Prognostic Models in Nephrology: Where Do We Stand and Where Do We Go from Here? Mapping Out the Evidence in a Scoping Review.

Prognostic models can strongly support individualized care provision and well-informed shared decision making. There has been an upsurge of prognostic research in the field of nephrology, but the uptake of prognostic models in clinical practice remains limited. Therefore, we map out the research field of prognostic models for kidney patients and provide directions on how to proceed from here. We performed a scoping review of studies developing, validating, or updating a prognostic model for patients with CKD. We searched all published models in PubMed and Embase and report predicted outcomes, methodological quality, and validation and/or updating efforts. We found 602 studies, of which 30.1% concerned CKD populations, 31.6% dialysis populations, and 38.4% kidney transplantation populations. The most frequently predicted outcomes were mortality ( n =129), kidney disease progression ( n =75), and kidney graft survival ( n =54). Most studies provided discrimination measures (80.4%), but much less showed calibration results (43.4%). Of the 415 development studies, 28.0% did not perform any validation and 57.6% performed only internal validation. Moreover, only 111 models (26.7%) were externally validated either in the development study itself or in an independent external validation study. Finally, in 45.8% of development studies no useable version of the model was reported. To conclude, many prognostic models have been developed for patients with CKD, mainly for outcomes related to kidney disease progression and patient/graft survival. To bridge the gap between prediction research and kidney patient care, patient-reported outcomes, methodological rigor, complete reporting of prognostic models, external validation, updating, and impact assessment urgently need more attention.

Surveillance for Pancreatic Cancer in High-Risk Individuals Leads to Improved Outcomes: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent pancreatic cancer surveillance programs of high-risk individuals have reported improved outcomes. This study assessed to what extent outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in patients with a CDKN2A/p16 pathogenic variant diagnosed under surveillance are better as compared with patients with PDAC diagnosed outside surveillance. METHODS: In a propensity score matched cohort using data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry, we compared resectability, stage, and survival between patients diagnosed under surveillance with non-surveillance patients with PDAC. Survival analyses were adjusted for potential effects of lead time. RESULTS: Between January 2000 and December 2020, 43,762 patients with PDAC were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Thirty-one patients with PDAC under surveillance were matched in a 1:5 ratio with 155 non-surveillance patients based on age at diagnosis, sex, year of diagnosis, and tumor location. Outside surveillance, 5.8% of the patients had stage I cancer, as compared with 38.7% of surveillance patients with PDAC (odds ratio [OR], 0.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04-0.19). In total, 18.7% of non-surveillance patients vs 71.0% of surveillance patients underwent a surgical resection (OR, 10.62; 95% CI, 4.56-26.63). Patients in surveillance had a better prognosis, reflected by a 5-year survival of 32.4% and a median overall survival of 26.8 months vs 4.3% 5-year survival and 5.2 months median overall survival in non-surveillance patients (hazard ratio, 0.31; 95% CI 0.19-0.50). For all adjusted lead times, survival remained significantly longer in surveillance patients than in non-surveillance patients. CONCLUSION: Surveillance for PDAC in carriers of a CDKN2A/p16 pathogenic variant results in earlier detection, increased resectability, and improved survival as compared with non-surveillance patients with PDAC.

Clinical impact of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation for vascular access planning.

