Dietary nutrient intake and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

INTRODUCTION: The objective was to analyze associations between dietary intake of multiple nutrients and altered cognitive function and/or decline. METHODS: Observational analyses of participants (n = 6334) in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. RESULTS: In AREDS, for 4 of 38 nutrients examined, higher intake quintiles were significantly associated with decreased risk of cognitive impairment on the Modified Mini-Mental State test (<80): ß-carotene, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, and insoluble fiber. In AREDS2, for 13 of 44 nutrients, higher intake quintiles were associated with decreased risk on the Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30). Rate of cognitive decline over up to 10 years was not significantly different with higher intake of any nutrient. DISCUSSION: Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including specific vitamins, minerals, carotenoids, fatty acids, and fiber, was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function.

Long-term Outcomes of Adding Lutein/Zeaxanthin and ω-3 Fatty Acids to the AREDS Supplements on Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression: AREDS2 Report 28.

Importance: After the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) study, the beta carotene component was replaced by lutein/zeaxanthin for the development of the revised AREDS supplement. However, it is unknown if the increased risk of lung cancer observed in those assigned beta carotene persists beyond the conclusion of the AREDS2 trial and if there is a benefit of adding lutein/zeaxanthin to the original AREDS supplement that can be observed with long-term follow-up. Objective: To assess 10-year risk of developing lung cancer and late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a multicenter epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 clinical trial, conducted from December 1, 2012, to December 31, 2018. Included in the analysis were participants with bilateral or unilateral intermediate AMD for an additional 5 years after clinical trial. Eyes/participants were censored at the time of late AMD development, death, or loss to follow-up. Data were analyzed from November 2019 to March 2022. Interventions: During the clinical trial, participants were randomly assigned primarily to lutein/zeaxanthin and/or ω-3 fatty acids or placebo and secondarily to no beta carotene vs beta carotene and low vs high doses of zinc. In the epidemiologic follow-up study, all participants received AREDS2 supplements with lutein/zeaxanthin, vitamins C and E, and zinc plus copper. Outcomes were assessed at 6-month telephone calls. Analyses of AMD progression and lung cancer development were conducted using proportional hazards regression and logistic regression, respectively. Main Outcomes and Measures: Self-reported lung cancer and late AMD validated with medical records. Results: This study included 3882 participants (mean [SD] baseline age, 72.0 [7.7] years; 2240 women [57.7%]) and 6351 eyes. At 10 years, the odds ratio (OR) of having lung cancer was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.06-3.12; P = .02) for those randomly assigned to beta carotene and 1.15 (95% CI, 0.79-1.66; P = .46) for lutein/zeaxanthin. The hazard ratio (HR) for progression to late AMD comparing lutein/zeaxanthin with no lutein/zeaxanthin was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.84-0.99; P = .02) and comparing ω-3 fatty acids with no ω-3 fatty acids was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.93-1.09; P = .91). When the lutein/zeaxanthin main effects analysis was restricted to those randomly assigned to beta carotene, the HR was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.68-0.92; P = .002). A direct analysis of lutein/zeaxanthin vs beta carotene showed the HR for late AMD was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.73-0.98; P = .02). The HR for low vs high zinc was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.14; P = .49), and the HR for no beta carotene vs beta carotene was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.15; P = .48). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this long-term epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 cohort suggest that lutein/zeaxanthin was an appropriate replacement for beta carotene in AREDS2 supplements. Beta carotene usage nearly doubled the risk of lung cancer, whereas there was no statistically significant increased risk with lutein/zeaxanthin. When compared with beta carotene, lutein/zeaxanthin had a potential beneficial association with late AMD progression.

Identification and inference for subgroups with differential treatment efficacy from randomized controlled trials with survival outcomes through multiple testing.

