Trends in alcohol use and alcoholic liver disease in South Korea: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of national-level research on alcohol consumption and the epidemiology of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) in South Korea. This study aims to address the critical public health issue of ALD by focusing on its trends, incidence, and outcomes, using nationwide claims data. METHODS: Utilizing National Health Insurance Service data from 2011 to 2017, we calculated the population's overall drinking amount and the incidence of ALD based on ICD-10 diagnosis codes. RESULTS: From 2011 to 2017 in South Korea, social drinking increased from 15.7% to 16.5%, notably rising among women. High-risk drinking remained around 16.4%, decreasing in men aged 20-39 but not decreased in men aged 40-59 and steadily increased in women aged 20-59. The prevalence of ALD in high-risk drinkers (0.97%) was significantly higher than in social drinkers (0.16%). A 3-year follow-up revealed ALD incidence of 1.90% for high-risk drinkers and 0.31% for social drinkers. Women high-risk drinkers had a higher ALD risk ratio (6.08) than men (4.18). The economic burden of ALD was substantial, leading to higher healthcare costs and increased hospitalization. Progression rates to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in ALD patients were 23.3% and 2.8%, respectively, with no gender difference in cirrhosis progression. CONCLUSIONS: The study revealed a concerning rise in alcohol consumption among South Korean women and emphasizes the heightened health risks and economic burdens associated with high-risk drinking, especially concerning ALD and its complications.

The Epidemiology of Hepatitis B Virus Infection in Korea: 15-Year Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study is to investigate the epidemiological changes in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and assess the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) over the past 15 years in a region endemic to hepatitis B virus (HBV). METHODS: National Health Insurance Service claims data of hepatitis B patients spanning from 2007 to 2021 was utilized. To compare the characteristics of the hepatitis B group, a control group adjusted for age and gender through propensity score matching analysis was established. RESULTS: The number of patients with CHB has consistently increased over the past 15 years. The average age of the CHB patient group has shown a yearly rise, while the prevalence of male dominance has gradually diminished. The proportions of hepatocellular carcinoma, liver cirrhosis, and decompensation have exhibited a declining pattern, whereas the proportion of liver transplants has continuously risen. Patients with CHB have demonstrated significantly higher medical and medication costs compared to the control group. Moreover, patients with CHB have shown a higher prevalence of comorbidities along with a significantly higher rate of concomitant medication usage. During the COVID period, the HBV group experienced a substantial decrease in the number of outpatient visits and overall medical costs compared to the control group. CONCLUSION: The epidemiology of CHB has undergone significant changes over the past 15 years, encompassing shifts in prevalence, severity, medical costs, and comorbidities. Furthermore, the impact of COVID-19 has been observed to decrease healthcare utilization among patients with CHB when compared to controls.

Baseline and on-treatment HBcrAg levels as predictors of HBeAg seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with antivirals.

HBeAg seroconversion is an important treatment endpoint. We aimed to identify predictors of seroconversion using serum HBsAg and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) in HBeAg-positive patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs). Data and samples from 70 HBeAg-positive patients treated with entecavir or tenofovir between January 2007 and December 2017 were retrospectively analysed. The mean follow-up period was 11 years. The predictive power for HBeAg seroconversion of HBcrAg levels at baseline and 2 years after antiviral therapy was determined using receiver operating curve analysis. Twenty-one patients (30%) achieved HBeAg seroconversion at a mean of 28 (range, 12-84) months after antiviral treatment. The median baseline HBcrAg and HBsAg levels were 6.9(5.7-7.0) vs. 5.8(5.5-6.5) log10 U/mL (p = .006), 4.9(4.5-5.1) vs. 4.5(4.1-5.0) log10 IU/mL (p = .044) in the no seroconversion group and seroconversion group, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, the serum HBcrAg levels at baseline and 2 years after antiviral therapy were predictive factors for HBeAg seroconversion ([HR]; 0.326; [CI], 0.111-0.958; p = .042 and HR, 0.4555; CI, 0.211-0.984; p = .045). HBcrAg levels≤6.5log10 U/mL at baseline and ≤5.3log10 U/mL at 2 years after antiviral therapy had sensitivities of 53.1% and 69.8%, specificities of 95.2% and 70.6%, positive predictive values of 82.6% and 50.0%, and negative predictive values of 82.6% and 84.5%, respectively, with AUROCs of 0.712 (95%CI, 0.596-0.830) and 0.745 (95%CI, 0.599-0.891) for predicting HBeAg seroconversion. In chronic hepatitis B patients treated with NAs, HBcrAg levels≤6.5log10 U/mL at baseline and ≤5.3log10 U/mL at 2 years after antiviral therapy were useful predictive factors of HBeAg seroconversion.

