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1.
Nature ; 615(7954): 874-883, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36991188

ABSTRACT

Optimal growth and development in childhood and adolescence is crucial for lifelong health and well-being1-6. Here we used data from 2,325 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight from 71 million participants, to report the height and body-mass index (BMI) of children and adolescents aged 5-19 years on the basis of rural and urban place of residence in 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. In 1990, children and adolescents residing in cities were taller than their rural counterparts in all but a few high-income countries. By 2020, the urban height advantage became smaller in most countries, and in many high-income western countries it reversed into a small urban-based disadvantage. The exception was for boys in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and in some countries in Oceania, south Asia and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. In these countries, successive cohorts of boys from rural places either did not gain height or possibly became shorter, and hence fell further behind their urban peers. The difference between the age-standardized mean BMI of children in urban and rural areas was <1.1 kg m-2 in the vast majority of countries. Within this small range, BMI increased slightly more in cities than in rural areas, except in south Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and some countries in central and eastern Europe. Our results show that in much of the world, the growth and developmental advantages of living in cities have diminished in the twenty-first century, whereas in much of sub-Saharan Africa they have amplified.


Subject(s)
Growth and Development , Urban Population , Adolescent , Child , Humans , Male , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Africa, Northern/epidemiology , Body Mass Index , Rural Population/statistics & numerical data , Urban Population/statistics & numerical data , Female , Child, Preschool , Young Adult , Middle East/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Oceania/epidemiology , Body Height , Body Weight
2.
Am J Hum Genet ; 111(5): 927-938, 2024 05 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38701745

ABSTRACT

Leukocyte telomere length (LTL) varies significantly across human populations, with individuals of African ancestry having longer LTL than non-Africans. However, the genetic and environmental drivers of LTL variation in Africans remain largely unknown. We report here on the relationship between LTL, genetics, and a variety of environmental and climatic factors in ethnically diverse African adults (n = 1,818) originating from Botswana, Tanzania, Ethiopia, and Cameroon. We observe significant variation in LTL among populations, finding that the San hunter-gatherers from Botswana have the longest leukocyte telomeres and that the Fulani pastoralists from Cameroon have the shortest telomeres. Genetic factors explain ∼50% of LTL variation among individuals. Moreover, we observe a significant negative association between Plasmodium falciparum malaria endemicity and LTL while adjusting for age, sex, and genetics. Within Africa, adults from populations indigenous to areas with high malaria exposure have shorter LTL than those in populations indigenous to areas with low malaria exposure. Finally, we explore to what degree the genetic architecture underlying LTL in Africa covaries with malaria exposure.


Subject(s)
Malaria, Falciparum , Telomere , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Black People/ethnology , Black People/genetics , Endemic Diseases , Leukocytes/metabolism , Malaria, Falciparum/genetics , Malaria, Falciparum/epidemiology , Malaria, Falciparum/parasitology , Plasmodium falciparum/genetics , Plasmodium falciparum/pathogenicity , Sub-Saharan African People , Telomere/genetics , Telomere Homeostasis/genetics , Botswana , Tanzania , Cameroon , Southern African People
3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(15): e2309087121, 2024 Apr 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38557184

ABSTRACT

Africa carries a disproportionately high share of the global malaria burden, accounting for 94% of malaria cases and deaths worldwide in 2019. It is also a politically unstable region and the most vulnerable continent to climate change in recent decades. Knowledge about the modifying impacts of violent conflict on climate-malaria relationships remains limited. Here, we quantify the associations between violent conflict, climate variability, and malaria risk in sub-Saharan Africa using health surveys from 128,326 individuals, historical climate data, and 17,429 recorded violent conflicts from 2006 to 2017. We observe that spatial spillovers of violent conflict (SSVCs) have spatially distant effects on malaria risk. Malaria risk induced by SSVCs within 50 to 100 km from the households gradually increases from 0.1% (not significant, P>0.05) to 6.5% (95% CI: 0 to 13.0%). SSVCs significantly promote malaria risk within the average 20.1 to 26.9 °C range. At the 12-mo mean temperature of 22.5 °C, conflict deaths have the largest impact on malaria risk, with an approximately 5.8% increase (95% CI: 1.0 to 11.0%). Additionally, a pronounced association between SSVCs and malaria risk exists in the regions with 9.2 wet days per month. The results reveal that SSVCs increase population exposure to harsh environments, amplifying the effect of warm temperature and persistent precipitation on malaria transmission. Violent conflict therefore poses a substantial barrier to mosquito control and malaria elimination efforts in sub-Saharan Africa. Our findings support effective targeting of treatment programs and vector control activities in conflict-affected regions with a high malaria risk.