With the uptake of targeted therapies, instead of the "one-fits-all" approach, modern randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often aim to develop treatments that target a subgroup of patients. Motivated by analyzing the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) data, a large RCT to study the efficacy of nutritional supplements in delaying the progression of an eye disease, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), we develop a simultaneous inference procedure to identify and infer subgroups with differential treatment efficacy in RCTs with time-to-event outcomes. Specifically, we formulate the multiple testing problem through contrasts and construct their simultaneous confidence intervals, which appropriately control both within- and across-marker multiplicity. Realistic simulations are conducted using real genotype data to evaluate the method performance under various scenarios. The method is then applied to AREDS to assess the efficacy of antioxidants and zinc combination in delaying AMD progression. Multiple gene regions including ESRRB-VASH1 on chromosome 14 have been identified with subgroups showing differential efficacy. We further validate our findings in an independent subsequent RCT, AREDS2, by discovering consistent differential treatment responses in the targeted and non-targeted subgroups identified from AREDS. This multiple-testing-based simultaneous inference approach provides a step forward to confidently identify and infer subgroups in modern drug development.

Principal Cause of Poor Visual Acuity after Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 23.

PURPOSE: To analyze the principal cause for poor vision in eyes with best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) of 20/200 or worse 2 years after neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of participants enrolled in a clinical trial of oral supplements. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) participants whose eyes began anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy for incident nAMD and had data available at 2 years. METHODS: Participants underwent refracted BCVA testing, ophthalmoscopic examination, and fundus photography at baseline and annual visits. Self-reports of anti-VEGF injections were collected. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Principal cause of BCVA of 20/200 or worse at 2 years, detected on fundus photography grading. RESULTS: Of the 594 eligible eyes, the number with BCVA of 20/200 or worse at 2 years was 56 (9.4%). Mean BCVA was 14.9 letters (standard deviation [SD], 12.3 letters; Snellen equivalent, 20/500), versus 70.1 letters (SD, 12.8 letters; Snellen equivalent, 20/40) in the other group. Of the 55 eyes with fundus photography available at 2 years, 33 (60.0%) had central macular atrophy and 22 (40.0%) had central subretinal fibrosis assessed as the principal cause for poor vision. The group with poor BCVA had a higher proportion of non-White participants (8.9% vs. 1.7%; P = 0.006), lower BCVA 2 years earlier (mean, 38.0 letters [SD, 26.7 letters; Snellen equivalent, 20/160] vs. 71.8 letters (SD, 11.9 letters; Snellen equivalent, 20/40]; P < 0.0001), higher proportion with macular atrophy 2 years earlier (26.8% vs. 12.3%; P = 0.003), higher proportion with macular hemorrhage (25.5% vs. 13.2%; P = 0.014), and fewer anti-VEGF injections (7.6 vs. 10.2; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Visual acuity data and fundus photography were obtained in a clinical trial environment, but were related to anti-VEGF therapy given in routine clinical practice. At 2 years after starting anti-VEGF therapy, almost 1 in 10 eyes showed BCVA at the level of legal blindness. From fundus photography grading, the cause of poor vision appeared to be macular atrophy in 60% and subretinal fibrosis in 40%. These data may be useful in understanding the long-term limits to good vision in nAMD.

Dietary Nutrient Intake and Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

PURPOSE: To analyze associations between the dietary intake of multiple nutrients and risk of progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), its subtypes, and large drusen. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 controlled clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline among AREDS participants (n = 4504) and AREDS2 participants (n = 3738) totaled 14 135 eyes. Mean age was 71.0 years (standard deviation, 6.7 years), and 56.5% of patients were women. METHODS: Fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late AMD. Dietary intake of multiple nutrients was calculated from food frequency questionnaires. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), neovascular AMD, and (separate analyses) large drusen. RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 10.2 years, of the 14 135 eyes, 32.7% progressed to late AMD. For 9 nutrients, intake quintiles 4 or 5 (vs. 1) were associated significantly (P ≤ 0.0005) with decreased risk of late AMD: vitamin A, vitamin B6, vitamin C, folate, ß-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, and alcohol. For 3 nutrients, quintiles 4 or 5 were associated significantly with increased risk: saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. Similar results were observed for GA. Regarding neovascular AMD, 9 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk-vitamin A, vitamin B6, ß-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, omega-3 fatty acid, and alcohol-and 3 nutrients were associated with increased risk-saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. In separate analyses (n = 5399 eyes of 3164 AREDS participants), 12 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk of large drusen. CONCLUSIONS: Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including minerals, vitamins, and carotenoids, is associated with decreased risk of progression to late AMD. These associations are stronger for GA than for neovascular AMD. The same nutrients also tend to show protective associations against large drusen development. Strong genetic interactions exist for some nutrient-genotype combinations, particularly omega-3 fatty acids and CFH. These data may justify further research into underlying mechanisms and randomized trials of supplementation.

