Dengue score: a proposed diagnostic predictor for pleural effusion and/or ascites in adults with dengue infection.
BMC Infect Dis
; 16: 322, 2016 07 08.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-27391122
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
There are several limitations in diagnosing plasma leakage using the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines of dengue hemorrhagic fever. We conducted a study to develop a dengue scoring system to predict pleural effusion and/or ascites using routine laboratory parameters.METHODS:
A prospective observational study was carried out at Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital and Persahabatan Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia. Dengue-infected adults admitted on the third febrile day from March, 2010 through August, 2015 were included in the study. A multivariate analysis was conducted to determine the independent diagnostic predictors of pleural effusion and/or ascites and to convert the prediction model into a scoring system.RESULTS:
A total of 172 dengue-infected adults were enrolled in the study. Of the 172 patients, 101 (58.7 %) developed pleural effusion and/or ascites. A multivariate analysis was conducted to determine the independent diagnostic predictors of pleural effusion and/or ascites in dengue-infected adults. The predictors were scored based on the following calculations hemoconcentration ≥15.1 % had a score of 1 (OR, 3.11; 95 % CI, 1.41-6.88), lowest albumin concentration at critical phase ≤3.49 mg/dL had a score of 1 (OR, 4.48; 95 % CI, 1.87-10.77), lowest platelet count ≤49,500/µL had a score of 1 (OR, 3.62; 95 % CI, 1.55-8.49), and elevated ratio of AST ≥2.51 had a score of 1 (OR 2.67; 95 % CI, 1.19-5.97). At a cut off of ≥ 2, the Dengue Score predicted pleural effusion and/or ascites diagnosis with positive predictive value of 79.21 % and negative predictive value of 74.63 %. This prediction model is suitable for calibration and good discrimination.CONCLUSIONS:
We have developed a Dengue Score that could be used to identify pleural effusion and/or ascites and might be useful to stratify dengue-infected patients at risk for developing severe dengue.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
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Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Derrame Pleural
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Ascite
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Índice de Gravidade de Doença
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Dengue Grave
Tipo de estudo:
Diagnostic_studies
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Guideline
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Adolescent
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Adult
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Aged
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Child
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle aged
País/Região como assunto:
Asia
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2016
Tipo de documento:
Article