Cervical and systemic innate immunity predictors of HIV risk linked to genital herpes acquisition and time from HSV-2 seroconversion.

OBJECTIVES: To examine innate immunity predictors of HIV-1 acquisition as biomarkers of HSV-2 risk and biological basis for epidemiologically established HIV-1 predisposition in HSV-2 infected women. METHODS: We analysed longitudinal samples from HIV-1 negative visits of 1019 women before and after HSV-2 acquisition. We measured cervical and serum biomarkers of inflammation and immune activation previously linked to HIV-1 risk. Protein levels were Box-Cox transformed and ORs for HSV-2 acquisition were calculated based on top quartile or below/above median levels for all HSV-2 negative visits. Bivariate analysis determined the likelihood of HSV-2 acquisition by biomarker levels preceding infection. Linear mixed-effects models evaluated if biomarkers differed by HSV-2 status defined as negative, incident or established infections with an established infection cut-off starting at 6 months. RESULTS: In the cervical compartment, two biomarkers of HIV-1 risk (low SLPI and high BD-2) also predicted HSV-2 acquisition. In addition, HSV-2 acquisition was associated with IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-8, MIP-3α, ICAM-1 and VEGF when below median levels. Systemic immunity predictors of HSV-2 acquisition were high sCD14 and IL-6, with highest odds when concomitantly increased (OR=2.23, 1.49-3.35). Concomitant systemic and mucosal predictors of HSV-2 acquisition risk included (1) serum top quartile sCD14 with cervical low SLPI, VEGF and ICAM-1, or high BD-2; (2) serum high IL-6 with cervical low VEGF and ICAM-1, SLPI, IL-1ß and IL-6; and (3) serum low C reactive protein with cervical high BD-2 (the only combination also predictive of HIV-1 acquisition). Most cervical biomarkers were decreased after HSV-2 acquisition compared with the HSV-2 negative visits, with incident infections associated with a larger number of suppressed cervical biomarkers and lower serum IL-6 levels compared with established infections. CONCLUSIONS: A combination of systemic immunoinflammatory and cervical immunosuppressed states predicts HSV-2 acquisition. A persistently suppressed innate immunity during incident HSV-2 infection may add to the increased HIV-1 susceptibility.

Evaluation of multi-assay algorithms for cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation in settings with universal antiretroviral treatment.

BACKGROUND: Multi-assay algorithms (MAAs) are used to estimate population-level HIV incidence and identify individuals with recent infection. Many MAAs use low viral load (VL) as a biomarker for long-term infection. This could impact incidence estimates in settings with high rates of early HIV treatment initiation. We evaluated the performance of two MAAs that do not include VL. METHODS: Samples were collected from 219 seroconverters (infected < 1 year) and 4376 non-seroconverters (infected > 1 year) in the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial; 28.8% of seroconverter samples and 73.2% of non-seroconverter samples had VLs ≤ 400 copies/mL. Samples were tested with the Limiting Antigen Avidity assay (LAg) and JHU BioRad-Avidity assays. Antibody reactivity to two HIV peptides was measured using the MSD U-PLEX assay. Two MAAs were evaluated that do not include VL: a MAA that includes the LAg-Avidity assay and BioRad-Avidity assay (LAg + BR) and a MAA that includes the LAg-Avidity assay and two peptide biomarkers (LAg + PepPair). Performance of these MAAs was compared to a widely used MAA that includes LAg and VL (LAg + VL). RESULTS: The incidence estimate for LAg + VL (1.29%, 95% CI: 0.97-1.62) was close to the observed longitudinal incidence (1.34% 95% CI: 1.17-1.53). The incidence estimates for the other two MAAs were higher (LAg + BR: 2.56%, 95% CI 2.01-3.11; LAg + PepPair: 2.84%, 95% CI: 1.36-4.32). LAg + BR and LAg + PepPair also misclassified more individuals infected > 2 years as recently infected than LAg + VL (1.2% [42/3483 and 1.5% [51/3483], respectively, vs. 0.2% [6/3483]). LAg + BR classified more seroconverters as recently infected than LAg + VL or LAg + PepPair (80 vs. 58 and 50, respectively) and identified ~ 25% of virally suppressed seroconverters as recently infected. CONCLUSIONS: The LAg + VL MAA produced a cross-sectional incidence estimate that was closer to the longitudinal estimate than two MAAs that did not include VL. The LAg + BR MAA classified the greatest number of individual seroconverters as recently infected but had a higher false recent rate.

