Validation of a predictive model for identifying an increased risk for recurrence in adolescents and young adults with a first provoked thromboembolism.

BACKGROUND: To develop and validate a predictive model to determinate patients at increased risk to suffer from recurrence following a first provoked deep vein thrombosis (VTE). METHODS: Predictive variables, i.e. male sex [1 point], inherited thrombophilia (IT) status (none [0 points], single [1 point], combined variants [2 points]), blood group non-0, and age at first VTE onset were included into a risk assessment model, which was derived in 511 patients and then validated in 509 independent subjects. RESULTS: VTE recurrence risk score (maximum 4 points, range 0-3) was below two for patients scored as low-risk (LRS) and ≥2 for patients at high-risk (HRS). Within a median time of 3 years after withdrawal of anticoagulation (AC) recurrence rate in LRG (derivation) was 11.8% versus 26.0% in HRS (p < 0.001). In the validation cohort within 2.2 years the recurrence rate was 9.8% in LRS versus 30.1% in HRS (p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis adjusted for age at first VTE and blood group the recurrent risk in HRS was significantly increased compared with the LRS (derivation: hazard/95% confidence interval: 3.7/1.75-7.91; validation: 4.7/2.24-9.81; combined 5.2/1.92-13.9). Model specificity (sensitivity) was 79.0% (52.0%) in the derivation cohort compared with 78.0% (43.0%) in the validation group. In conclusion, in the prediction model presented here the risk of VTE recurrence was associated with male gender and combined ITs. Based on the negative predictive value calculated the model may identify patients with a first provoked VTE not being at risk for recurrence.

Acquired von Willebrand syndrome in ECMO patients: A 3-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Bleeding is a common but possibly underreported side effect of Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO). Impairment of primary hemostasis by acquired von Willebrand syndrome (aVWS) and platelet dysfunction as well as activation and consumption of plasmatic coagulation factors contribute to hemorrhage. The aim of the present cohort study of consecutively enrolled patients admitted to our ECMO center was to collect demographic, medical and laboratory data possibly associated with i) development of clinically relevant bleeding and/or ii) death during a 12-months follow-up. RESULTS: Within a 3-year period 338 white patients aged 18-89 years (median: 60; male 64.5%) were enrolled. 78 of 338 patients (23%) presented with clinical relevant bleeding symptoms. The overall death rate was 74.6% within a median time of 9 days (1-229) post intervention. Logistic-regression analysis adjusted for age and gender revealed that i) the presence of blood group O versus non-O (Odds ratio (OR)/95%CI: 1.9/1.007-3.41), ECMO duration per day (1.1/1.06-1.14), veno-venous versus veno-arterial ECMO cannulation (2.33/1.2-4.5) and the overall need for blood product administered per unit (1.02/1.016-1.028) was independenly associated with bleeding in patients suffering from aVWS. ii) Older age (increase per year) at ECMO start (1.015/1.012-1.029) and an increasing amount of blood product units were significantly related with death (1.007/1.001-1.013). Patients with veno-venous versus veno-arterial cannulation survived longer (0.48/0.24-0.94). CONCLUSION: In the present cohort study we found a clinical relevant bleeding rate of 23% in subjects with aVWS associated with blood group O, a longer ECMO duration and veno-venous cannulation.

Role of prothrombin 19911 A>G polymorphism, blood group and male gender in patients with venous thromboembolism: Results of a German cohort study.

The role of the A>G polymorphism at position 19911 in the prothrombin gene (factor [F] 2 at rs3136516) as a risk factor for venous thromboembolism [VTE] is still unclear. To evaluate the presence of the F2 polymorphism in VTE patients compared to healthy blood donors and to adjust the results for common inherited thrombophilias [IT], age at onset and blood group [BG], and to calculate the risk of VTE recurrence. We investigated 1012 Caucasian patients with a diagnosis of VTE for the presence of the F2 rs3136516 polymorphism and compared these with 902 healthy blood donors. Odds ratios [OR] together with their 95% confidence intervals were calculated adjusted for F5 at rs6025, F2 at rs1799963, blood group, age and gender. In addition, we evaluated the risk of recurrent VTE during patient follow-up calculating hazard ratios [HR] together with their 95% CI. Compared with the AA wildtype, the F2 GG and AG genotypes (rs3136516) were associated with VTE (OR 1.48 and 1.45). The OR in F5 carriers compared to controls was 5.68 and 2.38 in patients with F2 (rs1799963). BG "non-O" was significantly more often diagnosed in patients compared to BG "O" (OR 2.74). VTE recurrence more often occurred in males (HR 2.3) and in carriers with combined thrombophilia (HR 2.11). Noteworthy, the rs3136516 polymorphism alone was not associated significantly with recurrence. In Caucasian patients with VTE the F2 GG/GA genotypes (rs3136516) were moderate risk factors for VTE. Recurrence was associated with male gender and combined thrombophilia.

Insights into neonatal thrombosis.

Thrombosis in neonates is gaining increased awareness recently, due to improved diagnostic methods and improved survival of young and sick newborns. This review will address the concept and manifestations of developmental hemostasis with respect to the pathogenesis of thrombosis in this unique age group. Hemostasis is a dynamic process that starts in utero. The coagulation system evolves with age, as evidenced by marked physiological differences in the concentration of the majority of hemostatic proteins in early life compared to adulthood. Overall, increased activity of von Willebrand factor and low levels of coagulation inhibitors promote thrombosis; these counterbalance the delicate, immature and "bleeding prone" hemostatic system. Neonates, especially the sickest preterm ones, are extremely susceptible to thrombotic complications. Thrombosis in neonates will be reviewed, with special focus on perinatal arterial ischemic stroke (PAS). The role of thrombophilia in the pathogenesis of perinatal thrombosis will be discussed and authors will present a meta-analysis of neonatal thrombosis studies regarding thrombophilic risk factors for PAS. As thrombosis presentation, risk and outcomes among neonates may differ from those of older infants and children, treatment options will be briefly reviewed.