Disease burden and demographic characteristics of mucormycosis: A nationwide population-based study in Taiwan, 2006-2017.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological knowledge of mucormycosis obtained from national population-based databases is scarce. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to depict the disease burden and demographics of mucormycosis in Taiwan by using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) and those of aspergillosis as a comparator. METHODS: Data from patients with either mucormycosis or aspergillosis from 2006 to 2017 identified with the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes were extracted from the NHIRD. The incidence, demographics and clinical data of both diseases were analysed. RESULTS: A total of 204 patients with mucormycosis and 2270 patients with aspergillosis who were hospitalised and treated with mould-active antifungals between 2006 and 2017 were identified. The average annual incidence of aspergillosis (0.81 cases per 100,000 population [0.81/100,000]) was 11-fold higher than that of mucormycosis (0.07/100,000). A significant increase in incidence was observed for aspergillosis (from 0.48/100,000 in 2006 to 1.19/100,000 in 2017, p < .0001) but not for mucormycosis (from 0.04/100,000 in 2006 to 0.11/100,000 in 2017, p = .07). The major underlying disease identified was diabetes mellitus (60.8%) for mucormycosis and malignant neoplasms (45.9%) for aspergillosis. The all-cause 90-day mortality rate was similar between mucormycosis and aspergillosis patients (39% vs. 37%, p = .60). For mucormycosis patients, multivariate analysis revealed that posaconazole use was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (aOR 0.38; 95% CI 0.15-0.97; p = .04). CONCLUSIONS: Mucormycosis is an uncommon fungal disease in Taiwan, occurring mostly in diabetic patients. However, the incidence might be underestimated due to limited diagnostics. Continuous surveillance might aid in delineating the evolving features of mucormycosis.

Increased incidence of stress-associated illnesses among elderly after Typhoon Morakot.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Typhoon Morakot in August 2009 caused significant damages and health and socio-economic impacts in Taiwan. Therefore, we evaluated the mental health status of adult and patients who lived in the affected area after the disaster. METHODS: An observational, prospective population-based study was conducted. Adults living in the affected area were selected as the affected population in the National Health Insurance Database from January 2008 to December 2011. Prevalence and incidence of stress-associated illnesses, such as insomnia, anxiety, depressive, adjustment and mood disorders, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in the psychiatry department were analysed after the disaster. RESULTS: A total of 897,689 adult patients were studied. Of the affected population without pre-existing chronic mental health illness, the monthly visits for stress-associated illnesses, such as insomnia, anxiety, depressive disorders and PTSD increased about twice after the disaster in elderly and non-elderly groups. Comparing to the non-elderly group, the elderly group has more increased in the incidence of insomnia (356% vs. 318% increase) and depressive disorders (308% vs. 245%) but was affected to a lesser extent increase in the anxiety (269% vs. 307%), PTSD, episodic mood disorders (82% vs. 158%), and adjustment reaction (160% vs. 202%). CONCLUSION: The mental health statuses of patients who experienced a major natural disaster deteriorated in the elderly population after the disaster. However, we still need pay more attentions on the elderly of the affected population to decrease the risk for insomnia and depressive disorders after the disaster.

Early Blood Biomarkers Distinguish Inflammation from Neonatal Hypoxic-Ischemia Encephalopathy.

Neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy is the most common cause of neurological disability in infancy. Superimposed inflammation may further worsen neurological outcomes. Reliable biomarkers which are both sensitive to hypoxic-ischemia and inflammation are critically needed. We tested plasma osteopontin (OPN) and glial fibrillary astrocytic protein (GFAP) within the reported therapeutic window (90 min after hypoxic-ischemic (HI) injury) in neonatal rats with different HI severity and inflammation. Two different HI severity groups (mild-HI with 75 min hypoxia and severe-HI with 150 min hypoxia) were established. Inflammation-sensitized HI brain injury induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) further increased apoptotic neurons and infarct volumes. In HI alone groups, OPN was significantly decreased (p < 0.001) but GFAP was slightly increased (p < 0.05) at 90 min after HI either in mild-HI or severe-HI compared with naïve group. In LPS-sensitized HI groups, both OPN and GFAP were significantly increased either in LPS-mild-HI or LPS-severe-HI groups compared with the naïve group (all p < 0.05). Induced inflammation by LPS exaggerated neonatal HI brain injury. The plasma OPN and GFAP levels may be useful to differentiate HI alone groups from inflammation-sensitized HI groups or naïve group.

