Value of inflammatory biomarkers in predicting the prognosis of early small hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation / 临床肝胆病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), red blood cell distribution width-to-lymphocyte ratio (RLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in predicting the prognosis of early small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA). Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for 132 patients newly diagnosed with early HCC who underwent RFA in Tianjin Second People's Hospital from September 2011 to December 2020. Preoperative data were collected and the patients were followed up to observe recurrence and overall survival (OS). The X-tile tool was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of NLR, RLR, and LMR based on 5-year survival rate and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate, and then the patients were divided into N-R-L 0 group with 92 patients, N-R-L 1 group with 29 patients, and N-R-L 2 group with 11 patients. The chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between the three groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curve, and the log-rank test was used to compare RFS and OS rates between groups. The factors with statistical significance in the log-rank test were included in the multivariate Cox regression analysis to determine the risk factors for RFS and OS rates. Results There were significant differences in Child-Pugh class and albumin between the N-R-L 0, N-R-L 1, and N-R-L 2 groups ( χ 2 2=10.992 and 5.699, both P < 0.05). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of the three groups were 100%/96.3%/90.7%, 96.6%/60.4%/41.3%, and 81.8%/46.8%/15.6%, respectively ( χ 2 =38.46, P < 0.000 1), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates of the three groups were 76.9%/52.5%/33.3%, 42.9%/13.1%/0, and 11.1%/0/0, respectively ( χ 2 =35.345, P < 0.000 1). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor diameter ≥ 2 cm (hazard ratio[ HR ]=2.10, 95% confidence interval[ CI ] 1.28-3.43, P =0.003; HR =3.67, 95% CI 1.58-8.52, P =0.002), N-R-L score of 1 point ( HR =3.14, 95% CI 1.81-5.46, P < 0.000 1; HR =8.27, 95% CI 3.15-21.71, P < 0.000 1), and N-R-L score of 2 points ( HR =2.61, 95% CI 1.06-6.42, P =0.037; HR =14.59, 95% CI 3.96-53.78, P < 0.000 1) were independent predictive factors for RFS and OS. Conclusion N-R-L, a systemic inflammatory response marker composed of NLR, RLR, and LMR, is an independent risk factor for recurrence and survival of early small HCC after RFA, and it can be used as a useful noninvasive biomarker in combination with tumor features to predict the recurrence and survival of early HCC after RFA.