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2.
Popul Health Metr ; 17(1): 12, 2019 08 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31420043

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Palm oil's high yields, consequent low cost and highly versatile properties as a cooking oil and food ingredient have resulted in its thorough infiltration of the food sector in some countries. Longitudinal studies have associated palm oil's high saturated fatty acid content with non-communicable disease, but neither the economic or disease burdens have been assessed previously. METHODS: This novel palm oil-focussed disease burden assessment employs a fully integrated health, macroeconomic and demographic Computable General Equilibrium Model for Thailand with nine regional (urban/rural) households. Nutritional changes from food consumption are endogenously translated into health (myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke) and population outcomes and are fed back into the macroeconomic model as health and caregiver-related productive labour supply effects and healthcare costs to generate holistic 2016-2035 burden estimates. Model scenarios mirror the replacement of palm cooking oil with other dietary oils and are compared with simulated total Thai health and macroeconomic burdens for MI and stroke. RESULTS: Replacing consumption of palm cooking oil with other dietary oils could reduce MI/stroke incident cases by 8280/2639 and cumulative deaths by 4683/894 over 20 years, removing approximately 0.5% of the total Thai burden of MI/stroke. This palm cooking oil replacement would reduce consumption shares of saturated/monounsaturated fatty acids in Thai household consumption by 6.5%/3% and increase polyunsaturated fatty acid consumption shares by 14%, yielding a 1.74% decrease in the population-wide total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio after 20 years. The macroeconomic burden that would be removed is US$308mn, approximately 0.44% of the total burden of MI/stroke on Thailand's economy or 0.003% of cumulative 20-year GDP. Bangkok and Central region households benefit most from removal of disease burdens. CONCLUSIONS: Simulations indicate that consumption of palm cooking oil, rather than other dietary oils, imposes a negative health burden (MI and stroke) and associated economic burden on a high consuming country, such as Thailand. Integrated sectoral model frameworks to assess these burdens are possible, and burden estimates from our simulated direct replacement of palm cooking oil indicate that using these frameworks both for broader analyses of dietary palm oil use and total burden analyses of other diseases may also be beneficial.


Asunto(s)
Grasas de la Dieta , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Aceite de Palma , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , HDL-Colesterol , Grasas Insaturadas en la Dieta , Ácidos Grasos , Humanos , Modelos Económicos , Infarto del Miocardio/economía , Aceites de Plantas , Accidente Cerebrovascular/economía , Tailandia/epidemiología
3.
Food Policy ; 83: 92-103, 2019 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31007358

RESUMEN

Palm oil is a cooking oil and food ingredient in widespread use in the global food system. However, as a highly saturated fat, palm oil consumption has been associated with negative effects on cardiovascular health, while large scale oil palm production has been linked to deforestation. We construct an innovative fully integrated Macroeconomic-Environmental-Demographic-health (MED-health) model to undertake integrated health, environmental, and economic analyses of palm oil consumption and oil palm production in Thailand over the coming 20 years (2016-2035). In order to put a health and fiscal food policy perspective on policy priorities of future palm oil consumption growth, we model the implications of a 54% product-specific sales tax to achieve a halving of future energy intakes from palm cooking oil consumption. Total patient incidence and premature mortality from myocardial infarction and stroke decline by 0.03-0.16% and rural-urban equity in health and welfare improves in most regions. However, contrary to accepted wisdom, reduced oil palm production would not be environmentally beneficial in the Thailand case, since, once established, oil palms have favourable carbon sequestration characteristics compared to alternative uses of Thai cropland. The increased sales tax also provokes mixed economic impacts: While real GDP increases in a second-best Thai tax policy environment, relative consumption-to-investment price changes may reduce household welfare over extended periods unless accompanied by non-distortionary government compensation payments. Overall, our holistic approach demonstrates that product-specific fiscal food policy taxes may involve important trade-offs between nutrition, health, the economy, and the environment.

