Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Hospital Admission Among Children in an Emergency Care Center.

OBJECTIVES: Machine learning-based prediction of hospital admissions may have the potential to optimize patient disposition and improve clinical outcomes by minimizing both undertriage and overtriage in crowded emergency care. We developed and validated the predictive abilities of machine learning-based predictions of hospital admissions in a pediatric emergency care center. METHODS: A prognostic study was performed using retrospectively collected data of children younger than 16 years who visited a single pediatric emergency care center in Osaka, Japan, between August 1, 2016, and October 15, 2019. Generally, the center treated walk-in children and did not treat trauma injuries. The main outcome was hospital admission as determined by the physician. The 83 potential predictors available at presentation were selected from the following categories: demographic characteristics, triage level, physiological parameters, and symptoms. To identify predictive abilities for hospital admission, maximize the area under the precision-recall curve, and address imbalanced outcome classes, we developed the following models for the preperiod training cohort (67% of the samples) and also used them in the 1-year postperiod validation cohort (33% of the samples): (1) logistic regression, (2) support vector machine, (3) random forest, and (4) extreme gradient boosting. RESULTS: Among 88,283 children who were enrolled, the median age was 3.9 years, with 47,931 (54.3%) boys and 1985 (2.2%) requiring hospital admission. Among the models, extreme gradient boosting achieved the highest predictive abilities (eg, area under the precision-recall curve, 0.26; 95% confidence interval, 0.25-0.27; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.88; sensitivity, 0.77; and specificity, 0.82). With an optimal threshold, the positive and negative likelihood ratios were 4.22, and 0.28, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based prediction of hospital admissions may support physicians' decision-making for hospital admissions. However, further improvements are required before implementing these models in real clinical settings.

Application of Multiplex Polymerase Chain Reaction for Pathogen Identification and Antibiotic Use in Children With Respiratory Infections in a PICU.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the pathogen identification rate and use of antibiotics before and after the implementation of multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing in children with respiratory infections in a PICU. DESIGN: Single-center, pre-post study. SETTING: PICU of Osaka Women's and Children's Hospital, Osaka, Japan. PATIENTS: Consecutive children with respiratory infections who were admitted to the PICU between December 2017 and November 2018 (premultiplex polymerase chain reaction period) and between March 2019 and February 2020 (postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction period). INTERVENTIONS: Conventional rapid antigen tests and bacterial culture tests were performed throughout the study period. Multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing using the FilmArray respiratory panel (BioFire Diagnostics, Salt Lake City, UT) was conducted to detect 17 viruses and three bacterial pathogens. During the postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction period, we did not recommend prescribing antibiotics for stable children, depending on the virus species and laboratory test results. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-six and 85 children were enrolled during the pre- and postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction periods, respectively. Rapid antigen tests identified pathogens in 22% of the children (n = 21) during the premultiplex polymerase chain reaction period, whereas rapid antigen tests and/or multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing identified pathogens in 67% of the children (n = 57) during the postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction period (p < 0.001). The most commonly identified pathogen using multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing was human rhino/enterovirus. Bacterial pathogens were identified in 50% of the children (n = 48) and 60% of the children (n = 51) during the pre- and postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction periods (p = 0.18). There were no differences in antibiotic use (84% vs 75%; p = 0.14), broad-spectrum antibiotic use (33% vs 34%; p = 0.91), or the duration of antibiotic use within 14 days of admission (6.0 vs 7.0 d; p = 0.45) between the pre- and postmultiplex polymerase chain reaction periods. CONCLUSIONS: Although the pathogen identification rate, especially for viral pathogens, increased using multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing, antibiotic use did not reduce in children with respiratory infections in the PICU. Definitive identification of bacterial pathogens and implementation of evidence-based antimicrobial stewardship programs employing multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing are warranted.

Differences in Clinical Findings Based on the Duration of Symptoms and Age of Children With Ileocolic Intussusception: A Single-Institution Survey in Rural Japan.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to determine whether the rates of abdominal pain or irritability, vomiting, and hematochezia differ depending on the duration of symptoms and age of the children with ileocolic intussusception. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated the charts of ileocolic intussusception children between January 2008 and December 2017 at a rural general hospital in Japan. Children were separated into 2 groups: the early visiting group, including children examined within 6 hours after onset, and the late visiting group, including children examined more than 6 hours after onset. We further separated them into 2 groups based on age: the infant group (age, <18 months) and the child group (age, ≥18 months). We compared clinical features, such as abdominal pain or irritability, vomiting, and hematochezia, between each group. RESULTS: Among 105 children with ileocolic intussusception, 51 were in the early visiting group and 49 were in the infant group. Hematochezia less frequently occurred in the early visiting group than in the late visiting group (29% vs 50%, P = 0.046). Furthermore, abdominal pain or irritability occurred less frequently in the infant group than in the child group (79.6% vs 98.2%, P = 0.003). Conversely, vomiting and hematochezia were more frequent in the infant group than in the child group (83.7% vs 51.8%, P < 0.001; 55.1% vs 26.8%, P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical features of pediatric ileocolic intussusception may depend on symptom duration and age.

