Improving multi-population genomic prediction accuracy using multi-trait GBLUP models which incorporate global or local genetic correlation information.

ABSTRACT

In the application of genomic prediction, a situation often faced is that there are multiple populations in which genomic prediction (GP) need to be conducted. A common way to handle the multi-population GP is simply to combine the multiple populations into a single population. However, since these populations may be subject to different environments, there may exist genotype-environment interactions which may affect the accuracy of genomic prediction. In this study, we demonstrated that multi-trait genomic best linear unbiased prediction (MTGBLUP) can be used for multi-population genomic prediction, whereby the performances of a trait in different populations are regarded as different traits, and thus multi-population prediction is regarded as multi-trait prediction by employing the between-population genetic correlation. Using real datasets, we proved that MTGBLUP outperformed the conventional multi-population model that simply combines different populations together. We further proposed that MTGBLUP can be improved by partitioning the global between-population genetic correlation into local genetic correlations (LGC). We suggested two LGC models, LGC-model-1 and LGC-model-2, which partition the genome into regions with and without significant LGC (LGC-model-1) or regions with and without strong LGC (LGC-model-2). In analysis of real datasets, we demonstrated that the LGC models could increase universally the prediction accuracy and the relative improvement over MTGBLUP reached up to 163.86% (25.64% on average).