Return to work after COVID-19 infection - A Danish nationwide registry study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to explore return to work after COVID-19 and how disease severity affects this. STUDY DESIGN: This is a Nationwide Danish registry-based cohort study using a retrospective follow-up design. METHODS: Patients with a first-time positive SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction test between 1 January 2020 and 30 May 2020, including 18-64 years old, 30-day survivors, and available to the workforce at the time of the first positive test were included. Admission types (i.e. no admission, admission to non-intensive care unit [ICU] department and admission to ICU) and return to work was investigated using Cox regression standardised to the age, sex, comorbidity and education-level distribution of all included subjects with estimates at 3 months from positive test displayed. RESULTS: Among the 7466 patients included in the study, 81.9% (6119/7466) and 98.4% (7344/7466) returned to work within 4 weeks and 6 months, respectively, with 1.5% (109/7466) not returning. Of the patients admitted, 72.1% (627/870) and 92.6% (805/870) returned 1 month and 6 months after admission to the hospital, with 6.6% (58/870) not returning within 6 months. Of patients admitted to the ICU, 36% (9/25) did not return within 6 months. Patients with an admission had a lower chance of return to work 3 months from positive test (relative risk [RR] 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-0.96), with the lowest chance in patients admitted to an ICU department (RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.72). Female sex, older age, and comorbidity were associated with a lower chance of returning to work. CONCLUSION: Hospitalised patients with COVID-19 infection have a lower chance of returning to work with potential implications for postinfection follow-up and rehabilitation.

Detection of growth-restricted fetuses during pregnancy is associated with fewer intrauterine deaths but increased adverse childhood outcomes: an observational study.

OBJECTIVE: Exploring associations between antenatal detection of fetal growth restriction (FGR) and adverse outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational, register-based study. SETTING: Zealand, Denmark. POPULATION OR SAMPLE: Children born from 1 September 2012 to 31 August 2015. METHODS: Diagnoses from birth until 1 January 2018 were retrieved from The National Patient Registry. Detection was defined as estimated fetal weight less than the 2.3rd centile. Cox regression was used to associate detection status with the hazard rate of adverse outcome, adjusted for fetal weight deviation, maternal age, ethnicity, body mass index and smoking. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Adverse neonatal outcome, adverse neuropsychiatric outcome, respiratory disorders, endocrine disorders, gastrointestinal/urogenital disorders. RESULTS: A total of 2425 FGR children were included. An association was found for gastrointestinal/urogenital disorders (hazard ratio [HR] 1.68, 95% CI 1.26-2.23, P < 0.001) and respiratory disorders (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.46, P = 0.03) in detected versus undetected infants. For adverse neuropsychiatric outcome, HR was 1.32 (95% CI 1.00-1.75, P = 0.05). There was no evidence of an association between detection and adverse neonatal outcome (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.62-1.61, P = 0.99) and endocrine disorders (HR 1.39, 95% CI 0.88-2.19, P = 0.16). Detected infants were smaller (median -28% versus -25%, P < 0.0001), more often born preterm (odds ratio [OR] 4.15, 3.12-5.52, P < 0.0001) and more often born after induction or caesarean section (OR 5.19, 95% CI 4.13-6.51, P < 0.0001). Stillbirth risk was increased in undetected FGR fetuses (OR 2.63, 95% CI 1.37-5.04, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: We found an association between detection of FGR and risk of adverse childhood conditions, possibly caused by prematurity. Iatrogenic prematurity may be inevitable in stillbirth prevention, but is accompanied by a risk of long-term childhood conditions. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Antenatal detection of growth-restricted fetuses is associated with adverse childhood outcomes but fewer intrauterine deaths.

New drug candidates for depression - a nationwide population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether continued use of non-aspirin NSAID, low-dose aspirin, high-dose aspirin, statins, allopurinol and angiotensin agents decreases the rate of incident depression using Danish nationwide population-based registers. METHODS: All persons in Denmark who purchased the exposure medications of interest between 1995 and 2015 and a random sample of 30% of the Danish population was included in the study. Two different outcome measures were included, (i) a diagnosis of depressive disorder at a psychiatric hospital as in-patient or out-patient and (ii) a combined measure of a diagnosis of depression or use of antidepressants. RESULTS: A total of 1 576 253 subjects were exposed to one of the six drugs of interest during the exposure period from 2005 to 2015. Continued use of low-dose aspirin, statins, allopurinol and angiotensin agents was associated with a decreased rate of incident depression according to both outcome measures. Continued uses of non-aspirin NSAIDs as well as high-dose aspirin were associated with an increased rate of incident depression. CONCLUSION: The findings support the potential of agents acting on inflammation and the stress response system in depression as well as the potential of population-based registers to systematically identify drugs with repurposing potential.