Reconstitution of Oseltamivir Capsules for Pediatric Use on a Long-Term Cruise: A Treatment Option.

Influenza is a concerning disease in terms of risk management for cruise passengers during a voyage. Currently, cruise passengers include children in addition to elderly people. Oral oseltamivir can be used to treat pediatric influenza. In addition, early antiviral treatment may reduce the spread of influenza on board. However, the capsule form of oseltamivir is not of the recommended dosage for children. In this report, we describe 2 siblings who acquired influenza during travel on a world cruise ship and were treated with decapsulated oseltamivir. The siblings' mother was instructed to decapsulate a 75 mg oseltamivir capsule, suspend the powder in 15 mL of water (5 mg·mL-1), stir well, and administer the required amount of medicine orally to each patient using a syringe. Both patients recovered successfully with no complications. The presented case suggests that suspending decapsulated oseltamivir in water and measuring the required amount with a syringe for orally administration to children with influenza can be a safe treatment strategy in resource-limited settings.

Occurrence and Risk Factors for Unplanned Catheter Removal in a PICU: Central Venous Catheters Versus Peripherally Inserted Central Venous Catheters.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify the occurrence and risk factors for unplanned catheter removal due to catheter-associated complications and the effects on catheter survival probability in a PICU. DESIGN: Retrospective, single-center, observational study of cases involving conventional central venous catheters or peripherally inserted central venous catheters. SETTING: The PICU of a tertiary children's hospital. PATIENTS: Consecutive PICU patients with central venous catheters between April 2016 and February 2019. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified unplanned catheter removals that were related to central line-associated bloodstream infection, thrombosis, and mechanical complications. During the study period, 582 central venous catheters and 474 peripherally inserted central venous catheters were identified. The median durations of catheter placement were 4.0 days for central venous catheters and 13.0 days for peripherally inserted central venous catheters (p < 0.001), and unplanned catheter removals due to catheter-associated complications were in 52 (8.9%) central venous catheter cases and 132 (27.8%) peripherally inserted central venous catheter cases (p < 0.001) (15.0 and 16.0 per 1,000 catheter-days, respectively [p = 0.75]). Unplanned catheter removal was associated with a peripheral catheter tip position among both central venous catheters and peripherally inserted central venous catheters (p < 0.001 and p = 0.001), and it was associated with surgical patient status among peripherally inserted central venous catheters (p = 0.009). In contrast, the use of ultrasound-guided insertion was associated with a lower occurrence of unplanned catheter removal among peripherally inserted central venous catheters (p = 0.01). With regard to catheter survival probability, there was no significant difference between central venous catheters and peripherally inserted central venous catheters (p = 0.23). However, peripherally inserted central venous catheters had a lower occurrence of central line-associated bloodstream infection than central venous catheters (p = 0.03), whereas there was no significant difference in the rates of thrombosis (p = 0.29) and mechanical complications (p = 0.84) between central venous catheters and peripherally inserted central venous catheters. CONCLUSIONS: In a PICU, peripherally inserted central venous catheters had lower occurrence of central line-associated bloodstream infection than central venous catheters; however, similar catheter survival probabilities were observed between both catheters. A central catheter tip position for both catheters and ultrasound-guided insertion for peripherally inserted central venous catheters may help limit unplanned catheter removal due to catheter-associated complications.

Outcomes of 'unrecognised situation awareness failures events' in intensive care unit transfer of children in a Japanese children's hospital.

AIM: To demonstrate that unrecognised situation awareness failures events (UNSAFE) transfers are associated with poorer outcomes in the intensive care unit (ICU) at a Japanese children's hospital lacking a rapid response system. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 2013 and February 2016. UNSAFE transfers were defined as unplanned in-hospital ward-to-ICU transfers requiring tracheal intubation, vasoactive medications or ≥3 fluid boluses before arrival or in the first 60 min of ICU care. We compared ICU stay duration and mortality between UNSAFE and non-UNSAFE transfers. RESULTS: There were 2126 admissions to the paediatric ICU during the study period, and 244 cases met the definition of an unscheduled in-hospital transfer (11.5%). Of these, the number of patients transferred following cardiopulmonary resuscitation, in the UNSAFE group and in the non-UNSAFE group were 9 (3.7%), 68 (28%) and 167 (68%), respectively. In the UNSAFE group, the number of patients who required tracheal intubation, initiation of vasoactive medications or ≥ 3 fluid boluses in the first 60 min of ICU care or before arrival in the ICU was 61 (90%), 38 (56%) and 9 (13%), respectively. ICU stay duration and mortality were significantly poorer in the UNSAFE group than in the non-UNSAFE group (9 vs. 4 days, P < 0.0001; 13 vs. 4.2%, odds ratio = 3.5, 95% confidence interval = 1.2-9.8, P = 0.020, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Patients who experienced UNSAFE transfers had longer ICU stays and higher mortality, and it may be used as a metric of evaluation of effects of rapid response system implementation.

Inter-shift variation in unscheduled intensive care unit transfers at a children's hospital.

