Genetic Variation in WNT9B Increases Relapse Hazard in Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Many multiple sclerosis (MS) genetic susceptibility variants have been identified, but understanding disease heterogeneity remains a key challenge. Relapses are a core feature of MS and a common primary outcome of clinical trials, with prevention of relapses benefiting patients immediately and potentially limiting long-term disability accrual. We aim to identify genetic variation associated with relapse hazard in MS by analyzing the largest study population to date. METHODS: We performed a genomewide association study (GWAS) in a discovery cohort and investigated the genomewide significant variants in a replication cohort. Combining both cohorts, we captured a total of 2,231 relapses occurring before the start of any immunomodulatory treatment in 991 patients. For assessing time to relapse, we applied a survival analysis utilizing Cox proportional hazards models. We also investigated the association between MS genetic risk scores and relapse hazard and performed a gene ontology pathway analysis. RESULTS: The low-frequency genetic variant rs11871306 within WNT9B reached genomewide significance in predicting relapse hazard and replicated (meta-analysis hazard ratio (HR) = 2.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.70-2.78, p = 2.07 × 10-10 ). A pathway analysis identified an association of the pathway "response to vitamin D" with relapse hazard (p = 4.33 × 10-6 ). The MS genetic risk scores, however, were not associated with relapse hazard. INTERPRETATION: Genetic factors underlying disease heterogeneity differ from variants associated with MS susceptibility. Our findings imply that genetic variation within the Wnt signaling and vitamin D pathways contributes to differences in relapse occurrence. The present study highlights these cross-talking pathways as potential modulators of MS disease activity. ANN NEUROL 2021;89:884-894.

CHIT1 at Diagnosis Reflects Long-Term Multiple Sclerosis Disease Activity.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence for a role of microglia in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS) is growing. We investigated association of microglial markers at time of diagnostic lumbar puncture (LP) with different aspects of disease activity (relapses, disability, magnetic resonance imaging parameters) up to 6 years later in a cohort of 143 patients. METHODS: In cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), we measured 3 macrophage and microglia-related proteins, chitotriosidase (CHIT1), chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1 or YKL-40), and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (sTREM2), as well as a marker of neuronal damage, neurofilament light chain (NfL), using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and electrochemiluminescence. We investigated the same microglia-related markers in publicly available RNA expression data from postmortem brain tissue. RESULTS: CHIT1 levels at diagnostic LP correlated with 2 aspects of long-term disease activity after correction for multiple testing. First, CHIT1 increased with reduced tissue integrity in lesions at a median 3 years later (p = 9.6E-04). Second, CHIT1 reflected disease severity at a median 5 years later (p = 1.2E-04). Together with known clinical covariates, CHIT1 levels explained 12% and 27% of variance in these 2 measures, respectively, and were able to distinguish slow and fast disability progression (area under the curve = 85%). CHIT1 was the best discriminator of chronic active versus chronic inactive lesions and the only marker correlated with NfL (r = 0.3, p = 0.0019). Associations with disease activity were, however, independent of NfL. INTERPRETATION: CHIT1 CSF levels measured during the diagnostic LP reflect microglial activation early on in MS and can be considered a valuable prognostic biomarker for future disease activity. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:633-645.

Machine learning identifies an immunological pattern associated with multiple juvenile idiopathic arthritis subtypes.

OBJECTIVES: Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is the most common class of childhood rheumatic diseases, with distinct disease subsets that may have diverging pathophysiological origins. Both adaptive and innate immune processes have been proposed as primary drivers, which may account for the observed clinical heterogeneity, but few high-depth studies have been performed. METHODS: Here we profiled the adaptive immune system of 85 patients with JIA and 43 age-matched controls with indepth flow cytometry and machine learning approaches. RESULTS: Immune profiling identified immunological changes in patients with JIA. This immune signature was shared across a broad spectrum of childhood inflammatory diseases. The immune signature was identified in clinically distinct subsets of JIA, but was accentuated in patients with systemic JIA and those patients with active disease. Despite the extensive overlap in the immunological spectrum exhibited by healthy children and patients with JIA, machine learning analysis of the data set proved capable of discriminating patients with JIA from healthy controls with ~90% accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: These results pave the way for large-scale immune phenotyping longitudinal studies of JIA. The ability to discriminate between patients with JIA and healthy individuals provides proof of principle for the use of machine learning to identify immune signatures that are predictive to treatment response group.