Seroprevalence of Zika and Dengue Virus Antibodies among Migrant Workers, Taiwan, 2017.

A serosurvey of 600 workers newly arrived in Taiwan from 4 Southeast Asia countries showed that 18 (3%) were positive for Zika virus IgM; 6 (1%) fulfilled the World Health Organization criteria for laboratory-confirmed recent Zika virus infection. The incidence of Zika virus infection in Southeast Asia might be underestimated.

Epilepsy occurrence after neonatal morbidities in very preterm infants.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated the incidence of epilepsy and identified neonatal risk morbidities for epilepsy in children born extremely preterm. METHODS: Of the 806 very preterm infants (birth weight < 1500 g, gestational age < 32 weeks) who survived and were discharged from the four neonatal intensive care units in southern Taiwan between 2003 and 2012, 686 (85.1%) had longitudinal neurodevelopmental follow-up assessments up to 5 years of age. RESULTS: Among the 686 very preterm children, 19 (2.8%) exhibited epilepsy at a mean age of 19 ± 14 months. The incidence of epilepsy was highest among infants with neonatal seizure (33%), followed by cystic periventricular leukomalacia (cPVL, 27%), high-grade intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH, 21%), and necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) stage III (20%). NEC stage III, neonatal seizure, high-grade IVH, and cPVL were also independent neonatal risk morbidities for epilepsy. Furthermore, the incidence of epilepsy was 21.6% in preterm children with significant neonatal brain injury (SNBI; ie, high-grade IVH and cPVL), but only 1% in preterm children without SNBI. Among preterm children with SNBI, neonatal seizure was higher in preterm children with epilepsy than in those without epilepsy (23.1% vs 2.1%, P = .03). Among preterm children without SNBI, NEC stage III was higher in preterm children with epilepsy than in those without epilepsy (33.3% vs 1.8%, P < .01). The preterm children with epilepsy were prone to have neurodevelopmental disability regardless of whether they had neonatal brain injury, and drug-resistant epilepsy (42%), particularly those with neonatal high-grade IVH. SIGNIFICANCE: There is an elevated incidence of epilepsy among very preterm children, and particularly those with significant brain injury and/or severe NEC during the neonatal period. Very preterm children with epilepsy are prone to have neurodevelopmental disability and drug-resistant epilepsy.

Prevalence, mechanisms and genetic relatedness of the human pathogenic fungus Aspergillus fumigatus exhibiting resistance to medical azoles in the environment of Taiwan.

Emerging azole resistance in Aspergillus fumigatus poses a serious threat to human health. This nationwide surveillance study investigated the prevalence and molecular characteristics of azole-resistant A. fumigatus environmental isolates in Taiwan, an island country with increasing use of azole fungicides. Of the 2760 air and soil samples screened from 2014 to 2016, 451 A. fumigatus isolates were recovered from 266 samples and 34 isolates from 29 samples displayed resistance to medical azoles (itraconazole, voriconazole or posaconazole). The resistance prevalence was 10.9% and 7.5% in A. fumigatus-positive samples and isolates respectively. Most (29, 85.3%) azole-resistant isolates harboured TR34 /L98H mutations, which were widely distributed, clustered genetically with clinical isolates, and had growth rates that were similar to those of the wild-type isolates. Microsatellite genotyping revealed both the global spread of the TR34 /L98H isolates and the occurrence of TR34 /L98H/S297T/F495I isolates belonging to local microsatellite genotypes. AfuMDR3 and atrF, two efflux transporter genes, were constitutively upregulated in two individual resistant isolates without cyp51A mutations, highlighting their potential roles in azole resistance. These results emphasize the need for periodic environmental surveillance at the molecular level in regions in which azole fungicides are applied, and agricultural fungicide management strategies that generate less selective pressure should be investigated.