Two-dimensional Shear-Wave Elastography and US Attenuation Imaging for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Diagnosis: A Cross-sectional, Multicenter Study.

Background Multiparametric US examination may have potential in the comprehensive evaluation of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but multicenter studies are lacking. Purpose To evaluate the diagnostic performance of multiparametric US with the attenuation coefficient (AC) from attenuation imaging (ATI) and liver stiffness (LS) and dispersion slope (DS) from two-dimensional (2D) shear-wave elastography (SWE) in a multicenter study of patients with NAFLD. Materials and Methods This prospective study enrolled consecutive participants between December 2019 and June 2021 with suspected nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) who were scheduled to undergo liver biopsy in five tertiary hospitals. Before the procedure, all participants underwent US with ATI and 2D SWE according to the study protocol. Multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to determine the significant determinant factors for AC, LS, and DS. Diagnostic performance was decided based on the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs). Results A total of 132 participants (median age, 38 years; IQR, 27-54 years; 69 women) were evaluated. Among the participant characteristics, including pathologic findings, demographic characteristics, body mass index, and serum markers, hepatic steatosis for AC (P < .001), lobular inflammatory activity for DS (P = .007), and both fibrosis (P = .01) and lobular inflammatory activity (P = .04) for LS were significant determinant factors. At histopathologic examination, 53 of the 132 participants (40.2%) had NASH. The risk score system obtained using unweighted sum of scores from AC and DS showed the best diagnostic performance in the detection of NASH (AUC = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.98; P < .05 for all), as compared with serum markers or other US parameters alone (AUC ≤ 0.88). Conclusion US attenuation imaging and two-dimensional shear-wave elastography were useful for assessing hepatic steatosis, lobular inflammation, and fibrosis. The risk score system obtained using the attenuation coefficient and dispersion slope showed the best diagnostic performance fo r nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. cris.nih.go.kr no. KCT0004326 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Effect of tenofovir alafenamide vs. tenofovir disoproxil fumarate on hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis B.

It is unclear whether tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) or tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) is more effective for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In this study, we compared the effectiveness of these two antiviral agents for preventing HCC. We included treatment-naïve CHB patients undergoing antiviral therapy with TDF only (TDF group) or a TAF-based regimen (TAF group) at three academic teaching hospitals from 2012 to 2019. The TAF group included patients receiving TAF as first-line treatment and patients switching from TDF to TAF. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis or HCC at enrollment were excluded. Cumulative probabilities of HCC were assessed using Kaplan-Meier methodology. In total, 2,117 patients were included: 1,832 in the TDF group and 285 in the TAF group. The annual HCC incidence was not significantly different between TDF and TAF groups: 1.66 vs. 1.19 per 100 person-years [PY], respectively (multivariate analysis: adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.774 [reference: TDF group]; p = .438). Male, liver cirrhosis, hepatitis B e antigen negativity, Fibrosis-4 index>3.25 and low albumin were independently associated with a higher risk of HCC. Propensity score-matched and inverse probability of treatment weighting analyses yielded similar results: 1.56 vs. 1.19 per 100 PY, respectively (HR 1.175; p = .708) and 1.66 vs. 1.29 per 100 PY, respectively (HR 0.888; p = .446). The risk of HCC development was not significantly different between TDF and TAF groups of CHB patients. Further studies with a larger sample size and longer follow-up are required to validate our results.

