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Objectives@#Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a widespread infectious disease that causes a significant disease burden on society. To achieve early intervention and to prevent outbreaks of disease, we propose a novel warning model that can accurately predict the incidence of HFMD.@*Methods@#We propose a spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (STGCN) that combines spatial factors for surrounding cities with historical incidence over a certain time period to predict the future occurrence of HFMD in Guangdong and Shandong between 2011 and 2019. The 2011-2018 data served as the training and verification set, while data from 2019 served as the prediction set. Six important parameters were selected and verified in this model and the deviation was displayed by the root mean square error and the mean absolute error.@*Results@#As the first application using a STGCN for disease forecasting, we succeeded in accurately predicting the incidence of HFMD over a 12-week period at the prefecture level, especially for cities of significant concern.@*Conclusions@#This model provides a novel approach for infectious disease prediction and may help health administrative departments implement effective control measures up to 3 months in advance, which may significantly reduce the morbidity associated with HFMD in the future.
Тема - темы
Humans , China/epidemiology , Cities/epidemiology , Data Visualization , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Forecasting/methods , Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/prevention & control , Incidence , Neural Networks, Computer , Reproducibility of Results , Spatio-Temporal Analysis , Time FactorsРеферат
Buckwheat rutin has been found to be able to inhibit angiotensin II [AngII] - induced hypertrophy in cultured neonatal rat cardiomyocytes, but the mechanism remains uncertain. In this study, myocardial hypertrophy model was made by adding AngII to the medium of cardiac myocytes of neonatal rats; meanwhile, different concentrations of buckwheat rutin were applied to observe their effects. Intracellular Ca[2]+ level was detected by Hitachi - 850 fluorospectrophotometer, calcineurin [CaN] activity was measured by colorimetric method, the expression of CaN protein was observed with immunocytochemistry, and the proto - oncogene c - fos mRNA expression was assessed with reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction [RT - PCR]. Compared with control group, AngII could greatly stimulate the increase of intracellular Ca[2]+ level, the activities and protein expression of cardiomyocytes CaN, and the expression of proto - oncogene c - fos mRNA in cultured neonatal rat cardiomyocytes, which could be effectively decreased by buckwheat rutin. Our results demonstrated that buckwheat rutin exhibited inhibitory effect on AngII - induced hypertrophy in cultured neonatal rat cardiomyocytes via Ca[2]+ antagonism action thus block the CaN - dependent signal pathway
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To understand the clinical features of death from hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) and to explore the early warning index of HFMD death.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>A total of 41 HFMD death cases were collected as case group in Shandong province between 2009 and 2011, and another 123 serious HFMD cases were selected as control group according to the similar gender, place of origin and hospital level, with the ratio at 1:3. We investigated the general situation, clinical treatment, past medical history, clinical symptoms and signs of the ill children, and applied the conditional logistic regression to explore early warning index of HFMD death.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The rate of patients who had symptoms in nervous system, digestive system, circulatory system and respiratory system were separately 90.2% (37/41), 58.5% (24/41), 53.7% (22/41) and 90.2% (37/41) in case group; and the proportions were 44.7% (55/123), 13.8% (17/123), 10.6% (13/123) and 12.2% (15/123) respectively in control group. The difference between the two groups showed statistical significance (χ(2) = 25.881, 32.791, 34.011, 86.505, P < 0.05). In case group, 37 patients had neurogenic pulmonary edema, 26 patients got encephalitis, 15 patients had respiratory and circulatory failure, 7 patients got pulmonary hemorrhage, 4 patients had multiple organ failure, 4 patients got myocarditis and 1 patient had cerebral hernia. According to multi-factor logistic regression analysis, the early warning indicators of HFMD death included neck resistance (case group: 34.1% (14/41), control group: 4.1% (5/123); OR = 7.145, 95%CI: 1.748 - 29.204), vomiting (case group: 58.5% (24/41), control group: 13.8% (17/123); OR = 5.632, 95%CI: 1.793 - 17.685) and increase of heart rate (case group: 53.7% (22/41), control group: 10.6% (14/123), OR = 6.370, 95%CI: 1.517 - 26.743).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>In the process of clinical treatment and care, we should interfere the serious HFMD patients with neck resistance, vomiting and increase of heart rate, and thereby reduce the death from HFMD.</p>
Тема - темы
Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , China , Epidemiology , Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease , Diagnosis , Epidemiology , Mortality , Logistic Models , Risk Factors , Survival RateРеферат
Objective: To evaluate the protective effect of alanyl-glutamine dipeptide (Ala-Gin) on different acute gastric ulcer models in rats and investigate its possible mechanisms. Methods: The gastric ulcer in rats was induced by waterimmersion restraint stress, ethanol and pylorus ligation. On each gastric ulcer model, sixty SD rats were randomly divided into six groups including the gastric ulcer control group, cimetidine (0.1 g/kg) and marzulene-S (1.0 g/kg) treatment groups,as well as 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 g/kg Ala-Gin treatment groups. Before the gastric ulcer, different doses of drugs were administered intragastrically,once a day for 3 days. Ulcer index, gastric acid, gastric juice value, gastric acid, free acid, total acid and pepsin activity were used to evaluate and compare the protective effect of Ala-Gin and other anti-ulcer drugs. Results: Ala-Gin significantly reduced the gastric ulcer index in all giving dose (P<0.01) and its protective effect increased significantly with the climbing dose. In all three gastric ulcer models,the anti-ulcer effects of 1.0 and 1.5 g/kg Ala-Gin treatment groups were equal to that of marzulene-S. In addition, Ala-Gin also markedly inhibited the secretion of free acid (P<0.01)and decreased the activity of pepsin (P<0.05) on pylorus ligation gastric ulcer rats. Conclusion: Ala-Gin has obviously anti-ulcer effect on different experimental gastric ulcer models. Except for the known protective effect on gastric mucosa, its anti-ulcer mechanisms may be related to its inhibitory effect on gastric acid and pepsin.
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To construct the bait vector pGBKT7-TACEc (cytoplasmic tail of tumor necrosis factor-alpha converting enzyme) of Macthmaker GAL4 Two-hybrid System 3, and to test whether it has self-activation and toxic action.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>TACEc gene was amplified by RT-PCR from the mouse testis, and the EcoRI and BamHI sites were introduced into it. The TACEc gene, after sequenced, was cloned into pGBKT7. Self-activation and toxic action of the recombination vector pGBKT7-TACEc was tested.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The pGBKT7-TACEc vector was successfully constructed and proved of no self-activation and toxic action.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>The pGBKT7-TACEc can be applied to the screening of the mouse testis cDNA library in the yeast two-hybrid system.</p>