Spatio-temporal gait characteristics of the elderly and the risk of adverse health outcomes / 中国组织工程研究

BACKGROUND:Gait is one of the optimal indicators of functional status in older adults.Gait parameters are associated with adverse health outcomes in older adults. OBJECTIVE:To summarize and compare the practical value of gait parameters,and to review the progress of research on spatio-temporal parameters and the risk of adverse health outcomes in older adults. METHODS:PubMed,Web of Science,and CNKI were searched for relevant literature published from January 2010 to June 2023 using the search terms of"gait speed,walking speed,step length,cadence,step frequency,step time,walking base,aged and elderly"in English and Chinese,respectively.A total of 52 papers were finally included for the systematic review. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Currently,researchers have focused on three basic temporal-spatial parameters,namely,step speed,step length and step frequency,to explore their association with adverse health outcomes in older adults.Reduced gait speed in older adults may increase the risk of falls,all-cause mortality,and may be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality.Older adults with slow gait speed are at higher risk of cognitive decline,and may be the preferred gait parameter in assessing cognitive impairment in older adults.Older adults with slow gait speed are more likely to have debilitating or common chronic illnesses,and are at higher risk of hospitalization and public care.Step length is positively correlated with individual height and lower limb length,but age-induced shortening of step length is not related to height or lower limb length,and shortening of step length reflects reduced physical function in older adults,and shortening of step length is a risk factor for falls and cognitive decline in older adults.Stride frequency is often used as a measure of exercise intensity,and a stride frequency of≥100 steps/minute is predictive of all-cause mortality,and slowing of step frequency may lead to a higher risk of falls,hospitalization and all-cause mortality in older adults.Changes in gait parameters are closely related to the level of physical fitness in older adults,and there may be a bidirectional relationship between the two.The results of the study will provide a theoretical basis for further improving risk screening in clinical populations,refining health risk assessment in the elderly,improving health protection and promoting active health in the elderly.

Serum TSH levels in women aged 40 and above : association with lifespan and 10-year mortality / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

Objective:To investigate the relationship between thyroid-stimulating hormone(TSH) levels and 10-year mortality in women aged 40 years and older.Methods:Residents aged 40 and over in urban areas of Guiyang City who participated in the " Epidemiological Study of Cancer Risk in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China(REACTION)" were followed up in 2011. Finally, 5 614 people were enrolled, and the baseline general information, physical examination and TSH detection were carried out. The average follow-up was(9.77±1.55) years, and the treatment and death of thyroid-related diseases were recorded. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the relationship between TSH level and 10-year mortality in middle-aged and elderly women, and plotting survival time curves(Kaplan-Meier curves) to study the association between elevated TSH levels and lifespan in subjects under 65 years old. Results:The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model showed that compared with the normal group, after multivariate adjustment, the risk of death in the TSH increased group was decreased( HR=0.644, 95% CI 0.478-0.868, P<0.05); after stratifying the elevated TSH group, the risk of death was decreased in the slightly elevated TSH group( HR=0.566, 95% CI 0.405-0.791, P<0.001); the elevated TSH group was further stratified by age. In the group under 65 years old, compared to the normal group, the mildly elevated group showed a reduced risk of mortality( HR=0.429, 95% CI 0.245-0.751, P=0.003). In the group aged 65 and above, there were no statistically significant differences in mortality risk between the mildly elevated group, severely elevated group, and the normal group( P>0.05). In the group under 65 years old, the K-M curve indicated that the survival rate of the mildly elevated TSH group was significantly higher than that of the normal group( χ2=11.931, P=0.003), the difference was statistically significant. Conclusion:Mildly elevated TSH levels in women aged 40-65 years are associated with a reduced risk of all-cause death and longer lifespan.