Age-related Macular Degeneration: Nutrition, Genes and Deep Learning-The LXXVI Edward Jackson Memorial Lecture.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the importance of nutritional supplements, dietary pattern, and genetic associations in age-related macular degeneration (AMD); and to discuss the technique of artificial intelligence/deep learning to potentially enhance research in detecting and classifying AMD. DESIGN: Retrospective literature review. METHODS: To review the studies of both prospective and retrospective (post hoc) analyses of nutrition, genetic variants, and deep learning in AMD in both the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. RESULTS: In addition to demonstrating the beneficial effects of the AREDS and AREDS2 supplements of antioxidant vitamins and zinc (plus copper) for reducing the risk of progression to late AMD, these 2 studies also confirmed the importance of high adherence to Mediterranean diet in reducing progression of AMD in persons with varying severity of disease. In persons with the protective genetic alleles of complement factor H (CFH), the Mediterranean diet had further beneficial effect. However, despite the genetic association with AMD progression, prediction models found genetic information added little to the high predictive value of baseline severity of AMD for disease progression. The technique of deep learning, an arm of artificial intelligence, using color fundus photographs from AREDS/AREDS2 was superior in some cases and noninferior in others to clinical human grading (retinal specialists) and to the gold standard of the certified reading center graders. CONCLUSIONS: Counseling individuals affected with AMD regarding the use of the AREDS2 supplements and the beneficial association of the Mediterranean diet is an important public health message. Although genetic testing is important in research, it is not recommended for prediction of disease or to guide therapies and/or dietary interventions in AMD. Techniques in deep learning hold great promise, but further prospective research is required to validate the use of this technique to provide improvement in accuracy and sensitivity/specificity in clinical research and medical management of patients with AMD.

Association of 2-Year Progression Along the AREDS AMD Scale and Development of Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration or Loss of Visual Acuity: AREDS Report 41.

Importance: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study age-related macular degeneration (AREDS AMD) scale is designed to classify AMD severity. The present cohort study explored whether 2-year progression along this scale was useful for estimating the risk of future progression to late AMD or best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) loss. Objective: To assess whether 2-year progression along the AREDS AMD scale can be used to estimate the probability of long-term clinically meaningful outcome measures for clinical trials or epidemiologic studies. Design, Setting, and Participants: Age-Related Eye Disease Study participants enrolled in a clinical trial of oral micronutrient supplements had annual color fundus photographs graded centrally using the AREDS AMD scale. Two-year progression (≥2-step and ≥3-step increases in AMD score between baseline and the 2-year study visit) was evaluated as a method of estimating the risk of long-term progression to late AMD or BCVA loss. The AREDS (1992-2001) was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial based at 11 retinal specialty clinics in the United States. The dates of analysis in the present cohort study were November 1992 through November 2005. Main Outcomes and Measures: Development of neovascular (NV) AMD, central geographic atrophy (CGA), any geographic atrophy (GA), or BCVA loss of at least 2 lines or at least 3 lines. Results: Among 3868 participants in the AREDS free of late AMD at baseline, the mean (SD) age was 68.3 (5.0) years, and 2180 of 3868 (56.4%) were women. In the first 2 years after randomization to the AREDS, 669 of 7458 (9.0%) of eyes had at least 2-step 2-year progression, and 275 of 7458 (3.7%) of eyes had at least 3-step 2-year progression. In the 5-year follow-up period (years 2-7), 486 of 7223 (6.7%) of eyes developed NV AMD, 339 of 7253 (4.7%) developed CGA, 726 of 7246 (10.0%) developed any GA, 2622 of 7095 (37.0%) had at least 2-line BCVA loss, and 1494 of 7155 (20.9%) had at least 3-line BCVA loss. After adjusting for demographic and clinical confounders and stratifying by baseline AMD score, statistically significant associations were observed between at least 2-step and at least 3-step 2-year progression of AMD score and subsequent 5-year development of NV AMD: hazard ratios (HRs) ranged from 3.6 (99% CI, 2.4-5.2) to 19.4 (99% CI, 7.7-48.9). For CGA, HRs ranged from 2.6 (99% CI, 1.7-4.0) to 4.7 (99% CI, 2.5-8.9); the results were similar for any GA. For at least 2-line and at least 3-line BCVA loss, HRs ranged from 1.3 (99% CI, 1.0-1.7) to 2.8 (99% CI, 1.8-4.3). For all outcomes, at least 3-step 2-year progression had stronger associations than at least 2-step 2-year progression. These findings were also validated in the AREDS2 cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: Two-year progression of AMD score was associated with progression to clinically meaningful anatomic (late AMD) and vision (≥2-line or ≥3-line loss) outcomes, suggesting that this scale may be useful for future clinical trials designed to slow the progression of AMD.