Higher sequence diversity in the vaginal tract than in blood at early HIV-1 infection.

In the majority of cases, human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection is transmitted through sexual intercourse. A single founder virus in the blood of the newly infected donor emerges from a genetic bottleneck, while in rarer instances multiple viruses are responsible for systemic infection. We sought to characterize the sequence diversity at early infection, between two distinct anatomical sites; the female reproductive tract vs. systemic compartment. We recruited 72 women from Uganda and Zimbabwe within seven months of HIV-1 infection. Using next generation deep sequencing, we analyzed the total genetic diversity within the C2-V3-C3 envelope region of HIV-1 isolated from the female genital tract at early infection and compared this to the diversity of HIV-1 in plasma. We then compared intra-patient viral diversity in matched cervical and blood samples with three or seven months post infection. Genetic analysis of the C2-V3-C3 region of HIV-1 env revealed that early HIV-1 isolates within blood displayed a more homogeneous genotype (mean 1.67 clones, range 1-5 clones) than clones in the female genital tract (mean 5.7 clones, range 3-10 clones) (p<0.0001). The higher env diversity observed within the genital tract compared to plasma was independent of HIV-1 subtype (A, C and D). Our analysis of early mucosal infections in women revealed high HIV-1 diversity in the vaginal tract but few transmitted clones in the blood. These novel in vivo finding suggest a possible mucosal sieve effect, leading to the establishment of a homogenous systemic infection.

Correction: Prevalence of sexually transmitted infections and bacterial vaginosis among women in sub-Saharan Africa: An individual participant data meta-analysis of 18 HIV prevention studies.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002511.].

Prevalence of sexually transmitted infections and bacterial vaginosis among women in sub-Saharan Africa: An individual participant data meta-analysis of 18 HIV prevention studies.

BACKGROUND: Estimates of sexually transmitted infection (STI) prevalence are essential for efforts to prevent and control STIs. Few large STI prevalence studies exist, especially for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Our primary objective was to estimate the prevalence of chlamydia, gonorrhea, trichomoniasis, syphilis, herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2), and bacterial vaginosis (BV) among women in sub-Saharan Africa by age, region, and population type. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analyzed individual-level data from 18 HIV prevention studies (cohort studies and randomized controlled trials; conducted during 1993-2011), representing >37,000 women, that tested participants for ≥1 selected STIs or BV at baseline. We used a 2-stage meta-analysis to combine data. After calculating the proportion of participants with each infection and standard error by study, we used a random-effects model to obtain a summary mean prevalence of each infection and 95% confidence interval (CI) across ages, regions, and population types. Despite substantial study heterogeneity for some STIs/populations, several patterns emerged. Across the three primary region/population groups (South Africa community-based, Southern/Eastern Africa community-based, and Eastern Africa higher-risk), prevalence was higher among 15-24-year-old than 25-49-year-old women for all STIs except HSV-2. In general, higher-risk populations had greater prevalence of gonorrhea and syphilis than clinic/community-based populations. For chlamydia, prevalence among 15-24-year-olds was 10.3% (95% CI: 7.4%, 14.1%; I2 = 75.7%) among women specifically recruited from higher-risk settings for HIV in Eastern Africa and was 15.1% (95% CI: 12.7%, 17.8%; I2 = 82.3%) in South African clinic/community-based populations. Among clinic/community-based populations, prevalence was generally greater in South Africa than in Southern/Eastern Africa for most STIs; for gonorrhea, prevalence among 15-24-year-olds was 4.6% (95% CI: 3.3%, 6.4%; I2 = 82.8%) in South Africa and was 1.7% (95% CI: 1.2%, 2.6%; I2 = 55.2%) in Southern/Eastern Africa. Across the three primary region/population groups, HSV-2 and BV prevalence was high among 25-49-year-olds (ranging from 70% to 83% and 33% to 44%, respectively). The main study limitation is that the data are not from random samples of the target populations. CONCLUSIONS: Combining data from 18 HIV prevention studies, our findings highlight important features of STI/BV epidemiology among sub-Saharan African women. This methodology can be used where routine STI surveillance is limited and offers a new approach to obtaining critical information on STI and BV prevalence in LMICs.