Genetic basis for relapse rate in multiple sclerosis: Association with LRP2 genetic variation.

BACKGROUND: In contrast to successes for multiple sclerosis (MS) susceptibility, the genetic basis for clinical heterogeneity remains largely unresolved. OBJECTIVES: We investigate the first reported genetic association with relapse rate. METHODS: We genotyped variant rs12988804 in LRP2 in a homogeneous study population of 527 Belgian MS patients with 970 documented relapses. RESULTS: The rs12988804*T allele is associated with a 1.16-fold increased hazard rate for a relapse occurring ( P = 0.0078) and a higher baseline relapse rate prior to immunomodulatory treatment ( P = 0.044). CONCLUSION: Variant rs12988804 in LRP2, the first example of a genome-wide significant association with relapse rate in MS, is replicated in an independent study.

Gene specific effects on brain volume and cognition of TMEM106B in frontotemporal lobar degeneration.

Background and Objectives: TMEM106B has been proposed as a modifier of disease risk in FTLD-TDP, particularly in GRN mutation carriers. Furthermore, TMEM106B has been investigated as a disease modifier in the context of healthy aging and across multiple neurodegenerative diseases. The objective of this study is to evaluate and compare the effect of TMEM106B on gray matter volume and cognition in each of the common genetic FTD groups and in sporadic FTD patients. Methods: Participants were enrolled through the ARTFL/LEFFTDS Longitudinal Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (ALLFTD) study, which includes symptomatic and presymptomatic individuals with a pathogenic mutation in C9orf72, GRN, MAPT, VCP, TBK1, TARDBP, symptomatic non-mutation carriers, and non-carrier family controls. All participants were genotyped for the TMEM106B rs1990622 SNP. Cross-sectionally, linear mixed-effects models were fitted to assess an association between TMEM106B and genetic group interaction with each outcome measure (gray matter volume and UDS3-EF for cognition), adjusting for education, age, sex and CDR®+NACC-FTLD sum of boxes. Subsequently, associations between TMEM106B and each outcome measure were investigated within the genetic group. For longitudinal modeling, linear mixed-effects models with time by TMEM106B predictor interactions were fitted. Results: The minor allele of TMEM106B rs1990622, linked to a decreased risk of FTD, associated with greater gray matter volume in GRN mutation carriers under the recessive dosage model. This was most pronounced in the thalamus in the left hemisphere, with a retained association when considering presymptomatic GRN mutation carriers only. The minor allele of TMEM106B rs1990622 also associated with greater cognitive scores among all C9orf72 mutation carriers and in presymptomatic C9orf72 mutation carriers, under the recessive dosage model. Discussion: We identified associations of TMEM106B with gray matter volume and cognition in the presence of GRN and C9orf72 mutations. This further supports TMEM106B as modifier of TDP-43 pathology. The association of TMEM106B with outcomes of interest in presymptomatic GRN and C9orf72 mutation carriers could additionally reflect TMEM106B's impact on divergent pathophysiological changes before the appearance of clinical symptoms.

Environmental risk factors in multiple sclerosis: bridging Mendelian randomization and observational studies.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a complex disease with both genetic variants and environmental factors involved in disease susceptibility. The main environmental risk factors associated with MS in observational studies include obesity, vitamin D deficiency, Epstein-Barr virus infection and smoking. As modifying these environmental and lifestyle factors may enable prevention, it is important to pinpoint causal links between these factors and MS. Leveraging genetics through the Mendelian randomization (MR) paradigm is an elegant way to inform prevention strategies in MS. In this review, we summarize MR studies regarding the impact of environmental factors on MS susceptibility, thereby paying attention to quality criteria which will aid readers in interpreting any MR studies. We draw parallels and differences with observational studies and randomized controlled trials and look forward to the challenges that such work presents going forward.