Subject(s)
Exposure to Violence , Malaria , Humans , Malaria/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Temperature
4.
PLoS Pathog ; 20(5): e1011675, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696531

ABSTRACT

Persons living with HIV are known to be at increased risk of developing tuberculosis (TB) disease upon infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). However, it has remained unclear how HIV co-infection affects subsequent Mtb transmission from these patients. Here, we customized a Bayesian phylodynamic framework to estimate the effects of HIV co-infection on the Mtb transmission dynamics from sequence data. We applied our model to four Mtb genomic datasets collected in sub-Saharan African countries with a generalized HIV epidemic. Our results confirm that HIV co-infection is a strong risk factor for developing active TB. Additionally, we demonstrate that HIV co-infection is associated with a reduced effective reproductive number for TB. Stratifying the population by CD4+ T-cell count yielded similar results, suggesting that, in this context, CD4+ T-cell count is not a better predictor of Mtb transmissibility than HIV infection status alone. Together, our genome-based analyses complement observational household contact studies, and more firmly establish the negative association between HIV co-infection and Mtb transmissibility.


Subject(s)
Coinfection , HIV Infections , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculosis , Humans , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/transmission , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Coinfection/microbiology , Coinfection/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/transmission , Tuberculosis/microbiology , Male , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Female , Bayes Theorem , Adult , Risk Factors
5.
Circ Res ; 134(4): 459-473, 2024 02 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38359096

ABSTRACT

Hypertension is the leading cause of cardiovascular disease in women, and sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries have some of the highest rates of hypertension in the world. Expanding knowledge of causes, management, and awareness of hypertension and its co-morbidities worldwide is an effective strategy to mitigate its harms, decrease morbidities and mortality, and improve individual quality of life. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDPs) are a particularly important subset of hypertension, as pregnancy is a major stress test of the cardiovascular system and can be the first instance in which cardiovascular disease is clinically apparent. In SSA, women experience a higher incidence of HDP compared with other African regions. However, the region has yet to adopt treatment and preventative strategies for HDP. This delay stems from insufficient awareness, lack of clinical screening for hypertension, and lack of prevention programs. In this brief literature review, we will address the long-term consequences of hypertension and HDP in women. We evaluate the effects of uncontrolled hypertension in SSA by including research on heart disease, stroke, kidney disease, peripheral arterial disease, and HDP. Limitations exist in the number of studies from SSA; therefore, we will use data from countries across the globe, comparing and contrasting approaches in similar and dissimilar populations. Our review highlights an urgent need to prioritize public health, clinical, and bench research to discover cost-effective preventative and treatment strategies that will improve the lives of women living with hypertension in SSA.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Diseases , Hypertension, Pregnancy-Induced , Hypertension , Pregnancy , Humans , Female , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/therapy , Quality of Life , Hypertension/diagnosis , Hypertension/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(2): e2200633120, 2023 01 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36595685

ABSTRACT

Female sex workers (FSW) are affected by individual, network, and structural risks, making them vulnerable to poor health and well-being. HIV prevention strategies and local community-based programs can rely on estimates of the number of FSW to plan and implement differentiated HIV prevention and treatment services. However, there are limited systematic assessments of the number of FSW in countries across sub-Saharan Africa to facilitate the identification of prevention and treatment gaps. Here we provide estimated population sizes of FSW and the corresponding uncertainties for almost all sub-national areas in sub-Saharan Africa. We first performed a literature review of FSW size estimates and then developed a Bayesian hierarchical model to synthesize these size estimates, resolving competing size estimates in the same area and producing estimates in areas without any data. We estimated that there are 2.5 million (95% uncertainty interval 1.9 to 3.1) FSW aged 15 to 49 in sub-Saharan Africa. This represents a proportion as percent of all women of childbearing age of 1.1% (95% uncertainty interval 0.8 to 1.3%). The analyses further revealed substantial differences between the proportions of FSW among adult females at the sub-national level and studied the relationship between these heterogeneities and many predictors. Ultimately, achieving the vision of no new HIV infections by 2030 necessitates dramatic improvements in our delivery of evidence-based services for sex workers across sub-Saharan Africa.


Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , HIV Infections , Sex Workers , Adult , Humans , Female , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Bayes Theorem , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology
7.
Blood ; 141(12): 1402-1410, 2023 03 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36375125

ABSTRACT

Realizing Effectiveness Across Continents with Hydroxyurea (REACH, NCT01966731) provides hydroxyurea at maximum tolerated dose (MTD) for children with sickle cell anemia (SCA) in sub-Saharan Africa. Beyond reducing SCA-related clinical events, documented treatment benefits include ∼50% reduction in malaria incidence. To identify associations and propose mechanisms by which hydroxyurea could be associated with lower malaria rates, infections were recorded across all clinical sites (Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, and Uganda). Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for baseline demographics, and time-varying laboratory and clinical parameters were estimated in a modified Cox gap-time model for repeated events. Over 3387 patient-years of hydroxyurea treatment, 717 clinical malaria episodes occurred in 336 of 606 study participants; over half were confirmed by blood smear and/or rapid diagnostic testing with 97.8% Plasmodium falciparum. In univariate analysis limited to 4 confirmed infections per child, malaria risk was significantly associated with absolute neutrophil count (ANC), splenomegaly, hemoglobin, and achieving MTD; age, malaria season, MTD dose, fetal hemoglobin, α-thalassemia, and glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency had no effect. In multivariable regression of confirmed infections, ANC was significant (HR, 1.37 per doubled value; 95% CI, 1.10-1.70; P = .0052), and ANC values <3.0 × 109/L were associated with lower malaria incidence. Compared with nonpalpable spleen, 1- to 4-cm splenomegaly also was associated with higher malaria risk (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.41-2.85; P = .0001). Hydroxyurea at MTD is associated with lower malaria incidence in SCA through incompletely defined mechanisms, but treatment-associated mild myelosuppression with ANC <3.0 × 109/L is salutary. Splenomegaly is an unexplained risk factor for malaria infections among children with SCA in Africa.


Subject(s)
Anemia, Sickle Cell , Malaria , Humans , Child , Hydroxyurea/adverse effects , Incidence , Splenomegaly/epidemiology , Splenomegaly/drug therapy , Anemia, Sickle Cell/complications , Anemia, Sickle Cell/drug therapy , Anemia, Sickle Cell/epidemiology , Malaria/drug therapy , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/prevention & control , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology
8.
Rev Med Virol ; 34(3): e2540, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38708846

ABSTRACT

Despite advances in HIV treatment, the burden of viral non-suppression (VNS) remains a treatment success concern, particularly in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. We determined the prevalence and factors associated with VNS for people living with HIV (PLHIV) receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). This review, registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023470234), conducted an extensive search for evidence, focusing on PLHIV living in SSA on ART from the year 2000 to 19th October 2023, across databases including PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus. A total of 2357 articles were screened, from which 32 studies met the criteria for the final analysis, involving 756,620 PLHIV of all ages. The pooled prevalance for VNS was found to be 20.0% (95% CI: 15.43%-25.52%, I2 = 100%, p-value <0.01) Children and adolescents demonstrated the highest prevalence of VNS (viral load ≥1000 copies/mL) at 27.98% (95% CI: 21.91%-34.97%, I2 = 94%, p-value <0.01). The study revealed various factors associated with increased odds (risk) of VNS, p-value <0.05. These factors encompassed socio-demographics such as sex, age, education level, and marital status. Additionally, aspects related to HIV care, such as the facility attended, HIV status disclosure and adherence exhibited higher odds of VNS. Suboptimal ART adherence, longer duration on ART, socio-economic factors, lack of family and social support, presence of co-morbidities, advanced WHO HIV clinical stage, ART regimens, lower CD4+ count, abnormal body mass index, history of treatment interruptions, and progression of HIV illness were associated with VNS. Furthermore, behavioural/psychological factors including depression, substance use, negative perceptions towards ART, experiences of abuse, alcohol use, stigma, and certain patterns of sexual behaviour were also identified as factors for VNS. The occurrence of two VNS to every ten PLHIV on ART poses a threat to the progress made towards reaching the third 95% UNAIDS target in SSA. Additionally, these findings highlight the intricate interplay of various factors, encompassing patient characteristics, behavioural patterns, sociocultural influences, and pharmacological factors, all impacting VNS among PLHIV. Recognising its multifaceted nature, we recommend designing and implementing high impact interventions to effectively address VNS in SSA.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Viral Load , Humans , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/virology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Prevalence , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Risk Factors , Adolescent , Female , Male , Adult , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active , Child
9.
Nature ; 570(7760): 189-193, 2019 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31092927

