Novel computational methods on electronic health record yields new estimates of transfusion-associated circulatory overload in populations enriched with high-risk patients.

BACKGROUND: Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is a severe adverse reaction (AR) contributing to the leading cause of mortality associated with transfusions. As strategies to mitigate TACO have been increasingly adopted, an update of prevalence rates and risk factors associated with TACO using the growing sources of electronic health record (EHR) data can help understand transfusion safety. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective study aimed to provide a timely and reproducible assessment of prevalence rates and risk factors associated with TACO. Novel natural language processing methods, now made publicly available on GitHub, were developed to extract ARs from 3178 transfusion reaction reports. Other patient-level data were extracted computationally from UCSF EHR between 2012 and 2022. The odds ratio estimates of risk factors were calculated using a multivariate logistic regression analysis with case-to-control matched on sex and age at a ratio of 1:5. RESULTS: A total of 56,208 patients received transfusions (total 573,533 units) at UCSF during the study period and 102 patients developed TACO. The prevalence of TACO was estimated to be 0.2% per patient (102/total 56,208). Patients with a history of coagulopathy (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.04-1.79) and transplant (OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.48-2.68) were associated with increased odds of TACO. DISCUSSION: While TACO is a serious AR, events remained rare, even in populations enriched with high-risk patients. Novel computational methods can be used to find and continually surveil for transfusion ARs. Results suggest that patients with history or presence of coagulopathy and organ transplant should be carefully monitored to mitigate potential risks of TACO.