Impact of Resting Heart Rate on All-cause Mortality in Ultra-high Risk Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Patients / 中国循环杂志

Objectives:To investigate the impact of resting heart rate on the risk of all-cause mortality in ultra-high risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)patients. Methods:A total of 3 645 patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD(as defined in the 2023 Chinese Lipid Management Guidelines)were screened from the 2006 to 2020 Kailuan Study cohort,and after excluding 602 patients with missing resting heart rate,3 043 patients were included in the final analysis.Patients were divided into＜68 beats/min group(n=744),68-74 beats/min group(n=786),75-80 beats/min group(n=760),and≥81 beats/min group(n=753)according to the resting heart rate.Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios(HRs)and 95%CI for all-cause mortality associated with the different resting heart rate groups and every 10 beats/min increase of resting heart rate.The dose-effect relationship of resting heart rate level and all-cause mortality was assessed by a restricted cubic spline regression model.The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate the cumulative all-cause mortality in different groups,and the differences were compared using log-rank test. Results:The median follow-up time was 5.81(3.46,9.64)years,there were 772(25.37%)all-cause deaths during follow up.After adjusting major confounding factors,the results showed that compared with＜68 beats/min group,the risk of all-cause mortality in 75-80 beats/min group and≥81 beats/min group increased by 24%(HR=1.24,95%CI:1.01-1.52,P=0.047)and 47%(HR=1.47,95%CI:1.20-1.81,P＜0.001),respectively;the risk of all-cause mortality in 68-74 beats/min group was similar(HR=1.06,95%CI:0.86-1.31,P=0.625).In addition,an increase of 10 beats/min in resting heart rate was associated with a 13%increase in the risk of all-cause mortality(HR=1.13,95%CI:1.07-1.19,P＜0.001).In stratified analyses,it was found that for every 10 beats/min increase in resting heart rate,women faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than men,and patients＜65 years old faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than patients≥65 years old.The restricted cubic spline analysis also showed that resting heart rate was linearly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality(Poverall＜0.001,Pnon-linear=0.933),and the risk increased significantly with resting heart rate＞70 beats/min. Conclusions:Increased resting heart rate is linearly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD.The appropriate intervention cut-off point of resting heart rate for ultra-high risk ASCVD patients may be＞75 beats/min.

Navigating the waves in Colombia: a cohort study of inpatient care during four COVID-19 waves

ABSTRACT Introduction: Understanding the intricate dynamics between different waves of the COVID-19 pandemic and the corresponding variations in clinical outcomes is essential for informed public health decision-making. Comprehensive insights into these fluctuations can guide resource allocation, healthcare policies, and the development of effective interventions. This study aimed to compare the characteristics and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 at peak transmission points by including all patients attended during the first four pandemic waves in a referral center in Colombia. Material and methods: In a prospective observational study of 2733 patients, clinical and demographic data were extracted from the Fundacion Valle de Lili's COVID-19 Registry, focusing on ICU admission, Invasive Mechanical Ventilation (IMV), length of hospital stay, and mortality. Results: Our analysis unveiled substantial shifts in patient care patterns. Notably, the proportion of patients receiving glucocorticoid therapy and experiencing secondary infections exhibited a pronounced decrease across waves (p < 0.001). Remarkably, there was a significant reduction in ICU admissions (62.83% vs. 51.23% vs. 58.23% vs. 46.70 %, p < 0.001), Invasive Mechanical Ventilation (IMV) usage (39.25% vs. 32.22% vs. 31.22% vs. 21.55 %, p < 0.001), and Length of Hospital Stay (LOS) (9 vs. 8 vs. 8 vs. 8 days, p < 0.001) over the successive waves. Surprisingly, hospital mortality remained stable at approximately 18-20 % (p > 0.05). Notably, vaccination coverage with one or more doses surged from 0 % during the initial waves to 66.71 % in the fourth wave. Conclusions: Our findings emphasize the critical importance of adapting healthcare strategies to the evolving dynamics of the pandemic. The reduction in ICU admissions, IMV utilization, and LOS, coupled with the rise in vaccination rates, underscores the adaptability of healthcare systems. Hospital mortality's persistence may warrant further exploration of treatment strategies. These insights can inform public health responses, helping policymakers allocate resources effectively and tailor interventions to specific phases of the pandemic.

