Risk of adverse pathology at prostatectomy in the era of MRI and targeted biopsies; rethinking active surveillance for intermediate risk prostate cancer patients.

PURPOSE: Men with intermediate risk (IR) prostate cancer (CaP) are often excluded from active surveillance (AS) due to higher rates of adverse pathology (AP). We determined our rate of AP in men who underwent multiparametric MRI (MpMRI) with combined biopsy (CB) consisting of targeted biopsy (TB) and systematic biopsy (SB) prior to radical prostatectomy (RP). METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of men with Gleason Grade Group (GG) 2 disease who underwent RP after SB alone or after preoperative MRI with CB. AP was defined as either pathologic stage T3a (AP ≥ T3a) or pathologic stage T3b (AP ≥ T3b) and/or GG upgrading. Rates of AP were determined for both groups and those who fit the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) definition of favorable IR (FIR) or the low volume IR (LVIR) criteria. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine predictive factors. RESULTS: The overall rate of AP ≥ T3b was 21.2% in the SB group vs. 8.6% in the MRI with CB group, P = 0.006. This rate was lowered to 6.8% and 5.6% when men met the definition of NCCN FIR or LVIR, respectively. Suspicion for extraprostatic extension (EPE) (OR 7.65, 95% CI 1.77-33.09, P = 0.006) and positive cores of GG 2 on SB (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.05-1.96, P = 0.023) were significant for predicting AP ≥ T3b. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of AP at RP after MRI with CB are lower than studies prior to the adoption of this technology, suggesting that more men with IR disease may be considered for AS. However, increasing cores positive on SB and MRI findings suggestive of EPE remain unsafe.