BACKGROUND: Risk-based thresholds for arteriovenous (AV) access creation has been proposed to aid vascular access planning. We aimed to assess the clinical impact of implementing the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) for vascular access referral. METHODS: 16,102 nephrology-referred chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients from the Swedish Renal Registry 2008-2018 were included. The KFRE was calculated repeatedly, and the timing was identified for when the KFRE risk exceeded several pre-defined thresholds and/or the estimated glomerular filtration rate <15 ml/min/1.73m2 (eGFR15). To assess the utility of the KFRE/eGFR thresholds, cumulative incidence curves of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) or death, and decision-curve analyses were computed at 6, 12 months, and 2 years. The potential impact of using the different thresholds was illustrated by an example from the Swedish access registry. RESULTS: The 12-month specificity for KRT initiation was highest for KFRE>50% 94.5 (95% Confidence interval [CI] 94.3-94.7), followed by KFRE>40% 90.0 (95% CI 89.7-90.3), while sensitivity was highest for KFRE>30% 79.3 (95% CI 78.2-80.3) and eGFR<15 ml/min/1.73m2 81.2 (95% CI 80.2-82.2). The 2-year positive predictive value was 71.5 (95% CI 70.2-72.8), 61.7 (95% CI 60.4-63.0) and 47.2 (95% CI 46.1-48.3) for KFRE>50%, KFRE>40%, and eGFR<15 respectively. Decision curve analyses suggested the largest net benefit for KFRE>40% over two years and KFRE>50% over 12 months when it is important to avoid the harm of possibly unnecessary surgery. In Sweden, 54% of nephrology-referred patients started hemodialysis in a central venous catheter (CVC) of which only 5% had AV access surgery >6 months before initiation. 60% of the CVC patients exceeded KFRE>40% a median of 0.8 years (interquartile range 0.4-1.5) before KRT initiation. CONCLUSIONS: The utility of using KFRE>40% and KFRE>50% is higher compared to the more traditionally used eGFR threshold <15 ml/min/1.73m2 for vascular access planning.

Health-related quality of life and symptom burden in patients on haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients on haemodialysis (HD) generally experience poor health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and a broad range of physical and mental symptoms, but it is unknown whether this differs between younger and older patients. We aimed to describe the trajectories of HRQoL and symptom burden of patients <70 and ≥70 years old and to assess the impact of symptom burden on HRQoL. METHODS: In incident Dutch HD patients, HRQoL and symptoms were measured with the 12-item Short Form Health Survey and Dialysis Symptom Index. We used linear mixed models for examining the trajectories of HRQoL and symptom burden during the first year of dialysis and linear regression for the impact of symptom burden on HRQoL. RESULTS: In 774 patients, the trajectories of physical HRQoL, mental HRQoL and symptom burden were stable during the first year of dialysis. Compared with patients <70 years of age, patients ≥70 years reported similar physical HRQoL {mean difference -0.61 [95% confidence interval (CI) -1.86-0.63]}, better mental HRQoL [1.77 (95% CI 0.54-3.01)] and lower symptom burden [-2.38 (95% CI -5.08-0.32)]. With increasing symptom burden, physical HRQoL declined more in older than in younger patients (ß = -0.287 versus -0.189, respectively; P-value for interaction = .007). For mental HRQoL, this decrease was similar in both age groups (ß = -0.295 versus -0.288, P = .847). CONCLUSION: Older HD patients generally experience a better mental HRQoL and a (non-statistically significant) lower symptom burden compared with younger patients. Their physical HRQoL declines more rapidly with increasing symptom burden.

Accuracy of GFR estimating equations based on creatinine, cystatin C or both in routine care.

BACKGROUND: New equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine (eGFRcr), cystatin C (eGFRcys) or both (eGFRcr-cys) have been developed by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and the European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC). There is a need to evaluate the performance of these equations in diverse European settings to inform implementation decisions, especially among people with key comorbid conditions. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study including 6174 adults referred for single-point plasma clearance of iohexol in Stockholm, Sweden, with 9579 concurrent measurements of creatinine and cystatin C. We assessed the performance of the CKD-EPI 2009/2012/2021, EKFC 2021/2023, revised Lund-Malmö (RLM) 2011 and Caucasian, Asian, Pediatric and Adult (CAPA) 2014 equations against measured GFR (mGFR). RESULTS: Mean age was 56 years, median mGFR was 62 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 40% were female. Comorbid conditions were common: cardiovascular disease (30%), liver disease (28%), diabetes (26%) and cancer (26%). All eGFRcr-cys equations had small bias and P30 (the percentage of estimated values within 30% of mGFR) close to 90%, and performed better than eGFRcr or eGFRcys equations. Among eGFRcr equations, CKD-EPI 2009 and CKD-EPI 2021 showed larger bias and lower P30 than EKFC 2021 and RLM. There were no meaningful differences in performance across eGFRcys equations. Findings were consistent across comorbid conditions, and eGFRcr-cys equations showed good performance in patients with liver disease, cancer and heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, eGFRcr-cys equations performed best, with minimal variation among equations in this Swedish cohort. The lower performance of CKD-EPI eGFRcr equations compared with EKFC and RLM may reflect differences in population characteristics and mGFR methods. Implementing eGFRcr equations will require a trade-off between accuracy and uniformity across regions.