Incidence of Macular Atrophy after Untreated Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report 40.

PURPOSE: To report the natural history of untreated neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) regarding subsequent macular atrophy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort within a randomized, controlled trial of oral micronutrient supplements. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants (55-80 years) who demonstrated nAMD during follow-up (1992-2005), prior to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy. METHODS: Color fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Incident macular atrophy after nAMD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and proportional hazards regression. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident macular atrophy after nAMD. RESULTS: Of the 4757 AREDS participants, 708 eyes (627 participants) demonstrated nAMD during follow-up and were eligible. The cumulative risks of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD were 9.6% (standard error, 1.2%), 31.4% (standard error, 2.2%), 43.1% (standard error, 2.6%), and 61.5% (standard error, 4.3%) at 2, 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively. This corresponded to a linear risk of 6.5% per year. The cumulative risk of central involvement was 30.4% (standard error, 3.2%), 43.4% (standard error, 3.8%), and 57.0% (standard error, 4.8%) at first appearance of atrophy, 2 years, and 5 years, respectively. Geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye was associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-2.49; P = 0.006). However, higher 52-single nucleotide polymorphism AMD genetic risk score was not associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17; P = 0.67). Similarly, no significant differences were observed according to SNPs at CFH, ARMS2, or C3. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD is relatively high, increasing linearly over time and affecting half of eyes by 8 years. Hence, factors other than anti-VEGF therapy are involved in atrophy development, including natural progression to GA. Comparison with studies of treated nAMD suggests it may not be necessary to invoke a large effect of anti-VEGF therapy on inciting macular atrophy, although a contribution remains possible. Central involvement is present in one third of eyes at the outset (similar to pure GA) and increases linearly to half at 3 years.

Visual Acuity Outcomes after Anti-Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Treatment for Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 19.

PURPOSE: To analyze best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) outcomes after anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) treatment for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of participants enrolled in a clinical trial of oral supplements and receiving anti-VEGF therapy in routine clinical practice. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) participants (50-85 years of age) whose eyes met AREDS2 inclusion criteria at baseline (no late AMD, BCVA ≥20/100, no previous anti-VEGF injections) but received at least 1 anti-VEGF injection for incident neovascular AMD during follow-up. METHODS: Participants underwent refracted BCVA testing, ophthalmoscopic examination, and stereoscopic color fundus photography at baseline and annual study visits over 5 years. Self-reports of anti-VEGF injections (numbers, dates, and names of drug) were collected at baseline and annual study visits and during telephone calls every 6 months. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome measures were mean refracted BCVA and proportions of eyes with BCVA of 20/40 or better and 20/200 or worse. An exploratory outcome measure was the mean number of self-reported anti-VEGF injections. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred five eyes of 986 AREDS2 participants met the inclusion criteria; of these, 977 participants (99.1%) underwent at least 1 posttreatment visit. At the first and subsequent annual examinations after the first injection, mean refracted BCVAs were 68.0 letters (Snellen equivalent, 20/40), 66.1 letters, 64.7 letters, 63.2 letters, and 61.5 letters (Snellen equivalent, 20/60). Proportions of eyes with BCVA of 20/40 or better were 59.3%, 55.1%, 53.5%, 50.6%, and 49.7%, and those with BCVA of 20/200 or worse were 5.5%, 8.6%, 9.4%, 12.4%, and 14.4%. Mean annual numbers of self-reported anti-VEGF injections per eye were 2.9, 3.9, 3.3, 3.1, and 3.0. CONCLUSIONS: Refracted BCVA data were obtained in a clinical trial environment but were related to anti-VEGF treatment administered in normal clinical practice. Visual outcomes declined slowly with increased follow-up time: mean BCVA decreased by approximately 1.5 to 2 letters per year. At 5 years, half of eyes achieved BCVA of 20/40 or better, but approximately one sixth showed BCVA of 20/200 or worse. These data may be useful in assessing the long-term effects of anti-VEGF therapy.