Impact of delayed admission to intensive care units on patients with acute respiratory failure.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: To determine the impact of delayed admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) on the clinical outcomes of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included non-traumatic adult patients with ARF and mechanical ventilation support in the ED of a tertiary university hospital in Taiwan from January 1, 2013, to August 31, 2013. Clinical data were extracted from chart records. The primary and secondary outcome measures were a prolonged hospital stay (>30 days) and the in-hospital crude mortality within 90 days, respectively. RESULTS: For 267 eligible patients (age range 21.0-98.0 years, mean 70.5±15.1 years; male 184, 68.9%), multivariate analysis was used to determine the significant adverse effects of an ED stay >1.0 hour on in-hospital crude mortality (odds ratio 2.19, P<.05), which was thus defined as delayed ICU admission. In-hospital mortality significantly differed between patients with delayed ICU admission and those without delayed admission, as revealed by the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P<.05). Moreover, a linear-by-linear correlation was observed between the length of ICU waiting time in the ED and the lengths of total hospital stay (r=0.152, P<.05), ICU stay (r=0.148, P<.05), and ventilator support (r=0.222, P<.05). CONCLUSIONS: For patients with ARF who required mechanical ventilation support and intensive care, a delayed ICU admission more than 1.0 hour is a strong determinant of mortality and is associated with a longer ICU stay and a longer need for ventilation.

Idiopathic Acute Transverse Myelitis in Children: A Retrospective Series.

OBJECTIVE: Acute transverse myelitis (ATM) is a focal inflammatory disorder of the spinal cord, resulting in motor, sensory, and autonomic dysfunction. In this study, we delineate the clinical manifestations, neuroimaging characteristics, and outcome-associated risk factors in children with idiopathic ATM. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical charts and neuroimages in nine children aged younger than 18 years diagnosed with ATM between January 2006 and August 2014. RESULTS: The mean onset age was 5 years and 9 months. Infectious prodromes were observed in six patients. Leg weakness was observed in all patients, autonomic sphincter dysfunction was observed in seven patients, and sensory deficits on admission were observed only in four patients. The diagnosis was delayed in patients younger than 5.5 years compared with older children. The adverse outcomes cannot be predicted by the course of the disease, the laboratory findings, nor the extent of magnetic resonance imaging-detected spinal lesions; however, these outcomes can be predicted by poor early response to corticosteroids and the requirement of additional treatments (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of ATM is challenging in young children. Children with ATM who responded early to corticosteroids had more favorable outcomes than those who required additional therapies.

Social cohesion and health in old age: a study in southern Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have found that social cohesion and trust (SCT) were associated with psychological well-being and physical health. In this study, we investigated the associations between SCT and mental and physical health among community-dwelling elderly in a town in southern Taiwan. METHODS: The study population consisted of 149 community-dwelling elderly aged 65 years and older (68 men, 81 women; mean age, 75.4 ± 6.1 years) residing in the town of Dashe in southern Taiwan. Activities of daily living (ADL), SCT, depression, subjective quality of life (QOL), current medical status, past medical history, and health behaviors were assessed in face-to-face interviews. Objective neurobehavioral functions were assessed using the timed up & go (TUG) test, functional reach test, and handgrip test. RESULTS: Scores for ADL and Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS) were significantly correlated with SCT, and SCT was significantly correlated with all subjective QOL items. In addition, a strong correlation was observed between SCT and relationship with friends. Values for SCT (median ≥ 20) were significantly associated with both subjective sense of health (median ≥ 68) and subjective happiness (median ≥ 73) after adjusting for age, sex, and ADL. CONCLUSION: SCT is an important variable that influences self-rated health and happiness, independently of ADL, age, and sex. When assessing geriatric psychological function, SCT should be examined more carefully, given its association with subjective sense of health and happiness, depression, and physical function.

