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1.
N Engl J Med ; 386(2): 105-115, 2022 01 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34942066

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The messenger RNA (mRNA)-based vaccines BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 are more than 90% effective against coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). However, their comparative effectiveness for a range of outcomes across diverse populations is unknown. METHODS: We emulated a target trial using the electronic health records of U.S. veterans who received a first dose of the BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccine between January 4 and May 14, 2021, during a period marked by predominance of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 (alpha) variant. We matched recipients of each vaccine in a 1:1 ratio according to their risk factors. Outcomes included documented severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, symptomatic Covid-19, hospitalization for Covid-19, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) for Covid-19, and death from Covid-19. We estimated risks using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. To assess the influence of the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant, we emulated a second target trial that involved veterans vaccinated between July 1 and September 20, 2021. RESULTS: Each vaccine group included 219,842 persons. Over 24 weeks of follow-up in a period marked by alpha-variant predominance, the estimated risk of documented infection was 5.75 events per 1000 persons (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.39 to 6.23) in the BNT162b2 group and 4.52 events per 1000 persons (95% CI, 4.17 to 4.84) in the mRNA-1273 group. The excess number of events per 1000 persons for BNT162b2 as compared with mRNA-1273 was 1.23 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.81) for documented infection, 0.44 (95% CI, 0.25 to 0.70) for symptomatic Covid-19, 0.55 (95% CI, 0.36 to 0.83) for hospitalization for Covid-19, 0.10 (95% CI, 0.00 to 0.26) for ICU admission for Covid-19, and 0.02 (95% CI, -0.06 to 0.12) for death from Covid-19. The corresponding excess risk (BNT162b2 vs. mRNA-1273) of documented infection over 12 weeks of follow-up in a period marked by delta-variant predominance was 6.54 events per 1000 persons (95% CI, -2.58 to 11.82). CONCLUSIONS: The 24-week risk of Covid-19 outcomes was low after vaccination with mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2, although risks were lower with mRNA-1273 than with BNT162b2. This pattern was consistent across periods marked by alpha- and delta-variant predominance. (Funded by the Department of Veterans Affairs and others.).


Subject(s)
2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19/prevention & control , Vaccine Efficacy/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Incidence , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology , Veterans
2.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38687898

ABSTRACT

Studies have reported that prior-season influenza vaccination is associated with higher risk of clinical influenza infection among vaccinees. This effect might arise from incomplete consideration of within-season waning and recent infection. Using data from the US Flu Vaccine Effectiveness (VE) Network (2011-2012 to 2018-2019 seasons), we found that repeat vaccinees were vaccinated earlier in a season by one week. After accounting for waning VE, repeat vaccinees were still more likely to test positive for A(H3N2) (OR=1.11, 95%CI:1.02-1.21) but not for influenza B or A(H1N1). We found that clinical infection influenced individuals' decision to vaccinate in the following season while protecting against clinical infection of the same (sub)type. However, adjusting for recent clinical infections did not strongly influence the estimated effect of prior-season vaccination. In contrast, we found that adjusting for subclinical infection could theoretically attenuate this effect. Additional investigation is needed to determine the impact of subclinical infections on VE.

3.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jul 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38973750

ABSTRACT

The 2018 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research recommends sustained strategies of physical activity and diet for cancer prevention, but evidence for long-term prostate cancer risk is limited. Using observational data from 27,859 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, we emulated a target trial of recommendation-based physical activity and dietary strategies and 26-year risks of prostate cancer, adjusting for risk factors via the parametric g-formula. Compared with no intervention, limiting sugar-sweetened beverages showed a 0.4% (0.0-0.9%) lower risk of lethal (metastatic or fatal) disease and 0.5% (0.1-0.9%) lower risk of fatal disease. Restricting consumption of processed foods showed a 0.4-0.9% higher risk of all prostate cancer outcomes. Estimated risk differences for clinically significant disease were close to null for strategies involving fruits and non-starchy vegetables, whole grains and legumes, red meat, and processed meat, as well as under a joint strategy of physical activity and diet. Compared with a "low adherence" strategy, maintaining recommended physical activity levels showed a 0.4% (0.1-0.8%) lower risk of lethal and 0.5% (0.2-0.8%) lower risk of fatal disease. Adhering to specific components of current physical activity and dietary recommendations may help to prevent lethal and fatal prostate cancer over 26 years.