The safety of a low protein diet in older adults with advanced chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: A low protein diet (LPD) is recommended to patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), whereas geriatric guidelines recommend a higher amount of protein. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety of LPD treatment in older adults with advanced CKD. METHODS: The EQUAL study is a prospective, observational study, including patients ≥65 years, incident estimated glomerular filtration rate <20 ml/min/1.73m², in six European countries with follow-up up till six years. Nutritional status was assessed by 7-point subjective global assessment (SGA) every 3-6 months. Prescribed diet (gram protein/kilogram/bodyweight) was recorded on every study visit; measured protein intake was available in three countries. Time to death and decline in nutritional status (SGA decrease by ≥2 points) were analysed using marginal structural models with dynamic inverse probability of treatment and censoring weights. RESULTS: Out of 1738 adults (631 prescribed LPD at any point during follow-up) there were 1319 with repeated SGA measurements of which 267 (20%) declined in SGA ≥ 2 points and 565 (32.5%) died. There was no difference in survival or decline in nutritional status for patients prescribed LPD ≤0.8 g/kg ideal bodyweight (Odds Ratio (OR) for mortality 1.15 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 0.86-1.55) and OR for decline in SGA 1.11 (95% CI 0.74-1.66) in the adjusted models. In patients prescribed LPD <0.6 g/kg ideal bodyweight, the results were similar. There was a significant interaction with LPD and higher age >75 years, lower SGA, and higher comorbidity burden for both mortality and nutritional status decline. CONCLUSIONS: In older adults with CKD approaching end-stage kidney disease, a traditional LPD prescribed and monitored according to routine clinical practice in Europe appears to be safe.

Does 'summative' count? The influence of the awarding of study credits on feedback use and test-taking motivation in medical progress testing.

Despite the increasing implementation of formative assessment in medical education, its' effect on learning behaviour remains questionable. This effect may depend on how students value formative, and summative assessments differently. Informed by Expectancy Value Theory, we compared test preparation, feedback use, and test-taking motivation of medical students who either took a purely formative progress test (formative PT-group) or a progress test that yielded study credits (summative PT-group). In a mixed-methods study design, we triangulated quantitative questionnaire data (n = 264), logging data of an online PT feedback system (n = 618), and qualitative interview data (n = 21) to compare feedback use, and test-taking motivation between the formative PT-group (n = 316), and the summative PT-group (n = 302). Self-reported, and actual feedback consultation was higher in the summative PT-group. Test preparation, and active feedback use were relatively low and similar in both groups. Both quantitative, and qualitative results showed that the motivation to prepare and consult feedback relates to how students value the assessment. In the interview data, a link could be made with goal orientation theory, as performance-oriented students perceived the formative PT as not important due to the lack of study credits. This led to low test-taking effort, and feedback consultation after the formative PT. In contrast, learning-oriented students valued the formative PT, and used it for self-study or self-assessment to gain feedback. Our results indicate that most students are less motivated to put effort in the test, and use feedback when there are no direct consequences. A supportive assessment environment that emphasizes recognition of the value of formative testing is required to motivate students to use feedback for learning.

Exploring Patients' Perceptions About Chronic Kidney Disease and Their Treatment: A Qualitative Study.