Serum vitamin D status and bacterial vaginosis prevalence and incidence in Zimbabwean women.

BACKGROUND: Bacterial vaginosis, a highly prevalent vaginal condition, is correlated with many adverse reproductive outcomes. In some studies, low vitamin D status (measured as serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D, 25[OH]D) has been associated with increased prevalence of bacterial vaginosis. OBJECTIVES: We examined the cross-sectional association between vitamin D status and prevalence of bacterial vaginosis, separately for pregnant and nonpregnant women. Using prospectively collected data, we also characterized the effect of time-varying vitamin D status on incident bacterial vaginosis. STUDY DESIGN: We quantified 25(OH)D in stored sera collected quarterly from 571 Zimbabwean women participating in the Hormonal Contraception and Risk of HIV Acquisition Study. The analysis was restricted to women not using hormonal contraception. We characterized associations between vitamin D insufficiency (defined as 25[OH]D ≤ 30 ng/mL vs > 30 ng/mL) and prevalence of bacterial vaginosis among nonpregnant women at the enrollment visit and among pregnant women at the first follow-up visit that pregnancy was detected. Among women who were negative for bacterial vaginosis at enrollment (n = 380), we also assessed the effect of time-varying vitamin D status on incident bacterial vaginosis. We used the Liaison 25(OH)D total assay to measure 25(OH)D. Bacterial vaginosis was diagnosed via Nugent score. RESULTS: At enrollment, the prevalence of bacterial vaginosis was 31% and overall median 25(OH)D was 29.80 ng/mL (interquartile range, 24.70-34.30 ng/mL): 29.75 ng/mL (interquartile range, 25.15-33.95 ng/mL) among women with bacterial vaginosis, and 29.90 ng/mL (interquartile range, 24.70-34.50 ng/mL) among women without bacterial vaginosis. Among pregnant women, the prevalence of bacterial vaginosis was 27% and overall median 25(OH)D was 29.90 ng/mL (interquartile range, 24.10-34.00 ng/mL): 30.80 ng/mL (interquartile range, 26.10-36.90 ng/mL) among women with bacterial vaginosis, and 29.10 ng/mL (interquartile range, 23.80-33.45 ng/mL) among women without bacterial vaginosis. Vitamin D levels ≤ 30 ng/mL were not associated with a prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in nonpregnant women (adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.04; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.34) or pregnant women (adjusted prevalence ratio, 0.88, 95% confidence interval, 0.51-1.54). Vitamin D levels ≤ 30 ng/mL were similarly not associated with incident bacterial vaginosis (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98, 95% confidence interval, 0.73-1.31). Our findings were robust to alternative specifications of vitamin D status including using a cut point for vitamin D deficiency of < 20 ng/mL vs ≥ 20 ng/mL and modeling 25(OH)D as a continuous variable. CONCLUSION: Among reproductive-age Zimbabwean women, insufficient vitamin D was not associated with increased bacterial vaginosis prevalence or incidence. Given established associations between bacterial vaginosis and poor reproductive outcomes, identification of factors leading to high bacterial vaginosis prevalence is urgently needed.

Mycoplasma genitalium is associated with increased genital HIV type 1 RNA in Zimbabwean women.

BACKGROUND: Mycoplasma genitalium is a common sexually transmitted infection associated with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. Some studies suggest that M. genitalium may increase the risk of HIV acquisition. However, results have been inconsistent, and this association has never been examined longitudinally. METHODS: Stored endocervical samples from a longitudinal cohort study of 131 Zimbabwean women in whom HIV-1 seroconversion recently occurred were tested for detection and quantity of M. genitalium using polymerase chain reaction analysis. The associations between M. genitalium and the detection and quantity of genital HIV type 1 (HIV-1) RNA, the detection and quantity of plasma HIV-1 RNA, and the CD4(+) T-cell count was analyzed using mixed-effects regression analysis. RESULTS: M. genitalium was detected in 10.5% of stored specimens (44 of 420), and infection persisted for up to 300 days. M. genitalium was independently associated with detection of genital HIV-1 RNA (adjusted odds ratio, 2.67; 95% confidence interval, .99-7.20), after adjustment for plasma viral load, viral set point, CD4(+) T-cell count, herpes simplex virus type 2 detection, and gonorrhea. There was no evidence of an association between M. genitalium detection or quantity and either plasma HIV-1 RNA load or CD4(+) T-cell count. CONCLUSIONS: The growing evidence for an association between M. genitalium and HIV genital shedding and the high prevalence and persistence of M. genitalium in this population suggest that further research into this association is important. Consideration of the cost-effectiveness of M. genitalium screening interventions may be warranted.

