Rethinking the 10-pack-year rule for favorable human papillomavirus-associated oropharynx carcinoma: A multi-institution analysis.
Cancer
; 126(12): 2784-2790, 2020 06 15.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-32167593
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
De-intensified treatment strategies for early human papillomavirus-positive (HPV+) oropharynx cancer (OPC) rely on selecting patients with an excellent prognosis. The criterion for enrollment in current de-intensification trials is ≤10 pack-years. More nuance to the pack-year criteria may expand enrollment, improve patient outcomes, and prevent overtreatment. It was hypothesized that patients with more than 10 pack-years may experience favorable outcomes if smoking cessation has been achieved.METHODS:
From an institutional review board-approved database, patients with HPV+ oropharyngeal squamous carcinoma treated definitively with radiation with or without chemotherapy were retrospectively identified. Patients with a history of smoking who were eligible for national de-intensification trials were included (cT1-2N1-2b or T3N0-2b [American Joint Committee on Cancer, seventh edition]). Cox regression with penalized smoothing splines was used to evaluate nonlinear effects of cessation. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to objectively search for relationships between the 2 colinear variables (pack-years and time since cessation).RESULTS:
Among 330 patients meeting the inclusion criteria, 130 (40%) were never smokers, 139 (42%) were former smokers, and 61 (18%) were current smokers. With standard therapy, all former smokers achieved a progression-free survival (PFS) rate higher than 91%, regardless of pack-year exposure. Nonlinear Cox regression demonstrated that more recent cessation was associated with significantly worse PFS even among those with ≤20 pack-years. RPA demonstrated that only current smokers experienced a 2-year PFS rate lower than 91%; former smokers, regardless of pack-years, experienced a 2-year PFS rate higher than 91%.CONCLUSIONS:
The 10-pack-year rule may not apply to all early HPV+ OPCs, particularly for former smokers. Future randomized de-intensification trials should consider a broader and more nuanced approach until the predictive role of smoking status is established.Palavras-chave
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Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Fumar
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Neoplasias Orofaríngeas
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Infecções por Papillomavirus
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeça e Pescoço
Tipo de estudo:
Clinical_trials
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Adult
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Aged
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Aged80
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle aged
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2020
Tipo de documento:
Article