Long-term use of proton pump inhibitors, dose-response relationship and associated risk of ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) has been associated with cardiovascular disease amongst patients not on antiplatelet therapy. The associations of PPI use, duration and dose, with risk of first-time ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) are poorly understood. METHODS: All Danish individuals with no prior history of MI or stroke, who had an elective upper gastrointestinal endoscopy performed between 1997 and 2012, were identified from nationwide registries. We used multiple Poisson regression to test associations with current PPI use and its dose and used multiple cause-specific Cox regression and g-formula methods to analyze long-term use. RESULTS: Amongst 214 998 individuals, during a median follow-up of 5.8 years, there were 7916 ischemic strokes and 5608 MIs. Current PPI exposure was associated with significantly higher rates of both ischemic stroke (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.13; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.19) and MI (HR 1.31, CI 1.23-1.39) after adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities and concomitant medication. High-dose PPI was associated with increased rates of ischemic stroke (HR 1.31, CI 1.21-1.42) and MI (HR 1.43, CI 1.30-1.57). Histamine H2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs) use was not significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR 1.02, CI 0.84-1.24) or MI (HR 1.15, CI 0.92-1.43). Long-term users of PPIs, compared with nonusers, had a 29% (CI 5%-59%) greater absolute risk of ischemic stroke and a 36% (CI 7%-73%) greater risk of MI within a 6-month period. CONCLUSION: Use of PPIs was associated with increased risks of first-time ischemic stroke and MI, particularly amongst long-term users and at high doses.

Standard and reduced doses of dabigatran, rivaroxaban and apixaban for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Comparative data of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are lacking in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). OBJECTIVE: We compared effectiveness and safety of standard and reduced dose NOAC in AF patients. METHODS: Using Danish nationwide registries, we included all oral anticoagulant-naïve AF patients who initiated NOAC treatment (2012-2016). Outcome-specific and mortality-specific multiple Cox regressions were combined to compute average treatment effects as 1-year standardized differences in stroke and bleeding risks (g-formula). RESULTS: Amongst 31 522 AF patients, the distribution of NOAC/dose was as follows: dabigatran standard dose (22.4%), dabigatran-reduced dose (14.0%), rivaroxaban standard dose (21.8%), rivaroxaban reduced dose (6.7%), apixaban standard dose (22.9%), and apixaban reduced dose (12.2%). The 1-year standardized absolute risks of stroke/thromboembolism were 1.73-1.98% and 2.51-2.78% with standard and reduced NOAC dose, respectively, without statistically significant differences between NOACs for given dose level. Comparing standard doses, the 1-year standardized absolute risk (95% CI) for major bleeding was for rivaroxaban 2.78% (2.42-3.17%); corresponding absolute risk differences (95% CI) were for dabigatran -0.93% (-1.45% to -0.38%) and apixaban, -0.54% (-0.99% to -0.05%). The results for major bleeding were similar for reduced NOAC dose. The 1-year standardized absolute risk (95% CI) for intracranial bleeding was for standard dose dabigatran 0.19% (0.22-0.50%); corresponding absolute risk differences (95% CI) were for rivaroxaban 0.23% (0.06-0.41%) and apixaban, 0.18% (0.01-0.34%). CONCLUSIONS: Standard and reduced dose NOACs, respectively, showed no significant risk difference for associated stroke/thromboembolism. Rivaroxaban was associated with higher bleeding risk compared with dabigatran and apixaban and dabigatran was associated with lower intracranial bleeding risk compared with rivaroxaban and apixaban.

Modifications of the National Early Warning Score for patients with chronic respiratory disease.