Hormonal contraception and the risk of HIV acquisition: an individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies of a putative association between hormonal contraception (HC) and HIV acquisition have produced conflicting results. We conducted an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of studies from sub-Saharan Africa to compare the incidence of HIV infection in women using combined oral contraceptives (COCs) or the injectable progestins depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) or norethisterone enanthate (NET-EN) with women not using HC. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Eligible studies measured HC exposure and incident HIV infection prospectively using standardized measures, enrolled women aged 15-49 y, recorded ≥15 incident HIV infections, and measured prespecified covariates. Our primary analysis estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) using two-stage random effects meta-analysis, controlling for region, marital status, age, number of sex partners, and condom use. We included 18 studies, including 37,124 women (43,613 woman-years) and 1,830 incident HIV infections. Relative to no HC use, the aHR for HIV acquisition was 1.50 (95% CI 1.24-1.83) for DMPA use, 1.24 (95% CI 0.84-1.82) for NET-EN use, and 1.03 (95% CI 0.88-1.20) for COC use. Between-study heterogeneity was mild (I(2) < 50%). DMPA use was associated with increased HIV acquisition compared with COC use (aHR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23-1.67) and NET-EN use (aHR 1.32, 95% CI 1.08-1.61). Effect estimates were attenuated for studies at lower risk of methodological bias (compared with no HC use, aHR for DMPA use 1.22, 95% CI 0.99-1.50; for NET-EN use 0.67, 95% CI 0.47-0.96; and for COC use 0.91, 95% CI 0.73-1.41) compared to those at higher risk of bias (p(interaction) = 0.003). Neither age nor herpes simplex virus type 2 infection status modified the HC-HIV relationship. CONCLUSIONS: This IPD meta-analysis found no evidence that COC or NET-EN use increases women's risk of HIV but adds to the evidence that DMPA may increase HIV risk, underscoring the need for additional safe and effective contraceptive options for women at high HIV risk. A randomized controlled trial would provide more definitive evidence about the effects of hormonal contraception, particularly DMPA, on HIV risk.

Increases in human papillomavirus detection during early HIV infection among women in Zimbabwe.

BACKGROUND: Individuals who acquire human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) may experience an immediate disruption of genital tract immunity, altering the ability to mount a local and effective immune response. This study examined the impact of early HIV infection on new detection of human papillomavirus (HPV). METHODS: One hundred fifty-five Zimbabwean women with observation periods before and after HIV acquisition and 486 HIV-uninfected women were selected from a cohort study evaluating hormonal contraceptive use and risk of HIV acquisition. Study visits occurred at 3-month intervals. Cervical swab samples available from up to 6 months before, at, and up to 6 months after the visit when HIV was first detected were typed for 37 HPV genotypes or subtypes. RESULTS: We observed ∼5-fold higher odds of multiple (≥2) new HPV detections only after HIV acquisition, relative to HIV-negative women after adjusting for sexual behavior and concurrent genital tract infections. We also observed ∼2.5-fold higher odds of single new HPV detections at visits before and after HIV acquisition, relative to HIV-uninfected women in multivariable models. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that HIV infection has an immediate impact on genital tract immunity, as evidenced by the high risk of multiple new HPV detections immediately after HIV acquisition.

Brief Report: Herpes Simplex Virus Type-2 Shedding and Genital Ulcers During Early HIV in Zimbabwean Women.