4.
Trials ; 20(1): 795, 2019 Dec 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31888766

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Micronutrient deficiencies including selenium (Se) are widespread in Malawi and potentially underlie a substantial disease burden, particularly among poorer and marginalised populations. Concentrations of Se in staple cereal crops can be increased through application of Se fertilisers - a process known as agronomic biofortification (agro-biofortification) - and this may contribute to alleviating deficiencies. The Addressing Hidden Hunger with Agronomy (AHHA) trial aims to establish the efficacy of this approach for improving Se status in rural Malawi. METHODS: A double-blind, randomised, controlled trial will be conducted in a rural community in Kasungu District, Central Region, Malawi. The hypothesis is that consumption of maize flour agro-biofortified with Se will increase serum Se concentration. We will recruit 180 women of reproductive age (WRA) (20-45 years) and 180 school-age children (SAC) (5-10 years) randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either maize flour enriched through agro-biofortification with Se or a control flour not enriched with Se. Households will receive flour (330 g per capita per day) for 12 weeks. The primary outcome is Se concentration in serum (µg/L). Serum will be extracted from venous blood samples drawn at baseline (prior to flour distribution) and end-line. Selenium concentration will be measured by using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. DISCUSSION: Findings will be communicated to policy stakeholders and participating communities and reported in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The Addressing Hidden Hunger with Agronomy (Malawi) trial is registered (5th March 2019; ISCRTN85899451).


Asunto(s)
Ingestión de Alimentos/fisiología , Harina , Alimentos Fortificados , Micronutrientes , Selenio/sangre , Selenio/deficiencia , Zea mays , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Productos Agrícolas , Método Doble Ciego , Composición Familiar , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Malaui , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Población Rural , Adulto Joven
5.
BMJ Open ; 8(7): e022028, 2018 07 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30030320

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Improving complementary feeding in Ethiopia requires special focus on dietary diversity. The Sustainable Undernutrition Reduction in Ethiopia (SURE) programme is a government-led multisectoral intervention that aims to integrate the work of the health and agriculture sectors to deliver a complex multicomponent intervention to improve child feeding and reduce stunting. The Federal Ministries of Health and Agriculture and Natural Resources implement the intervention. The evaluation aims to assess a range of processes, outcomes and impacts. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The SURE evaluation study is a theory-based, mixed methods study comprising impact and process evaluations. We hypothesise that the package of SURE interventions, including integrated health and agriculture behaviour change communication for nutrition, systems strengthening and multisectoral coordination, will result in detectable differences in minimum acceptable diet in children 6-23 months and stunting in children 24-47 months between intervention and comparison groups. Repeated cross-sectional household surveys will be conducted at baseline and endline to assess impact. The process will be assessed using observations, key informant interviews and focus group discussions to investigate the fidelity and dose of programme implementation, behavioural pathways of impact and contextual factors interacting with the intervention. Pathways of impact will also be explored through statistical analyses. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has received ethics approval from the scientific and ethical review committees at the Ethiopian Public Health Institute and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. The findings will be disseminated collaboratively with stakeholders at specified time points and through peer-reviewed publications and presentations.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura/organización & administración , Redes Comunitarias/organización & administración , Trastornos del Crecimiento/prevención & control , Fenómenos Fisiológicos Nutricionales del Lactante , Desnutrición/prevención & control , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud/métodos , Fenómenos Fisiológicos Nutricionales Infantiles , Preescolar , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Estudios Transversales , Etiopía/epidemiología , Estudios de Evaluación como Asunto , Conducta Alimentaria , Femenino , Grupos Focales , Abastecimiento de Alimentos , Trastornos del Crecimiento/epidemiología , Trastornos del Crecimiento/etiología , Educación en Salud , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Desnutrición/complicaciones , Desnutrición/epidemiología , Estado Nutricional , Desarrollo de Programa
6.
Eur J Clin Nutr ; 72(6): 785-795, 2018 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29520083