Risks of anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and sleep disorders in patients with dengue fever: A nationwide, population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dengue virus (DENV) infection, a common mosquito-borne disease, has been linked to several mental disorders like depression and anxiety. However, the temporal risk of these disorders after DENV infection is not well studied. METHODS: This population-based cohort study encompassed 45,334 recently lab-confirmed dengue patients in Taiwan spanning 2002 to 2015, matched at a 1:5 ratio with non-dengue individuals based on age, gender, and residence (n = 226,670). Employing subdistribution hazard regression analysis, we assessed the immediate (<3 months), intermediate (3-12 months), and prolonged (>12 months) risks of anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and sleep disorders post DENV infection. Corrections for multiple comparisons were carried out using the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. RESULTS: A significant increase in depressive disorder risk across all timeframes post-infection was observed (<3 months [aSHR 1.90, 95% CI 1.20-2.99], 3-12 months [aSHR 1.68, 95% CI 1.32-2.14], and >12 months [aSHR 1.14, 95% CI 1.03-1.25]). Sleep disorder risk was higher only during 3-12 months (aSHR 1.55, 95% CI 1.18-2.04). No elevated anxiety disorder risk was found. Subgroup analysis of hospitalized dengue patients showed increased risk of anxiety disorders within 3 months (aSHR 2.14, 95% CI 1.19-3.85) and persistent risk of depressive disorders across all periods. Hospitalized dengue patients also had elevated sleep disorder risk within the first year. CONCLUSION: Dengue patients exhibited significantly elevated risks of depressive disorders in both the short and long term. However, dengue's impact on sleep disorders and anxiety seems to be short-lived. Further research is essential to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Discrepancies in dengue burden estimates: a comparative analysis of reported cases and global burden of disease study, 2010-2019.

BACKGROUND: Dengue is a significant mosquito-borne disease. Several studies have utilized estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study to assess the global, regional or national burden of dengue over time. However, our recent investigation suggests that GBD's estimates for dengue cases in Taiwan are unrealistically high. The current study extends the scope to compare reported dengue cases with GBD estimates across 30 high-burden countries and territories, aiming to assess the accuracy and interpretability of the GBD's dengue estimates. METHODS: Data for this study were sourced from the GBD 2019 study and various national and international databases documenting reported dengue cases. The analysis targeted the top 30 countries and territories with the highest 10-year average of reported cases from 2010 to 2019. Discrepancies were quantified by computing absolute differences and ratios between the 10-year average of reported cases and GBD estimates. Coefficients of variation (CV) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess variations and trends in the two data sources. RESULTS: Significant discrepancies were noted between reported data and GBD estimates in the number of dengue cases, incidence rates, and EAPCs. GBD estimates were substantially higher than reported cases for many entities, with the most notable differences found in China (570.0-fold), India (303.0-fold), Bangladesh (115.4-fold), Taiwan (85.5-fold) and Indonesia (23.2-fold). Furthermore, the GBD's estimates did not accurately reflect the extensive yearly fluctuations in dengue outbreaks, particularly in non-endemic regions such as Taiwan, China and Argentina, as evidenced by high CVs. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals substantial discrepancies between GBD estimates and reported dengue cases, underscoring the imperative for comprehensive analysis in areas with pronounced disparities. The failure of GBD estimates to represent the considerable annual fluctuations in dengue outbreaks highlights the critical need for improvement in disease burden estimation methodologies for dengue.

Prognostic values of blood ammonia and partial pressure of ammonia on hospital arrival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrests.