4.
Epidemiology ; 35(2): 137-149, 2024 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38109485

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Observational studies are used for estimating vaccine effectiveness under real-world conditions. The practical performance of two common approaches-cohort and test-negative designs-need to be compared for COVID-19 vaccines. METHODS: We compared the cohort and test-negative designs to estimate the effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine against COVID-19 outcomes using nationwide data from the United States Department of Veterans Affairs. Specifically, we (1) explicitly emulated a target trial using follow-up data and evaluated the potential for confounding using negative controls and benchmarking to a randomized trial, (2) performed case-control sampling of the cohort to confirm empirically that the same estimate is obtained, (3) further restricted the sampling to person-days with a test, and (4) implemented additional features of a test-negative design. We also compared their performance in limited datasets. RESULTS: Estimated BNT162b2 vaccine effectiveness was similar under all four designs. Empirical results suggested limited residual confounding by healthcare-seeking behavior. Analyses in limited datasets showed evidence of residual confounding, with estimates biased downward in the cohort design and upward in the test-negative design. CONCLUSION: Vaccine effectiveness estimates under a cohort design with explicit target trial emulation and a test-negative design were similar when using rich information from the VA healthcare system, but diverged in opposite directions when using a limited dataset. In settings like ours with sufficient information on confounders and other key variables, the cohort design with explicit target trial emulation may be preferable as a principled approach that allows estimation of absolute risks and facilitates interpretation of effect estimates.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , United States/epidemiology , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines/therapeutic use , BNT162 Vaccine , Vaccine Efficacy , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control
5.
Epidemiology ; 34(5): 690-699, 2023 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37227368

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Metformin users appear to have a substantially lower risk of cancer than nonusers in many observational studies. These inverse associations may be explained by common flaws in observational analyses that can be avoided by explicitly emulating a target trial. METHODS: We emulated target trials of metformin therapy and cancer risk using population-based linked electronic health records from the UK (2009-2016). We included individuals with diabetes, no history of cancer, no recent prescription for metformin or other glucose-lowering medication, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) <64 mmol/mol (<8.0%). Outcomes included total cancer and 4 site-specific cancers (breast, colorectal, lung, and prostate). We estimated risks using pooled logistic regression with adjustment for risk factors via inverse-probability weighting. We emulated a second target trial among individuals regardless of diabetes status. We compared our estimates with those obtained using previously applied analytic approaches. RESULTS: Among individuals with diabetes, the estimated 6-year risk differences (metformin - no metformin) were -0.2% (95% CI = -1.6%, 1.3%) in the intention-to-treat analysis and 0.0% (95% CI = -2.1%, 2.3%) in the per-protocol analysis. The corresponding estimates for all site-specific cancers were close to zero. Among individuals regardless of diabetes status, these estimates were also close to zero and more precise. By contrast, previous analytic approaches yielded estimates that appeared strongly protective. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that metformin therapy does not meaningfully influence cancer incidence. The findings highlight the importance of explicitly emulating a target trial to reduce bias in the effect estimates derived from observational analyses.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetes Mellitus , Metformin , Neoplasms , Male , Humans , Metformin/therapeutic use , Hypoglycemic Agents/therapeutic use , Electronic Health Records , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/prevention & control , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/chemically induced , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology
6.
Br J Cancer ; 127(6): 1076-1085, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35717425

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Adiposity is consistently positively associated with postmenopausal breast cancer and inversely associated with premenopausal breast cancer risk, though the reasons for this difference remain unclear. METHODS: In this nested case-control study of 1649 breast cancer cases and 1649 matched controls from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the NHSII, we selected lipid and polar metabolites correlated with BMI, waist circumference, weight change since age 18, or derived fat mass, and developed a metabolomic score for each measure using LASSO regression. Logistic regression was used to investigate the association between this score and breast cancer risk, adjusted for risk factors and stratified by menopausal status at blood draw and diagnosis. RESULTS: Metabolite scores developed among only premenopausal or postmenopausal women were highly correlated with scores developed in all women (r = 0.93-0.96). Higher metabolomic adiposity scores were generally inversely related to breast cancer risk among premenopausal women. Among postmenopausal women, significant positive trends with risk were observed (e.g., metabolomic waist circumference score OR Q4 vs. Q1 = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.03-2.08, P-trend = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Though the same metabolites represented adiposity in pre- and postmenopausal women, breast cancer risk associations differed suggesting that metabolic dysregulation may have a differential association with pre- vs. postmenopausal breast cancer.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Nurses , Adiposity , Adolescent , Body Mass Index , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/etiology , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Obesity/complications , Postmenopause , Premenopause , Risk Factors
7.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 37(4): 367-376, 2022 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35190946

