Application of trend surface analysis method in geographical distribution of HIV/AIDS epidemic research / 重庆医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To study the geographical distribution of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in C city .Methods Based on the theory of multiple regression analysis ,trend surface regression mathematical model was constructed .The latitude and longitude coordinates of different districts and data of HIV/AIDS were collected in the model and the results by ArcGIS software were got ,the trend sur-face analysis chart was drawed at last .Results HIV/AIDS infection rates trend surface regression mathematical model of C city was statistically significant difference(P< 0 .05) ,its goodness-of-fit was 53 .18% .Regions exsisted abnormal residual value and should be the paid attention to explore protective or risk factors in these regions .Conclusion The method can be used in the analy-sis of C city HIV/AIDS epidemic systematic variation in the geographic distribution and local district ,and provide some clues for the local epidemic prevention and controlling of HIV/AIDS .