Incomplete time-series gene expression in integrative study for islet autoimmunity prediction.

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) outcome prediction plays a vital role in identifying novel risk factors, ensuring early patient care and designing cohort studies. TEDDY is a longitudinal cohort study that collects a vast amount of multi-omics and clinical data from its participants to explore the progression and markers of T1D. However, missing data in the omics profiles make the outcome prediction a difficult task. TEDDY collected time series gene expression for less than 6% of enrolled participants. Additionally, for the participants whose gene expressions are collected, 79% time steps are missing. This study introduces an advanced bioinformatics framework for gene expression imputation and islet autoimmunity (IA) prediction. The imputation model generates synthetic data for participants with partially or entirely missing gene expression. The prediction model integrates the synthetic gene expression with other risk factors to achieve better predictive performance. Comprehensive experiments on TEDDY datasets show that: (1) Our pipeline can effectively integrate synthetic gene expression with family history, HLA genotype and SNPs to better predict IA status at 2 years (sensitivity 0.622, AUC 0.715) compared with the individual datasets and state-of-the-art results in the literature (AUC 0.682). (2) The synthetic gene expression contains predictive signals as strong as the true gene expression, reducing reliance on expensive and long-term longitudinal data collection. (3) Time series gene expression is crucial to the proposed improvement and shows significantly better predictive ability than cross-sectional gene expression. (4) Our pipeline is robust to limited data availability. Availability: Code is available at https://github.com/compbiolabucf/TEDDY.

Progression to type 1 diabetes in the DPT-1 and TN07 clinical trials is critically associated with specific residues in HLA-DQA1-B1 heterodimers.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this work was to explore molecular amino acids (AAs) and related structures of HLA-DQA1-DQB1 that underlie its contribution to the progression from stages 1 or 2 to stage 3 type 1 diabetes. METHODS: Using high-resolution DQA1 and DQB1 genotypes from 1216 participants in the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 and the Diabetes Prevention Trial, we applied hierarchically organised haplotype association analysis (HOH) to decipher which AAs contributed to the associations of DQ with disease and their structural properties. HOH relied on the Cox regression to quantify the association of DQ with time-to-onset of type 1 diabetes. RESULTS: By numerating all possible DQ heterodimers of α- and ß-chains, we showed that the heterodimerisation increases genetic diversity at the cellular level from 43 empirically observed haplotypes to 186 possible heterodimers. Heterodimerisation turned several neutral haplotypes (DQ2.2, DQ2.3 and DQ4.4) to risk haplotypes (DQ2.2/2.3-DQ4.4 and DQ4.4-DQ2.2). HOH uncovered eight AAs on the α-chain (-16α, -13α, -6α, α22, α23, α44, α72, α157) and six AAs on the ß-chain (-18ß, ß9, ß13, ß26, ß57, ß135) that contributed to the association of DQ with progression of type 1 diabetes. The specific AAs concerned the signal peptide (minus sign, possible linkage to expression levels), pockets 1, 4 and 9 in the antigen-binding groove of the α1ß1 domain, and the putative homodimerisation of the αß heterodimers. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These results unveil the contribution made by DQ to type 1 diabetes progression at individual residues and related protein structures, shedding light on its immunological mechanisms and providing new leads for developing treatment strategies. DATA AVAILABILITY: Clinical trial data and biospecimen samples are available through the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases Central Repository portal ( https://repository.niddk.nih.gov/studies ).