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Low vitamin B12 and folate levels in community-dwelling older people are usually corrected with supplements. However, the effect of this supplementation on haematological parameters in older persons is not known. Therefore, we executed a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised placebo-controlled trials (RCTs). SUBJECTS/METHODS: We performed a systematic search in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane and CENTRAL for RCTs published between January 1950 and April 2016, where community-dwelling elderly (60+ years) who were treated with vitamin B12 or folic acid or placebo. The presence of anaemia was not required. We analysed the data on haematological parameters with a two-stage IPD meta-analysis. RESULTS: We found 494 full papers covering 14 studies. Data were shared by the authors of four RCTs comparing vitamin B12 with placebo (n = 343) and of three RCTs comparing folic acid with placebo (n = 929). We found no effect of vitamin B12 supplementation on haemoglobin (change 0.00 g/dL, 95% CI: -0.19;0.18), and no effect of folic acid supplementation (change -0.09 g/dL, 95% CI: -0.19;0.01). The effects of supplementation on other haematological parameters were similar. The effects did not differ by sex or by age group. Also, no effect was found in a subgroup of patients with anaemia and a subgroup of patients who were treated >4 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence on the effects of supplementation of low concentrations of vitamin B12 and folate on haematological parameters in community-dwelling older people is inconclusive. Further research is needed before firm recommendations can be made concerning the supplementation of vitamin B12 and folate.


Asunto(s)
Ácido Fólico/uso terapéutico , Hemoglobinas/análisis , Vitamina B 12/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Anemia/sangre , Anemia/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
7.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 104(3): 790-6, 2016 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27534645

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Aging is associated with a progressive decline in vitamin B-12 status. Overt vitamin B-12 deficiency causes neurologic disturbances in peripheral and central motor and sensory systems, but the public health impact for neurologic disease of moderately low vitamin B-12 status in older people is unclear. Evidence from observational studies is limited by heterogeneity in the definition of vitamin B-12 status and imprecise measures of nerve function. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine whether vitamin B-12 status is associated with electrophysiologic indexes of peripheral or central neurologic function in asymptomatic older people with moderately low vitamin B-12 status. DESIGN: We used a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from the Older People and Enhanced Neurological Function study conducted in Southeast England. This trial investigated the effectiveness of vitamin B-12 supplementation on electrophysiologic indexes of neurologic function in asymptomatic older people (mean age: 80 y) with moderately low vitamin B-12 status (serum vitamin B-12 concentrations ≥107 and <210 pmol/L without anemia, n = 201). Vitamin B-12 status was assessed with the use of total vitamin B-12, holotranscobalamin, and a composite indicator of vitamin B-12 status (cB-12). Electrophysiologic measures of sensory and motor components of peripheral and central nerve function were assessed in all participants by a single observer. RESULTS: In multivariate models, there was no evidence of an association of vitamin B-12, holotranscobalamin, or cB-12 with any nerve conduction outcome. There was also no evidence of an association of vitamin B-12 status with clinical markers of neurologic function. CONCLUSION: This secondary analysis of high-quality trial data did not show any association of any measure of vitamin B-12 status with either peripheral or central neurologic function or any clinical markers of neurologic function in older people with moderately low vitamin B-12 status. The results of this study are unlikely to be generalizable to a less healthy older population with more severe vitamin B-12 deficiency. This trial was registered at www.controlled-trials.com as ISRCTN54195799.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Central/etiología , Fenómenos Fisiológicos Nutricionales del Anciano , Estado Nutricional , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/etiología , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/fisiopatología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Asintomáticas/epidemiología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Central/diagnóstico , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Central/epidemiología , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Central/prevención & control , Factores de Confusión Epidemiológicos , Estudios Transversales , Suplementos Dietéticos , Método Doble Ciego , Fenómenos Electrofisiológicos , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Evaluación Geriátrica , Humanos , Masculino , Análisis Multivariante , Conducción Nerviosa , Examen Neurológico , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/diagnóstico , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/epidemiología , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/prevención & control , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Vitamina B 12/uso terapéutico , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/dietoterapia , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/epidemiología
8.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 102(2): 338-44, 2015 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26135347

