St Gallen 2019 guidelines understage the axilla in lobular breast cancer: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The St Gallen 2019 guidelines for primary therapy of early breast cancer recommend omission of completion axillary lymph node dissection (cALND), regardless of histological type, in patients with one or two sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastases. Concurrently, adjuvant chemotherapy is endorsed for luminal A-like disease with four or more axillary lymph node (ALN) metastases. The aim of this study was to estimate the proportion of patients with invasive lobular cancer (ILC) versus invasive ductal cancer of no special type (NST) with one or two SLN metastases for whom cALND would have led to a recommendation for adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with ILC and NST who had surgery between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the National Breast Cancer Register of Sweden. After exclusion of patients with incongruent or missing data, those who fulfilled the St Gallen 2019 criteria for cALND omission were included in the population-based study cohort. RESULTS: Some 1886 patients in total were included in the study, 329 with ILC and 1507 with NST. Patients with ILC had a higher metastatic nodal burden and were more likely to have a luminal A-like subtype than those with NST. The prevalence of at least four ALN metastases was higher in ILC (31.0 per cent) than NST (14.9 per cent), corresponding to an adjusted odds ratio of 2.26 (95 per cent c.i. 1.59 to 3.21). Luminal A-like breast cancers with four or more ALN metastases were over-represented in ILC compared with NST, 52 of 281 (18.5 per cent) versus 43 of 1299 (3.3 per cent) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with ILC more often have luminal A-like breast cancer with at least four nodal metastases. Omission of cALND in patients with luminal A-like invasive lobular cancer and one or two SLN metastases warrants future attention as there is a risk of nodal understaging and undertreatment in one-fifth of patients.

Nowadays patients who have breast cancer with one to two metastases in the first draining axillary lymph nodes are not recommended to undergo completion surgery of the axilla if they have breast-conserving surgery and will have adequate postoperative oncological treatment. Lobular breast cancer is the second most common type of breast cancer, and this study shows that patients with this type have an increased risk of having lymph node metastases remaining if completion surgery is omitted. The diagnosis of additional lymph node metastases is importance for guidance regarding adjuvant oncological therapy in lobular cancer with a hormonally sensitive low proliferative subtype.

Survival in 31 670 patients with thin melanomas: a Swedish population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) continues to increase in most countries worldwide and the majority are diagnosed with thin tumours (≤ 1 mm). OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study was to investigate the melanoma-specific survival (MSS) as well as conditional MSS (CMSS) in patients with thin CMM in Sweden. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Clinical and histological parameters were obtained from the Swedish Melanoma Registry for patients diagnosed with thin CMM between 1990 and 2017. Patients were followed until the end of 2017. MSS as well as CMSS for different thickness groups were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were used to calculate for survival differences between thickness groups. RESULTS: There were 31 670 patients included for final analyses. The overall 10- and 20-year MSS for thin CMMs was 97% [95% confidence interval (CI) 97-97] and 95% (95% CI 95-96), respectively. From 0·7 mm and above, MSS decreased significantly with increasing thickness level. All thickness groups had an increased survival over time. The lowest CMSS was confirmed for men with 1·0 mm in thickness but their 10-year CMSS increased steadily over time. Women had overall better MSS as well as CMSS than men. However, the relation between MSS and CMSS was similar for both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: MSS was confirmed as excellent for patients with thin CMMs in Sweden. Although we could show a decreased MSS for patients with 0·7 mm thickness and above, the long-term survival and, in addition, a very favourable CMSS for those patients do not support more extended follow-up programmes than the current recommendations in Sweden.

Long-term outcome of pT1a-b, cN0 breast cancer without axillary dissection or staging: a prospective observational study of 1543 women.