Early-childhood body mass index and its association with the COVID-19 pandemic, containment measures and islet autoimmunity in children with increased risk for type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to determine whether BMI in early childhood was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and containment measures, and whether it was associated with the risk for islet autoimmunity. METHODS: Between February 2018 and May 2023, data on BMI and islet autoimmunity were collected from 1050 children enrolled in the Primary Oral Insulin Trial, aged from 4.0 months to 5.5 years of age. The start of the COVID-19 pandemic was defined as 18 March 2020, and a stringency index was used to assess the stringency of containment measures. Islet autoimmunity was defined as either the development of persistent confirmed multiple islet autoantibodies, or the development of one or more islet autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes. Multivariate linear mixed-effect, linear and logistic regression methods were applied to assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and the stringency index on early-childhood BMI measurements (BMI as a time-varying variable, BMI at 9 months of age and overweight risk at 9 months of age), and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the effect of BMI measurements on islet autoimmunity risk. RESULTS: The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with increased time-varying BMI (ß = 0.39; 95% CI 0.30, 0.47) and overweight risk at 9 months (ß = 0.44; 95% CI 0.03, 0.84). During the COVID-19 pandemic, a higher stringency index was positively associated with time-varying BMI (ß = 0.02; 95% CI 0.00, 0.04 per 10 units increase), BMI at 9 months (ß = 0.13; 95% CI 0.01, 0.25) and overweight risk at 9 months (ß = 0.23; 95% CI 0.03, 0.43). A higher age-corrected BMI and overweight risk at 9 months were associated with increased risk for developing islet autoimmunity up to 5.5 years of age (HR 1.16; 95% CI 1.01, 1.32 and HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.00, 2.82, respectively). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Early-childhood BMI increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and was influenced by the level of restrictions during the pandemic. Controlling for the COVID-19 pandemic, elevated BMI during early childhood was associated with increased risk for childhood islet autoimmunity in children with genetic susceptibility to type 1 diabetes.

Enteroviruses and Type 1 Diabetes: Multiple Mechanisms and Factors?

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by insulin deficiency and resultant hyperglycemia. Complex interactions of genetic and environmental factors trigger the onset of autoimmune mechanisms responsible for development of autoimmunity to ß cell antigens and subsequent development of T1D. A potential role of virus infections has long been hypothesized, and growing evidence continues to implicate enteroviruses as the most probable triggering viruses. Recent studies have strengthened the association between enteroviruses and development of autoimmunity in T1D patients, potentially through persistent infections. Enterovirus infections may contribute to different stages of disease development. We review data from both human cohort studies and experimental research exploring the potential roles and molecular mechanisms by which enterovirus infections can impact disease outcome.

A functional variant rs912304 for late-onset T1D risk contributes to islet dysfunction by regulating proinflammatory cytokine-responsive gene STXBP6 expression.

BACKGROUND: Our previous genome­wide association studies (GWAS) have suggested rs912304 in 14q12 as a suggestive risk variant for type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, the association between this risk region and T1D subgroups and related clinical risk features, the underlying causal functional variant(s), putative candidate gene(s), and related mechanisms are yet to be elucidated. METHODS: We assessed the association between variant rs912304 and T1D, as well as islet autoimmunity and islet function, stratified by the diagnosed age of 12. We used epigenome bioinformatics analyses, dual luciferase reporter assays, and expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analyses to prioritize the most likely functional variant and potential causal gene. We also performed functional experiments to evaluate the role of the causal gene on islet function and its related mechanisms. RESULTS: We identified rs912304 as a risk variant for T1D subgroups with diagnosed age ≥ 12 but not < 12. This variant is associated with residual islet function but not islet-specific autoantibody positivity in T1D individuals. Bioinformatics analysis indicated that rs912304 is a functional variant exhibiting spatial overlaps with enhancer active histone marks (H3K27ac and H3K4me1) and open chromatin status (ATAC-seq) in the human pancreas and islet tissues. Luciferase reporter gene assays and eQTL analyses demonstrated that the biallelic sites of rs912304 had differential allele-specific enhancer activity in beta cell lines and regulated STXBP6 expression, which was defined as the most putative causal gene based on Open Targets Genetics, GTEx v8 and Tiger database. Moreover, Stxbp6 was upregulated by T1D-related proinflammatory cytokines but not high glucose/fat. Notably, Stxbp6 over-expressed INS-1E cells exhibited decreasing insulin secretion and increasing cell apoptosis through Glut1 and Gadd45ß, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study expanded the genomic landscape regarding late-onset T1D risk and supported islet function mechanistically connected to T1D pathogenesis.

