Considering climate change impact on the global potential geographical distribution of the invasive Argentine ant and little fire ant.

The Argentine ant (Linepithema humile) and the little fire ant (Wasmannia auropunctata) are among the top 100 invasive alien species globally, causing significant ecological and economic harm. Therefore, it is crucial to study their potential geographic distribution worldwide. This study aimed to predict their global distribution under current and future climate conditions. We used distribution data from various sources, including CABI, GBIF, and PIAKey, and key climate variables selected from 19 environmental factors to model their potential geographic distribution using MaxEnt. The AUC values were 0.925 and 0.937 for L. humile and W. auropunctata, respectively, indicating good predictive performance. Suitable areas for L. humile were mainly in southern North America, northern South America, Europe, central Asia, southern Oceania, and parts of Africa, while W. auropunctata suitable areas were mostly in southern North America, most of South America, a small part of Europe, southern Asia, central Africa, and some parts of Oceania. Under climate change scenario, suitable areas for L. humile increased, while highly suitable areas for W. auropunctata decreased. The top four countries with the largest areas of overlapping suitable habitat under current climate were Brazil, China, Australia, and Argentina, while under future SSP585 climate scenario, the top four countries were Brazil, China, Indonesia, and Argentina. Some countries, such as Estonia and Finland, will see an overlapping adaptation area under climate change. In conclusion, this study provides insight into controlling the spread and harm of L. humile and W. auropunctata.

First detection of the potato cyst nematode (Globodera rostochiensis) in a major potato production region of China.

The potato cyst nematodes (PCN) Globodera rostochiensis and Globodera pallida are the very important quarantine nematode pests of potato [Stone 1973]. Both species cause serious potato tuber yield losses. These species are subjected to strict quarantine regulations in many countries (EPPO 2017). G. rostochiensis was detected in Sichuan and Yunnan province, China in 2022 (Jiang et al. 2022). A survey for cyst nematodes in potato fields was conducted in Guizhou Province from 2018 to 2020. A total of 200 samples, including roots and soil, were collected from 40 potato fields in Hezhang (N27 06.145, E104 39.153) and Weining (N26 50.541, E104 09.885) counties in Guizhou Province, China. The Cobb decanting and sieving method was used to isolate cysts and J2s from the soil samples (Southey 1986). The potato roots were stained with acid fusion to observe cyst development. Morphological and molecular analyses indicated that 27 (13.5%) of the samples contained G. rostochiensis. The cyst density ranged between 1-85 cysts per 100 cm3 of soil and a mean density was 15 cysts per 100 cm3 soil. The smoothly rounded cysts were in brown and golden color, and the terminal cone was absent and circumfenestrate. The key morphometrics of cysts (n=20) were 695 ± 26 (685-757) µm in length excluding neck and 690 ± 30 (668 to769) µm in width; the number of cuticular ridges between anus and vulval fenestra was 16.3 ±2.1 (14 to 18); fenestral length was 15.1 ± 2.1 µm (13.18 to 19.27); distance from anus to the edge of fenestra was 61.12 ± 8.9 (49.22 to76.27) µm; and Granek's ratio was 4.54 ± 0.8 (3.97-5.26). The key morphometrics of J2 (n = 20): 468.0 ± 20.1 (427 to - 521) µm in body length, 20.58 ± 0.7 (20.2 to 21.8) µm in stylet length, 43.9 ± 5.6 (40.3 to 53.9) µm in tail length, and 23.1 ± 1.8 (21.77 to 25.32) µm in hyaline region length. The cyst and J2 morphologies were consistent with those of G. rostochiensis (Subbotin et al. 2010, EPPO 2017). Genomic DNA was isolated from cysts (n=20). DNA extraction was performed in a volume of 20 µl containing 3 µl 10× PCR buffer, 3 µl Proteinase K (600 µg µl-1), 14 µl distilled water and a single cyst was added and ground in an ice bath as described by Ou et al. (2008). The internal transcribed spacer (ITS) regions were amplified using the universal primers: rDNA1 (5'-TTGATTACGTCCCTGCCCTTT-3') and rDNA2 (5'-TTTCACTCGCCGTTACTAAGG-3') (Fleming 1998 ), and the 28S rDNA-D2/D3 regions were amplified using the primers: D2A (5´-ACAAGTACCGTGAGGGAAAGTTG-3´) and D3B (5´-TCGGAAGGAACCAGCTACTA-3´) (Subbotin et al. 2006). After the brackets at the beginning and end of the sequences were closed-up, the ITS rDNA sequences (GenBank Accession No. MZ042367 and MZ042368) showed 99.66% - 99.92% identity to G. rostochiensis sequences available in GenBank (FJ212166.1, GQ294513, FJ212164.1 and KJ409617.1). Sequences from the 28S region (GenBank Accession No. MZ057597 and MZ057598) were 99.23% - 99.74% similar to those of G. rostochiensis isolate from Slovakia (KJ409625.1), Italy (KJ409631.1) and United Kingdom (KJ409633.1). We used species specific primers ITS5（5'-GGAAGTAAAAGTCGTAACAAGG-3'）and PITSr3 (5'AGCGCAGACATGCCGCAA-3') to amplify the product (Bulman & Marshall 1997; EPPO 2017). A single 434bp fragment was obtained from Hezhang and Weining populations. A host test for the Hezhang and Weining populations were performed by inoculating 1,000 eggs per plant of varieties Qingshu 9, Huize 2 and Hezuo 88 grown in the pots containing 800 cm3 of sterilized soil (soil: sand ratio was 3:1), and four replications were tested in greenhouse under 16 h light, 22°C in the day and 8 h dark in the night. At 90 days post inoculation, 32.6 ± 7, 31.2 ± 8, and 29.5 ± 8 females and cysts were extracted from the infected roots and soils of the varieties Qingshu 9, Huize 2 and Hezuo 88, respectively. No females and cysts were observed on the control plants. The trial indicated that potato cultivars Qingshu 9, Huize 2 and Hezuo 88 are hosts for the Hezhang and Weining populations of Globodera rostochiensis. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first detection of potato cyst nematode Globodera rostochiensis in Guizhou Province, China.