ABSTRACT

The accuracy of a prediction algorithm depends on contextual factors that may vary across deployment settings. To address this inherent limitation of prediction, we propose an approach to counterfactual prediction based on the g-formula to predict risk across populations that differ in their distribution of treatment strategies. We apply this to predict 5-year risk of mortality among persons receiving care for HIV in the U.S. Veterans Health Administration under different hypothetical treatment strategies. First, we implement a conventional approach to develop a prediction algorithm in the observed data and show how the algorithm may fail when transported to new populations with different treatment strategies. Second, we generate counterfactual data under different treatment strategies and use it to assess the robustness of the original algorithm's performance to these differences and to develop counterfactual prediction algorithms. We discuss how estimating counterfactual risks under a particular treatment strategy is more challenging than conventional prediction as it requires the same data, methods, and unverifiable assumptions as causal inference. However, this may be required when the alternative assumption of constant treatment patterns across deployment settings is unlikely to hold and new data is not yet available to retrain the algorithm.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , HIV Infections , Causality , Data Collection , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Humans
8.
Am J Epidemiol ; 188(3): 579-586, 2019 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30496346

ABSTRACT

The survival impact of adhering to current physical activity guidelines after prostate cancer diagnosis is unknown. We therefore emulated a target trial of guideline-based physical activity interventions and 10-year survival among US men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer. We used observational data on 2,299 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study who were diagnosed with nonmetastatic prostate cancer from 1998 to 2010 and were free of conditions that might have precluded participation at baseline (first postdiagnostic questionnaire). We estimated their survival under several guideline-based physical activity interventions starting at baseline and ending at the development of conditions limiting physical ability. We adjusted for baseline and time-varying risk factors for death using the parametric g-formula. Compared with the observed 15.4% mortality risk, the estimated 10-year risks of mortality were 13.0% (95% confidence interval (CI): 10.9, 15.4) and 11.1% (95% CI: 8.7, 14.1) for ≥1.25 hours/week and ≥2.5 hours/week of vigorous activity, respectively, and 13.9% (95% CI: 12.0, 16.0) and 12.6% (95% CI: 10.6, 14.7) for ≥2.5 hours/week and ≥5 hours/week of moderate activity, respectively. We estimated that these men would have experienced clinically meaningful reductions in mortality had they followed current physical activity recommendations until the development of conditions limiting physical ability. These findings may help guide clinical recommendations for prostate cancer patients and the design of future randomized trials.


Subject(s)
Exercise , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Time Factors , Adult , Aged , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , Risk Factors , Survival Rate , United States
9.
Cancer ; 125(16): 2877-2885, 2019 08 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31179538

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The World Cancer Research Fund classifies as "strong evidence" the link between obesity and the risk of advanced prostate cancer. In light of the different hormonal profiles associated with where adipose is stored, this study investigated the role of objectively measured body fat distribution and the risk of clinically relevant prostate cancer. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 1832 men in the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik study. From 2002 to 2006, participants underwent baseline computed tomography imaging of fat deposition, bioelectric impedance analysis, and measurement of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference. Men were followed through linkage with nationwide cancer registries for the incidence of total (n = 172), high-grade (Gleason grade ≥8; n = 43), advanced (≥cT3b/N1/M1 at diagnosis or fatal prostate cancer over follow-up; n = 41), and fatal prostate cancer (n = 31) through 2015. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between adiposity measures and prostate cancer outcomes. RESULTS: Among all men, visceral fat (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31 per 1-standard deviation [SD] increase; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.72) and thigh subcutaneous fat (HR, 1.37 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI, 1.00-1.88) were associated with risk of advanced and fatal disease, respectively. Among men who were leaner based on BMI, visceral fat was associated with both advanced and fatal disease. BMI and waist circumference were associated with a higher risk of advanced and fatal disease. No adiposity measures were associated with total or high-grade disease. CONCLUSIONS: Specific fat depots as well as BMI and waist circumference were associated with the risk of aggressive prostate cancer, which may help to elucidate underlying mechanisms and target intervention strategies.