BACKGROUND: Unhelpful illness perceptions can be changed by means of interventions and can lead to improved outcomes. However, little is known about illness perceptions in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) prior to kidney failure, and no tools exist in nephrology care to identify and support patients with unhelpful illness perceptions. Therefore, this study aims to: (1) identify meaningful and modifiable illness perceptions in patients with CKD prior to kidney failure; and (2) explore needs and requirements for identifying and supporting patients with unhelpful illness perceptions in nephrology care from patients' and healthcare professionals' perspectives. METHODS: Individual semi-structured interviews were conducted with purposive heterogeneous samples of Dutch patients with CKD (n = 17) and professionals (n = 10). Transcripts were analysed using a hybrid inductive and deductive approach: identified themes from the thematic analysis were hereafter organized according to Common-Sense Model of Self-Regulation principles. RESULTS: Illness perceptions considered most meaningful are related to the seriousness (illness identity, consequences, emotional response and illness concern) and manageability (illness coherence, personal control and treatment control) of CKD. Over time, patients developed more unhelpful seriousness-related illness perceptions and more helpful manageability-related illness perceptions, caused by: CKD diagnosis, disease progression, healthcare support and approaching kidney replacement therapy. Implementing tools to identify and discuss patients' illness perceptions was considered important, after which support for patients with unhelpful illness perceptions should be offered. Special attention should be paid towards structurally embedding psychosocial educational support for patients and caregivers to deal with CKD-related symptoms, consequences, emotions and concerns about the future. CONCLUSIONS: Several meaningful and modifiable illness perceptions do not change for the better by means of nephrology care. This underlines the need to identify and openly discuss illness perceptions and to support patients with unhelpful illness perceptions. Future studies should investigate whether implementing illness perception-based tools will indeed improve outcomes in CKD.

Accuracy of GFR Estimating Equations in Patients with Discordances between Creatinine and Cystatin C-Based Estimations.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Large discordances between eGFR on the basis of creatinine (eGFR cr ) or cystatin C (eGFR cys ) are common in clinical practice. However, which GFR estimating equation (eGFR cr , eGFR cys , or eGFR cr-cys ) is most accurate in these settings is not known. In this real-world study of 9404 concurrent measurements of creatinine, cystatin C, and iohexol clearance, all three equations performed similarly when eGFR cr and eGFR cys were similar (45% of cases). However, with large discordances (55% of cases), eGFR cr-cys was much more accurate than either alone. These findings were consistent among individuals with cardiovascular disease, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, liver disease, and cancer who have been underrepresented in research cohorts. Thus, when eGFR cr and eGFR cys are largely discordant in clinical practice, eGFR cr-cys is more accurate than eGFR cr or eGFR cys . BACKGROUND: Cystatin C is recommended as a confirmatory test to eGFR when more precise estimates are needed for clinical decision making. Although eGFR on the basis of both creatinine and cystatin (eGFR cr-cys ) is the most accurate estimate in research studies, it is uncertain whether this is true in real-world settings, particularly when there are large discordances between eGFR based on creatinine (eGFR cr ) and that based on cystatin C (eGFR cys ). METHODS: We included 6185 adults referred for measured GFR (mGFR) using plasma clearance of iohexol in Stockholm, Sweden, who had 9404 concurrent measurements of creatinine, cystatin C, and iohexol clearance. The performance of eGFR cr , eGFR cys , and eGFR cr-cys was assessed against mGFR with median bias, P30 , and correct classification of GFR categories. We stratified analyses within three categories: eGFR cys at least 20% lower than eGFR cr (eGFR cys eGFR cr ). RESULTS: eGFR cr and eGFR cys were similar in 4226 (45%) samples, and among these samples all three estimating equations performed similarly. By contrast, eGFR cr-cys was much more accurate in cases of discordance. For example, when eGFR cys eGFR cr (8% of samples), the median biases were -4.5, 8.4, and 1.4 ml/min per 1.73m 2 . The findings were consistent among individuals with cardiovascular disease, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, liver disease, and cancer. CONCLUSIONS: When eGFR cr and eGFR cys are highly discordant in clinical practice, eGFR cr-cys is more accurate than either eGFR cr or eGFR cys .

Defining measures of kidney function in observational studies using routine health care data: methodological and reporting considerations.

The availability of electronic health records and access to a large number of routine measurements of serum creatinine and urinary albumin enhance the possibilities for epidemiologic research in kidney disease. However, the frequency of health care use and laboratory testing is determined by health status and indication, imposing certain challenges when identifying patients with kidney injury or disease, when using markers of kidney function as covariates, or when evaluating kidney outcomes. Depending on the specific research question, this may influence the interpretation, generalizability, and/or validity of study results. This review illustrates the heterogeneity of working definitions of kidney disease in the scientific literature and discusses advantages and limitations of the most commonly used approaches using 3 examples. We summarize ways to identify and overcome possible biases and conclude by proposing a framework for reporting definitions of exposures and outcomes in studies of kidney disease using routinely collected health care data.