Gut Inflammation Markers, Diet, and Risk of Islet Autoimmunity in Finnish Children - A Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Gut dysbiosis and increased intestinal permeability have been reported to precede type 1 diabetes-related autoimmunity. The role of gut inflammation in autoimmunity is not understood. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess whether gut inflammation markers are associated with risk of islet autoimmunity and whether diet is associated with gut inflammation markers. METHODS: A nested case-control sample of 75 case children with islet autoimmunity and 88 control children was acquired from the Finnish Type 1 Diabetes Prediction and Prevention cohort. Diet was assessed with 3-d food records, and calprotectin and human ß-defensin-2 (HBD-2) were analyzed from stool samples at 6 and 12 mo of age. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used in a matched case-control setting to assess risk of autoimmunity. Analysis of variance, independent samples t test, and a general linear model were used in secondary analyses to test associations of background characteristics and dietary factors with inflammation markers. RESULTS: In unadjusted analyses, calprotectin was not associated with risk of islet autoimmunity, whereas HBD-2 in the middle (odds ratio [OR]: 3.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03, 10.08) or highest tertile (OR: 3.02; 95% CI: 1.05, 8.69) in comparison to the lowest at 12 mo of age showed borderline association (P-trend = 0.063) with higher risk of islet autoimmunity. Excluding children with cow milk allergy in sensitivity analyses strengthened the association of HBD-2 with islet autoimmunity, whereas adjusting for dietary factors and maternal education weakened it. At age 12 mo, higher fat intake was associated with higher HBD-2 (ß: 0.219; 95% CI: 0.110, 0.328) and higher intake of dietary fiber (ß: -0.294; 95% CI: -0.510, -0.078), magnesium (ß: -0.036; 95% CI: -0.059, -0.014), and potassium (ß: -0.003; 95% CI: -0.005, -0.001) with lower HBD-2. CONCLUSIONS: Higher HBD-2 in infancy may be associated with higher risk of islet autoimmunity. Dietary factors play a role in gut inflammatory status.

Food Consumption and Risk of Islet Autoimmunity and Type 1 Diabetes in Children at Increased Genetic Susceptibility for Type 1 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Prospective longitudinal evidence considering the entire childhood food consumption in relation to the development of islet autoimmunity (IA or) type 1 diabetes is lacking. OBJECTIVES: We studied the associations of consumption of various foods and their combinations with IA and type 1 diabetes risk. METHODS: Children with genetic susceptibility to type 1 diabetes born in 1996-2004 were followed from birth ≤6 y of age in the prospective birth cohort type 1 diabetes prediction and prevention study (n = 5674). Exposure variables included 34 food groups covering the entire diet based on repeated 3-d food records at ages 3 mo to 6 y. Endpoints were islet cell antibodies plus biochemical IA (n = 247), multiple biochemical IA (n = 206), and type 1 diabetes (n = 94). We analyzed associations between longitudinally observed foods and risk of IA/type 1 diabetes using a Bayesian approach to joint models in 1-food and multi-food models adjusted for energy intake, sex, human leukocyte antigen genotype, and familial diabetes. RESULTS: The final multi-food model for islet cell antibodies plus biochemical IA included oats [hazard ratio (HR): 1.09; 95% credible interval (CI): 1.04, 1.14], banana (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.11), and cruciferous vegetables (HR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.73, 0.94). The final model for multiple biochemical IA included, in addition to the above-mentioned foods, fermented dairy (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.78) and wheat (HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.18). The final multi-food model for type 1 diabetes included rye (HR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.50), oats (HR: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.26), fruits (HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.09), and berries (HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: Higher consumption of oats, gluten-containing cereals, and fruits was associated with increased that of cruciferous vegetables with decreased risk of several type 1 diabetes-related endpoints when considering all the foods in combination. Further etiological and mechanistic studies are warranted.

High Concentrations of Immunoglobulin G Against Cow Milk Proteins and Frequency of Cow Milk Consumption Are Associated With the Development of Islet Autoimmunity and Type 1 Diabetes-The Trial to Reduce Insulin-dependent Diabetes Mellitus (IDDM) in the Genetically at Risk (TRIGR) Study.