Subject(s)
Body Fat Distribution , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Adiposity , Aged , Body Mass Index , Humans , Iceland/epidemiology , Incidence , Intra-Abdominal Fat/diagnostic imaging , Male , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Prostatic Neoplasms/etiology , Risk Factors , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Waist Circumference
10.
Int J Cancer ; 142(6): 1166-1173, 2018 03 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29114858

ABSTRACT

Metabolic syndrome is associated with several cancers, but evidence for aggressive prostate cancer is sparse. We prospectively investigated the influence of metabolic syndrome and its components on risk of total prostate cancer and measures of aggressive disease in a cohort of Icelandic men. Men in the Reykjavik Study (n = 9,097, enrolled 1967-1987) were followed for incident (n = 1,084 total; n = 378 advanced; n = 148 high-grade) and fatal (n = 340) prostate cancer until 2014. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for (1) measured metabolic factors at cohort entry (body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, triglycerides, fasting blood glucose) and (2) a metabolic syndrome score (range 0-4) combining the risk factors: BMI ≥30 kg/m2 ; systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥130 or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥85 mm Hg or taking antihypertensives; triglycerides ≥150 mg/dl; fasting blood glucose ≥100 mg/dl or self-reported type 2 diabetes. Hypertension and type 2 diabetes were associated with a higher risk of total, advanced, high-grade, and fatal prostate cancer, independent of BMI. Neither BMI nor triglycerides were associated with prostate cancer risk. Higher metabolic syndrome score (3-4 vs 0) was associated with a higher risk of fatal prostate cancer (HR 1.55; 95% CI: 0.89, 2.69; p trend = 0.08), although this finding was not statistically significant. Our findings suggest a positive association between midlife hypertension and diabetes and risk of total and aggressive prostate cancer. Further, metabolic syndrome as a combination of factors was associated with an increased risk of fatal prostate cancer.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Metabolic Syndrome/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Blood Pressure , Body Mass Index , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/blood , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism , Humans , Hypertension/blood , Hypertension/metabolism , Iceland/epidemiology , Male , Metabolic Syndrome/blood , Metabolic Syndrome/metabolism , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Grading , Neoplasm Staging , Prospective Studies , Prostate/pathology , Prostatic Neoplasms/blood , Prostatic Neoplasms/metabolism , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , Risk Factors , Triglycerides/blood
11.
J Urol ; 200(3): 573-581, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29673944

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Androgen deprivation therapy is associated with the development of diabetes and metabolic syndrome. To our knowledge its effect on the development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, a condition which frequently co-occurs with metabolic syndrome and other subsequent liver conditions such as liver cirrhosis, hepatic necrosis or any liver disease, has not been investigated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 82,938 men 66 years old or older who were diagnosed with localized prostate cancer in the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results)-Medicare database from 1992 to 2009. Men with preexisting nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, liver disease, diabetes or metabolic syndrome were excluded from study. Propensity score adjusted, competing risk regression models were created to compare the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in men who were vs were not treated with androgen deprivation. We also explored the influence of cumulative exposure to androgen deprivation therapy, calculated as monthly equivalent doses of gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonists/antagonists (fewer than 7, 7 to 11 or more than 11 doses). RESULTS: Overall 37.5% of men underwent androgen deprivation therapy. They were more likely to be diagnosed with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.40-1.68), liver cirrhosis (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.12-1.60), liver necrosis (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.15-1.72) and any liver disease (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.35-1.60). A dose-response relationship was observed between the number of androgen deprivation therapy doses, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and any liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: Androgen deprivation therapy in men with prostate cancer is associated with the diagnosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. The usual limitations of an observational study design apply, including possible inaccuracy in defining outcomes in a population based registry.


Subject(s)
Androgen Antagonists/adverse effects , Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury/etiology , Gonadotropin-Releasing Hormone/agonists , Prostatic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Androgen Antagonists/therapeutic use , Humans , Male
12.
Prev Med ; 111: 442-450, 2018 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29425724

