Development and validation of the predictive score for pediatric COVID-19 pneumonia: A nationwide, multicenter study.
PLoS One
; 17(8): e0273842, 2022.
Статья
в английский
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2021944
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Due to the possibility of asymptomatic pneumonia in children with COVID-19 leading to overexposure to radiation and problems in limited-resource settings, we conducted a nationwide, multi-center study to determine the risk factors of pneumonia in children with COVID-19 in order to create a pediatric pneumonia predictive score, with score validation.METHODS:
This was a retrospective cohort study done by chart review of all children aged 0-15 years admitted to 13 medical centers across Thailand during the study period. Univariate and multivariate analyses as well as backward and forward stepwise logistic regression were used to generate a final prediction model of the pneumonia score. Data during the pre-Delta era was used to create a prediction model whilst data from the Delta one was used as a validation cohort.RESULTS:
The score development cohort consisted of 1,076 patients in the pre-Delta era, and the validation cohort included 2,856 patients in the Delta one. Four predictors remained after backward and forward stepwise logistic regression age < 5 years, number of comorbidities, fever, and dyspnea symptoms. The predictive ability of the novel pneumonia score was acceptable with the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.677 and a well-calibrated goodness-of-fit test (p = 0.098). The positive likelihood ratio for pneumonia was 0.544 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.491-0.602) in the low-risk category, 1.563 (95% CI 1.454-1.679) in the moderate, and 4.339 (95% CI 2.527-7.449) in the high-risk.CONCLUSION:
This study created an acceptable clinical prediction model which can aid clinicians in performing an appropriate triage for children with COVID-19.
Полный текст:
Имеется в наличии
Коллекция:
Международные базы данных
база данных:
MEDLINE
Основная тема:
Pneumonia
/
COVID-19
Тип исследования:
Когортное исследование
/
Диагностическое исследование
/
Экспериментальные исследования
/
Наблюдательное исследование
/
Прогностическое исследование
Пределы темы:
Дети
/
Люди
Язык:
английский
Журнал:
PLoS One
Тематика журнала:
Наука
/
Медицина
Год:
2022
Тип:
Статья
Аффилированная страна:
Journal.pone.0273842
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