ABSTRACT

HIV/AIDS is a leading cause of disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Existing evidence has demonstrated that there is substantial local variation in the prevalence of HIV; however, subnational variation has not been investigated at a high spatial resolution across the continent. Here we explore within-country variation at a 5 × 5-km resolution in sub-Saharan Africa by estimating the prevalence of HIV among adults (aged 15-49 years) and the corresponding number of people living with HIV from 2000 to 2017. Our analysis reveals substantial within-country variation in the prevalence of HIV throughout sub-Saharan Africa and local differences in both the direction and rate of change in HIV prevalence between 2000 and 2017, highlighting the degree to which important local differences are masked when examining trends at the country level. These fine-scale estimates of HIV prevalence across space and time provide an important tool for precisely targeting the interventions that are necessary to bringing HIV infections under control in sub-Saharan Africa.


Subject(s)
Geographic Mapping , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Female , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Public Health/statistics & numerical data , Public Health/trends , Young Adult
10.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(Supplement_2): S108-S116, 2024 Apr 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662704

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lymphatic filariasis (LF) is a neglected tropical disease targeted for elimination as a public health problem by 2030. Although mass treatments have led to huge reductions in LF prevalence, some countries or regions may find it difficult to achieve elimination by 2030 owing to various factors, including local differences in transmission. Subnational projections of intervention impact are a useful tool in understanding these dynamics, but correctly characterizing their uncertainty is challenging. METHODS: We developed a computationally feasible framework for providing subnational projections for LF across 44 sub-Saharan African countries using ensemble models, guided by historical control data, to allow assessment of the role of subnational heterogeneities in global goal achievement. Projected scenarios include ongoing annual treatment from 2018 to 2030, enhanced coverage, and biannual treatment. RESULTS: Our projections suggest that progress is likely to continue well. However, highly endemic locations currently deploying strategies with the lower World Health Organization recommended coverage (65%) and frequency (annual) are expected to have slow decreases in prevalence. Increasing intervention frequency or coverage can accelerate progress by up to 5 or 6 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: While projections based on baseline data have limitations, our methodological advancements provide assessments of potential bottlenecks for the global goals for LF arising from subnational heterogeneities. In particular, areas with high baseline prevalence may face challenges in achieving the 2030 goals, extending the "tail" of interventions. Enhancing intervention frequency and/or coverage will accelerate progress. Our approach facilitates preimplementation assessments of the impact of local interventions and is applicable to other regions and neglected tropical diseases.


Subject(s)
Elephantiasis, Filarial , Elephantiasis, Filarial/epidemiology , Elephantiasis, Filarial/prevention & control , Humans , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Prevalence , Disease Eradication/methods , Neglected Diseases/epidemiology , Neglected Diseases/prevention & control , Filaricides/therapeutic use
11.
Int J Cancer ; 155(4): 675-682, 2024 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38568397

ABSTRACT

In sub-Saharan Africa, colorectal cancer (CRC) has historically been considered a rare disease, although some previous studies have suggested that the incidence is increasing. We examine time trends in the incidence of CRC using data from 12 population-based cancer registries in 11 countries of sub-Saharan Africa that were able to provide time series data for periods of 12 or more years, or with earlier data with which recent rates may be compared. Age-standardized incidence rates were highest in the higher-income countries, and were increasing in all of the populations studied, and these increases were statistically significant in all but three. Current evidence has suggested a link between the increased adoption of western lifestyle habits with colorectal cancer, and along with increasing urbanization of African populations, there is an increase in body weight, as well as evidence of increasing consumption of meat, sugars, and alcohol.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Registries , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Incidence , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Life Style
12.
PLoS Med ; 21(5): e1004385, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768094

