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Objective:To identify the risk factors and develop nomogram for idiopathic chronic pancreatitis (ICP) patients with common bile duct stricture (CBDS).Methods:The clinical data of 1 633 ICP patients admitted to the Department of Gastroenterology of First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University from January 2000 to December 2013 were collected retrospectively and prospectively. The patients were classified into CBDS group ( n=259) and non-CBDS group ( n=1 374) according to whether CBDS occurred. The cumulative incidence of CBDS after the onset and diagnosis of ICP were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method. After excluding patients who had developed CBDS before/or at the diagnosis of ICP, the remaining patients were randomly divided into the training set and the validation set. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were used to establish a risk predicting nomogram for CBDS after ICP onset. Its clinical application value was evaluated through the consistency index (C index). Results:15.9%(259/1 633) of patients developed CBDS after the onset of ICP. The cumulative incidence of CBDS at 3, 5, and 10 years after the onset of ICP was 9.6% (95% CI 0.082-0.111), 11.2% (95% CI 0.097-0.129) and 16.2% (95% CI 0.142-0.184), respectively. 9.4%(143/1 517) of patients developed CBDS after the diagnosis of ICP. The cumulative incidence of CBDS at 3, 5, and 10 years after the diagnosis of ICP was 8.3% (95% CI 0.069-0.099), 8.9% (95% CI 0.074-0.105) and 13.3% (95% CI 0.110-0.162), respectively. Univariate analysis found that factors including gender, age at onset of ICP, age at diagnosis of ICP, being adolescents at onset of ICP, smoking history, alcohol intake, initial manifestations, pancreatic duct stones, fatty steatorrhea, main pancreatic duct (MPD) morphology and pain type were significantly different between CBDS group and non-CBDS group. Multivariate analysis showed that male ( HR 2.134, 95% CI 1.336-3.408), age at diagnosis of ICP ( HR 1.038, 95% CI 1.024-1.052), first manifestation (pancreatic abdominal pain) and main duct morphology (complex lesion) were identified as independent risk factors for CBDS in ICP patients. A nomogram for predicting CBDS after ICP diagnosis was established based on the above four variables. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.740 (95% CI 0.700-0.790) for internal validation in the training set and 0.650 (95% CI 0.570-0.730) for external validation in the validation set. Conclusions:The nomogram established in this study can evaluate the risk of developing CBDS in ICP patients, benefit the early diagnosis and timely intervention of CBDS in clinical practice, and prevent potential related complications.
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Objective:To analyze survival in patients with advanced oral cancer from prospective clinical trials. Methods:From 2008 to 2010, 256 patients with oral cancer at clinical stage III/IVA were randomly categorized into two groups. Patients in the experi-mental group received neo-adjuvant chemotherapy, surgery, and post-operative radiation, and patients in the control group underwent surgery and post-operative radiation. All patients were routinely followed-up after treatments. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test, and differences were considered statistically significant at P value lower than 0.05. Results: Each group was composed of 128 patients. With the median follow-up period of 60 months, the 5-year overall survival rate was 61.7%and the disease-free survival rate was 53.9%. The overall survival rate (P=0.350) and the disease-free survival rate (P=0.160) were not sig-nificantly different between the experimental and control groups. Patients with positive pathological response to neo-adjuvant chemo-therapy exhibited significantly improved overall survival (P＜0.05). Conclusion:Radical surgery should be emphasized to improve the prognosis of oral cancer. Functional reconstruction could also improve the quality of life and survival of patients. Despite that neo-adju-vant chemotherapy could not improve the survival of patients with advanced oral cancer in entirety, it could benefit patients exhibiting positive treatment responses.
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Objective To obstor.e analgesic effect of cancer pain by radiation of acupoint with HPD millimeter-wave. Methol One 100patlents with serious cancer pain were treated by HPD millmeter-wave instrument (MW group) 30 minuies each time once a day. The radiatnt heads were put on the acupoints according to channeis. 40 patients with serious cancer pain accepting drug treamtment as control groud. The patieuts were evaluated one week after the treatment. Result Pain was signficantly relieved in 27 patients(27%)and decreased in 40 cases(40%) in millimeter wave group. Total analgesic rate was 67% (67/100)in MW group. Pain was relieved in 4 cases(10%) in control group(P＜0.001) Conclusion Radiation of acupoint with millimeter-wave is a safe, effective, and prompt method for cancer pain.