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1.
Sci Transl Med ; 9(421)2017 Dec 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29263230

RESUMEN

Despite the existence of effective rabies vaccines for dogs, dog-transmitted human rabies persists and has reemerged in Africa. Two consecutive dog vaccination campaigns took place in Chad in 2012 and 2013 (coverage of 71% in both years) in the capital city of N'Djaména, as previously published. We developed a deterministic model of dog-human rabies transmission fitted to weekly incidence data of rabid dogs and exposed human cases in N'Djaména. Our analysis showed that the effective reproductive number, that is, the number of new dogs infected by a rabid dog, fell to below one through November 2014. The modeled incidence of human rabies exposure fell to less than one person per million people per year. A phylodynamic estimation of the effective reproductive number from 29 canine rabies virus genetic sequences of the viral N-protein confirmed the results of the deterministic transmission model, implying that rabies transmission between dogs was interrupted for 9 months. However, new dog rabies cases appeared earlier than the transmission and phylodynamic models predicted. This may have been due to the continuous movement of rabies-exposed dogs into N'Djaména from outside the city. Our results show that canine rabies transmission to humans can be interrupted in an African city with currently available dog rabies vaccines, provided that the vaccination area includes larger adjacent regions, and local communities are informed and engaged.


Asunto(s)
Ciudades , Vacunas Antirrábicas/inmunología , Rabia/inmunología , Rabia/transmisión , Vacunación/veterinaria , Animales , Número Básico de Reproducción , Chad , Simulación por Computador , Perros , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Biológicos , Filogenia , Rabia/epidemiología , Rabia/virología , Procesos Estocásticos
2.
Acta Trop ; 116(2): 147-51, 2010 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20655291

RESUMEN

A comparative study between passive and active surveillance based on herd visits (villages) was conducted over a period of 24 months. It included 106 surveillance stations of the animal disease epidemiological surveillance network in Chad distributed randomly into 52 stations of active surveillance and 54 stations of passive surveillance. Nine diseases of various vaccination and expected prevalence status were monitored. The active surveillance stations carried out four herd visits monthly to look for the diseases under surveillance and organised four farmers awareness-raising meetings to stimulate them to make disease notifications. The passive surveillance stations held each month four farmer awareness-raising meetings. The suspicions recorded by the stations were consigned to a suspicion form specific to each disease, indicating whether a call from the farmer, a visit to the herd or a awareness-raising meeting was the source. The results showed that, irrespective of surveillance type, all diseases under surveillance, except the rare diseases (Rinderpest and Rift Valley Fever) were reported by the surveillance agents. However, suspicions recorded following farmer calls are significantly more important than suspicions carried out during herd visits or meetings. Nevertheless, a considerable number of suspicions is recorded during awareness-raising meetings. Finally approximately 83% of the herd visits realised by the active surveillance stations showed negative results (no suspicion identified). Passive surveillance stimulated by awareness-raising meetings appears to be better adapted to Chads conditions and less expensive for the surveillance of existing diseases. However, for the rare diseases, other methods of specific active surveillance (such as for example sentinel herds) remain important to complete passive surveillance.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura , Enfermedades de los Animales/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/veterinaria , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Enfermedades de los Animales/microbiología , Animales , Carbunco/epidemiología , Carbunco/veterinaria , Chad/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/microbiología , Fiebre Aftosa/epidemiología , Ganado , Peste de los Pequeños Rumiantes/epidemiología , Peste de los Pequeños Rumiantes/veterinaria , Pleuroneumonía/epidemiología , Pleuroneumonía/veterinaria , Análisis de Regresión
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