The predictive value of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic heterogeneity parameters combined with clinical features for the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma before definitive radiochemotherapy / 实用医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT Metabolic and Heterogeneity Parameters Combined with Clinical Features Before Definitive Chemoradiotherapy(D-CRT)in predicting the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(ESCC)Patients.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 106 patients with ESCC who received D-CRT at the first affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China between January 2017 and December 2021.All patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT examination before the treatment.The primary tumor′s metabolic and heterogeneity parameters were obtained through data processing.All patients were followed up for overall survival.The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the association between clinical features,tumor metabo-lism and heterogeneity parameters and patient prognosis.Results The 1-and 1.5-year overall survival rates of all patients were 77.4%and 51.9%.The median survival time was 20 months.Univariate analysis showed that N stage,M stage,metabolic tumor volume,total lesion glycolysis,heterogeneity index-2(HI-2),and coefficient of variation with a threshold of 40%maximum standard uptake value(CV40%)were correlated with the prognosis of ESCC(all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that N stage and CV40%were independent predictors of prognosis in patients with ESCC(P = 0.039 and P<0.001,respectively).Conclusion N stage and tumor metabolic heterogeneity parameter CV40%,which offering a degree of predictive value,are closely related to the prognosis of patients with ESCC treated with D-CRT.