No CFH or ARMS2 Interaction with Omega-3 Fatty Acids, Low versus High Zinc, or ß-Carotene versus Lutein and Zeaxanthin on Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 18.

PURPOSE: To assess whether genotypes at 2 major loci associated with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), complement factor H (CFH), or age-related maculopathy susceptibility 2 (ARMS2), modify the response to oral nutrients for the treatment of AMD in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2). DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of a randomized trial. PARTICIPANTS: White AREDS2 participants. METHODS: AREDS2 participants (n = 4203) with bilateral large drusen or late AMD in 1 eye were assigned randomly to lutein and zeaxanthin, omega-3 fatty acids, both, or placebo, and most also received the AREDS supplements. A secondary randomization assessed modified AREDS supplements in 4 treatment arms: lower zinc dosage, omission of ß-carotene, both, or no modification. To evaluate the progression to late AMD, fundus photographs were obtained at baseline and annual study visits, and history of treatment for late AMD was obtained at study visits and 6-month interim telephone calls. Participants were genotyped for the single-nucleotide polymorphisms rs1061170 in CFH and rs10490924 in ARMS2. Bivariate frailty models using both eyes were conducted, including a gene-supplement interaction term and adjusting for age, gender, level of education, and smoking status. The main treatment effects, as well as the direct comparison between lutein plus zeaxanthin and ß-carotene, were assessed for genotype interaction. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The interaction between genotype and the response to AREDS2 supplements regarding progression to late AMD, any geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD. RESULTS: Complete data were available for 2775 eyes without baseline late AMD (1684 participants). The participants (mean age ± standard deviation, 72.1±7.7 years; 58.5% female) were followed up for a median of 5 years. The ARMS2 risk allele was associated significantly with progression to late AMD and neovascular AMD (P = 2.40 × 10-5 and P = 0.002, respectively), but not any GA (P = 0.097). The CFH risk allele was not associated with AMD progression. Genotype did not modify significantly the response to any of the AREDS2 supplements. CONCLUSIONS: CFH and ARMS2 risk alleles do not modify the response to the AREDS2 nutrient supplements with respect to the progression to late AMD (GA and neovascular AMD).

Association of Dietary and Supplementary Calcium Intake With Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report 39.

Importance: Previous studies of the role of dietary and supplementary calcium in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) have produced mixed results, suggesting that supplementation and decreased dietary intake are both harmful. Objective: To evaluate the association of baseline dietary and supplementary calcium intake with progression of AMD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study involved secondary analyses of participants enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS). The AREDS study (1992-2001) enrolled patients from academic and community-based retinal practices in the United States. Men and women with varying severity of AMD were included. Data analysis for this article occurred from September 2015 to December 2018. Exposures: Baseline self-reported dietary or supplementary calcium intake. Main Outcomes and Measures: Development of late AMD, geographic atrophy (central or noncentral), or neovascular AMD detected on centrally graded baseline and annual fundus photographs. Results: A total of 4751 participants were included (mean [SD] age, 69.4 [5.1] years); 4543 (95.6%) were white, and 2655 (55.9%) were female. Compared with those who were in the lowest quintile, the participants in the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing late AMD (hazard ratio [HR], 0.73 [95% CI, 0.59-0.90]), central geographic atrophy (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.48-0.86]), and any geographic atrophy (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.64-1.00]). The participants in the highest tertile of supplementary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing neovascular AMD (HR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.50-0.97]) compared with those who did not take calcium supplements. When stratified by sex, women in the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing late AMD (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.56-0.97]) compared with those in the lowest quintile. Women in the highest tertile of calcium supplementation had a lower risk of progression to neovascular AMD (HR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.48-0.94]) compared with those who did not take calcium supplements. Similar findings were found in men for dietary calcium. Too few men took calcium supplements to allow for analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis, higher levels of dietary and supplementary calcium intake were associated with lower incidence of progression to late AMD in AREDS participants. The results may be owing to uncontrolled confounding or chance and should be considered hypothesis development requiring additional study.