Technical success rates and reliability of spin-echo echo-planar imaging (SE-EPI) MR elastography in patients with chronic liver disease or liver cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the technical success rates of MR elastography (MRE) according to established gradient-recalled echo (GRE) and spin-echo echo-planar imaging (SE-EPI) sequences and to compare liver stiffness (LS) values between the sequences during expiratory and inspiratory phases in patients with chronic liver disease or liver cirrhosis. METHODS: One hundred and eight patients who underwent MRE were included in this retrospective study. MRE was performed at 3 T based on both sequences during expiration as well as inspiration. Technical failure of MRE was determined if there was no pixel value with a confidence index higher than 95% and/or no apparent shear waves imaged. LS measurements were performed using free-drawing region of interest. To evaluate clinical factors related to the technical success rate of MRE, we assessed etiology of liver disease, ascites, body habitus, iron deposition, and liver morphology of patients. Statistical analysis was performed with the Wilcoxon test, Bland-Altman plot, independent t test, Mann-Whitney test, and McNemar test. RESULTS: The technical success rate of MRE in SE-EPI was significantly higher than that of GRE (98.1% vs. 80.7%, p < 0.0001). On the basis of univariate analysis, height, weight, and BMI were significantly associated with failure of MRE (p < 0.05). There was no significant difference in LS values between GRE and SE-EPI (2.82 kPa vs. 2.92 kPa (p > 0.05)). However, the LS values were significantly higher during inspiration than expiration with both GRE and SE-EPI (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: MRE in SE-EPI during expiratory breath-hold can be used as a reliable examination to evaluate liver fibrosis. KEY POINTS: • The technical success rate of MR elastography in spin-echo echo-planar imaging (SE-EPI) was significantly higher than that in gradient-recalled echo (GRE) during both the inspiratory and expiratory phases. • Liver stiffness values were significantly higher during inspiration than during expiration in both GRE and SE-EPI. • MR elastography in SE-EPI during expiratory breath-hold can be used as a reliable examination in patients with liver fibrosis.

The Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Aids in the Decision for TACE Retreatment.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a major therapeutic modality for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma, which needs repeated treatments. Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory Hepatocellular carcinoma patients (MESIAH) was recently developed as a model for predicting survival. We aimed to develop a novel index for TACE retreatment using MESIAH scores. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From 2005 to 2008, 783 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who had undergone 1 previous TACE procedure were enrolled. We calculated their pre-TACE and post-TACE-MESIAH and calculated the MESIAH ratio by dividing the post-TACE by pre-TACE score. The discriminatory abilities of the MESIAH ratio and post-TACE-MESIAH were compared with ART and ABCR scores. RESULTS: Among 783 patients, 355 (45.3%) received a second TACE (test set), and 195 (24.9%) patients received a third TACE treatment (validation set). In the test set, patients with a MESIAH ratio <0.9 obtained longer overall survival than patients with a MESIAH ratio ≥0.9 [26.0 vs. 9.0 mo, respectively; hazard ratio 1.66 (1.29-2.14)], and patients with a post-TACE-MESIAH<4.5 showed longer overall survival than patients with a post-TACE-MESIAH≥4.5 [38.0 vs. 7.0 mo, respectively; hazard ratio, 3.17 (2.45-4.09)]. The post-TACE-MESIAH [C-index 0.663 (0.628-0.697)] was better than the ART [C-index 0.596 (0.554-0.638)] and ABCR scores [C-index 0.576 (0.536-0.617)] at estimating prognosis. Our results were confirmed by the validation set. CONCLUSIONS: A MESIAH score ≥4.5 after TACE identifies patients with a poor prognosis. Randomized studies are needed to establish whether additional TACE may affect survival.