BACKGROUND: The implementation of screening programmes in Sweden during the mid-1990s increased the number of small node-negative breast cancers. In this era before staging by sentinel node biopsy, routine axillary dissection for staging of early breast cancer was questioned owing to the increased morbidity and lack of perceived benefit. The long-term risk of axillary recurrence when axillary staging is omitted remains unclear. METHODS: This prospective observational multicentre cohort study included Swedish women diagnosed with breast cancer between 1997 and 2002. The patients had clinically node-negative, pT1a-b, grade I-II tumours. No axillary staging or dissection was performed. The primary outcome was ipsilateral axillary recurrence and survival. RESULTS: A total of 1543 patients were included. Breast-conserving surgery (BCS) was performed in 94·0 per cent and the rest underwent mastectomy. After surgery, 58·1 per cent of the women received adjuvant radiotherapy, 11·9 per cent adjuvant endocrine therapy and 31·5 per cent did not receive any adjuvant treatment. After a median follow-up of 15·5 years, 6·4 per cent developed contralateral breast cancer and 16·5 per cent experienced a recurrence. The first recurrence was local in 116, regional in 47 and distant in 59 patients. The breast cancer-specific survival rate was 93·7 per cent after 15 years. There were no differences in overall or breast cancer-specific survival between patients who received adjuvant radiotherapy and those who did not. Only 3·0 per cent of patients had an axillary recurrence, which was isolated in only 1·0 per cent. CONCLUSION: Axillary surgery can safely be omitted in patients with low-grade, T1a-b, cN0 breast cancers. This large prospective cohort with 15-year follow-up had a very low incidence of axillary recurrences and high breast cancer-specific survival rate.

ANTECEDENTES: La puesta en marcha en Suecia, a mediados de los años 90, de los programas de cribaje aumentó el número de cánceres de mama precoces con ganglios negativos. En esa era, antes de la estadificación mediante la biopsia del ganglio centinela, se cuestionó la disección axilar rutinaria para la estadificación del cáncer de mama precoz debido a su aumento de la morbilidad y la falta de percepción de beneficio. El riesgo de recidiva axilar a largo plazo cuando no se omite la estadificación axilar sigue sin estar claro. MÉTODOS: Estudio de cohortes prospectivo, observacional y multicéntrico de las mujeres suecas diagnosticadas de cáncer de mama entre 1997-2002. Se incluyeron las pacientes con ganglios clínicamente no detectables, pT1a-b, grados I-II y no se realizó disección/estadificación axilar en ninguna de ellas. El resultado principal fue la recidiva axilar ipsilateral y la supervivencia. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 1.543 pacientes. Se realizó cirugía conservadora de la mama (breast conserving surgery, BCS) en el 94% de las mujeres y en las restantes se practicó una mastectomía. Tras la BCS, el 58% de las mujeres recibió radioterapia adyuvante, el 12% tratamiento endocrino adyuvante y el 32% no recibió ningún tratamiento adyuvante. Tras una mediana de seguimiento de 15,5 años, el 6% desarrolló un cáncer de mama contralateral y un 14% una recidiva. La primera recidiva fue local en 116 pacientes, regional en 47 y a distancia en 59. La supervivencia específica para el cáncer de mama a los 15 años fue del 94%. No hubo diferencias en la supervivencia general o específica por cáncer de mama entre las pacientes que recibieron radioterapia adyuvante y las que no. Solo el 3% de las pacientes presentó una recidiva axilar, de las cuales tan solo el 1% padecieron exclusivamente una recidiva axilar. CONCLUSIÓN: La cirugía axilar se puede omitir con seguridad en los cánceres de mama de bajo grado, T1a-b, cN0. Esta gran cohorte prospectiva con un seguimiento de 15 años muestra que la incidencia de recidivas axilares es muy baja y la supervivencia específica por cáncer de mama muy alta.

Prognostic risk factors of first recurrence in patients with primary stages I-II cutaneous malignant melanoma - from the population-based Swedish melanoma register.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic factors in patients with localized primary cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) are well described. However, prognostic factors for recurrence are less documented. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify prognostic risk factors for first recurrence in patients with localized stages I-II CMM using population-based data. METHODS: This study included 1437 CMM patients registered in one region of Sweden during 1999-2012 follow-up through 31 December 2012. To identify first recurrence of CMM disease, data from a care data warehouse, the pathology and radiology department registries were used. Patients were also followed through a census register and the national Cause of Death Register. RESULTS: The 5- and 10-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) were 85.7% and 81.2%, respectively. The most common site of first recurrence was regional lymph node metastasis closely followed by distant metastasis. After adjusting for all prognostic factors, women had 50% lower risk of recurrence than men (HR = 0.5, 95% CI 0.4-0.7) and patients ≥70 had higher risk compared to patients 55-69 years (HR = 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.5). Other significant prognostic factors for risk of recurrence were tumour thickness, presence of ulceration, Clark's level of invasion and histogenetic type. CONCLUSION: Tumour thickness was found to be the predominant risk factor for recurrence. The prognostic factors for recurrence coincided with prognostic factors for CMM death. The most common site of first recurrence in stages I-II CMM is regional lymph node (42.8%) closely followed by distant metastases (37.6%), a fact which has to be taken into consideration when choosing follow-up strategies.