Blood transfusion is correlated with elevated adult all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the United States: NHANES 1999 to 2018 population-based matched propensity score study

Abstract Background and aims The association of blood transfusion with an increase in medium- and short-term mortality in specific populations has been confirmed. However, the correlation between blood transfusion and long-term mortality in the general population remains unclear. This cohort study evaluated the correlation between blood transfusion and overall and cause-specific mortality in the general American adult population. Methods The authors utilized 10 sets of 2-year cycle data (1999-2018) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey on the outcomes of adults who did and did not receive blood transfusions. Propensity score-matching (1:1) was performed based on age, sex, race, education level, marital status, poverty-income ratio, arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease, cancer, anemia, hypertension, and diabetes status. After controlling for demographic characteristics and clinical risk factors, Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the correlation between blood transfusion and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Results The study included 48,004 adult participants. The risk of all-cause mortality increased by 101 % with blood transfusion, and the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased by 165 %. After propensity score-matching, 6,116 pairs of cases were retained, and the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 84 % with blood transfusion, and the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased by 137 %. The sensitivity analysis results were robust. Conclusions In the general American population, blood transfusion significantly impacts long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and may be an unacknowledged risk factor for death. Thus, the effective management of blood transfusion in the general population may be beneficial.

Association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: NHANES 2007-2018 results

Abstract Background: Vitamin D insufficiency is a prevalent issue in patients suffering from CKD. The purpose of this study was to determine whether serum 25(OH)D levels are associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with CKD. Methods: To examine the associations between 25(OH)D levels and cardiovascular mortality, this retrospective cohort study used the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and the National Death Index (NDI) 2007‒2018 database. A total of 2,668 eligible subjects were included in this study, with follow-up conducted until December 31, 2019. The associations were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic splines, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and competing risks survival analysis. Furthermore, subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed. Results: During a median follow-up of 72 months in a weighted population of 11,715,452 eligible participants, there were 665 deaths from any cause, including 196 cardiovascular-related deaths. After adjusting for covariates, lower levels of 25(OH)D were significantly associated with increased risks for both all-cause mortality (HR= 0.85, 95 % CI 0.77~0.94) and cardiovascular mortality (SHR= 0.80, 95 % CI 0.67~0.94). Consistent results were also observed when analyzing 25(OH)D as a categorical variable (quartile). Compared to group Q1, both group Q3 (HR = 0.71, 95 % CI 0.54‒0.93) and group Q4 (HR = 0.72, 95 % CI 0.55‒0.94) exhibited a significantly reduced mortality risk. Weighted restricted cubic splines revealed an inverse J-shaped linear association between levels of 25(OH) D and all-cause mortality ((PNonliner > 0.05). Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis yielded similar findings. Conclusions: All-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease-related mortality were significantly increased by lower 25(OH)D levels, both as continuous and categorical variables. 25(OH)D has an inverse J-shaped linear association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Effect of Systematic Graded Rewarming Pattern on All-Cause Mortality of Hypothermic Trauma Patients in Different Time Periods / 中国医学科学院学报

Objective To investigate the effect of systematic graded rewarming pattern on all-cause mortality of hypothermic trauma patients in different time periods. Methods A prospective case-control study was carried out for 236 hypothermic trauma patients with modified trauma score<12 in the Emergency Department of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from January 2020 to December 2021.The patients were randomly assigned into a systematic graded rewarming group (n=118) and a traditional rewarming group (n=118).The main outcome event was all-cause death within 15 days after trauma,and the secondary outcome event was all-cause death within 3,7,and 30 days after trauma. Results Overall,13.98%(33/236) and 14.83%(35/236) of the patients died within 15 and 30 days after trauma,respectively,and the median survival time of all dead patients was 6 (4,10) days.The systematic graded rewarming group had higher temperature after rewarming for 2 h (P=0.001) and larger temperature change after rewarming intervention (P=0.047) than the traditional rewarming group.The all-cause mortality within 15 days (27.3%vs.72.7%,P=0.005) and 30 days (25.7%vs.74.3%,P=0.002) in the systematic graded rewarming group was lower than that in the traditional rewarming group.Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the survival time of the patients in the systematic graded rewarming group was longer than that in the traditional rewarming group (P=0.003).Multivariate cox regression analysis indicated that systematic graded rewarming was a strong protective factor for survival time after trauma (HR=0.450, P=0.042).Further Logistic regression analysis for the occurrence of all-cause death in each time period showed that the OR of systematic graded rewarming pattern to all-cause death within 15 days and 30 days after trauma were 0.289 and 0.286,respectively,after adjusting the covariates(P=0.008,P=0.005).The temperature after rewarming for 2 h had a negative correlation with all-cause mortality within 30 days after trauma (OR=0.670, P=0.049). Conclusions Systematic graded rewarming is a protective factor for the survival time of patients with traumatic hypothermia and an independent factor affecting the risk of all-cause death within 15 days and 30 days after trauma.The temperature after rewarming for 2 h is expected to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality of 30 days after trauma in the patients with hypothermia.The systematic graded rewarming pattern could reduce the mortality of hypothermic trauma patients.