PURPOSES: Outcome prediction for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is of medical, ethical, and socioeconomic importance. We hypothesized that blood ammonia may reflect tissue hypoxia in OHCA patients and conducted this study to evaluate the prognostic value of ammonia for the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). METHODS: This prospective, observational study was conducted in a tertiary university hospital between January 2008 and December 2008. The subjects consisted of OHCA patients who were sent to the emergency department (ED). The primary outcome was ROSC. The prognostic values were calculated for ammonia levels and the partial pressure of ammonia (pNH(3)), and the results were depicted as a receiver operating characteristics curve with an area under the curve. RESULTS: Among 119 patients enrolled in this study, 28 patients (23.5%) achieved ROSC. Ammonia levels and pNH(3) in the non-ROSC group were significantly higher than those in the ROSC group (167.0 µmol/L vs 80.0 µmol/L, P < .05; 2.61 × 10(-5) vs 1.67 × 10(-5) mm Hg, P < .05, respectively). The predictive capacity of area under the curve for ammonia and pNH(3) for non-ROSC was 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.95) and 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.84), respectively. The multivariate analysis confirmed that ammonia and pNH(3) are independent predictors of non-ROSC. The prognostic value of ammonia was better than that of pNH(3). The cutoff level for ammonia of 84 µmol/L was 94.5% sensitive and 75.0% specific for predicting non-ROSC with a diagnostic accuracy of 89.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperammonemia on ED arrival is independently predictive of non-ROSC for OHCA patients. The findings may offer useful information for clinical management.

Reinvestigation of the risk of stroke after dengue virus infection: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dengue virus (DENV) infection is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease. Stroke is a severe manifestation of dengue. However, few large-scale studies have investigated post-dengue risk of stroke. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included 57,934 newly diagnosed, laboratory-confirmed dengue patients in Taiwan from 2002 to 2015; patients were matched to nondengue individuals by age, sex, and area of residence at a ratio of 1:4 (n = 231,736). We used subdistribution hazard regression to evaluate short-term (≤ 30 days), medium-term (31-365 days), and long-term (1-3 years) risk of stroke after DENV infection. The robustness of the results to unmeasured confounding was assessed with E-values. RESULTS: DENV infection was associated with a significantly increased risk of overall stroke (aSHR 4.51; 95% CI: 3.23-6.32; P < 0.0001; E-value = 8.49), hemorrhagic stroke (aSHR 4.13; 95% CI: 2.20-7.76; P < 0.0001; E-value =7.73), and ischemic stroke (aSHR 3.80; 95% CI: 2.37-6.11; P < 0.0001; E-value = 7.06) within 30 days. Stratified analysis by age showed that the aSHRs for overall stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and ischemic stroke were larger among dengue patients aged ≥ 65 during the first 30 days. The 30-day risks of overall stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and ischemic stroke among elderly dengue patients were 6.71, 1.29, and 3.49 per 1000, respectively. No increased risk was observed after 30 days. CONCLUSION: DENV infection was associated with a significant short-term increased risk of stroke. Clinical practitioners should remain alert to patients with stroke-associated symptoms during epidemic seasons, especially elderly patients.

Risks of Acute Cholecystitis, Acute Pancreatitis, and Acute Appendicitis in Patients with Dengue Fever: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Taiwan.

INTRODUCTION: Although cases of acute cholecystitis, acute pancreatitis, and acute appendicitis following dengue virus infections have been documented, very few large-scale studies have investigated the postdengue risk of these acute abdominal conditions. METHODS: This retrospective population-based cohort study included all patients with laboratory-confirmed dengue from 2002 to 2015 in Taiwan and 1:4 nondengue individuals matched by age, sex, area of residence, and symptom onset time. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the short-term (≤ 30 days), medium-term (31-365 days), and long-term (> 1 year) risks of acute cholecystitis, pancreatitis, and appendicitis after dengue infection, adjusted for age, sex, area of residence, urbanization level, monthly income level, and comorbidities. Bonferroni correction was used for multiple testing; E-values were used to assess the robustness of the results to unmeasured confounding. RESULTS: This study included 65,694 individuals with dengue and 262,776 individuals without dengue. Patients with dengue had a significantly increased risk of acute cholecystitis (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 60.21; 95% CI 29.11-124.54; P < 0.0001, E-value = 119.92) and acute pancreatitis (aHR 17.13; 95% CI 7.66-38.29; P < 0.0001, E-value = 33.75) within the first 30 days postinfection compared to those without dengue, but this increased risk was not present after that. The incidence rates of acute cholecystitis and pancreatitis in the first 30 days were 18.79 and 5.27 per 10,000, respectively. No increased risk of acute appendicitis was observed among patients with acute dengue infection. CONCLUSION: This study was the first large epidemiological study to show a significantly increased risk of acute cholecystitis and pancreatitis among patients with dengue during the acute phase of dengue infection, while no such association was observed for acute appendicitis. Early identification of acute cholecystitis and pancreatitis in patients with dengue is crucial for preventing fatal complications.