BACKGROUND: The early detection of clinical deterioration and the prompt escalation of care is important but may be limited in the general ward, especially at night. Identifying variations between work shifts in the number of unscheduled in-hospital intensive care unit (ICU) transfers and emergency transfers involving life-threatening conditions may help implement targeted interventions to reduce delayed transfers and improve patient safety and outcomes. METHODS: All unscheduled ICU transfers in a tertiary children's hospital, from January 2013 to December 2016, were reviewed retrospectively. The transfers were categorized into safe transfers and adverse safety events (ASE). The 4 year cumulative numbers for each transfer category in each work shift (day, evening, and night) were assessed for comparison. An ASE was defined as transfer after cardiopulmonary resuscitation or tracheal intubation in the ward, or an unrecognized situation awareness failure event transfer, which was defined as previously reported. RESULTS: Of 244 unscheduled in-hospital ICU transfers, 167 were safe transfers and 77 were ASE. The number of unscheduled transfers and of ASE was highest during the day shift (n = 133 and 40, respectively) and lowest during the night shift (n = 25 and 12, respectively). In contrast, the proportion of ASE in the unscheduled transfers was higher during the night shift (48%) compared with the day and evening shifts (30% and 31%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of unscheduled ICU transfers was disproportionately low during the night shift, whereas the majority of ASE happened during the day shift. Future studies focusing on unravelling the reasons for such variations are warranted.

WDR45 mutations in three male patients with West syndrome.

West syndrome is an early-onset epileptic encephalopathy characterized by clustered spasms with hypsarrhythmia seen on electroencephalogram (EEG). West syndrome is genetically heterogeneous, and its genetic causes have not been fully elucidated. WD Repeat Domain 45 (WDR45) resides on Xp11.23, and encodes a member of the WD repeat protein interacting with phosphoinositides (WIPI) family, which is crucial in the macroautophagy pathway. De novo mutations in WDR45 cause beta-propeller protein-associated neurodegeneration characterized by iron accumulation in the basal ganglia. In this study, we performed whole exome sequencing of individuals with West syndrome and identified three WDR45 mutations in three independent males (patients 1, 2 and 3). Two novel mutations occurred de novo (patients 1 and 2) and the remaining mutation detected in a male patient (patient 3) and his affected sister was inherited from the mother, harboring the somatic mutation. The three male patients showed early-onset intractable seizures, profound intellectual disability and developmental delay. Their brain magnetic resonance imaging scans showed cerebral atrophy. We found no evidence of somatic mosaicism in the three male patients. Our findings indicate that hemizygous WDR45 mutations in males lead to severe epileptic encephalopathy.

Identification of TRIB1 R107L gain-of-function mutation in human acute megakaryocytic leukemia.

Trib1 has been identified as a myeloid oncogene in a murine leukemia model. Here we identified a TRIB1 somatic mutation in a human case of Down syndrome-related acute megakaryocytic leukemia. The mutation was observed at well-conserved arginine 107 residue in the pseudokinase domain. This R107L mutation remained in leukocytes of the remission stage in which GATA1 mutation disappeared, suggesting the TRIB1 mutation is an earlier genetic event in leukemogenesis. The bone marrow transfer experiment showed that acute myeloid leukemia development was accelerated by transducing murine bone marrow cells with the R107L mutant in which enhancement of ERK phosphorylation and C/EBPα degradation by Trib1 expression was even greater than in those expressing wild-type. These results suggest that TRIB1 may be a novel important oncogene for Down syndrome-related acute megakaryocytic leukemia.

Atypical Cat Scratch Disease With Splenic Lesion Mimicking Kawasaki Disease in a Healthy 5-Year-old Girl.

BACKGROUND: Atypical cat scratch disease (CSD) and Kawasaki disease (KD) are differential diagnoses of pediatric febrile illnesses. Diagnosing atypical CSD can be challenging because of its wide range of symptoms. However, its similarity to KD has rarely been addressed. METHODS: We present the case of a 5-year-old girl with atypical CSD and splenic lesions who fulfilled the diagnostic criteria for KD. We also conducted a literature review of previous cases in which CSD was suspected alongside KD and detailed the diagnosis and treatment processes. RESULTS: A previously healthy 5-year-old girl with prolonged fever and symptoms resembling those of KD was admitted to our hospital. There was no evidence of an abnormal coronary artery, and her condition did not improve after the initial treatment for KD and bacterial infection. A history of contact with cats and multiple granulomatous lesions in the spleen on abdominal ultrasonography led to a clinical diagnosis of atypical CSD. Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole treatment resulted in symptom resolution. Elevated serum Bartonella henselae IgG and IgM antibodies confirmed the diagnosis of CSD. In this case, we avoided second-line treatment for KD with an alternative CSD diagnosis. Additionally, we identified 4 documented cases of CSD presenting with KD-like features in the literature. Intravenous immunoglobulin was ineffective in all cases, including the present case. CONCLUSIONS: In cases of atypical CSD where KD is suspected, actively seeking organ-specific symptoms may facilitate an early clinical diagnosis of CSD. Adopting this approach could yield multiple advantages, including reduced invasiveness for the patient and decreased healthcare-related expenditures.