Midday Napping, Nighttime Sleep, and Mortality: Prospective Cohort Evidence in China / 生物医学与环境科学（英文）

OBJECTIVE@#In developed countries, midday napping and nighttime sleep duration have been linked to long-term survival; however, little is known about such effects in less developed regions. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the associations of midday napping and nocturnal sleep with mortality in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.@*METHODS@#A nationwide cohort of 15,524 adults aged ≥ 45 years was enrolled from 28 provincial regions across mainland China and followed up from 2011 to 2018, using data from the Chinese Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Midday napping and nighttime sleep duration were assessed using standardized questionnaires. Cox proportional hazards models with random intercepts for the surveyed provinces were used to estimate hazard ratios ( HRs) of all-cause mortality, adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, behavioral factors, and health status.@*RESULTS@#A total of 1,745 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 7.1 years, and the mean (standard deviation) age was 59 (10.1) years at baseline. Compared with non-nappers, over 60 min nappers had a higher risk of all-cause mortality [ HR: 1.35, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1.17-1.56], while no significant associations were observed among < 30 min nappers. Compared with sleep duration of 6-8 h/night, both short (< 6 h) and long (≥ 8 h) sleep duration were significantly associated with increased mortality, with corresponding HR (95% CI) estimates of 1.21 (1.05-1.38) and 1.26 (1.10-1.44), respectively. We observed significant patterns for greater risks associated with longer nap duration, with a P trend value < 0.001 for all-cause mortality. No significant evidence of an additive interaction was identified between midday napping and nighttime sleep.@*CONCLUSION@#Long midday napping and inappropriate nighttime sleep were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in middle-aged and older Chinese populations. Biological studies are needed to validate our findings and clarify the mechanisms underlying this association.

Hospitalization, mortality and public healthcare expenditure in Brazil during the COVID-19 crisis: vulnerabilities in the spotlight

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Multiple opinion-based communications have highlighted the actions of the Brazilian government during the pandemic. Nevertheless, none have appraised public data to identify factors associated with worsening of the healthcare system. OBJECTIVE: To analyze and collate data from public health and treasury information systems in order to understand the escalating process of weakening of Brazilian healthcare and welfare since the beginning of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic. DESIGN AND SETTING: Secondary data study conducted using multiple public databases administered by the Brazilian federal government. METHODS: We processed information from multiple national databases and appraised health and economic-related data. RESULTS: Based on our analyses, there were substantial reductions in inpatient hospital admissions and in the numbers of patients seeking primary care services, along with a decrease in immunization coverage. Moreover, we observed a considerable decline in government transfers to hospital services (reduction of 82.0%) and a diminution of public outlays in several healthcare-related subfunctions ("hospital and outpatient care", "primary care", "prophylactic and therapeutic support" and "epidemiological surveillance"). We observed an increase in the overall mortality rate over the period analyzed, especially regarding all group-based diseases. Notably, there were remarkable differences among geographic, racial, gender and other parameters, thus revealing the impact of vulnerabilities on COVID-19 outcomes. CONCLUSION: This assessment of documentation of public expenditure and the shrinkage of investment in sensitive areas of the healthcare system in Brazil emphasized areas that still require collective attention in order to guarantee national welfare.