Radiologic Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Increases the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Suppressed Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND GOALS: Although nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a risk factor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), it is unclear whether NAFLD additionally increases the risk of HCC among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. This study evaluated the association between NAFLD and the risk of HCC in patients whose hepatitis B virus (HBV) was well controlled. STUDY: This study included consecutive CHB patients whose serum HBV DNA levels were continuously suppressed <2000 IU/mL with antiviral treatment. Fatty liver was radiologically diagnosed. Patients with concomitant hepatitis C infection, autoimmune hepatitis, or excessive alcohol use were excluded. RESULTS: Among 826 patients, 86 patients (10.4%) developed HCC during the study period (median, 43.1 mo). The patients with NAFLD (N=260) had a significantly higher risk for HCC compared with patients without NAFLD (N=566) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-2.63; P=0.03) after adjustment for age, the presence of cirrhosis, hepatitis B envelop antigen positivity, low-level viremia and hypertension. There was significant association between incomplete biochemical response (IBR) (alanine aminotransferase levels ≥40 IU/L) and the presence of NAFLD (P<0.001 by χ test). IBR at the time of virological response was associated with a significantly higher risk of HCC development (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.54; P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD increases the risk of HCC in patients with CHB in whom HBV is effectively suppressed by antivirals. Patients with IBR should be suspected of concurrent NAFLD. Further study is warranted to evaluate whether improvement of NAFLD might decrease the risk of HCC development.

Carbonic anhydrase-IX inhibition enhances the efficacy of hexokinase II inhibitor for hepatocellular carcinoma in a murine model.

Hypoxic conditions, which large or infiltrative hypovascular tumors may encounter, also produce acidic environments. Carbonic anhydrase-IX (CA-IX), an enzyme involved in lowering pH, is overexpressed in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In the present study, whether inhibition of CA-IX enhances the efficacy of a hexokinase II inhibitor in an in vivo murine model was examined and its prognostic implication in HCC patients was investigated. CA-IX expression was evaluated using quantitative real-time PCR and western blot analysis using human HCC cell lines. 3-bromopyruvate (3-BP), a hexokinase II inhibitor, and acetazolamide, a carbonic anhydrase inhibitor, were used to target hexokinase II and CA-IX in vitro and in vivo, respectively. A human HCC cell line (Huh-7) was tested as a subcutaneous tumor model in BALB/c nu/nu mice. The prognostic role of CA-IX was evaluated in the TCGA database. Quantitative real-time PCR and western blot analysis revealed that CA-IX expression was activated in the presence of 3-BP. Further analysis showed that introducing an additional stress by treating the orally active CA-IX inhibitor (acetazolamide) can synergistically increase the efficacy of 3-BP in vivo, which was confirmed using a mouse model. We also found that HCC patients with high CA-IX expression show poor overall survival in TCGA database. These results indicate CA-IX is a promising therapeutic target for enhancing the efficacy of 3-BP and can be a prognostic factor for HCC.

Prediction of Response to Sorafenib in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Putative Marker Panel by Multiple Reaction Monitoring-Mass Spectrometry (MRM-MS).

Sorafenib is the only standard treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but it provides modest survival benefits over placebo, necessitating predictive biomarkers of the response to sorafenib. Serum samples were obtained from 115 consecutive patients with HCC before sorafenib treatment and analyzed by multiple reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry (MRM-MS) and ELISA to quantify candidate biomarkers. We verified a triple-marker panel to be predictive of the response to sorafenib by MRM-MS, comprising CD5 antigen-like (CD5L), immunoglobulin J (IGJ), and galectin-3-binding protein (LGALS3BP), in HCC patients. This panel was a significant predictor (AUROC > 0.950) of the response to sorafenib treatment, having the best cut-off value (0.4) by multivariate analysis. In the training set, patients who exceeded this cut-off value had significantly better overall survival (median, 21.4 months) than those with lower values (median, 8.6 months; p = 0.001). Further, a value that was lower than this cutoff was an independent predictor of poor overall survival [hazard ratio (HR), 2.728; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.312-5.672; p = 0.007] and remained an independent predictive factor of rapid progression (HR, 2.631; 95% CI, 1.448-4.780; p = 0.002). When applied to the independent validation set, levels of the cut-off value for triple-marker panel maintained their prognostic value for poor clinical outcomes. On the contrast, the triple-marker panel was not a prognostic factor for patients who were treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). The discriminatory signature of a triple-marker panel provides new insights into targeted proteomic biomarkers for individualized sorafenib therapy.