Associations of Omega-3 Fatty Acid Supplement Use With Cardiovascular Disease Risks: Meta-analysis of 10 Trials Involving 77 917 Individuals.

Importance: Current guidelines advocate the use of marine-derived omega-3 fatty acids supplements for the prevention of coronary heart disease and major vascular events in people with prior coronary heart disease, but large trials of omega-3 fatty acids have produced conflicting results. Objective: To conduct a meta-analysis of all large trials assessing the associations of omega-3 fatty acid supplements with the risk of fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease and major vascular events in the full study population and prespecified subgroups. Data Sources and Study Selection: This meta-analysis included randomized trials that involved at least 500 participants and a treatment duration of at least 1 year and that assessed associations of omega-3 fatty acids with the risk of vascular events. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Aggregated study-level data were obtained from 10 large randomized clinical trials. Rate ratios for each trial were synthesized using observed minus expected statistics and variances. Summary rate ratios were estimated by a fixed-effects meta-analysis using 95% confidence intervals for major diseases and 99% confidence intervals for all subgroups. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes included fatal coronary heart disease, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, major vascular events, and all-cause mortality, as well as major vascular events in study population subgroups. Results: Of the 77 917 high-risk individuals participating in the 10 trials, 47 803 (61.4%) were men, and the mean age at entry was 64.0 years; the trials lasted a mean of 4.4 years. The associations of treatment with outcomes were assessed on 6273 coronary heart disease events (2695 coronary heart disease deaths and 2276 nonfatal myocardial infarctions) and 12 001 major vascular events. Randomization to omega-3 fatty acid supplementation (eicosapentaenoic acid dose range, 226-1800 mg/d) had no significant associations with coronary heart disease death (rate ratio [RR], 0.93; 99% CI, 0.83-1.03; P = .05), nonfatal myocardial infarction (RR, 0.97; 99% CI, 0.87-1.08; P = .43) or any coronary heart disease events (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.90-1.01; P = .12). Neither did randomization to omega-3 fatty acid supplementation have any significant associations with major vascular events (RR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.93-1.01; P = .10), overall or in any subgroups, including subgroups composed of persons with prior coronary heart disease, diabetes, lipid levels greater than a given cutoff level, or statin use. Conclusions and Relevance: This meta-analysis demonstrated that omega-3 fatty acids had no significant association with fatal or nonfatal coronary heart disease or any major vascular events. It provides no support for current recommendations for the use of such supplements in people with a history of coronary heart disease.

