Prognostic and predictive value of ERß1 and ERß2 in the Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES)-first results from PathIES†.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES) was a randomised study that showed a survival benefit of switching adjuvant endocrine therapy after 2-3 years from tamoxifen to exemestane. PathIES aimed to assess the potential prognostic and predictive value of ERß1 and ERß2 expression in primary tumours in order to determine benefit in the two treatment arms. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Primary tumour samples were available for 1256 patients (27% IES population). ERß1 and ERß2 expression was dichotomised at the median IHC score (high if ERß1 ≥ 191, ERß2 ≥ 164). Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for clinicopathological factors. Treatment effects with biomarker expressions were determined by interaction tests. Analysis explored effects of markers both as a continuous variable and with dichotomised cut-offs. RESULTS: Neither ERß1 nor ERß2 were associated with disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) in the whole cohort. In patients treated with continued tamoxifen, high ERß1 expression compared with low was associated with better DFS [HR = 0.3895% confidence interval (CI) 0.21-0.68, P = 0.001]. DFS benefit of exemestane over tamoxifen (HR = 0.4095% CI 0.22-0.70) was found in the low ERß1 subgroup (interaction P = 0.01). No significant difference with treatment was observed for ERß2 expression in either DFS or OS. CONCLUSION: In the PathIES population, exemestane appeared to be superior to tamoxifen among patients with low ERß1 expression but not in those with high ERß1 expression. This is the first trial of its kind to report a parameter potentially predicting benefit of an aromatase inhibitor when compared with tamoxifen and an independent validation is warranted.