Re-examination of the risk of dementia after dengue virus infection: A population-based cohort study.

Dengue infection can affect the central nervous system and cause various neurological complications. Previous studies also suggest dengue was associated with a significantly increased long-term risk of dementia. A population-based cohort study was conducted using national health databases in Taiwan and included 37,928 laboratory-confirmed dengue patients aged ≥ 45 years between 2002 and 2015, along with 151,712 matched nondengue individuals. Subdistribution hazard regression models showed a slightly increased risk of Alzheimer's disease, and unspecified dementia, non-vascular dementia, and overall dementia in dengue patients than the nondengue group, adjusted for age, sex, area of residence, urbanization level, income, comorbidities, and all-cause clinical visits within one year before the index date. After considering multiple comparisons using Bonferroni correction, only overall dementia and non-vascular dementia remained statistically significant (adjusted SHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.05-1.21, p = 0.0009; E-value 1.51, 95% CI 1.28-NA). Sensitivity analyses in which dementia cases occurring in the first three or five years after the index dates were excluded revealed no association between dengue and dementia. In conclusion, this study found dengue patients had a slightly increased risk of non-vascular dementia and total dementia than those without dengue. However, the small corresponding E-values and sensitivity analyses suggest the association between dengue and dementia may not be causal.

Scrub Typhus Complicated With Fulminant Perimyocarditis.

A 62-year-old woman with no systemic disease presented to the emergency department (ED) with acute febrile illness for three days. During her ED course, she developed respiratory distress and refractory cardiogenic shock with ST-elevation on electrocardiography. No occluded coronary vessel was found in angiography, and perimyocarditis was impressed. The serum indirect immunofluorescence assay was positive for scrub typhus. Hemopericardium and subsequently intracranial hemorrhage occurred on the 4th hospital day even under intensive care, and the patient expired. Perimyocarditis is a rare but fatal complication of scrub typhus. Through this case report, we aim to convey the genuine possibility that a fulminant perimyocarditis may occur in a previously healthy adult as a potential complication of scrub typhus. By recognizing the risk factors of scrub typhus-related myocarditis, an ED physician can maintain a high index of suspicion for the cardiac complication and intervene in a timely manner.

Re-examination of the risk of autoimmune diseases after dengue virus infection: A population-based cohort study.

Previous studies suggested that dengue was associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune diseases. However, this association still needs to be explored due to the limitations of these studies. A population-based cohort study was conducted using national health databases in Taiwan and included 63,814 newly diagnosed, laboratory-confirmed dengue patients between 2002 and 2015 and 1:4 controls (n = 255,256) matched by age, sex, area of residence and symptom onset time. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to investigate the risk of autoimmune diseases after dengue infection. Dengue patients had a slightly higher risk of overall autoimmune diseases than non-dengue controls (aHR 1.16; P = 0.0002). Stratified analyses by specific autoimmune diseases showed that only autoimmune encephalomyelitis remained statistically significant after Bonferroni correction for multiple testing (aHR 2.72; P < 0.0001). Sixteen (0.025%) dengue patients and no (0%) controls developed autoimmune encephalomyelitis in the first month of follow-up (HR >9999, P < 0.0001), but the risk between groups was not significantly different thereafter. Contrary to previous studies, our findings showed that dengue was associated with an increased short-term risk of a rare complication, autoimmune encephalomyelitis, but not associated with other autoimmune diseases.

Development and Utility of Practical Indicators of Critical Outcomes in Dengue Patients Presenting to Hospital: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study.

