Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on electricity demand in the UK based on multivariate time series forecasting with Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory.
Energy (Oxf)
; 227: 120455, 2021 Jul 15.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-36568128
Due to lockdown measures taken by the UK government during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the national electricity demand profile presented a notably different performance. The Coronavirus disease 2019 crisis has provided a unique opportunity to investigate how such a landscape-scale lockdown can influence the national electricity system. However, the impacts of social and economic restrictions on daily electricity demands are still poorly understood. This paper investigated how the UK-wide electricity demand was influenced during the Coronavirus disease 2019 crisis based on multivariate time series forecasting with Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory, to comprehend its correlations with containment measures, weather conditions, and renewable energy supplies. A deep-learning-based predictive model was established for daily electricity demand time series forecasting, which was trained by multiple features, including the number of coronavirus tests (smoothed), wind speed, ambient temperature, biomass, solar & wind power supplies, and historical electricity demand. Besides, the effects of Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on the Net-Zero target of 2050 were also studied through an interlinked approach.
Adam, Adaptive moment estimation; Bi-LSTM; Bi-LSTM, Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory; CECs, Constant Error Carousels; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; Coronavirus disease 2019; Electricity demand; GDP, Gross Domestic Product; LSTM, Long Short Term Memory; MSE, Mean Square Error; MSLE, Mean Squared Logarithmic Error; RMSE, Root Mean Square Error; RNN, Recurrent Neural Network; Renewable power supplies
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Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2021
Tipo de documento:
Article