BACKGROUND: The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) uses physiological variables to detect deterioration in hospitalized patients. However, patients with chronic respiratory disease may have abnormal variables not requiring interventions. We studied how the Capital Region of Denmark NEWS Override System (CROS), the Chronic Respiratory Early Warning Score (CREWS) and the Salford NEWS (S-NEWS) affected NEWS total scores and NEWS performance. METHODS: In an observational study, we included patients with chronic respiratory disease. The frequency of use of CROS and the NEWS total score changes caused by CROS, CREWS and S-NEWS were described. NEWS, CROS, CREWS and S-NEWS were compared using 48-h mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission within 48 h as outcomes. RESULTS: We studied 11,266 patients during 25,978 admissions; the use of CROS lowered NEWS total scores in 40% of included patients. CROS, CREWS and S-NEWS had lower sensitivities than NEWS for 48-h mortality and ICU admission. Specificities and PPV were higher. CROS, CREWS and S-NEWS downgraded, respectively, 51.5%, 44.9% and 32.8% of the NEWS total scores from the 'mandatory doctor presence' and 'immediate doctor presence and specialist consultation' total score intervals to lower intervals. CONCLUSION: Capital Region of Denmark NEWS Override System was frequently used in patients with chronic respiratory disease. CROS, CREWS and S-NEWS reduced sensitivity for 48-h mortality and ICU admission. Using the methodology prevalent in the NEWS literature, we cannot conclude on the safety of these systems. Future prospective studies should investigate the balance between detection rate and alarm fatigue of different systems, or use controlled designs and patient-centred outcomes.

Continuation of lithium after a diagnosis of chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether continued lithium or anticonvulsant treatment after a first diagnosis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) was associated with progression to irreversible end-stage kidney disease. METHODS: Nationwide cohort study including all individuals in Denmark in a period from 1995 to 2012 with a diagnosis of CKD and (i) a history of lithium treatment (N = 754, among whom 238 patients had a diagnosis of bipolar disorder) or (ii) a history of anticonvulsant treatment (N = 5.004, among whom 199 patients had a diagnosis of bipolar disorder). End-stage CKD was defined as chronic dialysis or renal transplantation. RESULTS: Continuing lithium (HR = 0.58 (95% CI: 0.37-0.90) and continuing anticonvulsants (HR = 0.53 (95% CI: 0.44-0.64) were associated with decreased rates of end-stage CKD. In the subcohorts of patients with a diagnosis of bipolar disorder, continuing lithium was associated with decreased end-stage CKD (HR = 0.40 (95% CI: 0.17-0.98), whereas continuing anticonvulsants was not (HR = 0.70 (95% CI: 0.21-2.37). There were no interactions of continuing lithium and anticonvulsants. CONCLUSION: After an initial diagnosis of CKD, patients who are selected by their physicians to continue lithium treatment may not necessarily have an increased risk of developing end-stage CKD. Shifting to an anticonvulsant per se may not be associated with an advantage; however, this requires further investigation.

Association between PSA kinetics and cancer-specific mortality in patients with localised prostate cancer: analysis of the placebo arm of the SPCG-6 study.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics in untreated prostate cancer (PCa) patients is debatable. We investigated the association between PSA doubling time (PSAdt), PSA velocity (PSAvel) and PSAvel risk count (PSAvRC) and PCa mortality in a cohort of patients with localised PCa managed on watchful waiting. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with clinically localised PCa managed observationally, who were randomised to and remained on placebo for minimum 18 months in the SPCG-6 study, were included. All patients survived at least 2 years and had a minimum of three PSA determinations available. The prognostic value of PSA kinetics was analysed and patients were stratified according to their PSA at consent: ≤10, 10.1-25, and >25 ng/ml. Cumulative incidences of PCa-specific mortality were estimated with the Aalen-Johansen method. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixty-three patients were included of which 116, 76 and 71 had a PSA at consent ≤10, 10.1-25, and >25 ng/ml, respectively. Median follow-up was 13.6 years. For patients with PSA at consent between 10.1 and 25 ng/ml, the 13-year risks of PCa mortality were associated with PSA kinetics: PSAdt ≤3 years: 62.0% versus PSAdt >3 years: 16.3% (Gray's test: P < 0.0001), PSAvel ≥2 ng/ml/year: 48.0% versus PSAvel <2 ng/ml/year: 11.0% (Gray's test: P = 0.0008), and PSAvRC 2: 45.0% versus 0-1: 3.8% (Gray's test: P = 0.001). In contrast, none of the PSA kinetics were significantly associated with changes of 13-year risks of PCa mortality in patients with PSA at consent ≤10 or >25 ng/ml. CONCLUSION: We found that magnitude changes in 13-year risks of PCa mortality that can be indicated by PSA kinetics depend on PSA level in patients with localised PCa who were managed observationally. Our results question PSA kinetics as surrogate marker for PCa mortality in patients with low and high PSA values. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: NCT00672282.