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Syndromic management is widely used to treat symptomatic sexually transmitted infections in settings without aetiologic diagnostics. However, underlying aetiologies and consequent treatment suitability are uncertain without regular assessment. This systematic review estimated the distribution, trends, and determinants of aetiologies for vaginal discharge, urethral discharge, and genital ulcer in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We searched Embase, MEDLINE, Global Health, Web of Science, and grey literature from inception until December 20, 2023, for observational studies reporting aetiologic diagnoses among symptomatic populations in SSA. We adjusted observations for diagnostic test performance, used generalised linear mixed-effects meta-regressions to generate estimates, and critically appraised studies using an adapted Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Of 4,418 identified records, 206 reports were included from 190 studies in 32 countries conducted between 1969 and 2022. In 2015, estimated primary aetiologies for vaginal discharge were candidiasis (69.4% [95% confidence interval (CI): 44.3% to 86.6%], n = 50), bacterial vaginosis (50.0% [95% CI: 32.3% to 67.8%], n = 39), chlamydia (16.2% [95% CI: 8.6% to 28.5%], n = 50), and trichomoniasis (12.9% [95% CI: 7.7% to 20.7%], n = 80); for urethral discharge were gonorrhoea (77.1% [95% CI: 68.1% to 84.1%], n = 68) and chlamydia (21.9% [95% CI: 15.4% to 30.3%], n = 48); and for genital ulcer were herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) (48.3% [95% CI: 32.9% to 64.1%], n = 47) and syphilis (9.3% [95% CI: 6.4% to 13.4%], n = 117). Temporal variation was substantial, particularly for genital ulcer where HSV-2 replaced chancroid as the primary cause. Aetiologic distributions for each symptom were largely the same across regions and population strata, despite HIV status and age being significantly associated with several infection diagnoses. Limitations of the review include the absence of studies in 16 of 48 SSA countries, substantial heterogeneity in study observations, and impeded assessment of this variability due to incomplete or inconsistent reporting across studies. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, syndrome aetiologies in SSA aligned with World Health Organization guidelines without strong evidence of geographic or demographic variation, supporting broad guideline applicability. Temporal changes underscore the importance of regular aetiologic re-assessment for effective syndromic management. PROSPERO NUMBER: CRD42022348045.


Subject(s)
Ulcer , Vaginal Discharge , Humans , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Female , Vaginal Discharge/epidemiology , Vaginal Discharge/etiology , Ulcer/epidemiology , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/diagnosis , Vaginosis, Bacterial/epidemiology , Vaginosis, Bacterial/diagnosis , Vaginosis, Bacterial/complications , Chlamydia Infections/epidemiology , Chlamydia Infections/complications , Chlamydia Infections/diagnosis , Urethral Diseases/epidemiology , Urethral Diseases/etiology , Genital Diseases, Female/epidemiology
13.
J Hepatol ; 80(2): 243-250, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37898348

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sub-Saharan African (SSA) ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among individuals with chronic hepatitis B in cross-sectional studies. However, the incidence of HCC and performance of HCC risk scores in this population are unknown. METHODS: We conducted an international multicenter retrospective cohort study of all consecutive HBV-monoinfected individuals of SSA or Afro-Surinamese (AS) ethnicity managed at sites in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Spain. We assessed the 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC in the overall study population, among different clinically relevant subgroups and across (m)PAGE-B subgroups. Next, we explored the different risk factors for HCC. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8 years, we analyzed 1,473 individuals of whom 34 developed HCC. The 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC were 1% and 2.4%. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.7% among individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, compared to 12.1% among individuals with advanced fibrosis (p <0.001). Higher age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.05), lower platelet count (aHR 0.98), lower albumin level (aHR 0.90) and higher HBV DNA log10 (aHR 1.21) were significantly associated with HCC development. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.5% among individuals with a low PAGE-B score, compared to 2.9% in the intermediate- and 15.9% in the high-risk groups (p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this unique international multicenter cohort of SSA and AS individuals with chronic hepatitis B, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative HCC risks of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk of HCC was negligible for individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, and among individuals with low baseline (m)PAGE-B scores. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Sub-Saharan African ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma among individuals with chronic hepatitis B. In this international multicenter cohort study of sub-Saharan African and Afro-Surinamese individuals living with chronic hepatitis B in Europe, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of hepatocellular carcinoma of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk was negligible among individuals without advanced fibrosis and a low baseline (m)PAGE-B score. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies in this population.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis B, Chronic/drug therapy , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Cohort Studies , Retrospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Risk Factors , Europe , Fibrosis , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Hepatitis B virus/genetics
14.
Br J Haematol ; 205(2): 664-673, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38831605