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: More than one-fifth of the United Kingdom population has poor vitamin D status (serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration <25 nmol/L), particularly individuals with low sun exposure or poor dietary intake. OBJECTIVE: We identified the fortification vehicle and concentration most likely to safely increase population vitamin D intakes and vitamin D status. DESIGN: Wheat flour and milk were identified as primary fortification vehicles for their universal consumption in population groups most at risk of vitamin D deficiency including children aged 18-36 mo, females aged 15-49 y, and adults aged ≥65 y. With the use of data from the first 2 y (2008-2010) of the National Diet and Nutrition Survey Rolling Program, we simulated the effect of fortifying wheat flour and milk with vitamin D on United Kingdom food consumption. Empirically derived equations for the relation between vitamin D intake and the serum 25(OH)D concentration were used to estimate the population serum 25(OH)D concentration for each fortification scenario. RESULTS: At a simulated fortification of 10 µg vitamin D/100 g wheat flour, the proportion of at-risk groups estimated to have vitamin D intakes below United Kingdom Reference Nutrient Intakes was reduced from 93% to 50%, with no individual exceeding the United Kingdom Tolerable Upper Intake Level; the 2.5th percentile of the population winter serum 25(OH)D concentration rose from 20 to 27 nmol/L after fortification. The simulation of the fortification of wheat flour at this concentration was more effective than that of the fortification of milk (at concentrations between 0.25 and 7 mg vitamin D/100 L milk) or of the fortification of milk and flour combined. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this study provides new evidence that vitamin D fortification of wheat flour could be a viable option for safely improving vitamin D intakes and the status of United Kingdom population groups at risk of deficiency without increasing risk of exceeding current reference thresholds.


Asunto(s)
Harina , Alimentos Fortificados , Modelos Biológicos , Política Nutricional , Estado Nutricional , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/prevención & control , Vitamina D/uso terapéutico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Animales , Niño , Simulación por Computador , Femenino , Harina/efectos adversos , Harina/análisis , Alimentos Fortificados/efectos adversos , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Leche/efectos adversos , Leche/química , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estaciones del Año , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Vitamina D/administración & dosificación , Vitamina D/efectos adversos , Vitamina D/análogos & derivados , Vitamina D/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/epidemiología
9.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 102(3): 639-47, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26135351

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Moderate vitamin B-12 deficiency is relatively common in older people. However, there is little robust evidence on the effect of vitamin B-12 supplementation on neurologic and cognitive outcomes in later life. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether vitamin B-12 supplementation benefits neurologic and cognitive function in moderately vitamin B-12-deficient older people. DESIGN: We conducted a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial in 7 general practices in South East England, United Kingdom. Study participants were aged ≥75 y and had moderate vitamin B-12 deficiency (serum vitamin B-12 concentrations: 107-210 pmol/L) in the absence of anemia and received 1 mg crystalline vitamin B-12 or a matching placebo as a daily oral tablet for 12 mo. Peripheral motor and sensory nerve conduction, central motor conduction, a clinical neurologic examination, and cognitive function were assessed before and after treatment. RESULTS: A total of 201 participants were enrolled in the trial, and 191 subjects provided outcome data. Compared with baseline, allocation to vitamin B-12 was associated with a 177% increase in serum concentration of vitamin B-12 (641 compared with 231 pmol/L), a 331% increase in serum holotranscobalamin (240 compared with 56 pmol/L), and 17% lower serum homocysteine (14.2 compared with 17.1 µmol/L). In intention-to-treat analysis of covariance models, with adjustment for baseline neurologic function, there was no evidence of an effect of supplementation on the primary outcome of the posterior tibial compound muscle action potential amplitude at 12 mo (mean difference: -0.2 mV; 95% CI: -0.8, 0.3 mV). There was also no evidence of an effect on any secondary peripheral nerve or central motor function outcome, or on cognitive function or clinical examination. CONCLUSION: Results of the trial do not support the hypothesis that the correction of moderate vitamin B-12 deficiency, in the absence of anemia and of neurologic and cognitive signs or symptoms, has beneficial effects on neurologic or cognitive function in later life. This trial was registered at www.isrctn.com as ISRCTN54195799.