Avoidance of sun exposure as a risk factor for major causes of death: a competing risk analysis of the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Women with active sunlight exposure habits experience a lower mortality rate than women who avoid sun exposure; however, they are at an increased risk of skin cancer. We aimed to explore the differences in main causes of death according to sun exposure. METHODS: We assessed the differences in sun exposure as a risk factor for all-cause mortality in a competing risk scenario for 29 518 Swedish women in a prospective 20-year follow-up of the Melanoma in Southern Sweden (MISS) cohort. Women were recruited from 1990 to 1992 (aged 25-64 years at the start of the study). We obtained detailed information at baseline on sun exposure habits and potential confounders. The data were analysed using modern survival statistics. RESULTS: Women with active sun exposure habits were mainly at a lower risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and noncancer/non-CVD death as compared to those who avoided sun exposure. As a result of their increased survival, the relative contribution of cancer death increased in these women. Nonsmokers who avoided sun exposure had a life expectancy similar to smokers in the highest sun exposure group, indicating that avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for death of a similar magnitude as smoking. Compared to the highest sun exposure group, life expectancy of avoiders of sun exposure was reduced by 0.6-2.1 years. CONCLUSION: The longer life expectancy amongst women with active sun exposure habits was related to a decrease in CVD and noncancer/non-CVD mortality, causing the relative contribution of death due to cancer to increase.

Trends in cutaneous malignant melanoma in Sweden 1997-2011: thinner tumours and improved survival among men.

BACKGROUND: Both patient survival and the proportion of patients diagnosed with thin cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) have been steadily rising in Sweden as in most Western countries, although the rate of improvement in survival appears to have declined in Sweden at the end of the last millennium. OBJECTIVES: To analyse the most recent trends in the distribution of tumour thickness (T category) as well as CMM-specific survival in Swedish patients diagnosed during 1997-2011. METHODS: This nationwide population-based study included 30,590 patients registered in the Swedish Melanoma Register (SMR) and diagnosed with a first primary invasive CMM during 1997-2011. The patients were followed through 2012 in the national Cause of Death Register. RESULTS: Logistic and Cox regression analyses adjusting for age at diagnosis, tumour site and healthcare region were carried out. The odds ratio for being diagnosed with thicker tumours was significantly reduced (P < 0·001) and the CMM-specific survival significantly improved in men diagnosed during 2007-2011 compared with men diagnosed during 1997-2001 (hazard ratio = 0·81; 95% confidence interval 0·72-0·91; P < 0·001), while the corresponding differences for women were not significant. Women were diagnosed with significantly thicker tumours during 2002-2006 and a tendency towards decreased survival was observed compared with those diagnosed earlier (during 1997-2001) and later (during 2007-2011). CONCLUSIONS: In Sweden, the CMMs of men are detected earlier over time and this seems to be followed by an improved CMM-specific survival for men. Women are still diagnosed with considerably thinner tumours and they experience a better survival than men.

Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort.

BACKGROUND: Sunlight exposure and fair skin are major determinants of human vitamin D production, but they are also risk factors for cutaneous malignant melanoma (MM). There is epidemiological evidence that all-cause mortality is related to low vitamin D levels. METHODS: We assessed the avoidance of sun exposure as a risk factor for all-cause mortality for 29 518 Swedish women in a prospective 20-year follow-up of the Melanoma in Southern Sweden (MISS) cohort. Women were recruited from 1990 to 1992 and were aged 25 to 64 years at the start of the study. We obtained detailed information at baseline on their sun exposure habits and potential confounders. Multivariable flexible parametric survival analysis was applied to the data. RESULTS: There were 2545 deaths amongst the 29 518 women who responded to the initial questionnaire. We found that all-cause mortality was inversely related to sun exposure habits. The mortality rate amongst avoiders of sun exposure was approximately twofold higher compared with the highest sun exposure group, resulting in excess mortality with a population attributable risk of 3%. CONCLUSION: The results of this study provide observational evidence that avoiding sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality. Following sun exposure advice that is very restrictive in countries with low solar intensity might in fact be harmful to women's health.