BACKGROUND: The Trial to Reduce IDDM in the Genetically at Risk (TRIGR) (NCT00179777) found no difference type 1 diabetes risk between hydrolyzed and regular infant formula. However, cow milk consumption during childhood is consistently linked to type 1 diabetes risk in prospective cohort studies. OBJECTIVES: Our primary aim was to study whether humoral immune responses to cow milk and cow milk consumption are associated with type 1 diabetes in TRIGR children. METHODS: TRIGR comprised 2159 children with genetic susceptibility to type 1 diabetes born between 2002 and 2007 in 15 countries. Children were randomly assigned into groups receiving extensively hydrolyzed casein or a regular cow milk formula and followed up until age 10 y. Type 1 diabetes-related autoantibodies and antibodies to cow milk proteins were analyzed. Infant formula intake was measured by structured dietary interviews and milk consumption with a food frequency questionnaire. Associations of milk antibodies and milk consumption with risk to develop type 1 diabetes were analyzed using Cox survival model. RESULTS: Cow milk antibody concentrations both in cord blood [hazards ratio (HR) for islet autoimmunity: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.61; HR for type 1 diabetes: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.71] and longitudinally from birth to 3 years (HR for islet autoimmunity: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.81; HR for type 1 diabetes: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.96) were associated with increased risk of developing type 1 diabetes. The amount of regular infant formula was associated with reduced islet autoimmunity risk in the regular infant formula group (HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.85, 0.99). Furthermore, frequent liquid milk consumption after infancy was associated with increased risk of islet autoimmunity or type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated cow milk antibody concentrations and high consumption of liquid milk after infancy are related to type 1 diabetes development in children with an increased genetic susceptibility to type 1 diabetes. Enhanced antibody concentrations to cow milk may provide a biomarker of immune system prone to develop islet autoimmunity. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00179777.

Random C-Peptide and Islet Antibodies at Onset Predict ß Cell Function Trajectory and Insulin Dependence in Pediatric Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Identification of prognostic biomarkers in pediatric diabetes is important for precision medicine. OBJECTIVE: We assessed whether C-peptide and islet autoantibodies are useful to predict the natural history of children with new-onset diabetes. METHODS: We prospectively studied 72 children with new-onset diabetes (median follow-up: 8 months) by applying the Aß classification system ("A+": islet autoantibody positive, "ß+": random serum C-peptide≥1.3 ng/mL at diagnosis). Beta-cell function was assessed longitudinally with 2h post-prandial/stimulated urinary C-peptide-to-creatinine ratio (UCPCR) 3-12 weeks (V1) and 6-12 months after diagnosis (V2). We obtained a type 1 diabetes genetic risk score (T1D GRS2) for each participant, and compared characteristics at baseline, and clinical outcomes at V2. RESULTS: The cohort was 50% male. Racial distribution was 76.4% White, 20.8% Black and 2.8% Asian or other races. A total of 46.5% participants were Hispanic. Median age (Q1-Q3) was 12.4 (8.3-14.5) years. The Aß subgroup frequencies were 46 A+ß-(63.9%), 1 A-ß-(1.4%), 4 A+ß+(5.6%), and 21 A-ß+(29.2%). Baseline serum C-peptide correlated with UCPCR at both V1 (r=0.36, p=0.002) and V2 (r=0.47, p<0.001). There were significant subgroup differences in age, race, frequency of diabetic ketoacidosis and T1D GRS2 (p<0.01). At V2, the two ß- subgroups had lower UCPCR and higher HbA1c compared with the two ß+ subgroups (p<0.001 and p=0.02, respectively). Thirty-eight percent of A-ß+ but none of the other subgroups were insulin-independent at V2 (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: C-peptide and islet autoimmunity at diagnosis define distinct phenotypes and predict beta-cell function and insulin dependence 6-12 months later in racially/ethnically diverse children with new-onset diabetes.

Islet autoimmunity in human type 1 diabetes: initiation and progression from the perspective of the beta cell.

Type 1 diabetes results from the poorly understood process of islet autoimmunity, which ultimately leads to the loss of functional pancreatic beta cells. Mounting evidence supports the notion that the activation and evolution of islet autoimmunity in genetically susceptible people is contingent upon early life exposures affecting the islets, especially beta cells. Here, we review some of the recent advances and studies that highlight the roles of these changes as well as antigen presentation and stress response pathways in beta cells in the onset and propagation of the autoimmune process in type 1 diabetes. Future progress in this area holds promise for advancing islet- and beta cell-directed therapies that could be implemented in the early stages of the disease and could be combined with immunotherapies.