ABSTRACT

The degree of anaemia in sickle cell disease (SCD) is a well-known contributor to morbidity and mortality. We aimed to explore the factors affecting haemoglobin (Hb) level in African SCD patients, considering haemolysis biomarkers (LDH and bilirubin level, and reticulocyte count), leucocyte and platelet counts and socio-demographic characteristics (gender, age group, country of residence and BMI). The research was part of the CADRE multinational cohort and involved 3699 SCD patients living in Mali, Senegal, Ivory Coast, Democratic Republic of Congo, Gabon and Cameroon: 2936 SS/Sß0, 587 SC and 176 Sß + patients with median Hb level of 8, 11.3 and 11.2 g/dL respectively (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis conducted in 1394 SS/Sß0 patients, living in Cameroon, female gender, lower BMI, higher haemolysis markers (especially LDH) and higher leucocyte and platelet counts were independently associated with lower Hb level (all p < 0.05). In 497 SC and 156 Sß + patients, female gender (p < 0.001), lower BMI (p < 0.05) and higher platelet counts (p < 0.001) were independently associated with lower Hb level. Anaemia in African SCD patients is not only associated with haemolysis but also with the country of residence, lower BMI and leucocyte or platelet counts which might reflect inflammation related to infectious burden in the region.


Subject(s)
Anemia, Sickle Cell , Hemoglobins , Hemolysis , Humans , Anemia, Sickle Cell/blood , Anemia, Sickle Cell/complications , Anemia, Sickle Cell/epidemiology , Male , Female , Adult , Hemoglobins/analysis , Adolescent , Platelet Count , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Child , Leukocyte Count , Young Adult , Child, Preschool , Middle Aged , Biomarkers/blood
15.
N Engl J Med ; 384(11): 1003-1014, 2021 03 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33730454

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Whether a broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) can be used to prevent human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) acquisition is unclear. METHODS: We enrolled at-risk cisgender men and transgender persons in the Americas and Europe in the HVTN 704/HPTN 085 trial and at-risk women in sub-Saharan Africa in the HVTN 703/HPTN 081 trial. Participants were randomly assigned to receive, every 8 weeks, infusions of a bnAb (VRC01) at a dose of either 10 or 30 mg per kilogram (low-dose group and high-dose group, respectively) or placebo, for 10 infusions in total. HIV-1 testing was performed every 4 weeks. The VRC01 80% inhibitory concentration (IC80) of acquired isolates was measured with the TZM-bl assay. RESULTS: Adverse events were similar in number and severity among the treatment groups within each trial. Among the 2699 participants in HVTN 704/HPTN 085, HIV-1 infection occurred in 32 in the low-dose group, 28 in the high-dose group, and 38 in the placebo group. Among the 1924 participants in HVTN 703/HPTN 081, infection occurred in 28 in the low-dose group, 19 in the high-dose group, and 29 in the placebo group. The incidence of HIV-1 infection per 100 person-years in HVTN 704/HPTN 085 was 2.35 in the pooled VRC01 groups and 2.98 in the placebo group (estimated prevention efficacy, 26.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -11.7 to 51.8; P = 0.15), and the incidence per 100 person-years in HVTN 703/HPTN 081 was 2.49 in the pooled VRC01 groups and 3.10 in the placebo group (estimated prevention efficacy, 8.8%; 95% CI, -45.1 to 42.6; P = 0.70). In prespecified analyses pooling data across the trials, the incidence of infection with VRC01-sensitive isolates (IC80 <1 µg per milliliter) per 100 person-years was 0.20 among VRC01 recipients and 0.86 among placebo recipients (estimated prevention efficacy, 75.4%; 95% CI, 45.5 to 88.9). The prevention efficacy against sensitive isolates was similar for each VRC01 dose and trial; VRC01 did not prevent acquisition of other HIV-1 isolates. CONCLUSIONS: VRC01 did not prevent overall HIV-1 acquisition more effectively than placebo, but analyses of VRC01-sensitive HIV-1 isolates provided proof-of-concept that bnAb prophylaxis can be effective. (Supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; HVTN 704/HPTN 085 and HVTN 703/HPTN 081 ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT02716675 and NCT02568215.).