Prognostic subclassifications of T1 cutaneous melanomas based on ulceration, tumour thickness and Clark's level of invasion: results of a population-based study from the Swedish Melanoma Register.

BACKGROUND: Survival and prognostic factors for thin melanomas have been studied relatively little in population-based settings. This patient group accounts for the majority of melanomas diagnosed in western countries today, and better prognostic information is needed. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to use established prognostic factors such as ulceration, tumour thickness and Clark's level of invasion for risk stratification of T1 cutaneous melanoma. METHODS: From 1990 to 2008, the Swedish Melanoma Register included 97% of all melanomas diagnosed in Sweden. Altogether, 13,026 patients with T1 melanomas in clinical stage I were used for estimating melanoma-specific 10- and 15-year mortality rates. The Cox regression model was used for further survival analysis on 11,165 patients with complete data. RESULTS: Ulceration, tumour thickness and Clark's level of invasion all showed significant, independent, long-term prognostic information. By combining these factors the patients could be subdivided into three risk groups: a low-risk group (67·9% of T1 cases) with a 10-year melanoma-specific mortality rate of 1·5% (1·2-1·9%); an intermediate-risk group (28·6% of T1 cases) with a 10-year mortality rate of 6·1% (5·0-7·3%); and a high-risk group (3·5% of T1 cases) with a 10-year mortality rate of 15·6% (11·2-21·4%). The high- and intermediate-risk groups accounted for 66% of melanoma deaths within T1. CONCLUSIONS: Using a population-based melanoma register, and combining ulceration, tumour thickness and Clark's level of invasion, three distinct prognostic subgroups were identified.

The clinical significance of BRAF and NRAS mutations in a clinic-based metastatic melanoma cohort.

BACKGROUND: BRAF and NRAS mutations are frequently found in melanoma tumours, and recently developed BRAF-targeted therapies demonstrate significant clinical benefit. OBJECTIVES: We sought to investigate the clinical significance of BRAF and NRAS mutations in a clinic-based metastatic melanoma cohort. METHODS: In total, 237 tumours, mostly metastatic lesions, from 203 patients were screened for mutations in exon 15 of BRAF and exon 2 of NRAS using Sanger sequencing. BRAF and NRAS mutation status was analysed in relation to clinical and histopathological characteristics, and outcome. RESULTS: Mutation in BRAF and NRAS was present in 43% (88% V600E, 10% V600K) and 30% (48% Q61K, 40% Q61R) of metastatic melanomas, respectively. We found consistent BRAF and NRAS mutation status in all but one of 27 patients with multiple metastases. BRAF mutation was associated with younger age at primary diagnosis (P = 0.02). Among patients with distant metastatic melanoma, patients with BRAF-mutant tumours without BRAF inhibitor treatment had inferior survival compared with patients with BRAF inhibitor treatment [hazard ratio (HR) 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-5.01, P = 0.03]. We also observed a trend towards better prognosis for patients with wild-type and NRAS-mutant tumours compared with BRAF V600E-mutant tumours (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.39-1.04, P = 0.07; and HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.48-1.21, P = 0.25, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: We were able to confirm the effect of BRAF inhibitor treatment in a single clinical institution. The results suggest further that BRAF mutation is a weak prognostic factor but a strong predictive factor and that BRAF-mutant melanoma might constitute one or more distinct subtypes of the disease with certain aetiology and clinical outcome.

Axillary recurrence rate 5 years after negative sentinel node biopsy for breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy has replaced axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) as the standard axillary staging procedure in breast cancer. Follow-up studies in SLN-negative women treated without ALND report low rates of axillary recurrence, but most studies have short follow-up, and few are multicentre studies. METHODS: Between September 2000 and January 2004, patients who were SLN-negative and did not have ALND were included in a prospective cohort. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to analyse the rates of axillary recurrence and survival. The risk of axillary recurrence was also compared in centres with high and low experience with the SLN biopsy (SLNB) technique. RESULTS: A total of 2195 patients with 2216 breast tumours were followed for a median of 65 months. Isolated axillary recurrence was diagnosed in 1·0 per cent of patients. The event-free 5-year survival rate was 88·8 per cent and the overall 5-year survival rate 93·1 per cent. There was no difference in recurrence rates between centres contributing fewer than 150 SLNB procedures to the cohort and centres contributing 150 or more procedures. CONCLUSION: This study confirmed the low risk of axillary recurrence 5 years after SLNB for breast cancer without ALND.

