Risk Assessment of Large-Scale Sports Events in the Context of COVID-19

ABSTRACT

This paper assesses the potential risks of epidemic situation and public opinion during the Beijing Winter Olympic Games by analyzing the epidemic situation and public opinion of the Tokyo Olympic Games. The results show that there is a strong time-lag correlation between the COVID-19 epidemic and the public opinion of the Tokyo Olympics. For the epidemic situation, the multi-agent modeling method is used at the city level to simulate the possible spread of diseases in the city where the event was held. At the Olympic village level, the modified the SEIR transmission model is modified to simulate the virus transmission in the Olympic Village during the Beijing Winter Olympic Games. At the end, the risk analysis of the Beijing Winter Olympic Games is carried out based on the time series prediction model. © 2022, Editorial Board of Journal of the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. All right reserved.