Asunto(s)
Sistema Nervioso Central/efectos de los fármacos , Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Suplementos Dietéticos , Vitamina B 12/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Sistema Nervioso Central/metabolismo , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Cooperación del Paciente , Resultado del Tratamiento , Reino Unido , Vitamina B 12/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/tratamiento farmacológico
10.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 100(2): 657-66, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24965307

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Elevated plasma homocysteine is a risk factor for Alzheimer disease, but the relevance of homocysteine lowering to slow the rate of cognitive aging is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to assess the effects of treatment with B vitamins compared with placebo, when administered for several years, on composite domains of cognitive function, global cognitive function, and cognitive aging. DESIGN: A meta-analysis was conducted by using data combined from 11 large trials in 22,000 participants. Domain-based z scores (for memory, speed, and executive function and a domain-composite score for global cognitive function) were available before and after treatment (mean duration: 2.3 y) in the 4 cognitive-domain trials (1340 individuals); Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE)-type tests were available at the end of treatment (mean duration: 5 y) in the 7 global cognition trials (20,431 individuals). RESULTS: The domain-composite and MMSE-type global cognitive function z scores both decreased with age (mean ± SE: -0.054 ± 0.004 and -0.036 ± 0.001/y, respectively). Allocation to B vitamins lowered homocysteine concentrations by 28% in the cognitive-domain trials but had no significant effects on the z score differences from baseline for individual domains or for global cognitive function (z score difference: 0.00; 95% CI: -0.05, 0.06). Likewise, allocation to B vitamins lowered homocysteine by 26% in the global cognition trials but also had no significant effect on end-treatment MMSE-type global cognitive function (z score difference: -0.01; 95% CI: -0.03, 0.02). Overall, the effect of a 25% reduction in homocysteine equated to 0.02 y (95% CI: -0.10, 0.13 y) of cognitive aging per year and excluded reductions of >1 mo per year of treatment. CONCLUSION: Homocysteine lowering by using B vitamins had no significant effect on individual cognitive domains or global cognitive function or on cognitive aging.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Disfunción Cognitiva/prevención & control , Suplementos Dietéticos , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia , Homocisteína/antagonistas & inhibidores , Hiperhomocisteinemia/dietoterapia , Complejo Vitamínico B/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Cognición , Disfunción Cognitiva/etiología , Homocisteína/sangre , Humanos , Hiperhomocisteinemia/sangre , Hiperhomocisteinemia/fisiopatología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
11.
Nutr J ; 12: 124, 2013 Sep 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24016218

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Older people are at increased risk of vitamin B12 deficiency and the provision of fortified foods may be an effective way to ensure good vitamin B12 status in later life. AIM: To evaluate the effectiveness of a vitamin B12 fortified food provided by a national program of complementary food for older people on plasma vitamin B12 levels. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A random sub-sample of 351 subjects aged 65-67 y from a large cluster randomised controlled trial provided blood samples at baseline and after 24 months of intervention. The intervention arm (10 clusters 186 participants) received a vitamin B12 fortified food designed to deliver 1.4 µg/day, while the control arm did not receive complementary food (10 clusters, 165 participants). Serum vitamin B12 and folate levels determined by radioimmunoassay were used to estimate the effect of intervention on vitamin B12 levels, adjusting for baseline levels and sex. RESULTS: Attrition at 24 months was 16.7% and 23.6% in the intervention and control arms respectively (p = 0.07). Over 24 months of intervention, mean (95% CI) serum vitamin B12 decreased from 392 (359-425) pmol/dL to 357 (300-414) pmol/dL (p < 0.07) in the intervention arm and from 395 (350-440) pmol/dL to 351 (308-395) pmol/dL in the control arm. There was no significant effect of the intervention on folate status. DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest that foods fortified with 1.4 µg/daily vitamin B12 as provided by Chile's national programme for older people are insufficient to ensure adequate vitamin B12 levels in this population. Chile has a long and successful experience with nutrition intervention programs; however, the country's changing demographic and nutritional profiles require a constant adjustment of the programs.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Asistencia Alimentaria , Alimentos Fortificados , Estado Nutricional , Asistencia a los Ancianos , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/prevención & control , Vitamina B 12/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Anemia Perniciosa/etiología , Anemia Perniciosa/prevención & control , Chile/epidemiología , Regulación hacia Abajo , Femenino , Ácido Fólico/sangre , Ácido Fólico/uso terapéutico , Alimentos Fortificados/análisis , Humanos , Análisis de Intención de Tratar , Perdida de Seguimiento , Masculino , Prevalencia , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud , Caracteres Sexuales , Vitamina B 12/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/epidemiología , Deficiencia de Vitamina B 12/fisiopatología
13.
Clim Change ; 121(2): 223-237, 2013.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25834297