Serum Potassium and Risk of Death or Kidney Replacement Therapy in Older People With CKD Stages 4-5: Eight-Year Follow-up.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Hypokalemia may accelerate kidney function decline. Both hypo- and hyperkalemia can cause sudden cardiac death. However, little is known about the relationship between serum potassium and death or the occurrence of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy (KRT). We investigated this relationship in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We followed 1,714 patients (≥65 years old) from the European Quality (EQUAL) study for 8 years from their first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<20mL/min/1.73m2 measurement. EXPOSURE: Serum potassium was measured every 3 to 6 months and categorized as≤3.5,>3.5-≤4.0,>4.0-≤4.5,>4.5-≤5.0 (reference),>5.0-≤5.5, >5.5-≤6.0, and>6.0mmol/L. OUTCOME: The combined outcome death before KRT or start of KRT. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: The association between categorical and continuous time-varying potassium and death or KRT start was examined using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline analyses, adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibition, eGFR, and subjective global assessment (SGA). RESULTS: At baseline, 66% of participants were men, 42% had diabetes, 47% cardiovascular disease, and 54% used RAAS inhibitors. Their mean age was 76±7 (SD) years, mean eGFR was 17±5 (SD) mL/min/1.73m2, and mean SGA was 6.0±1.0 (SD). Over 8 years, 414 (24%) died before starting KRT, and 595 (35%) started KRT. Adjusted hazard ratios for death or KRT according to the potassium categories were 1.6 (95% CI, 1.1-2.3), 1.4 (95% CI, 1.1-1.7), 1.1 (95% CI, 1.0-1.4), 1 (reference), 1.1 (95% CI, 0.9-1.4), 1.8 (95% CI, 1.4-2.3), and 2.2 (95% CI, 1.5-3.3). Hazard ratios were lowest at a potassium of about 4.9mmol/L. LIMITATIONS: Shorter intervals between potassium measurements would have allowed for more precise estimations. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a U-shaped relationship between serum potassium and death or KRT start among patients with incident CKD 4-5, with a nadir risk at a potassium level of 4.9mmol/L. These findings underscore the potential importance of preventing both high and low potassium in patients with CKD 4-5. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Abnormal potassium blood levels may increase the risk of death or kidney function decline, especially in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied 1,714 patients aged≥65 years with advanced CKD from the European Quality (EQUAL) study and followed them for 8 years. We found that both low and high levels of potassium were associated with an increased risk of death or start of kidney replacement therapy, with the lowest risk observed at a potassium level of 4.9 mmol/L. In patients with CKD, the focus is often on preventing high blood potassium. However, this relatively high optimum potassium level stresses the potential importance of also preventing low potassium levels in older patients with advanced CKD.

Removing race from the CKD-EPI equation and its impact on prognosis in a predominantly White European population.

BACKGROUND: While American nephrology societies recommend using the 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equation without a Black race coefficient, it is unknown how this would impact disease distribution, prognosis and kidney failure risk prediction in predominantly White non-US populations. METHODS: We studied 1.6 million Stockholm adults with serum/plasma creatinine measurements between 2007 and 2019. We calculated changes in eGFR and reclassification across KDIGO GFR categories when changing from the 2009 to 2021 CKD-EPI equation; estimated associations between eGFR and the clinical outcomes kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), (cardiovascular) mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events using Cox regression; and investigated prognostic accuracy (discrimination and calibration) of both equations within the Kidney Failure Risk Equation. RESULTS: Compared with the 2009 equation, the 2021 equation yielded a higher eGFR by a median [interquartile range (IQR)] of 3.9 (2.9-4.8) mL/min/1.73 m2, which was larger at older age and for men. Consequently, 9.9% of the total population and 36.2% of the population with CKD G3a-G5 was reclassified to a higher eGFR category. Reclassified individuals exhibited a lower risk of KFRT, but higher risks of all-cause/cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events, compared with non-reclassified participants of similar eGFR. eGFR by both equations strongly predicted study outcomes, with equal discrimination and calibration for the Kidney Failure Risk Equation. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing the 2021 CKD-EPI equation in predominantly White European populations would raise eGFR by a modest amount (larger at older age and in men) and shift a major proportion of CKD patients to a higher eGFR category. eGFR by both equations strongly predicted outcomes.

