How Many Operative Performance Ratings Does a Pediatric Surgery Fellow Need to Be Deemed Practice Ready?

PURPOSE: Identifying the number of cases required for a fellow to achieve competence has been challenging. Workplace-based assessment (WBA) systems make collecting performance data practical and create the opportunity to translate WBA ratings into probabilistic statements about a fellow's likelihood of performing to a given standard on a subsequent assessment opportunity. METHODS: We compared data from two pediatric surgery training programs that used the performance rating scale from the Society for Improving Medical Professional Learning (SIMPL). We used a Bayesian generalized linear mixed effects model to examine the relationship past and future performance for three procedures: Laparoscopic Inguinal Hernia Repair, Laparoscopic Gastrostomy Tube Placement, and Pyloromyotomy. RESULTS: For site one, 26 faculty assessed 9 fellows on 16 procedures yielding 1094 ratings, of which 778 (71%) earned practice-ready ratings. For site two, 25 faculty rated 3 fellows on 4 unique procedures yielding 234 ratings of which 151 (65%) were deemed practice-ready. We identified similar model-based future performance expectations, with prior practice-ready ratings having a similar average effect across both sites (Site one, B = 0.25; Site two, B = 0.25). Similar prior practice-ready ratings were needed for Laparoscopic G-Tube Placement (Site one = 13; Site two = 14), while greater differences were observed for Laparoscopic Inguinal Hernia Repair (Site one = 10; Site two = 15) and Pyloromyotomy (Site one = 10; Site two = 15). CONCLUSION: Our approach to modeling operative performance data is effective at determining future practice readiness of pediatric surgery fellows across multiple faculty and fellow groups. This method could be used to establish minimum case number requirements. TYPE OF STUDY: Original manuscript, Study of Diagnostic Test. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.