Characteristics and long-term prognosis of Danish residents with a positive intrathecal antibody index test for herpes simplex virus or varicella-zoster virus compared with individuals with a positive cerebrospinal fluid PCR: a nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: We compared characteristics and outcomes of individuals who in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) were positive for herpes simplex virus (HSV) or varicella-zoster virus (VZV)-intrathecal antibody index test ([AI]-positive) vs. individuals who were PCR-positive for HSV type 1 (HSV1), type 2 (HSV2), and for VZV. METHODS: Nationwide cohort study of all Danish residents with positive CSF-AI or -PCR for HSV or VZV (1995-2021). We calculated short- and long-term risks as age-, sex-, and comorbidity-adjusted odds ratios (aOR), adjusted hazard ratios (aHR), and absolute risk differences with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Compared with individuals with positive PCR for HSV1 (n = 321), HSV2 (n = 497), and VZV (n = 1054), individuals with a positive AI for HSV (n = 177) and VZV (n = 219) had CSF pleocytosis less frequently (leucocyte count >10/µL: HSV-AI: 39%, VZV-AI: 52%, HSV1-PCR: 81%, HSV2-PCR: 92%, VZV-PCR: 83%), and were less frequently diagnosed with central nervous system infection ([aOR {95%CI}]: HSV-AI vs. HSV1-PCR: [0.1 {0.1, 0.2}], HSV-AI vs. HSV2-PCR: [0.1 {0.0, 0.1}], VZV-AI vs. VZV-PCR: [0.2 {0.2, 0.3}]). Individuals with a positive HSV-AI or VZV-AI had increased risk of demyelinating disease ([aOR {95%CI}; aHR {95%CI}]: HSV-AI vs. HSV1-PCR: [4.6 {0.9, 24.5}; aHR not applicable], HSV-AI vs. HSV2-PCR: [10.4 {2.3, 45.9}; 12.4 {2.3, 66.0}], VZV-AI vs. VZV-PCR: [aOR not applicable; 10.3 {1.8, 58.8}]). Disability pension was less frequent among HSV-AI than HSV1-PCR cohort members (5-year risk difference: -23.6%, 95%CI: -35.2, -11.8), and more frequent among VZV-AI than VZV-PCR cohort members (5-year risk difference: 16.8%, 95%CI: 5.0, 28.7). DISCUSSION: AI-positive individuals differ from PCR-positive individuals in several aspects. AI appears unspecific for current central nervous system infections.