Risk of fetal loss associated with invasive testing following combined first-trimester screening for Down syndrome: a national cohort of 147,987 singleton pregnancies.

OBJECTIVE: To assess prospectively the risk of fetal loss associated with chorionic villus sampling (CVS) and amniocentesis (AC) following combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) for Down syndrome. METHODS: This was a nationwide population-based study (Danish Fetal Medicine Database, 2008-2010) including 147,987 women with singleton pregnancy who underwent cFTS. Propensity score stratification was used to assess the risk of fetal loss with and without invasive testing. Analyses were performed between 3 and 21 days after cFTS for CVS and between 28 and 42 days after cFTS for AC. Results are reported as average risk differences with 95% CIs. RESULTS: The risks of miscarriage and stillbirth were not higher in women exposed to CVS or AC compared with unexposed women, independent of the analysis time-point. The average effect of CVS on risk of miscarriage was -0.08% (95% CI, -0.64; 0.47) at 3 days and -0.21% (95% CI, -0.58; 0.15) at 21 days after cFTS, while the effect on risk of stillbirth was -0.18% (95% CI, -0.50; 0.13) at 3 days and -0.27% (95% CI, -0.58; 0.04) at 21 days after cFTS. Regarding the effect of AC on risk of miscarriage, the analysis at 28 days after cFTS showed an average effect of 0.56% (95% CI, -0.21; 1.33), while the effect on risk of stillbirth was 0.09% (95% CI, -0.39; 0.58) at 42 days after cFTS. CONCLUSION: Neither CVS nor AC was associated with increased risk of miscarriage or stillbirth. These findings indicate that the procedure-related risk of CVS and AC is very low.

Risk charts to identify low and excessive responders among first-cycle IVF/ICSI standard patients.

Ovarian stimulation carries a risk of either low or excessive ovarian response. The aim was to develop prognostic models for identification of standard (ovulatory and normal basal FSH) patients' risks of low and excessive response to conventional stimulation for IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection. Prospectively collected data on 276 first-cycle patients treated with 150 IU recombinant FSH (rFSH)/day in a long agonist protocol were analysed. Logistic regression analysis was applied to the outcome variables:low (seven or less follicles) and excessive (20 or more follicles) response. Variables were woman's age, menstrual cycle length, weight or body mass index, ovarian volume, antral follicle count (AFC) and basal FSH. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated from the prediction error (Brier score, %) where zero corresponds to a perfect prediction. Model stability was assessed using 1000 bootstrap cross-validation steps. The best prognostic model to predict low response included AFC and age (Brier score 7.94) and the best model to predict excessive response included AFC and cycle length (Brier score 15.82). Charts were developed to identify risks of low and excessive ovarian response. They can be used for evidence-based risk assessment before ovarian stimulation and may assist clinicians in individual dosage of their patients.

Incidence of acute myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock during corona virus disease 19 (COVID-19) pandemic.

AIMS: The hospitalization of patients with MI has decreased during global lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Whether this decrease is associated with more severe MI, e.g. MI-CS, is unknown. We aimed to examine the association of Corona virus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and incidence of acute myocardial infarction with cardiogenic shock (MI-CS). METHODS: On March 11, 2020, the Danish government announced national lock-down. Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients hospitalized with MI-CS. Incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were used to compare MI-CS before and after March 11 in 2015-2019 and in 2020. RESULTS: We identified 11,769 patients with MI of whom 696 (5.9%) had cardiogenic shock in 2015-2019. In 2020, 2132 MI patients were identified of whom 119 had cardiogenic shock (5.6%). The IR per 100,000 person years before March 11 in 2015-2019 was 9.2 (95% CI: 8.3-10.2) and after 8.9 (95% CI: 8.0-9.9). In 2020, the IR was 7.5 (95% CI: 5.8-9.7) before March 11 and 7.7 (95% CI: 6.0-9.9) after. The IRRs comparing the 2020-period with the 2015-2019 period before and after March 11 (lockdown) were 0.81 (95% CI: 0.59-1.12) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.57-1.32), respectively. The IRR comparing the 2020-period during and before lockdown was 1.02 (95% CI: 0.74-1.41). No difference in 7-day mortality or in-hospital management was observed between study periods. CONCLUSION: We could not identify a significant association of the national lockdown on the incidence of MI-CS, along with similar in-hospital management and mortality in patients with MI-CS.

Bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation and survival in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest of non-cardiac origin.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge about the effect of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) of non-cardiac origin is lacking. We aimed to investigate the association between bystander CPR and survival in OHCA of presumed non-cardiac origin. METHODS: From the Danish Cardiac Arrest Registry and through linkage with national Danish healthcare registries we identified all patients with OHCA of presumed non-cardiac origin in Denmark (2001-2014). These were categorized further into OHCA of medical and non-medical cause. We analyzed temporal trends in bystander CPR and 30-day survival during the study period. Multiple logistic regression was used to examine the association between bystander CPR and 30-day survival and reported as standardized 30-day survival chances with versus without bystander CPR standardized to the prehospital OHCA-factors and patient characteristics of all patients in the study population. RESULTS: We identified 10,761 OHCAs of presumed non-cardiac origin. Bystander CPR was associated with a significantly higher 30-day survival chance of 3.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.9-3.9) versus 1.8% (95% CI: 1.4-2.2) without bystander CPR. A similar association was found in subgroups of both medical and non-medical OHCA. During the study period, the overall bystander CPR rates increased from 13.6% (95% CI: 11.2-16.5) to 62.7% (95% CI: 60.2-65.2). 30-day survival increased overall from 1.3% (95% CI: 0.7-2.6) to 4.0% (95% CI: 3.1-5.2). CONCLUSION: Bystander CPR was associated with a higher chance of 30-day survival among OHCA of presumed non-cardiac origin regardless of the underlying cause (medical/non-medical). Rates of bystander CPR and 30-day survival improved during the study period.

Prediction of survival after surgery due to skeletal metastases in the extremities.

AIMS: The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model for predicting survival of patients undergoing surgery owing to metastatic bone disease (MBD) in the appendicular skeleton. METHODS: We included a historical cohort of 130 consecutive patients (mean age 64 years, 30 to 85; 76 females/54 males) who underwent joint arthroplasty surgery (140 procedures) owing to MBD in the appendicular skeleton during the period between January 2003 and December 2008. Primary cancer, pre-operative haemoglobin, fracture versus impending fracture, Karnofsky score, visceral metastases, multiple bony metastases and American Society of Anaesthesiologist's score were included into a series of logistic regression models. The outcome was the survival status at three, six and 12 months respectively. Results were internally validated based on 1000 cross-validations and reported as time-dependent area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC) for predictions of outcome. RESULTS: The predictive scores obtained showed AUC values of 79.1% (95% confidence intervals (CI) 65.6 to 89.6), 80.9% (95% CI 70.3 to 90.84) and 85.1% (95% CI 73.5 to 93.9) at three, six and 12 months. DISCUSSION: In conclusion, we have presented and internally validated a model for predicting survival after surgery owing to MBD in the appendicular skeleton. The model is the first, to our knowledge, built solely on material from patients who only had surgery in the appendicular skeleton. TAKE HOME MESSAGE: Applying this prognostic model will help determine whether the patients' anticipated survival makes it reasonable to subject them to extensive reconstructive surgery for which there may be an extended period of rehabilitation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:271-7.