RESUMEN

We employ a single-country dynamically-recursive Computable General Equilibrium model to make health-focussed macroeconomic assessments of three contingent UK Greenhouse Gas (GHG) mitigation strategies, designed to achieve 2030 emission targets as suggested by the UK Committee on Climate Change. In contrast to previous assessment studies, our main focus is on health co-benefits additional to those from reduced local air pollution. We employ a conservative cost-effectiveness methodology with a zero net cost threshold. Our urban transport strategy (with cleaner vehicles and increased active travel) brings important health co-benefits and is likely to be strongly cost-effective; our food and agriculture strategy (based on abatement technologies and reduction in livestock production) brings worthwhile health co-benefits, but is unlikely to eliminate net costs unless new technological measures are included; our household energy efficiency strategy is likely to breakeven only over the long term after the investment programme has ceased (beyond our 20 year time horizon). We conclude that UK policy makers will, most likely, have to adopt elements which involve initial net societal costs in order to achieve future emission targets and longer-term benefits from GHG reduction. Cost-effectiveness of GHG strategies is likely to require technological mitigation interventions and/or demand-constraining interventions with important health co-benefits and other efficiency-enhancing policies that promote internalization of externalities. Health co-benefits can play a crucial role in bringing down net costs, but our results also suggest the need for adopting holistic assessment methodologies which give proper consideration to welfare-improving health co-benefits with potentially negative economic repercussions (such as increased longevity).

14.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev ; (6): CD005379, 2012 Jun 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22696350

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Evidence from observational studies suggests that diets high in omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) may protect people from cognitive decline and dementia. The strength of this potential protective effect has recently been tested in randomised controlled trials. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of omega-3 PUFA supplementation for the prevention of dementia and cognitive decline in cognitively healthy older people. SEARCH METHODS: We searched ALOIS - the Cochrane Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group's Specialized Register on 6 April 2012 using the terms: "omega 3", PUFA, "fatty acids", "fatty acid", fish, linseed, eicosapentaenoic, docosahexaenoic. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials of an omega-3 PUFA intervention which was provided for a minimum of six months to participants aged 60 years and over who were free from dementia or cognitive impairment at the beginning of the study. Two review authors independently assessed all trials. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: The review authors sought and extracted data on incident dementia, cognitive function, safety and adherence, either from published reports or by contacting the investigators for original data. Data were extracted by two review authors. We calculated mean difference (MD) or standardised mean differences (SMD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) on an intention-to-treat basis, and summarised narratively information on safety and adherence. MAIN RESULTS: Information on cognitive function at the start of a study was available on 4080 participants randomised in three trials. Cognitive function data were available on 3536 participants at final follow-up.In two studies participants received gel capsules containing either omega-3 PUFA (the intervention) or olive or sunflower oil (placebo) for six or 24 months. In one study, participants received margarine spread for 40 months; the margarine for the intervention group contained omega-3 PUFA. Two studies had cognitive health as their primary outcome; one study of cardiovascular disease included cognitive health as an additional outcome.None of the studies examined the effect of omega-3 PUFA on incident dementia. In two studies involving 3221 participants there was no difference between the omega-3 and placebo group in mini-mental state examination score at final follow-up (following 24 or 40 months of intervention); MD -0.07 (95% CI -0.25 to 0.10). In two studies involving 1043 participants, other tests of cognitive function such as word learning, digit span and verbal fluency showed no beneficial effect of omega-3 PUFA supplementation. Participants in both the intervention and control groups experienced either small or no cognitive declines during the studies.The main reported side-effect of omega-3 PUFA supplementation was mild gastrointestinal problems. Overall, minor adverse events were reported by fewer than 15% of participants, and reports were balanced between intervention groups. Adherence to the intervention was on average over 90% among people who completed the trials. All three studies included in this review are of high methodological quality. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Direct evidence on the effect of omega-3 PUFA on incident dementia is lacking. The available trials showed no benefit of omega-3 PUFA supplementation on cognitive function in cognitively healthy older people. Omega-3 PUFA supplementation is generally well tolerated with the most commonly reported side-effect being mild gastrointestinal problems.Further studies of longer duration are required. Longer-term studies may identify greater change in cognitive function in study participants which may enhance the ability to detect the possible effects of omega-3 PUFA supplementation in preventing cognitive decline in older people.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos del Conocimiento/prevención & control , Demencia/prevención & control , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
15.
Br J Nutr ; 107 Suppl 2: S152-8, 2012 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22591889