Androgen receptor genotypes predict response to endocrine treatment in breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The androgen receptor (AR) is frequently expressed in breast cancers. The AR genotype may affect disease-free survival and response to endocrine therapy. METHODS: In all, 634 women undergoing breast cancer surgery between 2002 and 2008 were followed until 30 June 2010. Six haplotype-tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the AR, and the resulting AR diplotypes, were examined in relation to breast cancer patient characteristics, tumour characteristics, disease-free survival, and response to endocrine treatment. RESULTS: Five common AR diplotypes were found. Seventeen rare variants were combined into a composite group. The resulting six AR diplotype groups were clustered into two subgroups, groups A (n=128) and B (n=499), with three diplotypes in each. Patients in group B had larger total breast volume (P=0.024), higher body mass index (BMI) (P=0.050), more axillary lymph node involvement (P(trend)=0.020), and higher histological grade (P(trend)=0.031). There were 59 breast cancer events in the 569 patients with invasive cancers and no preoperative treatment. Patients in group B also had shorter disease-free survival (P=0.037) than patients in group A. Among patients in group B with oestrogen receptor α positive tumours, tamoxifen (TAM) treatment was associated with longer disease-free survival (P=0.008), while treatment with aromatase inhibitors (AIs) was not (P=0.94). Response to endocrine treatment could not be predicted based on BMI, suggesting that the effect of AR diplotypes went beyond that of a higher BMI. CONCLUSION: A marker for a group of patients who responded to TAM, but not to AIs, was identified. If this finding is confirmed, AR genotyping may provide useful information for selection of endocrine treatment of breast cancer patients.

CYP2C8 and CYP2C9 polymorphisms in relation to tumour characteristics and early breast cancer related events among 652 breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: CYP2C8/9 polymorphisms may influence breast cancer-free survival after diagnosis due to their role in the metabolism of tamoxifen, paclitaxel, and other chemotherapy. cytochrome P450 (CYP)2C8/9 metabolise arachidonic acid to epoxyeicosatrienoic acids, which enhance migration and invasion in vitro and promote angiogenesis in vivo. We aimed to investigate the frequency of CYP2C8/9 polymorphisms in relation to breast tumour characteristics and disease-free survival. METHODS: A prospective series of 652 breast cancer patients from southern Sweden was genotyped for CYP2C8*3, CYP2C8*4, CYP2C9*2, and CYP2C9*3. Blood samples and questionnaires were obtained pre- and postoperatively. Clinical information and tumour characteristics were obtained from patients' charts and pathology reports. RESULTS: Frequencies of CYP2C8/9 polymorphisms were similar to healthy European populations. Significantly less node involvement (P=0.002) and fewer PR+ tumours (P=0.012) were associated with CYP2C8*4. Median follow-up was 25 months and 52 breast cancer-related events were reported. In a multivariate model, CYP2C8/9*3/*1*/*2/*1 was the only factor associated with increased risk for early events in 297 tamoxifen-treated, ER-positive patients, adjusted HR 2.54 (95%CI 1.11-5.79). The effect appeared to be driven by CYP2C8*3, adjusted HR 8.56 (95%CI 1.53-51.1). CONCLUSION: Polymorphic variants of CYP2C8/9 may influence breast tumour characteristics and disease-free survival in tamoxifen-treated patients.

High frequency of multiple melanomas and breast and pancreas carcinomas in CDKN2A mutation-positive melanoma families.

