was not designed to establish a causal relationship, this analysis adds validity to the use of TITR and TIR as key measures in glycaemic management. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02601729 and NCT02898714.

Subcutaneously administered tirzepatide vs semaglutide for adults with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We conducted a systematic review and network meta-analysis to compare the efficacy and safety of s.c. administered tirzepatide vs s.c. administered semaglutide for adults of both sexes with type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS: We searched PubMed and Cochrane up to 11 November 2023 for RCTs with an intervention duration of at least 12 weeks assessing s.c. tirzepatide at maintenance doses of 5 mg, 10 mg or 15 mg once weekly, or s.c. semaglutide at maintenance doses of 0.5 mg, 1.0 mg or 2.0 mg once weekly, in adults with type 2 diabetes, regardless of background glucose-lowering treatment. Eligible trials compared any of the specified doses of tirzepatide and semaglutide against each other, placebo or other glucose-lowering drugs. Primary outcomes were changes in HbA1c and body weight from baseline. Secondary outcomes were achievement of HbA1c target of ≤48 mmol/mol (≤6.5%) or <53 mmol/mol (<7.0%), body weight loss of at least 10%, and safety outcomes including gastrointestinal adverse events and severe hypoglycaemia. We used version 2 of the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool (ROB 2) to assess the risk of bias, conducted frequentist random-effects network meta-analyses and evaluated confidence in effect estimates utilising the Confidence In Network Meta-Analysis (CINeMA) framework. RESULTS: A total of 28 trials with 23,622 participants (44.2% female) were included. Compared with placebo, tirzepatide 15 mg was the most efficacious treatment in reducing HbA1c (mean difference -21.61 mmol/mol [-1.96%]) followed by tirzepatide 10 mg (-20.19 mmol/mol [-1.84%]), semaglutide 2.0 mg (-17.74 mmol/mol [-1.59%]), tirzepatide 5 mg (-17.60 mmol/mol [-1.60%]), semaglutide 1.0 mg (-15.25 mmol/mol [-1.39%]) and semaglutide 0.5 mg (-12.00 mmol/mol [-1.09%]). In between-drug comparisons, all tirzepatide doses were comparable with semaglutide 2.0 mg and superior to semaglutide 1.0 mg and 0.5 mg. Compared with placebo, tirzepatide was more efficacious than semaglutide for reducing body weight, with reductions ranging from 9.57 kg (tirzepatide 15 mg) to 5.27 kg (tirzepatide 5 mg). Semaglutide had a less pronounced effect, with reductions ranging from 4.97 kg (semaglutide 2.0 mg) to 2.52 kg (semaglutide 0.5 mg). In between-drug comparisons, tirzepatide 15 mg, 10 mg and 5 mg demonstrated greater efficacy than semaglutide 2.0 mg, 1.0 mg and 0.5 mg, respectively. Both drugs increased incidence of gastrointestinal adverse events compared with placebo, while neither tirzepatide nor semaglutide increased the risk of serious adverse events or severe hypoglycaemia. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our data show that s.c. tirzepatide had a more pronounced effect on HbA1c and weight reduction compared with s.c. semaglutide in people with type 2 diabetes. Both drugs, particularly higher doses of tirzepatide, increased gastrointestinal adverse events. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration no. CRD42022382594.

Trajectories of clinical characteristics, complications and treatment choices in data-driven subgroups of type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to explore the added value of subgroups that categorise individuals with type 2 diabetes by k-means clustering for two primary care registries (the Netherlands and Scotland), inspired by Ahlqvist's novel diabetes subgroups and previously analysed by Slieker et al. METHODS: We used two Dutch and Scottish diabetes cohorts (N=3054 and 6145; median follow-up=11.2 and 12.3 years, respectively) and defined five subgroups by k-means clustering with age at baseline, BMI, HbA1c, HDL-cholesterol and C-peptide. We investigated differences between subgroups by trajectories of risk factor values (random intercept models), time to diabetes-related complications (logrank tests and Cox models) and medication patterns (multinomial logistic models). We also compared directly using the clustering indicators as predictors of progression vs the k-means discrete subgroups. Cluster consistency over follow-up was assessed. RESULTS: Subgroups' risk factors were significantly different, and these differences remained generally consistent over follow-up. Among all subgroups, individuals with severe insulin resistance faced a significantly higher risk of myocardial infarction both before (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.40, 1.94) and after adjusting for age effect (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.46, 2.02) compared with mild diabetes with high HDL-cholesterol. Individuals with severe insulin-deficient diabetes were most intensively treated, with more than 25% prescribed insulin at 10 years of diagnosis. For severe insulin-deficient diabetes relative to mild diabetes, the relative risks for using insulin relative to no common treatment would be expected to increase by a factor of 3.07 (95% CI 2.73, 3.44), holding other factors constant. Clustering indicators were better predictors of progression variation relative to subgroups, but prediction accuracy may improve after combining both. Clusters were consistent over 8 years with an accuracy ranging from 59% to 72%. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Data-driven subgroup allocations were generally consistent over follow-up and captured significant differences in risk factor trajectories, medication patterns and complication risks. Subgroups serve better as a complement rather than as a basis for compressing clustering indicators.