ABSTRACT

While the general efficacy of skin cancer interventions have been reviewed, employing the cancer control continuum would be useful to identify research gaps at specific cancer control points. We characterized the intervention evidence base for specific behavioral targets (e.g., tanning, sun protection, screening) and clinically related targets (e.g., sunburn, skin exams, cancers) at each point in the cancer control continuum. The review included articles published from 1/1/2000-6/30/15 that had an experimental design and targeted behavioral intervention in skin cancer (e.g., specific behaviors or clinically related targets). The search yielded 86 articles, including seven dissemination studies. Of the 79 non-dissemination studies, 57 exclusively targeted primary prevention behaviors, five exclusively targeted screening, 10 targeted both detection and prevention, and eight addressed cancer survivorship. Among prevention studies (n=67), 29 (43%) targeted children and 38 (57%) targeted adults. Of the 15 screening studies, nine targeted high-risk groups (e.g., men aged ≥50 years) and six targeted the general population. Although research has focused on skin cancer prevention, empirically validated interventions are still needed for youth engaged in indoor tanning and for behavioral interventions to pursue change in clinically relevant targets. Research must also address detection among those at highest risk for skin cancer, amelioration of emotional distress attendant to diagnosis and treatment, and survivorship concerns. We discuss essential qualities and opportunities for intervention development and translational research to inform the field.


Subject(s)
Health Behavior , Skin Neoplasms/prevention & control , Sunburn/prevention & control , Biomedical Research , Humans , Skin Neoplasms/diagnosis , Skin Neoplasms/therapy , Sunbathing , Sunscreening Agents/therapeutic use
13.
Prev Med ; 111: 451-458, 2018 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29277407

ABSTRACT

The National Cancer Institute's Skin Cancer Intervention across the Cancer Control Continuum model was developed to summarize research and identify gaps concerning skin cancer interventions. We conducted a mapping review to characterize whether behavioral interventions addressing skin cancer prevention and control from 2000 to 2015 included (1) technology, (2) environmental manipulations (policy and/or built environment), and (3) a theoretical basis. We included 86 studies with a randomized controlled or quasi-experimental design that targeted behavioral intervention in skin cancer for children and/or adults; seven of these were dissemination or implementation studies. Of the interventions described in the remaining 79 articles, 57 promoted only prevention behaviors (e.g., ultraviolet radiation protection), five promoted only detection (e.g., skin examinations), 10 promoted both prevention and detection, and seven focused on survivorship. Of the 79 non-dissemination studies, two-thirds used some type of technology (n=52; 65.8%). Technology specific to skin cancer was infrequently used: UVR photography was used in 15.2% of studies (n=12), reflectance spectroscopy was used in 12.7% (n=10), and dermatoscopes (n=1) and dosimeters (n=2) were each used in less than 3%. Ten studies (12.7%) targeted the built environment. Fifty-two (65.8%) of the studies included theory-based interventions. The most common theories were Social Cognitive Theory (n=20; 25.3%), Health Belief Model (n=17; 21.5%), and the Theory of Planned Behavior/Reasoned Action (n=12; 15.2%). Results suggest that skin cancer specific technology and environmental manipulations are underutilized in skin cancer behavioral interventions. We discuss implications of these results for researchers developing skin cancer behavioral interventions.


Subject(s)
Built Environment , Health Behavior , Skin Neoplasms/prevention & control , Social Theory , Technology , Humans , Skin Neoplasms/diagnosis , Skin Neoplasms/therapy , Ultraviolet Rays/adverse effects
14.
Int J Cancer ; 141(5): 933-944, 2017 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28543830

ABSTRACT

Obesity is associated with an increased risk of fatal prostate cancer. We aimed to elucidate the importance and relevant timing of obesity and weight change for prostate cancer progression. We identified 5,158 men diagnosed with localized prostate cancer (clinical stage T1/T2) from 1986 to 2012 in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. Men were followed for biochemical recurrence and lethal prostate cancer (development of distant metastasis or prostate cancer-specific mortality) until 2012. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for body mass index (BMI) at age 21, BMI at diagnosis, "long-term" weight change from age 21 to diagnosis and "short-term" weight change over spans of 4 and 8 years preceding diagnosis. Because weight, weight change and mortality are strongly associated with smoking, we repeated analyses among never smokers only (N = 2,559). Among all patients, neither weight change nor BMI (at age 21 or at diagnosis) was associated with lethal prostate cancer. Among never smokers, long-term weight gain was associated with an increased risk of lethal disease (HR for gaining >30 pounds vs. stable weight [±10 pounds] 1.59, 95% CI, 1.01-2.50, p-trend = 0.06). Associations between weight change, BMI and lethal prostate cancer were stronger for men with BMI ≥ 25 at age 21 compared to those with BMI < 25. Weight change and obesity were not associated with an increased risk of biochemical recurrence. Our findings among never smoker men diagnosed with localized prostate cancer suggest a positive association between long-term weight gain and risk of lethal prostate cancer. Metabolic changes associated with weight gain may promote prostate cancer progression.


