Factors Associated with Transition to Serious Mental Illness.

OBJECTIVE: There is increasing interest in early intervention and detection strategies for youth at-risk of developing a serious mental illness (SMI). Little is known about early factors that may be related to the later development of a SMI; thus, the aim of this study was to determine what clinical factors might relate to the development of in this study psychosis, bipolar disorder and severe or recurrent major depression in at-risk youth. METHOD: The sample consisted of 162 youth aged 12-26 years at different stages of risk. Thirty-one participants developed a SMI during the study. Those who made a transition were compared on a range of baseline clinical and functional measures with those who did not make the transition. A Cox regression model was used to assess the association between measures and later development of a SMI. RESULTS: Female sex, attenuated psychotic symptoms as assessed with the Scale of Psychosis-Risk Symptoms (SOPS) and ratings on the K-10 Distress Scale, were found to be significantly associated with the later transition to mental illness. Females were 2.77 times more likely to transition compared to males. For the SOPS and K-10 scales, there is a 14% increase in the transition rate relative to a one-scale increase in SOPS and a 7% increase in the transition rate relative to a one-point increase in the K-10. CONCLUSIONS: Results from these longitudinal data provide further insight into the specific clinical measures that may be pertinent in early detection of mental illnesses.