Association of Mortality with Ocular Diseases and Visual Impairment in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 13.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the association of mortality with visual acuity (VA) impairment, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and cataract surgery. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Participants with at least intermediate AMD enrolled in a randomized controlled clinical trial of lutein/zeaxanthin and/or omega-3 fatty acids, the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), for treatment of AMD and cataract. METHODS: Baseline and annual eye examinations included best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) assessments, slit-lamp examinations, and stereoscopic fundus photographs that were centrally graded for development of late AMD (central geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD) or pseudophakia. Cause-specific mortality was determined on the basis of the International Classification of Diseases 9th or 10th Revision codes. Risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality was assessed with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, AMD severity, VA, history of cataract surgery, and assigned AREDS2 study treatment. Analyses included baseline covariates: race, education, smoking status, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: During follow-up (median 5 years), 368 (9%) of the 4203 AREDS2 participants died. Participants with neovascular AMD in 1 eye at baseline had a statistically significant increased risk for mortality compared with participants with no or few drusen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-2.01; P < 0.001). Poorer survival was associated with bilateral cataract surgery before enrollment compared with baseline bilateral phakia (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.29-2.07; P < 0.001) and with BCVA of less than 20/40 compared with participants with 20/40 or better (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.06-2.30; P = 0.024), adjusted for age, sex, and statistically significant covariates. Participants who received antivascular endothelial growth factor therapies for neovascular AMD had decreased mortality compared with those who did not (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88; P = 0.002). The association between all-cause mortality and AREDS2 treatment whether assessing the main or individual treatment effect was not significantly different (omega-3 fatty acids main effect HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.96-1.45; P = 0.12; lutein/zeaxanthin main effect HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.85-1.28; P = 0.71). CONCLUSIONS: In AREDS2, the presence of late AMD, bilateral cataract surgery, and VA less than 20/40 was associated with decreased survival. However, oral supplementation with omega-3 fatty acids, lutein plus zeaxanthin, zinc, or beta-carotene had no statistically significant impact on mortality.

Association of Rare Predicted Loss-of-Function Variants in Cellular Pathways with Sub-Phenotypes in Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

PURPOSE: To investigate the association of rare predicted loss-of-function (pLoF) variants within age-related macular degeneration (AMD) risk loci and AMD sub-phenotypes. DESIGN: Case-control study. PARTICIPANTS: Participants of AREDS, AREDS2, and Michigan Genomics Initiative. METHODS: Whole genome sequencing data were analyzed for rare pLoF variants (frequency <0.1%) in the regions of previously identified 52 independent risk variants known to be associated with AMD. Frequency of the rare pLoF variants in cases with intermediate or advanced AMD was compared with controls. Variants were assigned to the complement, extracellular matrix (ECM), lipid, cell survival, immune system, metabolism, or unknown/other pathway. Associations of rare pLoF variant pathways with AMD sub-phenotypes were analyzed using logistic and linear regression, and Cox proportional hazards models. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Differences in rare pLoF variant pathway burden and association of rare pLoF variant pathways with sub-phenotypes within the population with AMD were evaluated. RESULTS: Rare pLoF variants were found in 298 of 1689 cases (17.6%) and 237 of 1518 controls (15.6%) (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91-1.36; P = 0.310). An enrichment of rare pLoF variants in the complement pathway in cases versus controls (OR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.49-5.79; P = 0.002) was observed. Within cases, associations between all rare pLoF variants and choroidal neovascularization (CNV) (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.04-1.73; P = 0.023), calcified drusen (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.04-1.72; P = 0.025), higher scores on the AREDS Extended AMD Severity Scale (Standardized Coefficient Beta (ß)=0.346 [0.086-0.605], P = 0.009), and progression to advanced disease (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.01-1.55; P = 0.042) were observed. At the pathway level, there were associations between the complement pathway and geographic atrophy (GA) (OR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.12-4.24; P = 0.023), the complement pathway and calcified drusen (OR, 3.75; 95% CI, 1.79-7.86; P < 0.001), and the ECM pathway and more severe levels in the AREDS Extended AMD Severity Scale (ß = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.04-1.20; P = 0.035). CONCLUSIONS: Rare pLoF variants are associated with disease progression. Variants in the complement pathway modify the clinical course of AMD and increase the risk of developing specific sub-phenotypes.

A Deep Phenotype Association Study Reveals Specific Phenotype Associations with Genetic Variants in Age-related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) Report No. 14.