Hexokinase-II Inhibition Synergistically Augments the Anti-tumor Efficacy of Sorafenib in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

This study aimed to examine whether inhibition of hexokinase (HK)-II activity enhances the efficacy of sorafenib in in-vivo models of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to evaluate the prognostic implication of HK-II expression in patients with HCC. We used 3-bromopyruvate (3-BP), a HK-II inhibitor to target HK-II. The human HCC cell line was tested as both subcutaneous and orthotopic tumor xenograft models in BALB/c nu/nu mice. The prognostic role of HK-II was evaluated in data from HCC patients in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and validated in patients treated with sorafenib. Quantitative real-time PCR, western blot analysis, and immunohistochemical staining revealed that HK-II expression is upregulated in the presence of sorafenib. Further analysis of the endoplasmic reticulum-stress network model in two different murine HCC models showed that the introduction of additional stress by 3-BP treatment synergistically increased the in vivo/vitro efficacy of sorafenib. We found that HCC patients with increased HK-II expression in the TCGA database showed poor overall survival, and also confirmed similar results for TCGA database HCC patients who had undergone sorafenib treatment. These results suggest that HK-II is a promising therapeutic target to enhance the efficacy of sorafenib and that HK-II expression might be a prognostic factor in HCC.

Antiplatelet therapy and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients on antiviral treatment.

Antiplatelet therapy has shown protective effects against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in preclinical studies. However, it is unclear whether antiplatelet therapy lowers the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B. A retrospective analysis was conducted of data from 1,674 chronic hepatitis B patients, enrolled between January 2002 and May 2015, whose serum hepatitis B virus DNA levels were suppressed by antivirals to <2,000 IU/mL. The primary and secondary outcomes were development of HCC and bleeding events, respectively. Risk was compared between patients with antiplatelet treatment (aspirin, clopidogrel, or both; antiplatelet group) and patients who were not treated (non-antiplatelet group) using a time-varying Cox proportional hazards model for total population and propensity score-matching analysis. The antiplatelet group included 558 patients, and the non-antiplatelet group had 1,116 patients. During the study period, 63 patients (3.8%) developed HCC. In time-varying Cox proportional analyses, the antiplatelet group showed a significantly lower risk of HCC (hazard ratio [HR], 0.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.23-0.85; P = 0.01), regardless of antiplatelet agent. In propensity score-matched pairs, antiplatelet therapy significantly reduced the risk of HCC (HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.15-0.77; P = 0.01). However, the overall risk of bleeding was higher in the antiplatelet group (HR, 3.28; 95% CI, 1.98-5.42; P < 0.001), particularly for clopidogrel with or without aspirin. Treatment with aspirin alone was not associated with a higher bleeding risk (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.48-2.54; P = 0.81). CONCLUSION: Antiplatelet therapy reduces the risk of HCC in chronic hepatitis B patients whose hepatitis B virus is effectively suppressed. However, antiplatelet therapy containing clopidogrel may increase the risk of bleeding. (Hepatology 2017;66:1556-1569).