BACKGROUND: : Inherited mutations in the CDKN2A tumor suppressor gene, which encodes the p16(INK4a) protein, and in the cyclin-dependent kinase 4 (CDK4) gene confer susceptibility to cutaneous malignant melanoma. We analyzed families with two or more cases of melanoma for germline mutations in CDKN2A and CDK4 to elucidate the contribution of these gene defects to familial malignant melanoma and to the occurrence of other cancer types. METHODS: : The entire CDKN2A coding region and exon 2 of the CDK4 gene of an affected member of each of 52 families from southern Sweden with at least two cases of melanoma in first- or second-degree relatives were screened for mutations by use of polymerase chain reaction-single-strand conformation polymorphism analysis. Statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: : CDKN2A mutations were found in 10 (19%) of the 52 families. Nine families carried an identical alteration consisting of the insertion of arginine at position 113 of p16(INK4a), and one carried a missense mutation, in which the valine at position 115 was replaced with a glycine. The 113insArg mutant p16(INK4a) was unable to bind cdk4 and cdk6 in an in vitro binding assay. Six of the 113insArg families had at least one member with multiple primary melanomas; the 113insArg families also had a high frequency of other malignancies-in particular, breast cancer (a total of eight cases compared with the expected 2.1; P =.0014) and pancreatic cancer (a total of six cases compared with the expected 0.16; P<.0001). Families with breast cancer also had a propensity for multiple melanomas in females, suggesting that a sex-dependent factor may modify the phenotypic expression of CDKN2A alterations. CONCLUSIONS: : Our findings confirm that the majority of CDKN2A-associated melanoma families in Sweden are due to a single founder mutation. They also show that families with the CDKN2A 113insArg mutation have an increased risk not only of multiple melanomas and pancreatic carcinoma but also of breast cancer.

Novel germline p16 mutation in familial malignant melanoma in southern Sweden.

The p16 (CDKN2/MTS1/INK4a) malignant melanoma susceptibility gene was analyzed in 10 melanoma kindreds from southern Sweden using single-stranded conformation polymorphism analysis of all three exons and flanking intron regions followed by sequence analysis. A novel germline mutation, constituting an in-frame 3-bp duplication at nucleotide 332 in exon 2, was identified in two families (Lund M2 and M9). The mutation results in an insertion of Arg at codon 105, which interrupts the last of the four ankyrin repeats of the p16 protein, motifs which have been demonstrated as important in binding and inhibiting the activity of cyclin D-dependent kinases 4 and 6 in cell cycle G1 phase regulation. All five tested individuals of Lund M2 and M9 affected by melanoma were mutation carriers, as were five melanoma-free individuals. Other malignancies observed in gene carriers or obligate carriers included cervical, breast, and pancreatic carcinomas and a non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Analysis of microsatellite markers adjacent to the p16 gene at chromosomal region 9p21 revealed that both families share a common haplotype, in keeping with a common ancestor.

Prognostic instrument for survival outcome in melanoma patients: based on data from the population-based Swedish Melanoma Register.

BACKGROUND: Several major analyses have identified a consistent set of independent risk factors for cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM). A few prognostic models have been presented but some are based on a limited number of patients and others are based on selected groups of patients referred to major institutions. No nationwide population-based prognostic instrument for survival of CMM has been presented. The Swedish Melanoma Register (SMR) database covers 99% of CMM diagnosed in Sweden and includes today >50,000 cases. OBJECTIVES: To create a prognostic instrument based on SMR data to give highly reliable risk profiles for patients diagnosed with localised CMM. METHODS: Clinicopathological data were linked to the cause of death registry for calculation of CMM-specific survival. A generalised gamma method was used to derive 1, 5 and 10year probabilities of death for each combination of patient and tumour data: age, sex, tumour site, tumour thickness, tumour ulceration, Clark's level of invasion and when applicable also outcome of sentinel node biopsy (SNB). RESULTS: Tumour thickness had the highest prognostic impact, explaining 77% of the model. Women had 30% lower risk of death because of CMM than men. Presence of ulceration nearly doubled the risk. If the patient had a positive SNB status the risk of death due to CMM increased three times versus a negative SNB status. CONCLUSION: This unique population-based prognostic model for primary CMM shows better survival than the American Joint Commission on Cancer prognostic model widely used. The reason is probably that the referral bias is eliminated in a population-based cohort.

Regional hyperthermic perfusion with melphalan after surgery for recurrent malignant melanoma of the extremities. Swedish Melanoma Study Group.

A prospective randomized trial testing regional hyperthermic perfusion with melphalan has been conducted. Sixty-nine patients with recurrent malignant melanoma of the extremities were randomly allocated to surgery (36 patients) or surgery plus regional perfusion (33 patients). Prognostic variables concerning primary tumor as well as the recurrent disease were evenly distributed in the groups, excluding any bias in the randomization. Median tumor-free survival after randomization was 17 months in the perfusion group and 10 months in the control group. There were 15 locoregional recurrences in the perfusion group and 24 in the control group. The tumor-free survival curve was significantly (P = .044) better for the perfusion group than for the control group. Median survival time after randomization was 57 months in the perfusion group and 35 months in the control group. This difference was not significant. One patient died within 1 month after perfusion of pulmonary embolism. Regional hyperthermic perfusion after surgery of recurrent malignant melanoma should only be recommended in prospective and controlled trials, until its value has been proven in several randomized studies.

