Development and validation of an MRI and clinicopathological factors prediction model for low anterior resection syndrome in anterior resection of middle and low rectal cancer.

Objective: To validate the predictive power of newly developed magnetic resonance (MR) morphological and clinicopathological risk models in predicting low anterior resection syndrome (LARS) 6 months after anterior resection of middle and low rectal cancer (MLRC). Methods: From May 2018 to January 2021, 236 patients with MLRC admitted to two hospitals (internal and external validation) were included. MR images, clinicopathological data, and LARS scores (LARSS) were collected. Tumor morphology data included longitudinal involvement length, maximum tumor diameter, proportion of tumor to circumference of the intestinal wall, tumor mesorectal infiltration depth, circumferential margin status, and distance between the tumor and anal margins. Pelvic measurements included anorectal angle, mesenterial volume (MRV), and pelvic volume. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to obtain independent risk factors of LARS after anterior resection Then, the prediction model was constructed, expressed as a nomogram, and its internal and external validity was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves. Results: The uni- and multivariate analysis revealed distance between the tumor and anal margins, MRV, pelvic volume, and body weight as significant independent risk factors for predicting LARS. From the nomogram, the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were 0.835, 75.0 %, and 80.4 %, respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity in the external validation group were 0.874, 83.3 %, and 91.7 %, respectively. Conclusion: This study shows that MR imaging and clinicopathology presented by a nomogram can strongly predict LARSS, which can then individually predict LARS 6 months after anterior resection in patients with MLRC and facilitate clinical decision-making. Clinical relevance statement: We believe that our study makes a significant contribution to the literature. This method of predicting postoperative anorectal function by preoperative measurement of MRV provides a new tool for clinicians to study LARS.

A Reliable and Repeatable Model for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: The reproducibility of imaging models for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains questionable due to inconsistent interpretation of image signs. Our aim was to screen for high-consensus MRI features to develop a repeatable model for predicting MVI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included 219 patients with HCC who underwent surgical resection, and patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 145) and a validation cohort (n = 74). Morphological characteristics, signal features on hepatobiliary phases, and dynamic enhancement patterns were qualitatively interobserver evaluated. Interobserver agreement was assessed using Cohen's κ for selecting features with high interobserver agreement. Risk factors that were significant in stepwise multivariate analysis and that could be measured with good interobserver agreement were used to construct a predictive model, which was assessed in the validation cohort. The diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated based on area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified nonsmooth tumor margin, absence of radiologic capsule, and intratumoral artery as independent risk factors of MVI. These MRI-based features showed good or nearly perfect interobserver agreement between radiologists (κ > 0.6). The predictive model predicted MVI well in the training (AUC 0.734) and validation cohorts (AUC 0.759) and fitted well to calibration curves. CONCLUSION: MRI features included nonsmooth tumor margin, absence of radiologic capsule, and intratumoral artery that can be assessed with high interobserver agreement can predict MVI in HCC patients. The predictive model described here may be useful to radiologists, regardless of experience level.

Extramural vascular invasion nomogram before radical resection of rectal cancer based on magnetic resonance imaging.

Purpose: This study verified the value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to construct a nomogram to preoperatively predict extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) in rectal cancer using MRI characteristics. Materials and methods: There were 55 rectal cancer patients with EMVI and 49 without EMVI in the internal training group. The external validation group consisted of 54 rectal cancer patients with EMVI and 55 without EMVI. High-resolution rectal T2WI, pelvic diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences, and dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) were used. We collected the following data: distance between the lower tumor margin and the anal margin, distance between the lower tumor margin and the anorectal ring, tumor proportion of intestinal wall, mrT stage, maximum tumor diameter, circumferential resection margin, superior rectal vein width, apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), T2WI EMVI score, DWI and DCE-MRI EMVI scores, demographic information, and preoperative serum tumor marker data. Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors of EMVI. A nomogram prediction model was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis verified the predictive ability of the nomogram. P < 0.05 was considered significant. Result: Tumor proportion of intestinal wall, superior rectal vein width, T2WI EMVI score, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 were significant independent predictors of EMVI in rectal cancer and were used to create the model. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivities, and specificities of the nomogram were 0.746, 65.45%, and 83.67% for the internal training group, respectively, and 0.780, 77.1%, and 71.3% for the external validation group, respectively. Data conclusion: A nomogram including MRI characteristics can predict EMVI in rectal cancer preoperatively and provides a valuable reference to formulate individualized treatment plans and predict prognosis.