Epidemiologic Evaluation of Retinopathy of Prematurity Severity in a Large Telemedicine Program in India Using Artificial Intelligence.

PURPOSE: Epidemiological changes in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) depend on neonatal care, neonatal mortality, and the ability to carefully titrate and monitor oxygen. We evaluate whether an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm for assessing ROP severity in babies can be used to evaluate changes in disease epidemiology in babies from South India over a 5-year period. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Babies (3093) screened for ROP at neonatal care units (NCUs) across the Aravind Eye Care System (AECS) in South India. METHODS: Images and clinical data were collected as part of routine tele-ROP screening at the AECS in India over 2 time periods: August 2015 to October 2017 and March 2019 to December 2020. All babies in the original cohort were matched 1:3 by birthweight (BW) and gestational age (GA) with babies in the later cohort. We compared the proportion of eyes with moderate (type 2) or treatment-requiring (TR) ROP, and an AI-derived ROP vascular severity score (from retinal fundus images) at the initial tele-retinal screening exam for all babies in a district, VSS), in the 2 time periods. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Differences in the proportions of type 2 or worse and TR-ROP cases, and VSS between time periods. RESULTS: Among BW and GA matched babies, the proportion [95% confidence interval {CI}] of babies with type 2 or worse and TR-ROP decreased from 60.9% [53.8%-67.7%] to 17.1% [14.0%-20.5%] (P < 0.001) and 16.8% [11.9%-22.7%] to 5.1% [3.4%-7.3%] (P < 0.001), over the 2 time periods. Similarly, the median [interquartile range] VSS in the population decreased from 2.9 [1.2] to 2.4 [1.8] (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In South India, over a 5-year period, the proportion of babies developing moderate to severe ROP has dropped significantly for babies at similar demographic risk, strongly suggesting improvements in primary prevention of ROP. These results suggest that AI-based assessment of ROP severity may be a useful epidemiologic tool to evaluate temporal changes in ROP epidemiology. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

External Validation of a Retinopathy of Prematurity Screening Model Using Artificial Intelligence in 3 Low- and Middle-Income Populations.

Importance: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of preventable blindness that disproportionately affects children born in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In-person and telemedical screening examinations can reduce this risk but are challenging to implement in LMICs owing to the multitude of at-risk infants and lack of trained ophthalmologists. Objective: To implement an ROP risk model using retinal images from a single baseline examination to identify infants who will develop treatment-requiring (TR)-ROP in LMIC telemedicine programs. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this diagnostic study conducted from February 1, 2019, to June 30, 2021, retinal fundus images were collected from infants as part of an Indian ROP telemedicine screening program. An artificial intelligence (AI)-derived vascular severity score (VSS) was obtained from images from the first examination after 30 weeks' postmenstrual age. Using 5-fold cross-validation, logistic regression models were trained on 2 variables (gestational age and VSS) for prediction of TR-ROP. The model was externally validated on test data sets from India, Nepal, and Mongolia. Data were analyzed from October 20, 2021, to April 20, 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome measures included sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for predictions of future occurrences of TR-ROP; the number of weeks before clinical diagnosis when a prediction was made; and the potential reduction in number of examinations required. Results: A total of 3760 infants (median [IQR] postmenstrual age, 37 [5] weeks; 1950 male infants [51.9%]) were included in the study. The diagnostic model had a sensitivity and specificity, respectively, for each of the data sets as follows: India, 100.0% (95% CI, 87.2%-100.0%) and 63.3% (95% CI, 59.7%-66.8%); Nepal, 100.0% (95% CI, 54.1%-100.0%) and 77.8% (95% CI, 72.9%-82.2%); and Mongolia, 100.0% (95% CI, 93.3%-100.0%) and 45.8% (95% CI, 39.7%-52.1%). With the AI model, infants with TR-ROP were identified a median (IQR) of 2.0 (0-11) weeks before TR-ROP diagnosis in India, 0.5 (0-2.0) weeks before TR-ROP diagnosis in Nepal, and 0 (0-5.0) weeks before TR-ROP diagnosis in Mongolia. If low-risk infants were never screened again, the population could be effectively screened with 45.0% (India, 664/1476), 38.4% (Nepal, 151/393), and 51.3% (Mongolia, 266/519) fewer examinations required. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this diagnostic study suggest that there were 2 advantages to implementation of this risk model: (1) the number of examinations for low-risk infants could be reduced without missing cases of TR-ROP, and (2) high-risk infants could be identified and closely monitored before development of TR-ROP.

Applications of Artificial Intelligence for Retinopathy of Prematurity Screening.

OBJECTIVES: Childhood blindness from retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is increasing as a result of improvements in neonatal care worldwide. We evaluate the effectiveness of artificial intelligence (AI)-based screening in an Indian ROP telemedicine program and whether differences in ROP severity between neonatal care units (NCUs) identified by using AI are related to differences in oxygen-titrating capability. METHODS: External validation study of an existing AI-based quantitative severity scale for ROP on a data set of images from the Retinopathy of Prematurity Eradication Save Our Sight ROP telemedicine program in India. All images were assigned an ROP severity score (1-9) by using the Imaging and Informatics in Retinopathy of Prematurity Deep Learning system. We calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity and specificity for treatment-requiring retinopathy of prematurity. Using multivariable linear regression, we evaluated the mean and median ROP severity in each NCU as a function of mean birth weight, gestational age, and the presence of oxygen blenders and pulse oxygenation monitors. RESULTS: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for detection of treatment-requiring retinopathy of prematurity was 0.98, with 100% sensitivity and 78% specificity. We found higher median (interquartile range) ROP severity in NCUs without oxygen blenders and pulse oxygenation monitors, most apparent in bigger infants (>1500 g and 31 weeks' gestation: 2.7 [2.5-3.0] vs 3.1 [2.4-3.8]; P = .007, with adjustment for birth weight and gestational age). CONCLUSIONS: Integration of AI into ROP screening programs may lead to improved access to care for secondary prevention of ROP and may facilitate assessment of disease epidemiology and NCU resources.

Aggressive posterior retinopathy of prematurity in two cohorts of patients in South India: implications for primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention.

BACKGROUND: Aggressive posterior retinopathy of prematurity (APROP), which has a poor visual prognosis, is common in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) as a result of suboptimal oxygen monitoring (primary prevention). The purpose of this study was to compare outcomes in APROP eyes treated with laser to eyes treated with antivascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapy. METHODS: The medical records of a cohort of APROP eyes treated with anti-VEGF (2010-2018) and another of eyes treated with laser photocoagulation (2002-2010) at the same institution in South India were reviewed retrospectively and compared. The main outcome was the proportion of eyes developing retinal detachment during resolution of acute ROP. RESULTS: A total of 398 eyes of 199 preterm babies with APROP were included: 168 eyes were treated with photocoagulation; 230, with anti-VEGF. From 2002 to 2010, compared to the more recent cohort, babies diagnosed with APROP tended to be heavier (P < 0.001), older (P < 0.001), and exposed to fewer days of oxygen (P = 0.02). In the laser-treated cohort, 17 of 168 eyes (10%) developed retinal detachment (7, stage 5; 12, stage 4), compared with 3 of 230 (1%) in the anti-VEGF cohort (all stage 4 [P = 0.002]). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of retinal detachment was significantly lower in eyes treated with anti-VEGF compared with laser-.treated eyes In the absence of a randomized trial, these data suggest that anti-VEGF may lead to better anatomic outcomes, although questions remain concerning dosage, timing, and risks.