BACKGROUND: Herpes simplex virus type-2 (HSV-2) seropositive persons have a 3- to 5-fold higher risk of acquiring HIV, possibly because of HSV-2-induced inflammation and recruitment of susceptible immune cells to exposure sites. We hypothesized that cervical HSV-2 activation (ie, viral DNA shedding and/or ulcers) preceded HIV acquisition in the hormonal contraception and HIV cohort. METHODS: Zimbabwean women who acquired HIV were matched to HIV-negative women on visit, age, and bacterial sexually transmitted infections. Up to 5 cervical swabs bracketing first polymerase chain reaction detection of HIV DNA (the index visit) were selected (t-6months, t-3months, tindex, t+3months, t+6months). Women with HSV-2 immunoglobulin G+ before tindex were polymerase chain reaction tested for viral shedding. Self-reported and clinician-diagnosed ulcers were documented. Multivariable logistic regression, accounting for matching, estimated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) at each visit. RESULTS: Of 387 HSV-2 seropositive women, most had prevalent as compared with incident HSV-2 (91% vs. 9%, respectively). HSV-2 viral shedding was more common among HIV seroconverters than HIV-negative women (26% vs. 14%, P < 0.01). Shedding occurred around HIV acquisition (t-3months aOR, 2.7; 95% CI, 0.8 to 8.8; tindex aOR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.1 to 6.5; t+3months aOR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.0 to 6.6). Genital ulcers were reported more often among HIV seroconverters than HIV-negative women (13% vs. 7%; P = 0.06) and detection was after HIV acquisition (t+6months aOR, 14.5; 95% CI, 1.6 to 133.9). CONCLUSIONS: HSV-2 shedding appeared synergistic with HIV acquisition followed by presentation of ulcers. Evaluating all sexually transmitted infections rather than HSV-2 alone may clarify the relationship between inflammation and HIV acquisition.

HIV Antibody Profiles in HIV Controllers and Persons With Treatment-Induced Viral Suppression.

Introduction: Low HIV viral load is associated with delayed disease progression and reduced HIV transmission. HIV controllers suppress viral load to low levels in the absence of antiretroviral treatment (ART). We used an antibody profiling system, VirScan, to compare antibody reactivity and specificity in HIV controllers, non-controllers with treatment-induced viral suppression, and viremic non-controllers. Methods: The VirScan library contains 3,384 phage-displayed peptides spanning the HIV proteome. Antibody reactivity to these peptides was measured in plasma from a Discovery Cohort that included 13 elite controllers, 27 viremic controllers, 12 viremic non-controllers, and 21 non-controllers who were virally suppressed on ART. Antibody reactivity to selected peptides was also assessed in an independent cohort of 29 elite controllers and 37 non-controllers who were virally suppressed on ART (Validation Cohort) and in a longitudinal cohort of non-controllers. Results: In the Discovery Cohort, 62 peptides were preferentially targeted in HIV controllers compared to non-controllers who were virally suppressed on ART. These specificities were not significantly different when comparing controllers versus viremic non-controllers. Aggregate reactivity to these peptides was also high in elite controllers from the independent Validation Cohort. The 62 peptides formed seven clusters of homologous epitopes in env, gag, integrase, and vpu. Reactivity to one of these clusters located in gag p17 was inversely correlated with viral load set point in an independent cohort of non-controllers. Conclusions: Antibody reactivity was low in non-controllers suppressed on ART, but remained high in viremic controllers despite viral suppression. Antibodies in controllers and viremic non-controllers were directed against epitopes in diverse HIV proteins; higher reactivity against p17 peptides was associated with lower viral load set point. Further studies are needed to determine if these antibodies play a role in regulation of HIV viral load.

Risk factors and algorithms for chlamydial and gonococcal cervical infections in women attending family planning clinics in Thailand.

AIM: To identify risk factors associated with and evaluate algorithms for predicting Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) and Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) cervical infections in women attending family planning clinics in Thailand. METHODS: Eligible women were recruited from family planning clinics from all regions in Thailand. The women were followed at 3-month intervals for 15-24 months. At each visit, the women were interviewed for interval sexually transmitted infection (STI) history in the past 3 months, recent sexual behavior, and contraceptive use. Pelvic examinations were performed and endocervical specimens were collected to test for CT and NG using polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Factors associated with incident CT/NG cervical infections in multivariate analyses included region of country other than the north, age

Vaginal practices of HIV-negative Zimbabwean women.