Glycaemic patterns during breastfeeding with postpartum use of closed-loop insulin delivery in women with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to describe the relationship between breastfeeding episodes and maternal glucose levels, and to assess whether this differs with closed-loop vs open-loop (sensor-augmented pump) insulin therapy. METHODS: Infant-feeding diaries were collected at 6 weeks, 12 weeks and 24 weeks postpartum in a trial of postpartum closed-loop use in 18 women with type 1 diabetes. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data were used to identify maternal glucose patterns within the 3 h of breastfeeding episodes. Generalised mixed models adjusted for breastfeeding episodes in the same woman, repeat breastfeeding episodes, carbohydrate intake, infant age at time of feeding and early pregnancy HbA1c. This was a secondary analysis of data collected during a randomised trial (ClinicalTrials.gov registration no. NCT04420728). RESULTS: CGM glucose remained above 3.9 mmol/l in the 3 h post-breastfeeding for 93% (397/427) of breastfeeding episodes. There was an overall decrease in glucose at nighttime within 3 h of breastfeeding (1.1 mmol l-1 h-1 decrease on average; p=0.009). A decrease in nighttime glucose was observed with open-loop therapy (1.2 ± 0.5 mmol/l) but was blunted with closed-loop therapy (0.4 ± 0.3 mmol/l; p<0.01, open-loop vs closed-loop). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: There is a small decrease in glucose after nighttime breastfeeding that usually does not result in maternal hypoglycaemia; this appears to be blunted with the use of closed-loop therapy.

Estimating risk of consequences following hypoglycaemia exposure using the Hypo-RESOLVE cohort: a secondary analysis of pooled data from insulin clinical trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Whether hypoglycaemia increases the risk of other adverse outcomes in diabetes remains controversial, especially for hypoglycaemia episodes not requiring assistance from another person. An objective of the Hypoglycaemia REdefining SOLutions for better liVEs (Hypo-RESOLVE) project was to create and use a dataset of pooled clinical trials in people with type 1 or type 2 diabetes to examine the association of exposure to all hypoglycaemia episodes across the range of severity with incident event outcomes: death, CVD, neuropathy, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression. We also examined the change in continuous outcomes that occurred following a hypoglycaemia episode: change in eGFR, HbA1c, blood glucose, blood glucose variability and weight. METHODS: Data from 84 trials with 39,373 participants were pooled. For event outcomes, time-updated Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, diabetes duration and HbA1c were fitted to assess association between: (1) outcome and cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes; and (2) outcomes where an acute effect might be expected (i.e. death, acute CVD, retinal disorders) and any hypoglycaemia exposure within the last 10 days. Exposures to any hypoglycaemia episode and to episodes of given severity (levels 1, 2 and 3) were examined. Further adjustment was then made for a wider set of potential confounders. The within-person change in continuous outcomes was also summarised (median of 40.4 weeks for type 1 diabetes and 26 weeks for type 2 diabetes). Analyses were conducted separately by type of diabetes. RESULTS: The maximally adjusted association analysis for type 1 diabetes found that cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes of any level was associated with higher risks of neuropathy, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression, with risk ratios ranging from 1.55 (p=0.002) to 2.81 (p=0.002). Associations of a similar direction were found when level 1 episodes were examined separately but were significant for depression only. For type 2 diabetes cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes of any level was associated with higher risks of death, acute CVD, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression, with risk ratios ranging from 2.35 (p<0.0001) to 3.00 (p<0.0001). These associations remained significant when level 1 episodes were examined separately. There was evidence of an association between hypoglycaemia episodes of any kind in the previous 10 days and death, acute CVD and retinal disorders in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes, with rate ratios ranging from 1.32 (p=0.017) to 2.68 (p<0.0001). These associations varied in magnitude and significance when examined separately by hypoglycaemia level. Within the range of hypoglycaemia defined by levels 1, 2 and 3, we could not find any evidence of a threshold at which risk of these consequences suddenly became pronounced. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These data are consistent with hypoglycaemia being associated with an increased risk of adverse events across several body systems in diabetes. These associations are not confined to severe hypoglycaemia requiring assistance.