Body Mass Index, Interleukin-6 Signaling and Multiple Sclerosis: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Objectives: We explored whether genetically predicted increased body mass index (BMI) modulates multiple sclerosis (MS) risk through interleukin-6 (IL-6) signaling. Methods: We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study using multiple genome-wide association studies (GWAS) datasets for BMI, IL-6 signaling, IL-6 levels and c-reactive protein (CRP) levels as exposures and estimated their effects on risk of MS from GWAS data from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) in 14,802 MS cases and 26,703 controls. Results: In univariable MR analyses, genetically predicted increased BMI and IL-6 signaling were associated with higher risk of MS (BMI: odds ratio (OR) = 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.15-1.47, p = 3.76 × 10-5; IL-6 signaling: OR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.11-2.04, p = 0.01). Furthermore, higher BMI was associated with increased IL-6 signaling (ß = 0.37, 95% CI = 0.32,0.41, p = 1.58 × 10-65). In multivariable MR analyses, the effect of IL-6 signaling on MS risk remained after adjusting for BMI (OR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.11-1.68, p = 0.003) and higher BMI remained associated with an increased risk for MS after adjustment for IL-6 signaling (OR = 1.16, 95% CI =1.00-1.34, p = 0.046). The proportion of the effect of BMI on MS mediated by IL-6 signaling corresponded to 43% (95% CI = 25%-54%). In contrast to IL-6 signaling, there was little evidence for an effect of serum IL-6 levels or CRP levels on risk of MS. Conclusion: In this study, we identified IL-6 signaling as a major mediator of the association between BMI and risk of MS. Further explorations of pathways underlying the association between BMI and MS are required and will, together with our findings, improve the understanding of MS biology and potentially lead to improved opportunities for targeted prevention strategies.

Effects of Vitamin D and Body Mass Index on Disease Risk and Relapse Hazard in Multiple Sclerosis: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Decreased vitamin D levels and obesity are associated with an increased risk for multiple sclerosis (MS). However, whether they also affect the disease course after onset remains unclear. With larger data sets now available, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) to determine whether serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) and body mass index (BMI) are causally associated with MS risk and, moving beyond susceptibility toward heterogeneity, with relapse hazard. METHODS: We used genetic variants from 4 distinct genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for serum 25OHD in up to 416,247 individuals and for BMI from a GWAS in 681,275 individuals. Applying 2-sample MR, we examined associations of 25OHD and BMI with the risk of MS, with summary statistics from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium GWAS in 14,802 MS cases and 26,703 controls. In addition, we examined associations with relapse hazard, with data from our GWAS in 506 MS cases. RESULTS: A 1-SD increase in genetically predicted natural-log transformed 25OHD levels decreased odds of MS up to 28% (95% CI: 12%-40%, p = 0.001) and decreased hazard for a relapse occurring up to 43% (95% CI: 15%-61%, p = 0.006). A 1-SD increase in genetically predicted BMI, corresponding to roughly 5 kg/m2, increased risk for MS with 30% (95% CI: 15%-47%, p = 3.76 × 10-5). On the contrary, we did not find evidence for a causal role of higher BMI with an increased hazard for occurrence of a relapse. DISCUSSION: This study supports causal effects of genetically predicted serum 25OHD concentrations and BMI on risk of MS. In contrast, serum 25OHD but not BMI is significantly associated with relapse hazard after onset. These findings might offer clinical implications for both prevention and treatment.

Genetics of multiple sclerosis: lessons from polygenicity.

Large-scale mapping studies have identified 236 independent genetic variants associated with an increased risk of multiple sclerosis. However, none of these variants are found exclusively in patients with multiple sclerosis. They are located throughout the genome, including 32 independent variants in the MHC and one on the X chromosome. Most variants are non-coding and seem to act through cell-specific effects on gene expression and splicing. The likely functions of these variants implicate both adaptive and innate immune cells in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis, provide pivotal biological insight into the causes and mechanisms of multiple sclerosis, and some of the variants implicated in multiple sclerosis also mediate risk of other autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. Genetics offers an approach to showing causality for environmental factors, through Mendelian randomisation. No single variant is necessary or sufficient to cause multiple sclerosis; instead, each increases total risk in an additive manner. This combined contribution from many genetic factors to disease risk, or polygenicity, has important consequences for how we interpret the epidemiology of multiple sclerosis and how we counsel patients on risk and prognosis. Ongoing efforts are focused on increasing cohort sizes, increasing diversity and detailed characterisation of study populations, and translating these associations into an understanding of the biology of multiple sclerosis.