BACKGROUND: Vaginal practices (VPs) may increase HIV risk by injuring vaginal epithelium or by increasing risk of bacterial vaginosis, an established risk factor for HIV. METHODS: HIV-negative Zimbabwean women (n = 2,185) participating in a prospective study on hormonal contraception and HIV risk completed an ancillary questionnaire capturing detailed VP data at quarterly followup visits for two years. RESULTS: Most participants (84%) reported ever cleansing inside the vagina, and at 40% of visits women reported drying the vagina using cloth or paper. Vaginal tightening using cloth/cotton wool, lemon juice, traditional herbs/powders, or other products was reported at 4% of visits. Women with ≥15 unprotected sex acts monthly had higher odds of cleansing (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.17, 95% CI: 1.04-1.32). Women with sexually transmitted infections had higher odds of tightening (aOR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.08-1.86). CONCLUSION: Because certain vaginal practices were associated with other HIV risk factors, synergism between VPs and other risk factors should be explored.

Concomitant Imbalances of Systemic and Mucosal Immunity Increase HIV Acquisition Risk.

BACKGROUND: We previously reported association of increased cervical RANTES and decreased secretory leukocyte protease inhibitor (SLPI) with higher risk of HIV acquisition in reproductive-age women. We now examine the interaction of concomitantly altered systemic and cervical immunity on such risk. METHODS: We measured immune biomarkers in 4390 cervical and 2390 paired serum specimens at quarterly visits in 218 HIV seroconverters and 784 seronegative women. We assessed proinflammatory (IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-8, MIP-3α, and RANTES), anti-inflammatory (IL-1RA and SLPI), vascular activation (vascular endothelial growth factor and Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1) and defensin (BD2) cervical biomarkers and systemic (peripheral blood) C reactive protein (CRP), IL-6, IL-7, and sCD14 as indicators of immune dysregulation. Biomarker levels were Box-Cox transformed and odds ratios for HIV acquisition calculated based on top quartile or higher/lower than median levels for all HIV-negative visits. RESULTS: Subsequent HIV acquisition was associated with 5 of 14 individual biomarkers: low systemic CRP [odds ratio (OR) = 1.49, 1.21-1.83] and IL-6 (OR = 1.23, 1.00-1.51), high cervical BD-2 (OR = 1.33, 1.11-1.58) and RANTES (OR = 1.20, 1.01-1.43), and low cervical IL-1RA (OR = 0.65, 0.48-0.86). Low systemic CRP concomitant with altered cervical immunity, especially high BD2, conveyed highest HIV risk (1.63, 1.29-2.05). Additional markers of increased risk emerged when low systemic CRP coincided with: low systemic IL-6 and IL-7 (OR = 1.53, 1.18-1.97); high cervical IL-8 and MIP-3α (OR = 1.40, 1.07-1.83); high cervical IL-1ß and IL-6 (OR = 1.43, 1.09-1.86); or low cervical SLPI (OR = 1.36, 1.08-1.71). CONCLUSIONS: Changes in both peripheral and mucosal immunity may precede and predispose women to HIV infection. Suppressed systemic immunity (ie, low CRP) alone or in combination with imbalanced cervical innate immunity (high proinflammatory and low anti-inflammatory mediators) indicated increased vulnerability to infection. Understanding these combined effects on HIV susceptibility is essential to preventing new infections.

Aberrant cervical innate immunity predicts onset of dysbiosis and sexually transmitted infections in women of reproductive age.

Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and vaginal dysbiosis (disturbed resident microbiota presenting with abnormal Nugent score or candidiasis) have been associated with mucosal inflammation and risk of HIV-1 infection, cancer and poor reproductive outcomes. To date, the temporal relationships between aberrant cervical innate immunity and the clinical onset of microbial disturbance have not been studied in a large population of reproductive age women. We examined data from a longitudinal cohort of 934 Ugandan and Zimbabwean women contributing 3,274 HIV-negative visits who had complete laboratory, clinical and demographic data. Among those, 207 women later acquired HIV, and 584 women were intermittently diagnosed with C. trachomatis (CT), N. gonorrhoeae (NG), genital herpes (HSV-2), T. vaginalis (TV), candidiasis, and abnormal intermediate (4-6) or high (7-10) Nugent score, i.e. bacterial vaginosis (BV). Immune biomarker concentrations in cervical swabs were analyzed by generalized linear and mixed effect models adjusting for site, age, hormonal contraceptive use (HC), pregnancy, breastfeeding, genital practices, unprotected sex and overlapping infections. High likelihood ratios (1.5-4.9) denoted the values of cervical immune biomarkers to predict onset of abnormal Nugent score and candidiasis at the next visits. When controlling for covariates, higher levels of ß-defensin-2 were antecedent to BV, CT and HSV-2, lower anti-inflammatory ratio IL-1RA:IL-1ß-to intermediate Nugent scores and candida, lower levels of the serine protease inhibitor SLPI-to candida, lower levels of the adhesion molecule ICAM-1 -to TV, and lower levels of the oxidative stress mitigator and endothelial activation marker VEGF-to NG. Changes in innate immunity following onset of dysbiosis and infections were dependent on HC use when controlling for all other covariates. In conclusion, imminent female genital tract dysbiosis or infection can be predicted by distinct patterns of innate immunity. Future research should characterize biotic and abiotic determinants of this pre-existing innate immunity state.

Effects of Depot Medroxyprogesterone Acetate, Copper Intrauterine Devices, and Levonorgestrel Implants on Early HIV Disease Progression.

Limited data exist on the effects of contraceptives on HIV disease progression. We studied the association between intramuscular injectable depot medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA-IM), the copper intrauterine device (IUD), and the levonorgestrel (LNG) implant on markers of HIV disease progression at the time of HIV detection and 3 months postdetection and time from detection to CD4 count <350 cells/mm3. Among women initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART), we studied the effect of contraceptive group on time from ART initiation to viral load (VL) <40 copies/mL. We included women 16-35 years randomized to DMPA-IM, copper IUD, or LNG implant with incident HIV infection during the Evidence for Contraceptive Options and HIV Outcomes (ECHO) trial (n = 382). We analyzed HIV VL and CD4 cell count according to participants' randomized method and also conducted a "continuous use" analysis that excluded follow-up time after method discontinuation. We used adjusted linear models to compare mean VL and CD4 cell levels by contraceptive group up to the time of ART initiation. We compared time from HIV detection to CD4 count <350 cells/mm3 and, following ART initiation, time to viral suppression (VL <40 copies/mL) using Cox proportional hazards models. At HIV detection, women allocated to DMPA-IM had lower VL relative to copper IUD (-0.28 log10 copies/mL; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.55 to -0.01) and LNG implant (-0.27, CI: -0.55 to 0.02) and higher mean CD4 than copper IUD users by 66 cells/mm3 (CI: 11-121). In continuous use analyses women allocated to DMPA-IM progressed to CD4 < 350 cells/mm3 slower than copper IUD users (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.6, CI: 0.3-1.1), whereas copper IUD users progressed faster than LNG implant users (HR = 1.8, CI: 1.0-3.3). Time to viral suppression was faster for DMPA-IM than copper IUD (HR = 1.5, CI: 1.0-2.3) and LNG implant 1.4 (CI: 0.9-2.2) users. We found no evidence of more rapid early HIV disease progression among women using DMPA-IM than among women using copper IUD or LNG implant. Our finding of more rapid progression among copper IUD compared with DMPA-IM users should be interpreted cautiously.

Age-Specific Risk Scores Do Not Improve HIV-1 Prediction Among Women in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: HIV-1 risk scoring tools could help target provision of prevention modalities such as pre-exposure prophylaxis. Recent research suggests that risk scores for women aged 18-45 may not predict risk well among young women aged 18-24. We evaluated the predictive performance of age-specific risk scores compared with the existing non-age-specific VOICE risk score, developed for women aged 18-45. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Evidence for Contraceptive Options and HIV Outcomes Trial to develop and internally validate HIV-1 risk scores for women aged 18-24 and 25-35 in South Africa. Candidate predictors included baseline demographic, clinical, behavioral, and contextual characteristics readily available in clinical settings. The VOICE risk score was applied to women aged 18-35. We evaluated predictive performance of each risk score by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Predictive performance of all risk scores was moderate, with AUC (95% confidence interval) of 0.64 (0.60 to 0.67) among women aged 18-24, 0.68 (0.62 to 0.73) among those aged 25-35, and 0.61 (0.58 to 0.65) for the VOICE risk score applied to women aged 18-35; The AUC was similar in internal validation. Among women aged 18-24, HIV-1 incidence was high even at low risk scores, at 3.9 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval: 3.2 to 4.7). CONCLUSIONS: All risk scores were moderately predictive of HIV-1 acquisition, and age-specific risk scores performed only marginally better than the VOICE non-age-specific risk score. Approaches for targeted pre-exposure prophylaxis provision to women in South Africa may require more extensive data than are currently available to improve prediction.