Novel biomarker-based model for the prediction of sorafenib response and overall survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prediction of the outcome of sorafenib therapy using biomarkers is an unmet clinical need in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim was to develop and validate a biomarker-based model for predicting sorafenib response and overall survival (OS). METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 124 consecutive HCC patients (44 with disease control, 80 with progression) with Child-Pugh class A liver function, who received sorafenib. Potential serum biomarkers (namely, hepatocyte growth factor [HGF], fibroblast growth factor [FGF], vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-1, CD117, and angiopoietin-2) were tested. After identifying independent predictors of tumor response, a risk scoring system for predicting OS was developed and 3-fold internal validation was conducted. RESULTS: A risk scoring system was developed with six covariates: etiology, platelet count, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, protein induced by vitamin K absence-II, HGF, and FGF. When patients were stratified into low-risk (score ≤ 5), intermediate-risk (score 6), and high-risk (score ≥ 7) groups, the model provided good discriminant functions on tumor response (concordance [c]-index, 0.884) and 12-month survival (area under the curve [AUC], 0.825). The median OS was 19.0, 11.2, and 6.1 months in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group, respectively (P < 0.001). In internal validation, the model maintained good discriminant functions on tumor response (c-index, 0.825) and 12-month survival (AUC, 0.803), and good calibration functions (all P > 0.05 between expected and observed values). CONCLUSIONS: This new model including serum FGF and HGF showed good performance in predicting the response to sorafenib and survival in patients with advanced HCC.

Targeted Proteomics Predicts a Sustained Complete-Response after Transarterial Chemoembolization and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Prospective Cohort Study.

This study was aimed to identify blood-based biomarkers to predict a sustained complete response (CR) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) using targeted proteomics. Consecutive patients with HCC who had undergone TACE were prospectively enrolled (training (n = 100) and validation set (n = 80)). Serum samples were obtained before and 6 months after TACE. Treatment responses were evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). In the training set, the MRM-MS assay identified five marker candidate proteins (LRG1, APCS, BCHE, C7, and FCN3). When this five-marker panel was combined with the best-performing clinical variables (tumor number, baseline PIVKA, and baseline AFP), the resulting ensemble model had the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) value in predicting a sustained CR after TACE in the training and validation sets (0.881 and 0.813, respectively). Furthermore, the ensemble model was an independent predictor of rapid progression (hazard ratio (HR), 2.889; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.612-5.178; P value < 0.001) and overall an unfavorable survival rate (HR, 1.985; 95% CI, 1.024-3.848; P value = 0.042) in the entire population by multivariate analysis. Targeted proteomics-based ensemble model can predict clinical outcomes after TACE. Therefore, this model can aid in determining the best candidates for TACE and the need for adjuvant therapy.

Tenofovir monotherapy versus tenofovir plus lamivudine or telbivudine combination therapy in treatment of lamivudine-resistant chronic hepatitis B.

Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) monotherapy is a therapeutic option for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) variants resistant to lamivudine (LAM). We evaluated the antiviral efficacy and safety of TDF alone compared to those of TDF plus LAM or telbivudine (LdT) combination in patients harboring HBV variants with genotypic resistance to LAM. This multicenter retrospective study included consecutive patients who had LAM-resistant HBV variants and were treated with TDF alone (monotherapy group) or TDF combined with LAM or LdT (combination therapy group) for at least 6 months. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) for the entire cohort was applied to control for treatment selection bias. Overall, 153 patients (33 in the monotherapy group and 120 in the combination therapy group) were analyzed. The overall probability of achieving complete virologic suppression at month 12 was 91.6%: 88.6% in the monotherapy group and 92.6% in the combination therapy group. Combination therapy was not superior to monotherapy in viral suppression before and after IPTW (P=0.562 and P=0.194, respectively). Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) loss, biochemical response, and virologic breakthrough did not differ between treatment groups. The probabilities of complete virologic suppression were comparable between treatment groups in the subsets according to HBeAg status and HBV DNA levels at baseline. No patient experienced any significant renal dysfunction during the treatment period. In conclusion, TDF monotherapy has antiviral efficacy comparable to that of TDF plus LAM or LdT combination therapy, with a favorable safety profile in CHB patients with LAM-resistant HBV variants.

