Prediction of outcomes in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion using 24 h NIHSS score after endovascular treatment / 国际脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at 24 h after endovascular treatment on the outcomes in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion (ABAO).Methods:Consecutive patients with ABAO received endovascular treatment at the Department of Neurology, Shengli Oilfield Central Hospital from January 2019 to December 2020 were retrospectively included. According to the modified Rankin Scale scores at 90 days after onset, the patients were divided into a good outcome group (0-3) and a poor outcome group (4-6), as well as a survival group and a death group. The demographic and clinical data between the groups were compared respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was use to identify independent influencing factors for clinical outcomes and mortality. The predictive value of postprocedural 24 h NIHSS score on the outcomes was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results:A total of 35 patients with ABAO were included. Their age was 62 years (interquartile range, 56-66 years), and 28 patients were males (80%); 19 (54.3%) had a good outcome, 16 (45.7%) had a poor outcome, and 7 (20.0%) died. Univariate analysis showed that there were statistically significant differences in hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, collateral circulation grading, vascular recanalization, and postprocedural 24 h NIHSS scores between the good outcome group and the poor outcome group (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the postprocedural 24 h NIHSS score was independently correlated with the poor outcome (odds ratio 1.131, 95% confidence interval 1.017-1.258; P=0.023). Multivariate analysis did not find the independent influencing factors for death. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of the postprocedural 24 h NIHSS score for predicting poor outcome was 0.814 (95% confidence interval 0.668-0.960; P=0.011). The optimal cutoff value was 19 points, and the corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 85.7% and 71.4% respectively. Conclusions:In patients with ABAO receiving endovascular treatment, the postprocedural 24 h NIHSS score has good predictive value for poor outcomes at 90 d after procedure.