Marginal adaptation of different types of all-ceramic partial coverage restorations after exposure to an artificial mouth.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the influence of the preparation design and the dimensions of all-ceramic partial coverage restorations (PCR) on the marginal accuracy before and after masticatory simulation. METHODS: In this in vitro study 80 extracted human maxillary molars were restored with MOD inlay restorations and four different modified PCR restorations using a new press ceramic IPS e.max Press (IPS e.max Press VP 1989). The teeth were divided into five groups of 16 specimens each and prepared as follows: Group A received an MOD inlay preparation and Group B, C, D and E received modified PCR. The restorations were adhesively luted and exposed to a mastication simulator. The discrepancies of the marginal fit were examined on epoxy replicas before and after luting as well as after masticatory simulation at 200x magnification. RESULTS: The mean (geometrical) [95% confidence limits] marginal gap decreased from Group A to E before cementation (A-83[77-90]microm, B-68[65-70]microm, C-59[55-64]microm, D-56[52-61]microm, E-50[45-55]microm). Group A had significantly higher marginal gap values than group B (p = 0.017) and the other groups (p<0.0001). After cementation the marginal accuracy was recorded as following: A-103[93-114]microm, B-101[94-108]microm, C-93[89-98]microm, D-102[98-105]microm and E-99[96-102]microm. Cementation increased the marginal gap in groups B-E significantly (p<0.00001), not significantly in group A (p = 0.059). Artificial ageing (A-116[106-127]microm, B-114[109-120]microm, C-106[103-110]microm, D-109[100-118]microm and E-109[105-112]microm) led to further significant decrease of marginal accuracy in Group B (p = 0.029) and C (p = 0.026) only. After cementation and masticatory simulation of the ceramic restorations, the marginal gap values of Groups A, B, C, D and E did not significantly differ from each other (p = 1.00). CONCLUSIONS: The result of this in vitro study showed that IPS e.max Press can be used to fabricate all-ceramic inlays and PCR which meet the requirements in terms of a clinically acceptable marginal gap, irrespective of the preparation design used. However, the preparation design and dimensions of the restorations appeared to affect the initial marginal fit and flowing off of luting material during the cementation process. The factors responsible for these findings require further substantiation.

How to assess prognostic models for survival data: a case study in oncology.

OBJECTIVES: A lack of generally applicable tools for the assessment of predictions for survival data has to be recognized. Prediction error curves based on the Brier score that have been suggested as a sensible approach are illustrated by means of a case study. METHODS: The concept of predictions made in terms of conditional survival probabilities given the patient's covariates is introduced. Such predictions are derived from various statistical models for survival data including artificial neural networks. The idea of how the prediction error of a prognostic classification scheme can be followed over time is illustrated with the data of two studies on the prognosis of node positive breast cancer patients, one of them serving as an independent test data set. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The Brier score as a function of time is shown to be a valuable tool for assessing the predictive performance of prognostic classification schemes for survival data incorporating censored observations. Comparison with the prediction based on the pooled Kaplan Meier estimator yields a benchmark value for any classification scheme incorporating patient's covariate measurements. The problem of an overoptimistic assessment of prediction error caused by data-driven modelling as it is, for example, done with artificial neural nets can be circumvented by an assessment in an independent test data set.

Effect of different crown contours on periodontal health in dogs. Clinical results.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study is to evaluate clinically the effect of different crown contours on the periodontium in beagle dogs. METHODS: One month after commencing oral hygiene procedures the second and third premolars in three quadrants of four adult beagle dogs were prepared for receiving crowns. The unprepared second and third premolars in one quadrant served as controls. Crowns with three different emergence profiles (normal (=tooth) contour, 30 degrees and 50 degrees over-contour) were cemented where one quadrant received the same treatment. Clinical parameters were recorded on all four sites (mesial, buccal, distal and lingual) of test and control teeth at baseline, after 3 and 5 months. During the entire study period, professional oral hygiene was performed seven times a week. RESULTS: The Plaque Index increased for the 30 degrees and 50 degrees over-contour groups, although no statistically significant differences could be observed. For the normal contour and control group minor changes occurred. Similar results could be depicted for the Gingival Index. The changes regarding the variables Plaque and Gingival Index were correlated to the Gingival Crevicular Fluid Flow. Here, significant differences for the Gingival Crevicular Flow were observed between the treatment groups and over the treatment period for the 30 and 50 degrees over-contour groups. Only slight differences for this parameter were observed in and between the control and normal contour groups. In the control group, the Pocket Probing depth remained stable during the entire study but increased in the crowned treatment groups over time. At 3 and 5 months the probing depth was significant greater in the 30 degrees and 50 degrees over-contour groups compared to the control group. There was a higher loss of clinical attachment levels for the test groups than for the control group. There were statistically significant differences at each timepoint between groups and also within groups except for the control group. CONCLUSIONS: Within the limits of this study it can be concluded that over-contoured subgingival crowns seem to affect clinical periodontal health only slightly in dogs over 5 months when an intensive oral hygiene regimen is executed.