Renin-angiotensin system inhibitor is associated with the reduced risk of all-cause mortality in COVID-19 among patients with/without hypertension / 医学前沿

Consecutively hospitalized patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China were retrospectively enrolled from January 2020 to March 2020 to investigate the association between the use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitor (RAS-I) and the outcome of this disease. Associations between the use of RAS-I (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB)), ACEI, and ARB and in-hospital mortality were analyzed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models in overall and subgroup of hypertension status. A total of 2771 patients with COVID-19 were included, with moderate and severe cases accounting for 45.0% and 36.5%, respectively. A total of 195 (7.0%) patients died. RAS-I (hazard ratio (HR)= 0.499, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.325-0.767) and ARB (HR = 0.410, 95% CI 0.240-0.700) use was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COVID-19. For patients with hypertension, RAS-I and ARB applications were also associated with a reduced risk of mortality with HR of 0.352 (95% CI 0.162-0.764) and 0.279 (95% CI 0.115-0.677), respectively. RAS-I exhibited protective effects on the survival outcome of COVID-19. ARB use was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COVID-19.

Progress on epidemiologic studies of the association between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality / 预防医学

Abstract@#Socioeconomic status is an important factor affecting all-cause mortality. Income, education and occupation alone or in combination have been employed as a measure of socioeconomic status; however, the study results vary in measures. Material mechanism, lifestyle mechanism, psychological mechanism and community neighborhood mechanism have been accepted as the main intermediate mechanisms for the impact of socioeconomic status on all-cause mortality; however, the contribution of these mechanisms remains controversial. Based on the international and national publications pertaining to the association between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality from 2012 to 2021, this review summarizes the relationship between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality in different metrics and the intermediate mechanism of the impact of socioeconomic status on all-cause mortality, so as to provide insights for further studies.

The relationship between cumulative fasting blood glucose exposure and all-cause mortality / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

Objective:To investigate the relationship between cumulative fasting blood glucose(cumFPG)exposure and all-cause mortality.Methods:The prospective cohort study included 56 845 subjects of Kailuan Group who participated in physical examinations from 2006 to 2007, 2008 to 2009, and 2010 to 2011 with complete data and a median of 7.77 years of follow up. The end point event was all-cause mortality. The incidence of all-cause mortality was compared in various groups divided by four quartile of cumFPG. The Cox proportional hazards model and natural spline were used to analyze the effect of cumFPG on all-cause mortality.Results:During the average(7.77±1.05)years of follow-up, the incidence density of all-cause mortality was on the rise with the increase of cumFPG(4.93, 5.87, 8.48, and 14.02 per 1 000 person-years), with statistically significant difference by Log- rank test( P<0.001). Cox proportional hazards model showed that after adjusting for potential confounding factors(age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, baseline fasting plasma glucose), the HR value(95% CI)of all-cause mortality in the fourth quartile group was 1.28(1.15-1.42)compared to the first quartile. When cumFPG increased every standard deviation, the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 17%. Natural spline analysis exhibited a similar J curve relationship between cumFPG and all-cause mortality. Conclusion:High cumFPG is a risk factor of all-cause mortality.

Hemoglobin and all-cause mortality in China elderly population with varying degree of body mass index: Analysis of CLHLS data / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