Effect of residual kidney function and dialysis adequacy on chronic pruritus in dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease-associated pruritus (CKD-aP) is common in dialysis patients, and is associated with lower quality of life and increased risk of death. We investigated the association between residual estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), dialysis adequacy or serum phosphate level and CKD-aP in incident dialysis patients. METHODS: A total of 1256 incident hemodialysis (HD) and 670 peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients (>18 years) from the Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Adequacy of Dialysis (NECOSAD) study were included (1997-2007) and followed until death, transplantation or a maximum of 10 years. CKD-aP was measured using a single item of the Kidney Disease Quality of Life Instrument-36. The associations were studied by logistic and linear regression analyses, adjusted for potential baseline confounders. RESULTS: At baseline mean (standard deviation) age was 60 (16) years, 62% were men and median (interquartile range) residual eGFR was 3.4 (1.7; 5.3) mL/min/1.73 m2. The prevalence of CKD-aP (∼70%) was similar in HD and PD. It was observed that 12 months after starting dialysis (after multivariable adjustment) each 1 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher residual eGFR, one unit higher total weekly Kt/V, or 1 mmol/L lower serum phosphate level was associated with lower burden of CKD-aP in HD and PD patients of -0.05 (95% CI -0.09; -0.02) and -0.09 (95% CI -0.13; -0.05), -0.15 (95% CI -0.26; -0.05) and -0.35 (95% CI -0.54; -0.16), and of -0.34 (95%CI: -0.51; -0.17) and -0.45 (95%CI: -0.71; -0.19), respectively. We found no association between dialysis Kt/V and CKD-aP. CONCLUSIONS: Higher residual eGFR and lower serum phosphate level, but not the dialysis dose, were related with lower burden of CKD-aP in dialysis patients.

Validity and reliability of the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS®) using computerized adaptive testing in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: The Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS®) has been recommended for computerized adaptive testing (CAT) of health-related quality of life. This study compared the content, validity, and reliability of seven PROMIS CATs to the 12-item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-12) in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease. METHODS: Adult patients with chronic kidney disease and an estimated glomerular filtration rate under 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 who were not receiving dialysis treatment completed seven PROMIS CATs (assessing physical function, pain interference, fatigue, sleep disturbance, anxiety, depression, and the ability to participate in social roles and activities), the SF-12, and the PROMIS Pain Intensity single item and Dialysis Symptom Index at inclusion and 2 weeks. A content comparison was performed between PROMIS CATs and the SF-12. Construct validity of PROMIS CATs was assessed using Pearson's correlations. We assessed the test-retest reliability of all patient-reported outcome measures by calculating the intraclass correlation coefficient and minimal detectable change. RESULTS: In total, 207 patients participated in the study. A median of 45 items (10 minutes) were completed for PROMIS CATs. All PROMIS CATs showed evidence of sufficient construct validity. PROMIS CATs, most SF-12 domains and summary scores, and Dialysis Symptom Index showed sufficient test-retest reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient ≥ 0.70). PROMIS CATs had a lower minimal detectable change compared with the SF-12 (range, 5.7-7.4 compared with 11.3-21.7 across domains, respectively). CONCLUSION: PROMIS CATs showed sufficient construct validity and test-retest reliability in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease. PROMIS CATs required more items but showed better reliability than the SF-12. Future research is needed to investigate the feasibility of PROMIS CATs for routine nephrology care.