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal/therapeutic use , Broadly Neutralizing Antibodies/therapeutic use , HIV Antibodies/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/prevention & control , HIV-1 , Adolescent , Adult , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Americas/epidemiology , Antibodies, Monoclonal/adverse effects , Broadly Neutralizing Antibodies/adverse effects , Double-Blind Method , Europe/epidemiology , Female , HIV Antibodies/adverse effects , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV-1/drug effects , Humans , Incidence , Male , Proof of Concept Study , Young Adult
16.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 21, 2024 01 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38191392

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aggregate trends can be useful for summarizing large amounts of information, but this can obscure important distributional aspects. Some population subgroups can be worse off even as averages climb, for example. Distributional information can identify health inequalities, which is essential to understanding their drivers and possible remedies. METHODS: Using publicly available Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 41 sub-Saharan African countries from 1986 to 2019, we analyzed changes in coverage for eight key maternal and child health indicators: first dose of measles vaccine (MCV1); Diphtheria-Pertussis-Tetanus (DPT) first dose (DPT1); DPT third dose (DPT3); care-seeking for diarrhea, acute respiratory infections (ARI), or fever; skilled birth attendance (SBA); and having four antenatal care (ANC) visits. To evaluate whether coverage diverged or converged over time across the wealth gradient, we computed several dispersion metrics including the coefficient of variation across wealth quintiles. Slopes and 5-year moving averages were computed to identify overall long-term trends. RESULTS: Average coverage increased for all quintiles and indicators, although the range and the speed at which they increased varied widely. There were small changes in the wealth-related gap for SBA, ANC, and fever. The wealth-related gap of vaccination-related indicators (DPT1, DPT3, MCV1) decreased over time. Compared to 2017, the wealth-gap between richest and poorest quintiles in 1995 was 7 percentage points larger for ANC and 17 percentage points larger for measles vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal and child health indicators show progress, but the distributional effects show differential evolutions in inequalities. Several reasons may explain why countries had smaller wealth-related gap trends in vaccination-related indicators compared to others. In addition to service delivery differences, we hypothesize that the allocation of development assistance for health, the prioritization of vaccine-preventable diseases on the global agenda, and indirect effects of structural adjustment programs on health system-related indicators might have played a role.


Subject(s)
Child Health , Maternal Health , Child , Female , Humans , Pregnancy , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Diarrhea , Fever
17.
J Med Virol ; 96(6): e29713, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38874194

ABSTRACT

Anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seroprevalence is used to estimate the proportion of individuals within a population previously infected, to track viral transmission, and to monitor naturally and vaccine-induced immune protection. However, in sub-Saharan African settings, antibodies induced by higher exposure to pathogens may increase unspecific seroreactivity to SARS-CoV-2 antigens, resulting in false positive responses. To investigate the level and type of unspecific seroreactivitiy to SARS-CoV-2 in Africa, we measured immunoglobulin G (IgG), IgA, and IgM to a broad panel of antigens from different pathogens by Luminex in 602 plasma samples from African and European subjects differing in coronavirus disease 2019, malaria, and other exposures. Seroreactivity to SARS-CoV-2 antigens was higher in prepandemic African than in European samples and positively correlated with antibodies against human coronaviruses, helminths, protozoa, and especially Plasmodium falciparum. African subjects presented higher levels of autoantibodies, a surrogate of polyreactivity, which correlated with P. falciparum and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Finally, we found an improved sensitivity in the IgG assay in African samples when using urea as a chaotropic agent. In conclusion, our data suggest that polyreactive antibodies induced mostly by malaria are important mediators of the unspecific anti-SARS-CoV-2 responses, and that the use of dissociating agents in immunoassays could be useful for more accurate estimates of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in African settings.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral , COVID-19 , Immunoglobulin G , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Seroepidemiologic Studies , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Adult , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/immunology , Malaria/blood , Immunoglobulin M/blood , Young Adult , Aged , Adolescent , Europe/epidemiology , Immunoglobulin A/blood , Endemic Diseases , Africa/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology
18.
Sex Transm Dis ; 51(3): e1-e7, 2024 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38180840