To explore the association between hemoglobin and all-cause mortality in China elderly population varying level of body mass index. The data were from Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey 2008 to 2018. A total of 1 449 elderly participants were included with 247 lost to follow-up. According to the hemoglobin levels, the participants were divided into three groups: low hemoglobin group (male<120 g/L, female<110 g/L), normal hemoglobin group (120 g/L≤male<160 g/L, 110 g/L≤female<150 g/L), and high hemoglobin group (male≥160 g/L, female≥150 g/L). According to the BMI levels, the data was divided into three groups: overweight or obesity(BMI≥25 kg/m 2), normal weight(18.5 kg/m 2≤BMI<25 kg/m 2), and malnutrition (BMI<18.5 kg/m 2). Differences of association between hemoglobin and mortality were analyzed. In this dataset, the constituent ratio of anemia was 23.1%(334/1 449), and malnutrition was 26.6%(385/1 449). During the follow-up, a total of 778 participants died. Among whom, 233 cases(77.2%) were in the low hemoglobin group and 87 cases (55.4%) in the high hemoglobin group. In the BMI subgroup analysis, the people combined malnutrition and anemia had the highest cumulative mortality rate (79.1%), and the people with overweight and higher hemoglobin had a lower cumulative mortality rate (46.2%). In people with low BMI, increase in hemoglobin by one category reduced the risk of death by 0.572 (95% CI 0.446-0.734, P<0.001). In people with normal BMI, improvement in hemoglobin by one category reduced the risk of death by 0.717(95% CI 0.620-0.829, P<0.001). The reduction of hemoglobin levels increases the risk of all-cause mortality rate. And this correlation is particularly prominent in the population with low BMI.

Value of abnormal circadian rhythm of heart rate predicting the all-cause mortality in stage 5 chronic kidney disease patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of abnormal heart rate circadian rhythm for all-cause mortality in stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD 5) patients.Methods:The retrospective study was performed in CKD 5 patients enrolled from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (Jiangsu Province Hospital) and the Affiliated BenQ Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from February, 2011 to December, 2019. A total of 159 healthy volunteers were enrolled as the healthy control group during the same period. The circadian rhythm of heart rate was monitored by 24-hour Holter. Related indices (including 24-hour, daytime and nighttime mean heart rate, night/day heart rate ratio, 24-hour maximum heart rate, 24-hour minimum heart rate and difference between maximum and minimum of 24-hour heart rate) were calculated. Non-dipping heart rate was defined as night/day heart rate ratio greater than 0.9. Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Log-rank test were used to compare the differences of cumulative mortality between high ratio group (night/day heart rate ratio>0.91) and low ratio group (night/day heart rate ratio≤0.91). The nonlinear relationship between night/day heart rate ratio and all-cause mortality was analyzed by restricted cubic spline plot. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of night/day heart rate ratio for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients.Results:A total of 159 healthy volunteers and 221 CKD 5 patients were included in this study. There were 123 males (55.66%) and the age was (52.72±13.13) years old in CKD 5 patients. The total median follow-up time was 50.0 months. Compared with controls, 24-hour, nighttime mean heart rate, 24-hour minimum heart rate in CKD 5 patients were increased (all P<0.05), furthermore, the night/day heart rate ratio was higher [(0.91±0.09) vs (0.81±0.08), P<0.001], showing "non-dipping heart rate". However, the 24-hour maximum heart rate and the difference between maximum and minimum of 24-hour heart rate in CKD 5 patients were lower than controls (both P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the increased night/day heart rate ratio (per 0.1 increase, HR=1.557, 95% CI 1.073-2.258, P=0.020) was an independent influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the cumulative mortality of the high ratio group was significantly increased than that of the low ratio group (Log-rank test χ 2=7.232, P=0.007). From the restricted cubic spline plot, there was a linear effect between night/day heart rate ratio and all-cause mortality ( P=0.141), and when night/day heart rate ratio was above 0.91, the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly increased in CKD 5 patients. According to time-dependent ROC curve, the accuracy of night/day heart rate ratio in predicting all-cause mortality was 70.90% even when the survival time was up to 70.0 months. Conclusions:The circadian rhythm of heart rate in CKD 5 patients displays "non-dipping" state. High night/day heart rate ratio is an independent influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients.

The novel fibrosis index at diagnosis may predict all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis without substantial liver diseases