Global travel and climate change have drastically increased the number of countries with endemic or epidemic dengue. The largest dengue outbreak in Taiwan, with 43,419 cases and 228 deaths, occurred in 2015. Practical and cost-effective tools for early prediction of clinical outcomes in dengue patients, especially the elderly, are limited. This study identified the clinical profile and prognostic indicators of critical outcomes in dengue patients on the basis of clinical parameters and comorbidities. A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted in a tertiary hospital from 1 July 2015 to 30 November 2015. Patients diagnosed with dengue were enrolled, and the initial clinical presentations, diagnostic laboratory data, details of the underlying comorbidities, and initial management recommendations based on 2009 World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines were used to evaluate prognostic indicators of critical outcomes in dengue patients. Dengue patients from another regional hospital were used to evaluate accuracy. A group B (4 points) classification, temperature < 38.5 °C (1 point), lower diastolic blood pressure (1 point), prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) (2 points), and elevated liver enzymes (1 point) were included in the scoring system. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the clinical model was 0.933 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.905-0.960). The tool had good predictive value and clinical applicability for identifying patients with critical outcomes.

A simple scoring algorithm predicting vascular infections in adults with nontyphoid Salmonella bacteremia.

BACKGROUND: Nontyphoid Salmonella (NTS) can cause fatal vascular infections. This study aims to establish a predictive scoring algorithm to identify adults aged ≥ 50 years with NTS bacteremia who are at risk for vascular infections. METHODS: There were 358 adults aged ≥ 50 years with NTS bacteremia at 2 medical centers in southern Taiwan included in this study. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for imaging-documented vascular infections. The prediction capability of the proposed scoring algorithm was indicated by a receiver operating characteristic curve and measures of sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Sixty patients (16.8%) with vascular infections were noted. The 4 risk factors significantly associated with vascular infections-male sex, hypertension, coronary arterial disease, and serogroup C1 infections-were each assigned +1 point to form the NTS vascular infection (NTSVI) score. In contrast, malignancy and immunosuppressive therapy were each assigned -1 point, owing to their negative associations with vascular infections. Based on the proposed NTSVI scoring, the prevalence of vascular infections in patients with ≤ 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 points was 2.2% (3 of 138 patients), 10.6% (13 of 123 patients), 39.4% (26 of 66 patients), 55.2% (16 of 29 patients), and 100% (2 of 2 patients), respectively (P< .0001). The scoring algorithm shows an area under the curve of 0.83 (95% confidence interval, .78-.89; P < .0001). A cutoff value of +1 represents a high sensitivity (95.0%) and an acceptable specificity (45.3%). CONCLUSIONS: This simple scoring algorithm can be used to identify patients with NTS bacteremia with a high risk of vascular infections. The cost-effectiveness of this algorithm should be further studied.

Short-term, medium-term, and long-term risks of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding after dengue virus infection.

Dengue patients have an increased risk of acute gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. However, whether dengue virus (DENV) infection can cause an increased long-term risk of GI bleeding remains unknown, especially among elderly individuals who commonly take antithrombotic drugs. A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted by analyzing the National Health Insurance Research Databases. Laboratory-confirmed dengue patients from 2002 to 2012 and four matched nondengue controls were identified. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate the acute (<30 days), medium-term (31-365 days), and long-term (>365 days) risks of nonvariceal upper GI bleeding after DENV infection. Stratified analyses by age group (≤50, 51-64, ≥65 years old) were also performed. In total, 13267 confirmed dengue patients and 53068 nondengue matched controls were included. After adjusting for sex, age, area of residence, comorbidities, and medications, dengue patients had a significantly increased risk of nonvariceal upper GI bleeding within 30 days of disease onset (adjusted HR 55.40; 95% CI: 32.17-95.42). However, DENV infection was not associated with increased medium-term and long-term risks of upper GI bleeding overall or in each age group. Even dengue patients who developed acute GI bleeding did not have increased medium-term (adjusted HR; 0.55, 95% CI 0.05-6.18) and long-term risks of upper GI bleeding (adjusted HR; 1.78, 95% CI 0.89-3.55). DENV infection was associated with a significantly increased risk of nonvariceal upper GI bleeding within 30 days but not thereafter. Recovered dengue patients with acute GI bleeding can resume antithrombotic treatments to minimize the risk of thrombosis.