PURPOSE: Age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a multifactorial disease with variable phenotypic presentation, was associated with 52 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 34 loci in a genome-wide association study (GWAS). These genetic variants could modulate different biological pathways involved in AMD, contributing to phenotypic variability. To better understand the effects of these SNPs, we performed a deep phenotype association study (DeePAS) in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), followed by replication using AREDS participants, to identify genotype associations with AMD and non-AMD ocular and systemic phenotypes. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: AREDS and AREDS2 participants. METHODS: AREDS2 participants (discovery cohort) had detailed phenotyping for AMD; other eye conditions; cardiovascular, neurologic, gastrointestinal, and endocrine disease; cognitive function; serum nutrient levels; and others (total of 139 AMD and non-AMD phenotypes). Genotypes of the 52 GWAS SNPs were obtained. The DeePAS was performed by correlating the 52 SNPs to all phenotypes using logistic and linear regression models. Associations that reached Bonferroni-corrected statistical significance were replicated in AREDS. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Genotype-phenotype associations. RESULTS: A total of 1776 AREDS2 participants had 5 years follow-up; 1435 AREDS participants had 10 years. The DeePAS revealed a significant association of the rs3750846 SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) hemorrhage related to neovascular AMD (odds ratio 1.55 [95% confidence interval 1.31-1.84], P = 2.67 × 10-7). This novel association remained significant after conditioning on participants with neovascular AMD (P = 2.42 × 10-4). Carriers of rs3750846 had poorer visual acuity during follow-up (P = 6.82 × 10-7) and were more likely to have a first-degree relative with AMD (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Two SNPs at the CFH locus, rs10922109 and rs570618, were associated with the drusen area in the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study Report (ETDRS) grid (P = 2.29 × 10-11 and P = 3.20 × 10-9, respectively) and the center subfield (P = 1.24 × 10-9 and P = 6.68 × 10-8, respectively). SNP rs570618 was additionally associated with the presence of calcified drusen (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Except for positive family history of AMD with rs3750846, all genotype-phenotype associations were significantly replicated in AREDS. No pleiotropic associations were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The association of the SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-RPE hemorrhage and poorer visual acuity and of SNPs at the CFH locus with drusen area may provide new insights in pathophysiological pathways underlying different stages of AMD.

Nutrition, Genes, and Age-Related Macular Degeneration: What Have We Learned from the Trials?

The Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2 provided evidence for treating persons with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with antioxidant vitamins and minerals to reduce the risk of development of late AMD. The AREDS2 data suggest that the beta-carotene in the original AREDS supplements be replaced by lutein and zeaxanthin, providing a safer drug for those who are smokers or former smokers. Even though consuming fish reduced the risk of AMD in observational studies, the AREDS2 results showed that omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (docosahexaenoic acid/eicosapentaenoic acid) had no beneficial effect on AMD. Despite the major progress in the discovery of gene variants associated with AMD, the use of genetic testing to predict disease has not been clinically useful. The use of genetic testing prior to AMD therapies such as administering AREDS supplements is not recommended by the American Academy of Ophthalmology and other organizations.

Folic Acid, Vitamin B6, and Vitamin B12 in Combination and Age-Related Cataract in a Randomized Trial of Women.

PURPOSE: To examine the incidence of cataract and cataract extraction in a trial of folic acid and vitamins B6 and B12. METHODS: In a randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial, 5442 female health professionals aged 40 years or older with preexisting cardiovascular disease (CVD) or three or more CVD risk factors were randomly assigned to receive a combination of folic acid (2.5 mg/day), vitamin B6 (50 mg/day), and vitamin B12 (1 mg/day), or placebo. A total of 3925 of these women did not have a diagnosis of cataract at baseline and were included in this analysis. The primary endpoint was age-related cataract, defined as an incident age-related lens opacity, responsible for a reduction in best-corrected visual acuity to 20/30 or worse, based on self-report confirmed by medical record review. Extraction of incident age-related cataract was a secondary endpoint of the trial. RESULTS: During an average of 7.3 years of treatment and follow-up, 408 cataracts and 275 cataract extractions were documented. There were 215 cataracts in the combination treatment group and 193 in the placebo group (hazard ratio, HR, 1.10, 95% confidence interval, CI, 0.90-1.33; p = 0.36). For the secondary endpoint of cataract extraction, there were 155 in the combination treatment group and 120 in the placebo group (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.01-1.63; p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: In this large-scale randomized trial of women at high risk of CVD, daily supplementation with a combination of folic acid, vitamin B6, and vitamin B12 had no significant effect on cataract, but may have increased the risk of cataract extraction.