OBJECTIVES: Antineutrophil cyto plasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a fatal disease. Currently, predictors of mortality due to AAV are based on the distribution of organ involvement. The novel fibrosis index (NFI) is an index composed of laboratory results that reflect the degree of liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate whether NFI can predict poor outcomes in patients with AAV without substantial liver disease. METHODS: A total of 210 patients with immunosuppressive drug-naïve AAV were retrospectively reviewed. NFI was calculated as follows: NFI=(serum bilirubin × (alkaline phosphatase)2)/(platelet count×(serum albumin)2). NFI cut-off was set at 1.24 (the highest quartile). Poor outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality, relapse, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). RESULTS: During the median 34.5 months of follow-up, 21 patients (10%) died, 72 patients (34.3%) relapsed, and 38 patients (18.1%) had ESRD due to AAV progression. The median calculated NFI was 0.61, and it was higher in AAV patients with all-cause mortality than in those without mortality, but the difference was not statistically significant (1.26 vs. 0.59). AAV patients with NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 exhibited a significantly lower cumulative patient survival rate than those with NFI at diagnosis <1.24 (p=0.002). Multivariate Cox hazard model analysis showed that NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in AAV (hazard ratios [HR] 2.850, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.026, 7.910). CONCLUSIONS: NFI ≥1.24, which may be an independent predictive marker for all-cause mortality in AAV patients without substantial liver disease.

Geriatric nutritional risk index predicts all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES: Geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) might predict the all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the correlation between GNRI and all-cause mortality in patients with HF. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Medline, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases for clinical trials investigating the association between GNRI and all-cause mortality in patients with HF, having the primary endpoint as all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In total, nine studies involving 7,659 subjects were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis. The results indicated that major risk and moderate risk GNRI (GNRI<92) was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF (hazard ratios [HR] 1.59, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.37-1.85). Low risk GNRI (GNRI<98) group predicted all-cause mortality in elderly HF patients (HR 1.56, 95%CI 1.12-2.18) when compared with the high GNRI value group. A subgroup analysis indicated that the relationship between GNRI and HF might differ based on the subtype of heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: GNRI is a simple and well-established nutritional assessment tool to predict all-cause mortality in patients with HF.

Effects of estimated glomerular filtration rate on all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in 8 longevity areas in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective@#To investigate the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in longevity areas in China.@*Methods@#Data used in this study were obtained from Healthy Aging and Biomarkers Cohort Study, a sub-cohort of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, 1 802 elderly adults were collected in the study during 2012-2017/2018. In this study, the elderly were classified into 4 groups, moderate-to-severe group [<45 ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1], mild-to-moderate group [45- ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1], mild group [60- ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1] and normal group [≥90 ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1] according to their eGFR levels.@*Results@#After 6 years of follow-up, 852 participants died, with a mortality rate of 47.3%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the levels of eGFR were negatively correlated with all-cause mortality risk in the elderly (the HR of elderly was 0.993 and the 95%CI was 0.989-0.997 for every unit of eGFR increased, P=0.001), while compared with the group with normal eGFR, the HRs (95%CI) of the elderly in the moderate-to-severe group, mild-to-moderate group, and mild group were 1.690 (1.224-2.332, P=0.001), 1.312 (0.978-1.758, P=0.070), 1.349 (1.047-1.737, P=0.020) respectively [trend test P<0.001].@*Conclusion@#The decrease in eGFR was associated with higher mortality risk among the elderly in longevity areas in China.

Abdominal Obesity and Its Attribution to All-cause Mortality in the General Population with 14 Years Follow-up: Findings from Shanxi Cohort in China / 生物医学与环境科学（英文）

Objective@#This study aimed to assess the association of waist circumference (WC) with all-cause mortality among Chinese adults.@*Methods@#The baseline data were from Shanxi Province of 2002 China Nutrition and Health Survey. The death investigation and follow-up visit were conducted from December 2015 to March 2016. The visits covered up to 5,360 of 7,007 participants, representing a response rate of 76.5%. The Cox regression model and floating absolute risk were used to estimate hazard ratio and 95% floating of death by gender and age groups (≥ 60 and < 60 years old). Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding current smokers; participants with stroke, hypertension, and diabetes; participants who accidentally died; and participants who died during the first 2 years of follow-up.@*Results@#This study followed 67,129 person-years for 12.5 years on average, including 615 deaths. The mortality density was 916 per 100,000 person-years. Low WC was associated with all-cause mortality among men. Multifactor-adjusted hazard ratios ( ) were 1.60 (1.35-1.90) for WC < 75.0 cm and 1.40 (1.11-1.76) for WC ranging from 75.0 cm to 79.9 cm. Low WC (< 70.0 cm and 70.0-74.9 cm) and high WC (≥ 95.0 cm) groups had a high risk of mortality among women. The adjusted s of death were 1.43 (1.11-1.83), 1.39 (1.05-1.84), and 1.91 (1.13-3.22).@*Conclusion@#WC was an important predictor of death independent of body mass index (BMI). WC should be used as a simple rapid screening and predictive indicator of the risk of death.