Marginal adaptation of three-unit fixed partial dentures constructed from pressed ceramic systems.

PURPOSE: This study compares the marginal accuracy of posterior metal ceramic (MC), all-ceramic IPS Empress 2 and experimental pressed ceramic (EPC-VP 1989/4) three-unit fixed partial dentures (FPD), before and after luting and after thermo-mechanical fatigue in a dual-axis chewing simulator. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Caries-free human teeth (n=160) were used as abutments for the fabrication of eighty posterior three-unit FPD, divided into two test-groups, IPS Empress 2 and EPC, of 32 samples each and one control group of 16 samples metal ceramic FPD. All FPD were cemented with Variolink II dual-curing resin cement. Half of the samples in each group were exposed to a dual-axis chewing simulator. RESULTS: The geometric mean marginal gap values (microm, before cementation, after cementation and after thermo-mechanical fatigue) amounted to 53, 63 and 62 for the ceramic metal FPD, 57, 71 and 68 for the Empress 2 FPD and 55, 67 and 68 for the EPC FPD. In all groups a statistically significant increase in marginal gap width was observed after cementation. The effect of functional loading in the chewing simulator on marginal gap was not significant. Marginal gap was lowest in the control group but differences with all-ceramic materials were small in all evaluation stages. CONCLUSION: Within the limits of this investigation, it can be concluded that marginal gap values of these all-ceramic materials and conventional MC techniques are on a similar level. In particular, almost all marginal gap values observed in this study were within the limits of clinical acceptance.

[Temporomandibular disorders: quality assessment of patient information on the world wide web]. / Myoarthropathien des Kausystems: Beurteilung der Qualität von Patienteninformationen im Weltweiten Netz.

AIM: Assessing of the methodological and medical-scientific quality of the German information on temporomandibular disorders (TMDs) provided then the World Wide Web (WWW). METHODS: The investigation was carried out with selected search machines (subject and index catalogues) as well as health portals. The search strategy involved the option "simple search" and the keyword "Kiefergelenk" ("temporomandibular joint"). The methodological quality was assessed using the DISCERN instrument. To assess the medical-scientific quality, a brief questionnaire based on comparisons with the current state of the scientific literature on TMDs was used. RESULTS: Twenty-seven of the 47 identified websites are longer than half a printed page (1/2 p). The methodological quality of all websites ranges between "low" and "moderate"; it is higher for information > 1/2 p. There is no clear relationship between methodological (DISCERN) and medical-scientific quality. For example, only five of seven websites with acceptable medical-scientific quality reach a moderate methodological quality, whereas the remaining two of these publications have a low methodological quality. CONCLUSIONS: There is a discrepancy between quantity and quality of the available information on TMDs. In general, there is a lack of evidence-based high-quality information for patients seeking information related to TMDs in the WWW. The available data suggests that TMD patients are not constantly provided with information regarding to the latest developments in research. Therefore, measures to improve the quality of care of these patients are necessary.

Long-term survival after allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation for AML in remission: single-centre results after TBI-based myeloablative and non-myeloablative conditioning.

We report the results of non-myeloablative (NM) and myeloablative (MA) conditioning for haematopoietic cell transplantation in 207 consecutive AML patients at a single institution. A total of 122 patients were transplanted in first CR (CR1) and 67 in second CR (CR2). MA conditioning was given to 60 patients in CR1 and 50 in CR2. NM conditioning was given to 62 patients in CR1 and 17 patients in CR2. MA patients in CR1 experienced more acute GVHD than NM patients, 60.5% versus 22.9%, but the 5-year post transplant cumulative TRM was not different. Relapse incidence at 5 years in CR1 patients was 23.7% which is not statistically different from 28.5% in NM patients. Leukaemia-free survival at 5 years in CR1 patients was 57.7% after MA conditioning and 58.3% after NM conditioning. No statistical difference in overall 5-year survival after MA or NM conditioning was observed in CR1 patients (63.9 versus 64%) and CR2 patients (51.2 versus 64.7%). Durable remission can be obtained in older patients with AML in remission after NM conditioning, which may also be applicable to younger patients.