Interaction between plasma phospholipid odd-chain fatty acids and GAD65 autoantibodies on the incidence of adult-onset diabetes: the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Islet autoimmunity may progress to adult-onset diabetes. We investigated whether circulating odd-chain fatty acids (OCFA) 15:0 and 17:0, which are inversely associated with type 2 diabetes, interact with autoantibodies against GAD65 (GAD65Ab) on the incidence of adult-onset diabetes. METHODS: We used the European EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study including 11,124 incident adult-onset diabetes cases and a subcohort of 14,866 randomly selected individuals. Adjusted Prentice-weighted Cox regression estimated HRs and 95% CIs of diabetes in relation to 1 SD lower plasma phospholipid 15:0 and/or 17:0 concentrations or their main contributor, dairy intake, among GAD65Ab-negative and -positive individuals. Interactions between tertiles of OCFA and GAD65Ab status were estimated by proportion attributable to interaction (AP). RESULTS: Low concentrations of OCFA, particularly 17:0, were associated with a higher incidence of adult-onset diabetes in both GAD65Ab-negative (HR 1.55 [95% CI 1.48, 1.64]) and GAD65Ab-positive (HR 1.69 [95% CI 1.34, 2.13]) individuals. The combination of low 17:0 and high GAD65Ab positivity vs high 17:0 and GAD65Ab negativity conferred an HR of 7.51 (95% CI 4.83, 11.69), with evidence of additive interaction (AP 0.25 [95% CI 0.05, 0.45]). Low dairy intake was not associated with diabetes incidence in either GAD65Ab-negative (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.94, 1.02]) or GAD65Ab-positive individuals (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.79, 1.18]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Low plasma phospholipid 17:0 concentrations may promote the progression from GAD65Ab positivity to adult-onset diabetes.

Prioritization of infectious epitopes for translational investigation in type 1 diabetes etiology.

Molecular mimicry is one mechanism by which infectious agents are thought to trigger islet autoimmunity in type 1 diabetes. With a growing number of reported infectious agents and islet antigens, strategies to prioritize the study of infectious agents are critically needed to expedite translational research into the etiology of type 1 diabetes. In this work, we developed an in-silico pipeline for assessing molecular mimicry in type 1 diabetes etiology based on sequence homology, empirical binding affinity to specific MHC molecules, and empirical potential for T-cell immunogenicity. We then assess whether potential molecular mimics were conserved across other pathogens known to infect humans. Overall, we identified 61 potentially high-impact molecular mimics showing sequence homology, strong empirical binding affinity, and empirical immunogenicity linked with specific MHC molecules. We further found that peptide sequences from 32 of these potential molecular mimics were conserved across several human pathogens. These findings facilitate translational evaluation of molecular mimicry in type 1 diabetes etiology by providing a curated and prioritized list of peptides from infectious agents for etiopathologic investigation. These results may also provide evidence for generation of infectious and HLA-specific preclinical models and inform future screening and preventative efforts in genetically susceptible populations.

What is the role of puberty in the development of islet autoimmunity and progression to type 1 diabetes?

In many populations, the peak period of incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) has been observed to be around 10-14 years of age, coinciding with puberty, but direct evidence of the role of puberty in the development of T1D is limited. We therefore aimed to investigate whether puberty and the timing of its onset are associated with the development of islet autoimmunity (IA) and subsequent progression to T1D. A Finnish population-based cohort of children with HLA-DQB1-conferred susceptibility to T1D was followed from 7 years of age until 15 years of age or until a diagnosis of T1D (n = 6920). T1D-associated autoantibodies and growth were measured at 3- to 12-month intervals, and pubertal onset timing was assessed based on growth. The analyses used a three-state survival model. IA was defined as being either positive for islet cell antibodies plus at least one biochemical autoantibody (ICA + 1) or as being repeatedly positive for at least one biochemical autoantibody (BC1). Depending on the IA definition, either 303 (4.4%, ICA + 1) or 435 (6.3%, BC1) children tested positive for IA by the age of 7 years, and 211 (3.2%, ICA + 1)) or 198 (5.3%, BC1) developed IA during follow-up. A total of 172 (2.5%) individuals developed T1D during follow-up, of whom 169 were positive for IA prior to the clinical diagnosis. Puberty was associated with an increase in the risk of progression to T1D, but only from ICA + 1-defined IA (hazard ratio 1.57; 95% confidence interval 1.14, 2.16), and the timing of pubertal onset did not affect the association. No association between puberty and the risk of IA was detected. In conclusion, puberty may affect the risk of progression but is not a risk factor for IA.

