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Background: Association between baseline medications plus neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the effectiveness of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) plus platinum doublet remains unknown, despite several reported prognostic models. We used real-world data to investigate whether baseline medications plus NLR predict survival outcomes in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving ICI plus platinum doublet. Methods: This multicenter, retrospective, observational study conducted in Japan between December 2018 and March 2021 used real-world data of consecutive patients with advanced NSCLC who received ICI (pembrolizumab or atezolizumab) plus platinum doublet as first-line treatment. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The prognostic score for baseline medications plus NLR was weighted by regression ß coefficients and used to categorize patients into good, intermediate, and poor prognoses groups. In addition, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analyses and univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were constructed. Results: Overall, 241 patients were included. Poor prognosis was significantly associated with worse PFS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-2.94; P = 0.025) and OS (HR: 3.59; 95% CI: 2.05-6.28; P < 0.001) than good prognosis. Harrell's C-index for this prognostic model was 0.648. Conclusions: Baseline medication plus NLR could predict progressively worse survival outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving ICI plus platinum doublet and could be used as a prognostic index for poor outcomes.
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BACKGROUND: Nivolumab and pembrolizumab are the standard treatments for patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). While there are reports on several inflammatory indices and the prognosis of patients with cancer, no study has combined baseline medication with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict clinical outcomes. This study investigated the efficacy of baseline medications plus NLR to predict the effectiveness of nivolumab and pembrolizumab in a real-world clinical setting. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective observational study of consecutive patients with advanced NSCLC who received nivolumab or pembrolizumab as first-line, second-line, or beyond treatment between December 2015 and November 2018 at the National Cancer Center Hospital in Japan. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The drug-based prognostic score for baseline medications plus NLR was weighed based on the regression ß coefficients. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between the prognostic score-stratified groups and survival outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 259 patients were evaluated in this study. A prognostic score calculated from the baseline medications plus NLR was used to categorize the patients into good (score 0), intermediate (scores 1-2), and poor (scores 3-6) -prognosis groups. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model revealed a significant association between the poor-prognosis group and reduced OS. The hazard ratio of OS was 1.75 (95% confidence interval: 1.07-2.99; P = 0.031). In contrast, no association between these prognosis groups and PFS was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that the baseline medications with nivolumab or pembrolizumab plus NLR could lead to progressively shorter survival outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC and could be used as a prognostic index for poor outcomes. However, to ascertain the clinical application of these findings, these concomitant medications need further validation in a large-scale multicenter study.