Clinical predictors of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in nosocomial and healthcare-associated pneumonia: a multicenter, matched case-control study.

ABSTRACT

The situations in which coverage for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in the empirical treatment of nosocomial pneumonia (NP) or severe healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP) is needed are poorly defined, particularly outside intensive care units (ICUs). Our aim was to characterize if the risk of MRSA NP/HCAP can be defined by clinical variables. We designed an observational, retrospective, multicenter, case-control study to analyze the association between defined clinical variables and risk of MRSA NP/HCAP in non-ICU patients using conditional multivariable logistic regression. Cases and controls (12) with microbiological diagnosis were included. Controls were matched for hospital, type of pneumonia (NP or HCAP), and date of isolation. A total of 140 cases (77 NP and 63 HCAP) and 280 controls were studied. The variables associated with the risk of MRSA pneumonia were (i) respiratory infection/colonization caused by MRSA in the previous year [odds ratio (OR) 14.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.13-53.13, p < 0.001]; (ii) hospitalization in the previous 90 days (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.21-4.81, p = 0.012); and (iii) age (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.001-1.05, p = 0.040). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the multivariable model was 0.72 (95% CI 0.66-0.78). The multivariate model had a sensitivity of 74.5% (95% CI 65.3-83.6), a specificity of 63.3% (95% CI 56.0-70.6), a positive predictive value of 52.5% (95% CI 43.9-61.2), and a negative predictive value of 82.0% (95% CI 75.3-88.8) for the observed data. Clinical predictors of MRSA NP/HCAP can be used to define a low-risk population in whom coverage against MRSA may not be needed.