Modeling Finite-Time Failure Probabilities in Risk Analysis Applications.

In this article, we introduce a framework for analyzing the risk of systems failure based on estimating the failure probability. The latter is defined as the probability that a certain risk process, characterizing the operations of a system, reaches a possibly time-dependent critical risk level within a finite-time interval. Under general assumptions, we define two dually connected models for the risk process and derive explicit expressions for the failure probability and also the joint probability of the time of the occurrence of failure and the excess of the risk process over the risk level. We illustrate how these probabilistic models and results can be successfully applied in several important areas of risk analysis, among which are systems reliability, inventory management, flood control via dam management, infectious disease spread, and financial insolvency. Numerical illustrations are also presented.

Structure and Properties of Exopolysaccharide Produced by Gluconobacter frateurii and Its Potential Applications.

An exopolysaccharide (EPS)-producing bacterium was isolated from apricot fermentation broth and identified as Gluconobacter frateurii HDC-08 (accession number: OK036475.1). HDC-08 EPS is a linear homopolysaccharide mainly composed of glucose linked by α-(1,6) glucoside bonds. It contains C, H, N and S elements, with a molecular weight of 4.774 × 106 Da. Microscopically, it has a smooth, glossy and compact sheet structure. It is an amorphous noncrystalline substance with irregular coils. Moreover, the EPS showed surface hydrophobicity and high thermal stability with a degradation temperature of 250.76 °C. In addition, it had strong antioxidant properties against DPPH radicals, ABPS radicals, hydroxyl radicals and H2O2. The EPS exhibited high metal-chelating activity and strong emulsifying ability for soybean oil, petroleum ether and diesel oil. The milk solidification test indicated that the EPS had good potential in fermented dairy products. In general, all the results demonstrate that HDC-08 EPS has promise for commercial applications as a food additive and antioxidant.

Surveillance and invasive risk of the red imported fire ant, Solenopsis invicta Buren in China.

BACKGROUND: The red imported fire ant, Solenopsis invicta Buren is one of the world's most successful and destructive invasive ant species. In mainland China, fast, monthly and annual pest reports on all pests have been established since 2010. The distribution of S. invicta resulting from climate change in China was predicted using MaxEnt modeling in combination with comprehensive surveillance data and 56 environmental factors. RESULTS: The fast and monthly reports revealed that S. invicta had spread to new territories almost every year in this timeframe. The transportation of seedlings and deployment of turfgrass were the major artificial transmission pathways. Annual reports indicated that control efforts had effectively reduced its occurrence areas and degree of severity of infestations, and retrieved the economic loss caused by S. invicta. The MaxEnt model predicted that S. invicta would expand to 23 provinces in China as a result of climate change. Moisture variables were the key factors affecting the distribution of this pest. CONCLUSION: Based on the theoretical reference framework of this research, China proposed the first-ever integrated tactics against a single pest, jointly involving nine ministries, which include clarifying responsibilities, cutting off transmission pathways, strengthening surveillance, declaring pest distributions and conducting preventive and control campaigns. Practical efforts and measures combating the devastation of S. invicta may shed light on its management and other invasive species worldwide. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.