Quantitative MRI phenotypes capture biological heterogeneity in multiple sclerosis patients.

Magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) and brain volumetric imaging are (semi-)quantitative MRI markers capturing demyelination, axonal degeneration and/or inflammation. However, factors shaping variation in these traits are largely unknown. In this study, we collected a longitudinal cohort of 33 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients and extended it cross-sectionally to 213. We measured MTR in lesions, normal-appearing white matter (NAWM), normal-appearing grey matter (NAGM) and total brain, grey matter, white matter and lesion volume. We also calculated the polygenic MS risk score. Longitudinally, inter-patient differences at inclusion and intra-patient changes during follow-up together explained > 70% of variance in MRI, with inter-patient differences at inclusion being the predominant source of variance. Cross-sectionally, we observed a moderate correlation of MTR between NAGM and NAWM and, less pronounced, with lesions. Age and gender explained about 30% of variance in total brain and grey matter volume. However, they contributed less than 10% to variance in MTR measures. There were no significant associations between MRI traits and the genetic risk score. In conclusion, (semi-)quantitative MRI traits change with ongoing disease activity but this change is modest in comparison to pre-existing inter-patient differences. These traits reflect individual variation in biological processes, which appear different from those involved in genetic MS susceptibility.

Smoking and multiple sclerosis risk: a Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Striking changes in the demographic pattern of multiple sclerosis (MS) strongly indicate an influence of modifiable exposures, which lend themselves well to intervention. It is important to pinpoint which of the many environmental, lifestyle, and sociodemographic changes that have occurred over the past decades, such as higher smoking and obesity rates, are responsible. Mendelian randomization (MR) is an elegant tool to overcome limitations inherent to observational studies and leverage human genetics to inform prevention strategies in MS. METHODS: We use genetic variants from the largest genome-wide association study for smoking phenotypes (initiation: N = 378, heaviness: N = 55, lifetime smoking: N = 126) and body mass index (BMI, N = 656) and apply these as instrumental variables in a two-sample MR analysis to the most recent meta-analysis for MS. We adjust for the genetic correlation between smoking and BMI in a multivariable MR. RESULTS: In univariable and multivariable MR, smoking does not have an effect on MS risk nor explains part of the association between BMI and MS risk. In contrast, in both analyses each standard deviation increase in BMI, corresponding to roughly 5 kg/m2 units, confers a 30% increase in MS risk. CONCLUSION: Despite observational studies repeatedly reporting an association between smoking and increased risk for MS, MR analyses on smoking phenotypes and MS risk could not confirm a causal relationship. This is in contrast with BMI, where observational studies and MR agree on a causal contribution. The reasons for the discrepancy between observational studies and our MR study concerning smoking and MS require further investigation.

Genetic Architecture of Adaptive Immune System Identifies Key Immune Regulators.

The immune system is highly diverse, but characterization of its genetic architecture has lagged behind the vast progress made by genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of emergent diseases. Our GWAS for 54 functionally relevant phenotypes of the adaptive immune system in 489 healthy individuals identifies eight genome-wide significant associations explaining 6%-20% of variance. Coding and splicing variants in PTPRC and COMMD10 are involved in memory T cell differentiation. Genetic variation controlling disease-relevant T helper cell subsets includes RICTOR and STON2 associated with Th2 and Th17, respectively, and the interferon-lambda locus controlling regulatory T cell proliferation. Early and memory B cell differentiation stages are associated with variation in LARP1B and SP4. Finally, the latrophilin family member ADGRL2 correlates with baseline pro-inflammatory interleukin-6 levels. Suggestive associations reveal mechanisms of autoimmune disease associations, in particular related to pro-inflammatory cytokine production. Pinpointing these key human immune regulators offers attractive therapeutic perspectives.