Efficacy of antiviral prophylaxis in HBsAg-negative, anti-HBc positive patients undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation can occur in persons who are hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-negative but hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) positive, especially following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). However, evidence supporting the routine use of prophylactic antiviral agents for such patients is scarce. The aim of this study was to compare the frequency of HBV reactivation between prophylactic and non-prophylactic groups in patients who underwent HSCT. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 315 HBsAg-negative, anti-HBc positive patients who received autologous or allogenic stem cell transplantation from January 2008 to December 2013. Patients were categorized into prophylactic and non-prophylactic groups. The primary endpoint was the incidence of HBV reactivation. RESULTS: Median follow-up duration was 21.4 months. Antiviral prophylaxis was not given to 219 patients, and 96 received prophylaxis. The median duration of prophylaxis was 7.0 months. HBV reactivated in 12 patients (prophylactic group, 4; non-prophylactic group, 8). The median time to reactivation was 20.5 months after starting chemotherapy. All patients who reactivated were promptly and successfully treated with rescue antiviral agents. The risk of reactivation did not differ between prophylactic and non-prophylactic groups (P = 0.061) but was increased significantly by the allogenic type of HSCT and the loss of recipient's antibodies against HBsAg (anti-HBs). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term antiviral prophylaxis appears insufficient to decrease the risk of HBV reactivation. Therefore, either prophylaxis longer than 24 months or careful monitoring of HBV DNA combined with on-demand antiviral treatment may prove more effective than the routine short-term prophylaxis given to these patients.

Forns index predicts recurrence and death in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Advanced liver fibrosis is associated with recurrence after curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate whether noninvasive fibrosis indices could predict intrahepatic recurrence and death after curative resection of HCC. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative resection for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC between 2006 and 2010 at a single tertiary hospital were included. This study analysed the association of noninvasive fibrosis indices with recurrence and overall survival. RESULTS: A total of 303 patients were included. During a median follow-up period of 56.0 (interquartile range, 42.0-70.0) months, 151 (49.8%) patients experienced HCC recurrence and 54 (17.8%) died. Based on multivariate analysis, Forns index [hazard ratio (HR), 1.238; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.097-1.398; P = 0.001] was independently associated with tumour recurrence after adjustment for anti-HBe positivity, histological cirrhosis, tumour size and number. Patients with Forns index <6.9 had a significantly longer recurrence-free survival rate than patients with Forns index ≥6.9 (P < 0.001 by log-rank test). Forns index (HR, 1.246; 95% CI, 1.034-1.501; P = 0.02) could also predict overall survival after adjustment for tumour size and number. Forns index detected cirrhosis with an AUROC of 0.700 (95% CI, 0.641-0.758). Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, cirrhosis discriminant score, FIB-4 index, P2/MS and Lok index detected cirrhosis comparably to Forns index, but were not associated with tumour recurrence or death. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that Forns index could be a useful predictor of recurrence and overall survival after curative resection of HBV-related HCC.

CLIF-SOFA scoring system accurately predicts short-term mortality in acutely decompensated patients with alcoholic cirrhosis: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Accurate prognostication of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is essential for therapeutic decisions. Our aim was to validate a novel scoring system for predicting mortality, the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), in a population of Asian patients with ACLF. METHODS: A total of 345 patients with acutely decompensated alcoholic cirrhosis were selected for study, comparing areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of CLIF-SOFA and five existing scoring systems for end-stage liver disease [model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, Refit-MELD, Refit-MELD-Na, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh]. RESULTS: CLIF-SOFA displayed the highest AUROC of 0.943 significantly outperforming all five reference methods in predicting short-term mortality at Week 4 (all P < 0.001) by competing risk analysis. In 262 patients given supportive care only, the power of CLIF-SOFA to predict short-term mortality was high (AUROC: 0.952 at Week 1; 0.959 at Week 4), again surpassing the other methods (all P < 0.001). For the remaining 83 liver transplant recipients, CLIF-SOFA also excelled in predicting 12-week mortality (AUROC: 0.978); and high-grade ACLF by CLIF-SOFA was associated with prolonged postoperative mechanical support (i.e. mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy) and ICU stays (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: CLIF-SOFA enables more accurate prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acutely decompensated alcoholic cirrhosis than other available scoring systems and is useful in predicting both 12-week mortality and the need for mechanical support after liver transplantation.

