Analysis of the predictive effect of early postoperative blood lipid metabolism and ratio of C-reactive protein to albumin on postoperative anastomotic fistula of esophageal cancer / 中国综合临床

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive effect of postoperative blood lipid metabolism and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) on anastomotic fistula after radical resection of esophageal cancer.Methods:A retrospective case-control study was conducted on 256 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (all aged >50 years) who underwent radical esophagectomy in the thoracic surgery of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2017 to December 2020. Total cholesterol, triglyceride, high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), ratio of C-reactive protein to albumin (CAR) and hemoglobin test index were collected. According to whether there was anastomotic fistula after operation, the patients were divided into anastomotic fistula group and non-anastomotic fistula group. The measurement data of normal distribution were compared by t-test, the measurement data of non-normal distribution were expressed by M( Q 1, Q 3), the comparison between groups was expressed by Mann-Whitney U test, and the counting data were expressed by (case(%)).The comparison between groups was performed by χ 2 test. Logistic regression model was used for multivariate analysis. ROC curve and Kappa value were used to evaluate the predictive value of total cholesterol and CAR in postoperative anastomotic fistula. Results:The preoperative body mass index (BMI) ((18.71±1.90) kg/m 2) in anastomotic fistula group was higher than that in non-anastomotic fistula group ((20.59±2.88) kg/m 2), and the difference was statistically significant ( t=3.48, P=0.001). The postoperative total cholesterol ((5.44±1.09) mmol/L), LDL-C ((3.82±1.15) mmol/L) and CAR(0.64(0.41, 0.95)) in anastomotic fistula group were higher than those in non-anastomotic fistula group ((4.54±0.94) mmol/L, (2.92±0.76) mmol/L, 0.27(0.13,0.45)). There were significant differences between the two groups (the statistical values were t=4.84, t=5.69, Z=5.16, all P<0.001)). The hemoglobin concentration of 103.20 (84.94,110.48) g/L was lower than that of non anastomotic fistula group (107.68 (99.20,125.20) g/L), the difference was statistically significant ( Z=2.82, P=0.005). Lower BMI( OR=0.652,95% CI 0.482-0.882), higher total cholesterol( OR=3.240,95% CI 1.430-7.340), lower hemoglobin ( OR=0.837,95% CI 0.777-0.902) and higher CAR( OR=2.161,95% CI 1.597-2.925) were the risk factors of anastomotic fistula in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma( P values were 0.006, 0.005, <0.001 and <0.001,respectively). ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve of total cholesterol and CAR were 0.742 (95% CI0.643-0.841, P<0.001) and 0.790 (95% CI0.690-0.890, P<0.001) respectively. The cutoff values were 4.915 mmol/L and 0.605, the sensitivity were 80.0% and 80.0%, the specificity were 82.3% and 92.5%, respectively, and the Kappa values were 0.418 and 0.625 respectively (all P<0.001). Conclusion:Total cholesterol and CAR after radical resection of esophageal cancer have a certain predictive value for postoperative anastomotic fistula in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. The predictive result of CAR is better than that of total cholesterol.