Left handedness is uncommon in breast cancer patients.

Left handedness was found to be significantly less common among patients with breast cancer in southern Sweden (1.5%) than among a female referent population (5%) (P less than 0.0025). The findings lend support to theories suggesting that hormonal factors in early life are of importance both for handedness and for the risk of breast cancer.

At what age do sunburn episodes play a crucial role for the development of malignant melanoma.

The age relationship between sunburns and malignant melanoma was investigated in a population-based, matched, case-control study from the South Swedish Health Care Region (the highest risk area for melanoma in Sweden). Between 1988 and 1990, a total of 400 patients with a first diagnosis of malignant melanoma and 640 healthy controls aged 15-75 years answered a comprehensive questionnaire including questions regarding ultraviolet radiation exposure. In addition, a literature review was performed. The average number of episodes of sunburn per year was significantly associated with malignant melanoma (relative risk, RR = 1.9 for > or = three episodes per year versus never). Outdoor employment during the summer was associated with a decreased risk for the development of malignant melanoma (RR = 0.8). Data from case-control studies and migration studies concerning age relationship between sunburns and melanoma are inconsistent. From our own data, we did not find a higher risk of melanoma developed in individuals who had experienced severe sunburns in childhood. Instead, a significantly increased risk was associated with sunburns after age 19 years, RR = 2.2 for a history of more than five times versus never. Even if the hypothesis is biologically plausible, that episodes of sunburn early in life are associated with a higher risk of melanoma, so far epidemiological evidence is scarce. There is a need for better prospective epidemiological studies addressing this issue.

Breast conservation surgery, with and without radiotherapy, in women with lymph node-negative breast cancer: a randomised clinical trial in a population with access to public mammography screening.

The effect of postoperative radiotherapy after sector resection for stage I-II lymph node-negative breast cancer was evaluated in a patient population with access to public mammographical screening. 1187 women were randomised to no further treatment or postoperative radiotherapy following a standardised sector resection and axillary dissection. Radiation was administered to a dose of 48-54 Gy. Median age was 60 years, and median size of the detected tumours was 12 mm. Of the women 65% had their tumours detected by mammographical screening. The relative risk (RR) of ipsilateral breast recurrence was significantly higher in the non-irradiated patients compared with the irradiated patients, RR=3.33 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.13-5.19, P<0.001). The corresponding cumulative incidence at 5 years was 14% versus 4%, respectively. Overall survival (OS) was similar, RR=1.16 (95% CI 0.81-1.65, P=0.41), with 5 year probabilities of 93 and 94%, respectively. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) at 5 years was significantly lower in the non-irradiated women, 77% versus 88% (P<0.001). Although women above 49 years of age, whose tumours were detected with mammographical screening, had the lowest rate of ipsilateral breast recurrence in this study, the cumulative incidence of such event amounted to 10% at 5 years if radiotherapy was not given. Such a recurrence rate has been considered as unacceptably high, but is, however, in the same range as that reported after lumpectomy and postoperative radiotherapy in published series.

Dacarbazine-vindesine versus dacarbazine-vindesine-cisplatin in disseminated malignant melanoma. A randomised phase III trial.

In a multicentre phase III study of disseminated malignant melanoma performed in Sweden and Norway, 326 patients were randomised to receive treatment with the combination dacarbazine [DTIC] (D) and vindesine (V) with or without the addition of cisplatin (P). D was given intravenously (i.v.) at a dose of 250 mg/m2 days 1-5 every 4 weeks and V was given i.v. at a dose of 3.0 mg/m2 day 1 weekly. P was given i.v. at a dose of 100 mg/m2 day 1 every 4 weeks. There was no statistically significant difference in overall survival between the treatment arms (P = 0.22). Increased toxicity was observed in the treatment arm containing P of which leucopenia, alopecia and nausea/vomiting were the most pronounced. The median time to progression was significantly longer in patients treated with DVP (4.2 versus 2.2 months, P = 0.007). In conclusion, adding P to DV did not change overall survival but did significantly increase toxicity.