Comparative Evaluation of the Multilayer Perceptron Approach with Conventional ARIMA in Modeling and Prediction of COVID-19 Daily Death Cases.
J Healthc Eng
; 2022: 4864920, 2022.
Статья
в английский
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2138235
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 continues to pose a dangerous global health threat, as cases grow rapidly and deaths increase day by day. This increasing phenomenon does not only affect economic policy but also international policy around the world. In this paper, Pakistan daily death cases of COVID-19, from February 25, 2020, to March 23, 2022, have been modeled using the long-established autoregressive-integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and the machine learning multilayer perceptron (MLP) model. The most befitting model is selected based on the root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). Values of the key performance indicator (KPI) showed that the MLP model outperformed the ARIMA model. The MLP model with 20 hidden layers, which emerged as the overall most apt model, was used to predict future daily COVID-19 deaths in Pakistan to enable policymakers and health professionals to put in place systematic measures to reduce death cases. We encourage the Government of Pakistan to intensify its vaccination campaign and encourage everyone to get vaccinated.
Полный текст:
Имеется в наличии
Коллекция:
Международные базы данных
база данных:
MEDLINE
Основная тема:
COVID-19
Тип исследования:
Экспериментальные исследования
/
Наблюдательное исследование
/
Прогностическое исследование
/
Систематический обзор/метаанализ
Темы:
Вакцина
Пределы темы:
Люди
Язык:
английский
Журнал:
J Healthc Eng
Год:
2022
Тип:
Статья
Аффилированная страна:
2022
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