The longitudinal loss of islet autoantibody responses from diagnosis of type 1 diabetes occurs progressively over follow-up and is determined by low autoantibody titres, early-onset, and genetic variants.

The clinical usefulness of post-diagnosis islet autoantibody levels is unclear and factors that drive autoantibody persistence are poorly defined in type 1 diabetes (T1D). Our aim was to characterise the longitudinal loss of islet autoantibody responses after diagnosis in a large, prospectively sampled UK cohort. Participants with T1D [n = 577] providing a diagnosis sample [range -1.0 to 2.0 years] and at least one post-diagnosis sample (<32.0 years) were tested for autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase 65 (GADA), islet antigen-2 (IA-2A), and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A). Select HLA and non-HLA SNPs were considered. Non-genetic and genetic factors were assessed by multivariable logistic regression models for autoantibody positivity at initial sampling and autoantibody loss at final sampling. For GADA, IA-2A, and ZnT8A, 70.8%, 76.8%, and 40.1%, respectively, remained positive at the final sampling. Non-genetic predictors of autoantibody loss were low baseline autoantibody titres (P < 0.0001), longer diabetes duration (P < 0.0001), and age-at-onset under 8 years (P < 0.01--0.05). Adjusting for non-genetic covariates, GADA loss was associated with low-risk HLA class II genotypes (P = 0.005), and SNPs associated with autoimmunity RELA/11q13 (P = 0.017), LPP/3q28 (P = 0.004), and negatively with IFIH1/2q24 (P = 0.018). IA-2A loss was not associated with genetic factors independent of other covariates, while ZnT8A loss was associated with the presence of HLA A*24 (P = 0.019) and weakly negatively with RELA/11q13 (P = 0.049). The largest longitudinal study of islet autoantibody responses from diagnosis of T1D shows that autoantibody loss is heterogeneous and influenced by low titres at onset, longer duration, earlier age-at-onset, and genetic variants. These data may inform clinical trials where post-diagnosis participants are recruited.

Parental smoking, type 1 diabetes, and islet autoantibody positivity in the offspring: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: Our aim was to synthesize current evidence on the association between parental smoking and incidence of type 1 diabetes and islet autoantibody positivity (IA) in the offspring by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: We searched Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library until January 21, 2021, for human studies with parental tobacco use as exposure, type 1 diabetes or IA as outcome, and hazard, risk, or odds ratios as effect estimates. Summary relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated with random-effects models. Heterogeneity was quantified with the I2  statistic, bias with the ROBINS-I tool, and the certainty of evidence with the GRADE tool. RESULTS: We identified 535 records of which 23 were eligible including 25 927 cases of type 1 diabetes. Maternal smoking during pregnancy was associated with a reduced risk of type 1 diabetes (n = 22, RR 0.78, CI 0.71-0.86, I2 =69%). Including only studies with low to moderate risk of bias indicated similar results with less heterogeneity (n = 14, RR 0.73, CI 0.68-0.79, I2  = 44%). The certainty of evidence was graded as high. There was no clear association between type 1 diabetes and neither maternal (n = 6, RR 0.95, CI 0.78-1.14, I2  = 0%) nor paternal (n = 6, RR 0.90, 0.70-1.17, I2  = 68%) smoking during childhood. Furthermore, the association between maternal smoking during pregnancy and IA was weak (n = 4, RR 0.86, CI 0.44-1.65, I2  = 71%). CONCLUSIONS: Maternal smoking during pregnancy may reduce the risk of type 1 diabetes in the offspring. Further studies are needed to elucidate potential mechanisms underlying this association. REGISTRATION: Prospero CRD42021236717.

Decreased occurrence of ketoacidosis and preservation of beta cell function in relatives screened and monitored for type 1 diabetes in Australia and New Zealand.