Prior exposure to lamivudine increases entecavir resistance risk in chronic hepatitis B Patients without detectable lamivudine resistance.

The efficacy of entecavir (ETV) treatment in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients who were exposed to lamivudine (LAM) but had no detectable LAM resistance (LAM-R) is not well evaluated. In this study, we aimed to evaluate whether the probability of developing genotypic resistance to ETV in LAM-exposed patients with or without LAM-R is comparable to that in antiviral-naive patients. This retrospective cohort study included 500 consecutive patients with CHB who started ETV monotherapy at a single tertiary hospital in Korea. The patients were divided into three groups: nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-naive patients (group 1, n=142), patients who were previously exposed to LAM and had no currently or previously detected LAM-R (group 2, n=233), and patients with LAM-R when starting ETV (group 3, n=125). The overall median ETV treatment duration was 48.7 months. The probabilities of virologic breakthrough were significantly increased not only in group 3 (hazard ratio [HR]=14.4, P<0.001) but also in group 2 (HR=5.0, P<0.001) compared to group 1. Genotypic ETV resistance (ETV-R) developed more frequently in group 2 (HR=13.0, P=0.013) as well as group 3 (HR=43.9, P<0.001) than in group 1: the probabilities of developing ETV-R in groups 1, 2, and 3 were <1.0%, 8.0%, and 28.2%, respectively, at month 48. The results of this study indicate that ETV-R occurred more frequently in LAM-exposed patients, even though they had no detectable LAM-R, than in NA-naive patients. Therefore, LAM-exposed CHB patients, regardless of the presence or absence of LAM-R, should be monitored more cautiously for the development of ETV-R during ETV monotherapy.

Efficacy of entecavir-tenofovir combination therapy for chronic hepatitis B patients with multidrug-resistant strains.

The emergence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) strains of hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a major concern. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of combination therapy with entecavir (ETV) plus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) against MDR HBV. To adjust for differences in baseline characteristics, inverse probability weighting (IPW) using propensity scores for the entire cohort and weighted Cox proportional hazards models were applied. Ninety-three consecutive patients who were treated with ETV-TDF combination therapy for >6 months were included; at baseline, 45 were infected with HBV strains with genotypic resistance to lamivudine (LAM) and ETV (the LAM/ETV-R group), 28 with strains resistant to LAM and adefovir (ADV) (the LAM/ADV-R group), and 20 with strains resistant to LAM, ETV, and ADV (the LAM/ETV/ADV-R group). The median duration of rescue therapy was 13.0 (range, 6.7 to 31.7) months. Seventy-four of 93 patients (79.6%) achieved complete virologic suppression, after a median of 4.5 (95% confidence interval, 3.0 to 6.0) months. The cumulative probability of complete virologic suppression at month 6 was 63.6% (55.7%, 75.0%, and 65.0% in the LAM/ETV-R, LAM/ADV-R, and LAM/ETV/ADV-R groups, respectively). During the treatment period, these probabilities were not significantly different across the resistance profiles before and after IPW (P = 0.072 and P = 0.510, respectively). In multivariate analysis, a lower baseline HBV DNA level, but not resistance profiles, was an independent predictor of complete virologic suppression. Renal dysfunction was not observed during the treatment period. In conclusion, rescue therapy with ETV-TDF combination is efficient and safe in patients infected with MDR HBV strains regardless of the antiviral drug resistance profiles.