Research on the time evolution trend and influencing factors of the mortality of major diseases of urban residents in China in 2011-2020 / 公共卫生与预防医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To explore the development trend and influencing factors of major diseases of urban residents, and to construct a prediction model of _heart disease mortality. Methods One-way analysis of variance (Duncan's test at a=0.05) and correlation analysis were used to analyze the significant differences between the different categories of disease mortality and the correlation with the influencing factors. The exponential function was used to fit the relationship between the proportion of the elderly population and the death rate of heart disease at various stages, and the prediction model of heart disease mortality was constructed through the stepwise regression equation. Results The mortality rate of heart disease and cerebrovascular disease showed a rising trend. The incidence of the four major diseases in men was significantly higher than that in women (P2 > 98, P<0.01). Conclusion According to the results of the survey, the influencing factors of major diseases and the high-risk population should be focused on prevention and treatment. It is recommended that the prevention and treatment of heart disease is carried out for the aged 60+ and the prevention and treatment of cerebrovascular diseases is carried out for the aged 80.