Age and gender differences in symptom experience and health-related quality of life in kidney transplant recipients: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is an increasingly important patient-reported outcome in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). This study explored relationships between symptom prevalence and burden with HRQOL, and age and gender differences in symptom experience. METHODS: Eligible Dutch KTRs transplanted in Leiden University Medical Center were invited for this cross-sectional study. HRQOL, and occurrence and burden of 62 symptoms were measured using validated questionnaires. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were used for investigating the associations of symptom experience with mental and physical HRQOL, and differences in symptom experience between genders and KTRs of diverse age groups. RESULTS: A total of 631 KTRs were analyzed; the mean (standard deviation) age was 61.3 (11.3) years, and 62% were male. The median (interquartile range) number of symptoms was 14 (7-22), with a burden of 20 (8-37; range 0-244). Per extra symptom, physical and mental HRQOL decreased [-0.41 (-0.50; -0.31) and -0.51 (-0.59; -0.42), respectively, P < .001]. Most occurring symptoms were bruises, tiredness, lack of energy, urge to urinate at night and dry skin. Sexual problems were considered most burdensome. Female KTRs reported more symptoms than men. Amongst others, younger KTRs experienced more (18-50 > 50-65 ≥65 years) feelings of depression and both female and younger KTRs reported higher symptom prevalence concerning changes in physical appearance. CONCLUSION: KRTs' symptom experience differed depending on gender and age, highlighting the need to develop tailored treatment strategies to reduce symptom experience and subsequently improve HRQOL.

Clinical and patient-reported trajectories at end-of-life in older patients with advanced CKD.

BACKGROUND: We explore longitudinal trajectories of clinical indicators, patient-reported outcomes, and hospitalizations, in the years preceding death in a population of older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: The EQUAL study is a European observational prospective cohort study with an incident eGFR <20 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and ≥65 years of age. The evolution of each clinical indicator was explored using generalized additive models during the 4 years preceding death. RESULTS: We included 661 decedents with a median time to death of 2.0 years (IQR 0.9-3.2). During the years preceding death, eGFR, Subjective Global Assessment score, and blood pressure declined, with accelerations seen at 6 months preceding death. Serum hemoglobin, hematocrit, cholesterol, calcium, albumin, and sodium values declined slowly during follow-up, with accelerations observed between 6 and 12 months preceding death. Physical and mental quality of life declined linearly throughout follow-up. The number of reported symptoms was stable up to 2 years prior to death, with an acceleration observed at 1 year prior to death. The rate of hospitalization was stable at around one hospitalization per person year, increasing exponentially at 6 months preceding death. CONCLUSIONS: We identified clinically relevant physiological accelerations in patient trajectories that began ∼6 to 12 months prior to death, which are likely multifactorial in nature, but correlate with a surge in hospitalizations. Further research should focus on how to effectively use this knowledge to inform patient and family expectations, to benefit the planning of (end-of-life) care, and to establish clinical alert systems.

Association between CKD-MBD and mortality in older patients with advanced CKD-results from the EQUAL study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) is a common complication of CKD; it is associated with higher mortality in dialysis patients, while its impact in non-dialysis patients remains mostly unknown. We investigated the associations between parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphate and calcium (and their interactions), and all-cause, cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. METHODS: We used data from the European Quality study, which includes patients aged ≥65 years with estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries. Sequentially adjusted Cox models were used to assess the association between baseline and time-dependent CKD-MBD biomarkers and all-cause, CV and non-CV mortality. Effect modification between biomarkers was also assessed. RESULTS: In 1294 patients, the prevalence of CKD-MBD at baseline was 94%. Both PTH [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.23, P = .01] and phosphate (aHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.00-1.84, P = .05), but not calcium (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.57-2.17, P = .76), were associated with all-cause mortality. Calcium was not independently associated with mortality, but modified the effect of phosphate, with the highest mortality risk found in patients with both hypercalcemia and hyperphosphatemia. PTH level was associated with CV mortality, but not with non-CV mortality, whereas phosphate was associated with both CV and non-CV mortality in most models. CONCLUSIONS: CKD-MBD is very common in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. PTH and phosphate are independently associated with all-cause mortality in this population. While PTH level is only associated with CV mortality, phosphate seems to be associated with both CV and non-CV mortality.

Understanding Health-Related Quality of Life in Kidney Transplant Recipients: The Role of Symptom Experience and Illness Perceptions.