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Syphilis is a curable sexually transmitted infection that, untreated, is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. In people living with HIV (PLWH), syphilis carries greater risks of disease progression. We estimated syphilis prevalence among PLWH in the general population in sub-Saharan Africa and compared the prevalence among PLWH and without HIV. METHODS: We searched for studies published January 1, 2011, to March 28, 2022, reporting syphilis prevalence among PLWH in sub-Saharan Africa (PROSPERO No. CRD42020167328). We excluded studies in high-risk subpopulations. We estimated pooled syphilis prevalence among PLWH using random-effects modeling and compared the prevalence with people without HIV when included in the same study. We examined influences of region, study setting, and test type in subgroup analyses. RESULTS: We identified 926 studies; 53 were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled syphilis prevalence among PLWH was 7.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.3%-8.5%). Prevalence differed by region: 3.1% (95% CI, 2.2%-4.0%) in Southern, 5.5% (95% CI, 2.3%-9.3%) in West/Central, and 10.5% (95% CI, 8.0%-13.1%) in Eastern Africa. Prevalence also differed by study setting: 13.8% (95% CI, 5.7%-23.0%) in sexual and reproductive health/sexually transmitted infection care, 8.7% (95% CI, 5.0%-12.8%) in HIV care, 7.1% (95% CI, 5.8%-8.5%) in antenatal care, and 3.8% (95% CI, 2.0%-5.8%) in household/community-based settings. Syphilis prevalence was higher among PLWH than without HIV (relative risk, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.8-4.5). CONCLUSIONS: Syphilis is highly prevalent among PLWH in sub-Saharan Africa and is more common among PLWH than without HIV. Integration of syphilis screening and management into HIV care may reduce complications of HIV-syphilis coinfection among PLWH in sub-Saharan Africa.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Syphilis , Syphilis/epidemiology , Humans , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Prevalence , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/complications , Female , Male , Adult
19.
BMC Cancer ; 24(1): 1050, 2024 Aug 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39187776

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer screening is the primary goal in 90-70-90 targets to reduce cervical cancer incidence and mortality by identifying and treating women with precancerous lesions. Although several studies have been conducted in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries on cervical cancer screening, their coverage was limited to the regional or national level, and/or did not address individual- and community-level determinants, with existing evidence gaps to the wider SSA region using the most recent data. Hence, this study aimed to assess the pooled prevalence and multilevel correlates of cervical cancer screening among women with SSA. METHODS: This study was conducted using the Demographic Health Survey data (2015-2022) from 11 countries, and a total weighted sample of 124,787 women was considered in the analysis. Using multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression, the influence of each factor on cervical cancer screening uptake was investigated, and significant predictors were reported using the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) with their respective 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: The overall weighted prevalence of cervical cancer screening was 10.29 (95% CI: 7.77, 11.26), with the highest and lowest screening rates detected in Namibia and Benin at 39.3% (95% CI: 38.05, 40.54) and 0.5% (95% CI: 0.36, 0.69), respectively. Higher cervical screening uptake was observed among women aged 35-49 [aOR = 4.11; 95% CI: 3.69, 4.58] compared to 15-24 years, attending higher education [aOR = 2.71; 95% CI: 2.35, 3.23] than no formal education, being in the richest wealth quintile [aOR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.26, 1.67], having a recent visit to a health facility [aOR = 1.83; 95% CI: 1.71, 1.95], using contraception [aOR = 1.54; 95% CI: 1.45, 1.64], recent sexual activity [aOR = 3.59; 95% CI: 2.97, 4.34], and listening to the radio [aOR = 1.78; 95%CI: 1.60, 2.15]. CONCLUSION: The overall prevalence of cervical cancer screening in SSA countries was found to be low; only one in every ten women has been screened. Strengthening universal health coverage, and promoting screening programs with an emphasis on rural areas and low socioeconomic status are key to improving screening rates and equity. Additionally, integrating cervical cancer screening with existing reproductive health programs, e.g. contraceptive service would be important.


Subject(s)
Early Detection of Cancer , Health Surveys , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Adult , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Young Adult , Adolescent , Aged , Socioeconomic Factors , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data
20.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(7): 541-583, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38813598

ABSTRACT

Rickettsia africae is a tick-borne bacteria known to cause African tick bite fever (ATBF). While the disease was first described more than 100 years ago, knowledge of transmission risk factors and disease burden remain poorly described. To better understand the burden of R. africae, this article reviewed and summarized the published literature related to ATBF epidemiology and clinical management. Using a systematic approach, consistent with the PRISMA guidelines, we identified more than 100 eligible articles, including 65 epidemiological studies and 41 case reports. Most reports described R. africae in ticks and livestock, while human studies were less common. Human disease case reports were exclusively among returning travellers from non-endemic areas, which limits our disease knowledge among at-risk populations: people living in endemic regions. Substantial efforts to elucidate the ATBF risk factors and clinical manifestations among local populations are needed to develop effective preventative strategies and facilitate appropriate and timely diagnosis.


Subject(s)
Rickettsia Infections , Rickettsia , Animals , Humans , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Rickettsia/isolation & purification , Rickettsia Infections/epidemiology , Rickettsia Infections/microbiology , Risk Factors , Tick-Borne Diseases/epidemiology , Tick-Borne Diseases/microbiology , Ticks/microbiology
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