Subject(s)
Obesity/complications , Prostatic Neoplasms/complications , Weight Gain , Adult , Aged , Body Mass Index , Cohort Studies , Disease Progression , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , Risk Factors
15.
Cancer Causes Control ; 27(9): 1049-58, 2016 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27351919

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Alcohol intake may be associated with cancer risk, but epidemiologic evidence for prostate cancer is inconsistent. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between midlife alcohol intake and drinking patterns with future prostate cancer risk and mortality in a population-based cohort of Finnish twins. METHODS: Data were drawn from the Older Finnish Twin Cohort and included 11,372 twins followed from 1981 to 2012. Alcohol consumption was assessed by questionnaires administered at two time points over follow-up. Over the study period, 601 incident cases of prostate cancer and 110 deaths from prostate cancer occurred. Cox regression was used to evaluate associations between weekly alcohol intake and binge drinking patterns with prostate cancer risk and prostate cancer-specific mortality. Within-pair co-twin analyses were performed to control for potential confounding by shared genetic and early environmental factors. RESULTS: Compared to light drinkers (≤3 drinks/week; non-abstainers), heavy drinkers (>14 drinks/week) were at a 1.46-fold higher risk (HR 1.46; 95 % CI 1.12, 1.91) of prostate cancer, adjusting for important confounders. Among current drinkers, binge drinkers were at a significantly increased risk of prostate cancer (HR 1.28; 95 % CI 1.06, 1.55) compared to non-binge drinkers. Abstainers were at a 1.90-fold higher risk (HR 1.90; 95 % CI 1.04, 3.47) of prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to light drinkers, but no other significant associations for mortality were found. Co-twin analyses suggested that alcohol consumption may be associated with prostate cancer risk independent of early environmental and genetic factors. CONCLUSION: Heavy regular alcohol consumption and binge drinking patterns may be associated with increased prostate cancer risk, while abstinence may be associated with increased risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to light alcohol consumption.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking/adverse effects , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , Finland/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Theoretical , Prospective Studies , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Risk , Surveys and Questionnaires
16.
Cancer Causes Control ; 27(11): 1361-1370, 2016 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27734240

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Sleep disruption and shift work have been associated with cancer risk, but epidemiologic evidence for prostate cancer remains limited. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between midlife sleep- and circadian-related parameters and later prostate cancer risk and mortality in a population-based cohort of Finnish twins. METHODS: Data were drawn from the Older Finnish Twin Cohort and included 11,370 twins followed from 1981 to 2012. Over the study period, 602 incident cases of prostate cancer and 110 deaths from prostate cancer occurred. Cox regression was used to evaluate associations between midlife sleep duration, sleep quality, chronotype, and shift work with prostate cancer risk and prostate cancer-specific mortality. Within-pair co-twin analyses were employed to account for potential familial confounding. RESULTS: Compared to "definite morning" types, "somewhat evening" types had a significantly increased risk of prostate cancer (HR 1.3; 95 % CI 1.1, 1.6). Chronotype significantly modified the relationship between shift work and prostate cancer risk (p-interaction <0.001). We found no significant association between sleep duration, sleep quality, or shift work and prostate cancer risk in the overall analyses and no significant association between any sleep- or circadian-related parameter and risk in co-twin analyses. Neither sleep- nor circadian-related parameters were significantly associated with prostate cancer-specific mortality. CONCLUSION: The association between sleep disruption, chronotype, and shift work with prostate cancer risk and mortality has never before been studied in a prospective study of male twins. Our findings suggest that chronotype may be associated with prostate cancer risk and modify the association between shift work and prostate cancer risk. Future studies of circadian disruption and prostate cancer should account for this individual-level characteristic.


Subject(s)
Circadian Rhythm/physiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Sleep/physiology , Work Schedule Tolerance , Adult , Female , Finland , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Risk
18.
J Cancer Surviv ; 2024 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38951371

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer survivors may benefit from a supportive social environment. We investigated associations of social integration and long-term physical and psychosocial quality of life among prostate cancer survivors who were participants in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. METHODS: We included 1,428 individuals diagnosed with non-metastatic prostate cancer between 2008 and 2016. Social integration was measured by the Berkman-Syme Social Network Index (SNI) and marital status. We fit generalized linear mixed effect models for associations of SNI and marital status with patient reported outcome measures on physical and psychosocial quality of life captured between 2008 and 2020, adjusting for age, race, employment status, body mass index, comorbidities, smoking history, and clinical factors. RESULTS: Among those with baseline SNI (N = 1,362), 46.4% were socially integrated, 20.3% were moderately integrated, 27.4% were moderately isolated, and 5.9% were socially isolated. Among those reporting baseline marital status (N = 1,428), 89.5% were married. Socially integrated survivors (vs. socially isolated) reported fewer depressive signs and better psychosocial wellbeing. Physical quality of life did not differ by social integration. Married survivors (vs. not married) reported fewer urinary symptoms, but there were no differences in bowel, sexual, or vitality/hormonal symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Among prostate cancer survivors, being socially integrated was associated with fewer depressive signs and better psychosocial wellbeing, and married prostate cancer survivors had fewer urinary symptoms. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: This study highlighted aspects of long-term physical and psychosocial quality of life that are more favorable among prostate cancer survivors with a supportive social environment.

19.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 116(1): 34-52, 2024 01 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37713266

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer is the most diagnosed cancer in African American men, yet prostate cancer screening regimens in this group are poorly guided by existing evidence, given underrepresentation of African American men in prostate cancer screening trials. It is critical to optimize prostate cancer screening and early detection in this high-risk group because underdiagnosis may lead to later-stage cancers at diagnosis and higher mortality while overdiagnosis may lead to unnecessary treatment. METHODS: We performed a review of the literature related to prostate cancer screening and early detection specific to African American men to summarize the existing evidence available to guide health-care practice. RESULTS: Limited evidence from observational and modeling studies suggests that African American men should be screened for prostate cancer. Consideration should be given to initiating screening of African American men at younger ages (eg, 45-50 years) and at more frequent intervals relative to other racial groups in the United States. Screening intervals can be optimized by using a baseline prostate-specific antigen measurement in midlife. Finally, no evidence has indicated that African American men would benefit from screening beyond 75 years of age; in fact, this group may experience higher rates of overdiagnosis at older ages. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence base for prostate cancer screening in African American men is limited by the lack of large, randomized studies. Our literature search supported the need for African American men to be screened for prostate cancer, for initiating screening at younger ages (45-50 years), and perhaps screening at more frequent intervals relative to men of other racial groups in the United States.


Subject(s)
Prostatic Neoplasms , Male , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostate-Specific Antigen , Early Detection of Cancer , Black or African American , Mass Screening
20.
Nat Microbiol ; 8(1): 55-63, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36593297

ABSTRACT

Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 has been effective in reducing the burden of severe disease and death from COVID-19. Third doses of mRNA-based vaccines have provided a way to address waning immunity and broaden protection against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. However, their comparative effectiveness for a range of COVID-19 outcomes across diverse populations is unknown. We emulated a target trial using electronic health records of US veterans who received a third dose of either BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccines between 20 October 2021 and 8 February 2022, during a period that included Delta- and Omicron-variant waves. Eligible veterans had previously completed an mRNA vaccine primary series. We matched recipients of each vaccine in a 1:1 ratio according to recorded risk factors. Each vaccine group included 65,196 persons. The excess number of events over 16 weeks per 10,000 persons for BNT162b2 compared with mRNA-1273 was 45.4 (95% CI: 19.4, 84.7) for documented infection, 3.7 (2.2, 14.1) for symptomatic COVID-19, 10.6 (5.1, 19.7) for COVID-19 hospitalization, 2.0 (-3.1, 6.3) for COVID-19 intensive care unit admission and 0.2 (-2.2, 4.0) for COVID-19 death. After emulating a second target trial of veterans who received a third dose between 1 January and 1 March 2022, during a period restricted to Omicron-variant predominance, the excess number of events over 9 weeks per 10,000 persons for BNT162b2 compared with mRNA-1273 was 63.2 (95% CI: 15.2, 100.7) for documented infection. The 16-week risks of COVID-19 outcomes were low after a third dose of mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2, although risks were lower with mRNA-1273 than with BNT162b2, particularly for documented infection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Veterans , Humans , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , COVID-19/prevention & control , 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19 Vaccines , RNA, Messenger/genetics
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