AIMS: Islet autoantibody screening of infants and young children in the Northern Hemisphere, together with semi-annual metabolic monitoring, is associated with a lower risk of ketoacidosis (DKA) and improved glucose control after diagnosis of clinical (stage 3) type 1 diabetes (T1D). We aimed to determine if similar benefits applied to older Australians and New Zealanders monitored less rigorously. METHODS: DKA occurrence and metabolic control were compared between T1D relatives screened and monitored for T1D and unscreened individuals diagnosed in the general population, ascertained from the Australasian Diabetes Data Network. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2019, 17,105 relatives (mean (SD) age 15.7 (10.8) years; 52% female) were screened for autoantibodies against insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, and insulinoma-associated protein 2. Of these, 652 screened positive to a single and 306 to multiple autoantibody specificities, of whom 201 and 215, respectively, underwent metabolic monitoring. Of 178 relatives diagnosed with stage 3 T1D, 9 (5%) had DKA, 7 of whom had not undertaken metabolic monitoring. The frequency of DKA in the general population was 31%. After correction for age, sex and T1D family history, the frequency of DKA in screened relatives was >80% lower than in the general population. HbA1c and insulin requirements following diagnosis were also lower in screened relatives, consistent with greater beta cell reserve. CONCLUSIONS: T1D autoantibody screening and metabolic monitoring of older children and young adults in Australia and New Zealand, by enabling pre-clinical diagnosis when beta cell reserve is greater, confers protection from DKA. These clinical benefits support ongoing efforts to increase screening activity in the region and should facilitate the application of emerging immunotherapies.

The virome in early life and childhood and development of islet autoimmunity and type 1 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Viruses are postulated as primary candidate triggers of islet autoimmunity (IA) and type 1 diabetes (T1D), based on considerable epidemiological and experimental evidence. Recent studies have investigated the association between all viruses (the 'virome') and IA/T1D using metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS). Current associations between the early life virome and the development of IA/T1D were analysed in a systematic review and meta-analysis of human observational studies from Medline and EMBASE (published 2000-June 2020), without language restriction. Inclusion criteria were as follows: cohort and case-control studies examining the virome using mNGS in clinical specimens of children ≤18 years who developed IA/T1D. The National Health and Medical Research Council level of evidence scale and Newcastle-Ottawa scale were used for study appraisal. Meta-analysis for exposure to specific viruses was performed using random-effects models, and the strength of association was measured using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Eligible studies (one case-control, nine nested case-control) included 1,425 participants (695 cases, 730 controls) and examined IA (n = 1,023) or T1D (n = 402). Meta-analysis identified small but significant associations between IA and number of stool samples positive for all enteroviruses (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.00-1.29, p = 0.05; heterogeneity χ2  = 1.51, p = 0.68, I2  = 0%), consecutive positivity for enteroviruses (1.55, 1.09-2.20, p = 0.01; χ2  = 0.19, p = 0.91, I2  = 0%) and number of stool samples positive specifically for enterovirus B (1.20, 1.01-1.42, p = 0.04; χ2  = 0.03, p = 0.86, I2  = 0%). Virome analyses to date have demonstrated associations between enteroviruses and IA that may be clinically significant. However, larger prospective mNGS studies with more frequent sampling and follow-up from pregnancy are required to further elucidate associations between early virus exposure and IA/T1D.

Association of long-term environmental exposures in pregnancy and early life with islet autoimmunity development in children in Bavaria, Germany.

OBJECTIVE: Incidence of early-onset type 1 diabetes (T1D) has been increasing worldwide. Only few studies examined the relationship between geographical environmental variation and T1D incidence or its presymptomatic stage of islet autoimmunity. Our study aimed to investigate the effect of long-term environmental exposures during pregnancy and early life on childhood islet autoimmunity. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used data from the Fr1da cohort study which screened children aged 1.75-5.99 years for multiple islet autoantibodies in Bavaria, Germany between 2015 and 2019. We included 85,251 children with valid residential information. Daily averages for particulate matter with a diameter <2.5 µm, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, air temperature, and greenness were averaged for each zip-code or directly assigned to the addresses. The exposure windows included pregnancy, the first year and the first two years of life. Generalized additive models adjusting for individual and socioeconomic variables were used to investigate associations between environmental exposures and islet autoimmunity development. RESULTS: Islet autoimmunity was diagnosed in 272 children. Colder air temperature during pregnancy was associated with developing islet autoimmunity at the address (per 2.2 °C decrease, Odds ratio (OR): 1.49; 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.21-1.83) and zip-code level (per 2.4 °C decrease, OR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.08-1.59). Using the addresses, significant associations were also observed during the first years of life. CONCLUSION: In this study, children's residential exposure to lower levels of air temperature during pregnancy and early life increased the risk of islet autoimmunity before the age of six.