Effects of estimated glomerular filtration rate on all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in 8 longevity areas in China / 中华流行病学杂志

To investigate the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in longevity areas in China. Data used in this study were obtained from Healthy Aging and Biomarkers Cohort Study, a sub-cohort of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, 1 802 elderly adults were collected in the study during 2012-2017/2018. In this study, the elderly were classified into 4 groups, moderate-to-severe group [<45 ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)], mild-to-moderate group [45- ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)], mild group [60- ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)] and normal group [≥90 ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)] according to their eGFR levels. After 6 years of follow-up, 852 participants died, with a mortality rate of 47.3. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the levels of eGFR were negatively correlated with all-cause mortality risk in the elderly (the of elderly was 0.993 and the 95 was 0.989-0.997 for every unit of eGFR increased, =0.001), while compared with the group with normal eGFR, the (95) of the elderly in the moderate-to-severe group, mild-to-moderate group, and mild group were 1.690 (1.224-2.332, =0.001), 1.312 (0.978-1.758, =0.070), 1.349 (1.047-1.737, =0.020) respectively [trend test <0.001]. The decrease in eGFR was associated with higher mortality risk among the elderly in longevity areas in China.

Effect of serum uric acid level on prognosis in maintenance hemodialysis patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

Objective To analyze the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) level and clinical indicators in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients, and explore its influence on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Methods This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients who received MHD from the blood purification center of the Third Affiliated Hospital of SunYat-sen University from January 1, 2011 to December 30, 2015 were enrolled in the queue. They were divided into 3 groups according to the first and third quantile of the SUA level quartiles, and the baseline data of clinical and laboratory examinations were compared. The correlation between SUA level and clinical indicators was analyzed by Pearson correlation coefficient. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model were used to examine the association between SUA and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients. Results A total of 201 patients were enrolled in the study. The age of the patients was (56.9 ± 16.7) years and the baseline SUA level was (531.1±137.9)μmol/L. Patients were divided into 3 groups with the first quantile (442μmol/L) and the third quantile (620 μmol/L) of the SUA quartiles as the boundary points: group 1 (SUA<442 μmol/L, n=52), group 2 (SUA 442-620 μmol/L, n=101) and group 3 (SUA>620 μmol/L, n=48). The results showed that the patients in group 1 were older and had more proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases than those in group 3 (all P<0.05). Compared to group 3, the serum albumin, serum phosphorus and serum creatinine were lower in group 1, while the hypersensitive C-reactive protein was higher (all P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that SUA level was positively correlated with albumin (r=0.135, P=0.047), blood phosphorus (r=0.269, P<0.001) and serum creatinine (r=0.333, P<0.001), and negatively correlated with hypersensitive C-reactive protein (r=-0.216, P=0.002). After a median follow-up of 49.8 months, 66(32.8％) all-cause deaths and 32 (15.9％) cardiovascular deaths were recorded. Kaplan-Meier method showed that with the decrease of SUA, all-cause mortality (Log-rank χ2=18.27, P<0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (Log-rank χ2=15.04, P=0.001) increased. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidity and other factors using the Cox proportional hazards model, the all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality decreased by 20.1％(HR=0.799, 95％CI 0.651-0.980, P=0.031) and 29.6％(HR=0.704, 95％CI 0.524-0.946, P=0.020) for each 100μmol/L increase in baseline SUA. Compared to group 1, all-cause mortality (HR=0.332, 95％CI 0.142-0.774, P=0.011) and cardiovascular mortality (HR=0.140, 95％CI 0.030-0.657, P=0.013) were lower in the group 3. Conclusion Low SUA level increases the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients.