Parallel Machine Learning for Forecasting the Dynamics of Complex Networks.

Forecasting the dynamics of large, complex, sparse networks from previous time series data is important in a wide range of contexts. Here we present a machine learning scheme for this task using a parallel architecture that mimics the topology of the network of interest. We demonstrate the utility and scalability of our method implemented using reservoir computing on a chaotic network of oscillators. Two levels of prior knowledge are considered: (i) the network links are known, and (ii) the network links are unknown and inferred via a data-driven approach to approximately optimize prediction.

The recovery of parabolic avalanches in spatially subsampled neuronal networks at criticality.

Scaling relationships are key in characterizing complex systems at criticality. In the brain, they are evident in neuronal avalanches-scale-invariant cascades of neuronal activity quantified by power laws. Avalanches manifest at the cellular level as cascades of neuronal groups that fire action potentials simultaneously. Such spatiotemporal synchronization is vital to theories on brain function yet avalanche synchronization is often underestimated when only a fraction of neurons is observed. Here, we investigate biases from fractional sampling within a balanced network of excitatory and inhibitory neurons with all-to-all connectivity and critical branching process dynamics. We focus on how mean avalanche size scales with avalanche duration. For parabolic avalanches, this scaling is quadratic, quantified by the scaling exponent, χ = 2, reflecting rapid spatial expansion of simultaneous neuronal firing over short durations. However, in networks sampled fractionally, χ is significantly lower. We demonstrate that applying temporal coarse-graining and increasing a minimum threshold for coincident firing restores χ = 2, even when as few as 0.1% of neurons are sampled. This correction crucially depends on the network being critical and fails for near sub- and supercritical branching dynamics. Using cellular 2-photon imaging, our approach robustly identifies χ = 2 over a wide parameter regime in ongoing neuronal activity from frontal cortex of awake mice. In contrast, the common 'crackling noise' approach fails to determine χ under similar sampling conditions at criticality. Our findings overcome scaling bias from fractional sampling and demonstrate rapid, spatiotemporal synchronization of neuronal assemblies consistent with scale-invariant, parabolic avalanches at criticality.

The recovery of parabolic avalanches in spatially subsampled neuronal networks at criticality.

Scaling relationships are key in characterizing complex systems at criticality. In the brain, they are evident in neuronal avalanches-scale-invariant cascades of neuronal activity quantified by power laws. Avalanches manifest at the cellular level as cascades of neuronal groups that fire action potentials simultaneously. Such spatiotemporal synchronization is vital to theories on brain function yet avalanche synchronization is often underestimated when only a fraction of neurons is observed. Here, we investigate biases from fractional sampling within a balanced network of excitatory and inhibitory neurons with all-to-all connectivity and critical branching process dynamics. We focus on how mean avalanche size scales with avalanche duration. For parabolic avalanches, this scaling is quadratic, quantified by the scaling exponent, χ = 2 , reflecting rapid spatial expansion of simultaneous neuronal firing over short durations. However, in networks sampled fractionally, χ is significantly lower. We demonstrate that applying temporal coarse-graining and increasing a minimum threshold for coincident firing restores χ = 2 , even when as few as 0.1% of neurons are sampled. This correction crucially depends on the network being critical and fails for near sub- and supercritical branching dynamics. Using cellular 2-photon imaging, our approach robustly identifies χ = 2 over a wide parameter regime in ongoing neuronal activity from frontal cortex of awake mice. In contrast, the common 'crackling noise' approach fails to determine χ under similar sampling conditions at criticality. Our findings overcome scaling bias from fractional sampling and demonstrate rapid, spatiotemporal synchronization of neuronal assemblies consistent with scale-invariant, parabolic avalanches at criticality.

Parabolic avalanche scaling in the synchronization of cortical cell assemblies.

Neurons in the cerebral cortex fire coincident action potentials during ongoing activity and in response to sensory inputs. These synchronized cell assemblies are fundamental to cortex function, yet basic dynamical aspects of their size and duration are largely unknown. Using 2-photon imaging of neurons in the superficial cortex of awake mice, we show that synchronized cell assemblies organize as scale-invariant avalanches that quadratically grow with duration. The quadratic avalanche scaling was only found for correlated neurons, required temporal coarse-graining to compensate for spatial subsampling of the imaged cortex, and suggested cortical dynamics to be critical as demonstrated in simulations of balanced E/I-networks. The corresponding time course of an inverted parabola with exponent of χ = 2 described cortical avalanches of coincident firing for up to 5 s duration over an area of 1 mm2. These parabolic avalanches maximized temporal complexity in the ongoing activity of prefrontal and somatosensory cortex and in visual responses of primary visual cortex. Our results identify a scale-invariant temporal order in the synchronization of highly diverse cortical cell assemblies in the form of parabolic avalanches.