The purpose of our article is to investigate the impact of symptom experience on health related quality of life (HRQOL) in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) and whether illness perceptions mediated this impact. Symptom experience, illness perceptions, and HRQOL were measured at transplantation and 6 weeks after transplantation in KTRs in an ongoing Dutch cohort study. Multivariable linear regression models were used for the analysis. 90 KTRs were analyzed. Fatigue and lack of energy were the most prevalent and burdensome symptoms at transplantation. Mental HRQOL at 6 weeks after transplantation was comparable to that of the general Dutch population (mean [standard deviation, SD]: 49.9 [10.7]) versus 50.2 [9.2]), while physical HRQOL was significantly lower (38.9 [9.1] versus 50.6 [9.2]). Experiencing more symptoms was associated with lower physical and mental HRQOL, and the corresponding HRQOL reduced by -0.15 (95%CI, -0.31; 0.02) and -0.23 (95%CI, -0.42; -0.04) with each additional symptom. The identified mediation effect suggests that worse symptom experiences could cause more unhelpful illness perceptions and consequently lead to lower HRQOL. Illness perceptions may explain the negative impact of symptom experience on HRQOL. Future studies at later stages after kidney transplantation are needed to further explore the mediation effect of illness perceptions and guide clinical practice to improve HRQOL.

Dialysis withdrawal and symptoms of anxiety and depression: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: An important aspect of end-of-life decisions in dialysis patients is elective withdrawal from dialysis therapy. Several studies have shown that clinical factors, such as comorbidity, play a role in dialysis withdrawal. The role of symptoms of anxiety and depression is largely unknown. The. METHODS: A prospective multi-center study has been set up to investigate anxiety and depressive symptoms longitudinally in dialysis patients. Anxiety and depressive symptoms were investigated using the Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI) and Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) as baseline. Adverse events, including dialysis withdrawal and mortality were registered during follow-up. Multivariable cox proportional hazard models were used with anxiety and depression as the independent variable and dialysis withdrawal as the outcome variable. Models included age, sex, ethnicity and a set of clinical comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 687 patients were included between 2012 and 2017, with a median follow-up of 3.2 years. A total of 48 patients (7%) withdrew from dialysis therapy, and subsequently deceased. Anxiety and depressive symptoms at baseline showed an association with dialysis withdrawal with hazard ratios of 2.31 (1.09-4.88) for anxiety and 2.56 (1.27-5.15) for depressive symptoms, independent of somatic comorbidities. DISCUSSION: Withdrawal from dialysis therapy is associated with anxiety and depressive symptoms. Dialysis patients with more severe depressive and anxiety symptoms were more vulnerable for dialysis withdrawal. Insight in factors that play a role in dialysis withdrawal could aid patients and clinicians making an informed decision and develop clinical guidelines.

Differences in hospitalisation between peritoneal dialysis and haemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Dialysis is associated with frequent hospitalisations. Studies comparing hospitalisations between peritoneal dialysis (PD) and haemodialysis (HD) report conflicting results and mostly analyse data of patients that remain on their initial dialysis modality. This cohort study compares hospitalisations between PD and HD patients taking into account transitions between modalities. METHODS: The Dutch nOcturnal and hoME dialysis Study To Improve Clinical Outcomes collected hospitalisation data of patients who started dialysis between 2012 and 2017. Primary outcome was hospitalisation rate, analysed with a multi-state model that attributed each hospitalisation to the current dialysis modality. RESULTS: In total, 695 patients (252 PD, 443 HD) treated in 31 Dutch hospitals were included. The crude hospitalisation rate for PD was 2.3 ( ± 5.0) and for HD 1.4 ( ± 3.2) hospitalisations per patient-year. The adjusted hazard ratio for hospitalisation rate was 1.1 (95%CI 1.02-1.3) for PD compared with HD. The risk for first hospitalisation was 1.3 times (95%CI 1.1-1.6) higher for PD compared with HD during the first year after dialysis initiation. The number of hospitalisations and number of hospital days per patient-year were significantly higher for PD. The most common causes of PD and HD hospitalisations were peritonitis (23%) and vascular access-related problems (33%). CONCLUSION: PD was associated with higher hospitalisation rate, higher risk for first hospitalisation and higher number of hospitalisations compared with HD. Since the PD hospitalisations were mainly caused by peritonitis, more attention to infection prevention is necessary for reducing the number of hospitalisations in the future.