ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Whilst observational studies establish that lower plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) levels are associated with higher risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), establishing causality has proven challenging. Since vitamin D is modifiable, these observations have substantial clinical and public health implications. Indeed, many health agencies already recommend supplemental vitamin D. Here, we explore causality in a large Mendelian randomisation (MR) study using an improved genetic instrument for circulating 25-OHD. METHODS: We developed a weighted genetic score for circulating 25-OHD using six genetic variants that we recently reported to be associated with circulating 25-OHD in a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis. Using this score as instrumental variable in MR analyses, we sought to determine whether circulating 25-OHD is causally linked with CRC risk. We conducted MR analysis using individual-level data from 10,725 CRC cases and 30,794 controls (Scotland, UK Biobank and Croatia). We then applied estimates from meta-analysis of 11 GWAS of CRC risk (18,967 cases; 48,168 controls) in a summary statistics MR approach. RESULTS: The new genetic score for 25-OHD was strongly associated with measured plasma 25-OHD levels in 2821 healthy Scottish controls (P = 1.47 × 10- 11), improving upon previous genetic instruments (F-statistic 46.0 vs. 13.0). However, individual-level MR revealed no association between 25-OHD score and CRC risk (OR 1.03/unit log-transformed circulating 25-OHD, 95% CI 0.51-2.07, P = 0.93). Similarly, we found no evidence for a causal relationship between 25-OHD and CRC risk using summary statistics MR analysis (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.69-1.19, P = 0.48). CONCLUSIONS: Despite the scale of this study and employing an improved score capturing more of the genetic contribution to circulating 25-OHD, we found no evidence for a causal relationship between circulating 25-OHD and CRC risk. Although the magnitude of effect for vitamin D suggested by observational studies can confidently be excluded, smaller effects sizes and non-linear relationships remain plausible. Circulating vitamin D may be a CRC biomarker, but a causal effect on CRC risk remains unproven.
Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/etiology , Mendelian Randomization Analysis/methods , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Vitamin D/adverse effectsABSTRACT
Folate intake is inversely related to risk of developing colorectal neoplasia. Associations between risk of colorectal neoplasia and polymorphisms in genes coding for enzymes involved in folate metabolism have also been reported, suggesting a relationship between genotype and development of colorectal neoplasia. To further investigate the effects of folate metabolism genotypes on colorectal neoplasia, we genotyped 546 patients participating in a randomized controlled trial of folate supplementation for the prevention of colorectal adenoma recurrence. A significantly reduced risk of recurrence was observed in patients heterozygous for the MTRR A66G polymorphism [relative risk (RR), 0.64; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.46-0.90] or heterozygous for the MTHFR A1298C polymorphism (RR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.97). Furthermore, a significant reduction in recurrence risk was seen in MTRR A66G heterozygotes who received folate supplements but not in those who did not receive folate. Patients heterozygous for the MTHFR C677T polymorphism had a nonsignificant risk reduction (RR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.69-1.23), as did patients with one or two variant alleles for the MTR A2756G polymorphism (RR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.60-1.12). No influence on recurrence risk was observed for the TSER, TSER 3R G>C, and TS 1494del6 variants. These findings provide additional support for the hypothesis that germ line variants in folate metabolism genes influence the development of colorectal adenomas.