Disentangling contributions of reproductive tract infections to HIV acquisition in African Women.

OBJECTIVE: : To estimate the effects of reproductive tract infections (RTIs) on HIV acquisition among Zimbabwean and Ugandan women. METHODS: : A multicenter prospective observational cohort study enrolled 4439 HIV-uninfected women aged 18 to 35 attending family planning clinics in Zimbabwe and Uganda. Participants were interviewed, and tested for HIV and RTIs every 3 months for 15 to 24 months. They received HIV risk reduction counseling, male condoms, and treatment for curable RTIs. RESULTS: : Despite HIV risk reduction counseling and regular screening and treatment for RTIs, the HIV incidence did not decline during the study. Positive HSV-2 serostatus at baseline (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.69, 95% confidence interval = 2.45-5.55), incident HSV-2 (HR = 5.35, 3.06-9.36), incident Neisseria gonorrhoeae (HR = 5.46, 3.41-8.75), and altered vaginal flora during the study (bacterial vaginosis [BV]: HR = 2.12, 1.50-3.01; and intermediate flora: HR = 2.02, 1.39-2.95) were independently associated with HIV acquisition after controlling for demographic and behavioral covariates and other RTIs (Treponema pallidum, Chlamydia trachomatis, Trichomonas vaginalis, and vaginal yeasts). For N. gonorrhoeae, C. trachomatis, T. vaginalis, and vaginal yeasts, the risk of HIV acquisition increased when the infection was identified at the visit before the HIV-detection visit or with the duration of infection. Population attributable risk percent (PAR%) calculations show that HSV-2 contributes most to acquisition of new HIV infections (50.4% for baseline HSV-2 and 7.9% for incident HSV-2), followed by altered vaginal flora (17.2% for bacterial vaginosis and 11.8% for intermediate flora). CONCLUSIONS: : A substantial proportion of new HIV infections in Zimbabwean and Ugandan women are attributable to RTIs, particularly HSV-2 and altered vaginal flora.

Identification and validation of a multi-assay algorithm for cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation in populations with subtype C infection.

INTRODUCTION: Cross-sectional methods can be used to estimate HIV incidence for surveillance and prevention studies. We evaluated assays and multi-assay algorithms (MAAs) for incidence estimation in subtype C settings. METHODS: We analysed samples from individuals with subtype C infection with known duration of infection (2442 samples from 278 adults; 0.1 to 9.9 years after seroconversion). MAAs included 1-4 of the following assays: Limiting Antigen Avidity assay (LAg-Avidity), BioRad-Avidity assay, CD4 cell count and viral load (VL). We evaluated 23,400 MAAs with different assays and assay cutoffs. We identified the MAA with the largest mean window period, where the upper 95% confidence interval (CI) of the shadow was <1 year. This MAA was compared to the LAg-Avidity and BioRad-Avidity assays alone, a widely used LAg algorithm (LAg-Avidity <1.5 OD-n + VL >1000 copies/mL), and two MAAs previously optimized for subtype B settings. We compared these cross-sectional incidence estimates to observed incidence in an independent longitudinal cohort. RESULTS: The optimal MAA was LAg-Avidity <2.8 OD-n  +  BioRad-Avidity <95% + VL >400 copies/mL. This MAA had a mean window period of 248 days (95% CI: 218, 284), a shadow of 306 days (95% CI: 255, 359), and provided the most accurate and precise incidence estimate for the independent cohort. The widely used LAg algorithm had a shorter mean window period (142 days, 95% CI: 118, 167), a longer shadow (410 days, 95% CI; 318, 491), and a less accurate and precise incidence estimate for the independent cohort. CONCLUSIONS: An optimal MAA was identified for cross-sectional HIV incidence in subtype C settings. The performance of this MAA is superior to a testing algorithm currently used for global HIV surveillance.