Self-Antigens Targeted by Regulatory T Cells in Type 1 Diabetes.

While progress has been made toward understanding mechanisms that lead to the development of autoimmunity, there is less knowledge regarding protective mechanisms from developing such diseases. For example, in type 1 diabetes (T1D), the immune-mediated form of diabetes, the role of pathogenic T cells in the destruction of pancreatic islets is well characterized, but immune-mediated mechanisms that contribute to T1D protection have not been fully elucidated. One potential protective mechanism includes the suppression of immune responses by regulatory CD4 T cells (Tregs) that recognize self-peptides from islets presented by human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II molecules. In this review, we summarize what is known about the antigenic self-peptides recognized by Tregs in the context of T1D.

A randomised, single-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-finding safety and tolerability study of the anti-CD3 monoclonal antibody otelixizumab in new-onset type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Numerous clinical studies have investigated the anti-CD3ɛ monoclonal antibody otelixizumab in individuals with type 1 diabetes, but limited progress has been made in identifying the optimal clinical dose with acceptable tolerability and safety. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between dose-response, safety and tolerability, beta cell function preservation and the immunological effects of otelixizumab in new-onset type 1 diabetes. METHODS: In this randomised, single-blind, placebo-controlled, 24 month study, conducted in five centres in Belgium via the Belgian Diabetes Registry, participants (16-27 years old, <32 days from diagnosis of type 1 diabetes) were scheduled to receive placebo or otelixizumab in one of four dose cohorts (cumulative i.v. dose 9, 18, 27 or 36 mg over 6 days; planned n = 40). Randomisation to treatment was by a central computer system; only participants and bedside study personnel were blinded to study treatment. The co-primary endpoints were the incidence of adverse events, the rate of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) reactivation, and laboratory measures and vital signs. A mixed-meal tolerance test was used to assess beta cell function; exploratory biomarkers were used to measure T cell responses. RESULTS: Thirty participants were randomised/28 were analysed (placebo, n = 6/5; otelixizumab 9 mg, n = 9/8; otelixizumab 18 mg, n = 8/8; otelixizumab 27 mg, n = 7/7; otelixizumab 36 mg, n = 0). Dosing was stopped at otelixizumab 27 mg as the predefined EBV reactivation stopping criteria were met. Adverse event frequency and severity were dose dependent; all participants on otelixizumab experienced at least one adverse event related to cytokine release syndrome during the dosing period. EBV reactivation (otelixizumab 9 mg, n = 2/9; 18 mg, n = 4/8: 27 mg, n = 5/7) and clinical manifestations (otelixizumab 9 mg, n = 0/9; 18 mg, n = 1/8; 27 mg, n = 3/7) were rapid, dose dependent and transient, and were associated with increased productive T cell clonality that diminished over time. Change from baseline mixed-meal tolerance test C-peptide weighted mean AUC0-120 min following otelixizumab 9 mg was above baseline for up to 18 months (difference from placebo 0.39 [95% CI 0.06, 0.72]; p = 0.023); no beta cell function preservation was observed at otelixizumab 18 and 27 mg. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: A metabolic response was observed with otelixizumab 9 mg, while doses higher than 18 mg increased the risk of unwanted clinical EBV reactivation. Although otelixizumab can temporarily compromise immunocompetence, allowing EBV to reactivate, the effect is dose dependent and transient, as evidenced by a rapid emergence of EBV-specific T cells preceding long-term control over EBV reactivation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02000817. FUNDING: The study was funded by GlaxoSmithKline. Graphical abstract.