RESUMEN

Oily fish and other sources of long-chain n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 LCPs) have been proposed as protective against dementia and age related cognitive impairment. The basic mechanisms underlying these proposed benefits have been postulated and experimental studies supporting the plausibility of the putative effects have been published. Observational epidemiological and case control studies also largely support a protective role of fish consumption on cognitive function with advancing age, albeit with important unexplained heterogeneity in findings. In this review we report the findings of the latest Cochrane review on the benefits of n-3 LCP supplementation on cognitive function among cognitively healthy older people and expand the review by including trials conducted with individuals with prevalent poor cognitive function or dementia. We identified seven relevant trials, four among cognitively healthy older people, and three among individuals with pre-existing cognitive decline or dementia, and overall conclude that there is no evidence to support the routine use of n-3 LCPs supplements for the prevention, or amelioration, of cognitive decline in later life. We identified several challenges in the design of intervention studies for the prevention of dementia and cognitive decline in older people that require careful consideration especially in recruitment and retention in long-term trials. Whether the lack of agreement in findings from mechanistic and observational data and from intervention studies reflects a real absence of benefit on cognitive function from n-3 LCP supplementation, or whether it reflects intrinsic limitations in the design of published studies remains open to question.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos del Conocimiento , Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Demencia , Dieta , Suplementos Dietéticos , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Animales , Trastornos del Conocimiento/tratamiento farmacológico , Trastornos del Conocimiento/prevención & control , Demencia/tratamiento farmacológico , Demencia/prevención & control , Peces , Humanos
16.
PLoS Med ; 8(4): e1001023, 2011 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21526229

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Ageing is associated with increased risk of poor health and functional decline. Uncertainties about the health-related benefits of nutrition and physical activity for older people have precluded their widespread implementation. We investigated the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a national nutritional supplementation program and/or a physical activity intervention among older people in Chile. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a cluster randomized factorial trial among low to middle socioeconomic status adults aged 65-67.9 years living in Santiago, Chile. We randomized 28 clusters (health centers) into the study and recruited 2,799 individuals in 2005 (~100 per cluster). The interventions were a daily micronutrient-rich nutritional supplement, or two 1-hour physical activity classes per week, or both interventions, or neither, for 24 months. The primary outcomes, assessed blind to allocation, were incidence of pneumonia over 24 months, and physical function assessed by walking capacity 24 months after enrollment. Adherence was good for the nutritional supplement (~75%), and moderate for the physical activity intervention (~43%). Over 24 months the incidence rate of pneumonia did not differ between intervention and control clusters (32.5 versus 32.6 per 1,000 person years respectively; risk ratio = 1.00; 95% confidence interval 0.61-1.63; p = 0.99). In intention-to-treat analysis, after 24 months there was a significant difference in walking capacity between the intervention and control clusters (mean difference 33.8 meters; 95% confidence interval 13.9-53.8; p = 0.001). The overall cost of the physical activity intervention over 24 months was US$164/participant; equivalent to US$4.84/extra meter walked. The number of falls and fractures was balanced across physical activity intervention arms and no serious adverse events were reported for either intervention. CONCLUSIONS: Chile's nutritional supplementation program for older people is not effective in reducing the incidence of pneumonia. This trial suggests that the provision of locally accessible physical activity classes in a transition economy population can be a cost-effective means of enhancing physical function in later life. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN 48153354.


Asunto(s)
Suplementos Dietéticos , Actividad Motora/fisiología , Neumonía/prevención & control , Neumonía/fisiopatología , Caminata/fisiología , Anciano , Chile/epidemiología , Análisis por Conglomerados , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Análisis Factorial , Humanos , Incidencia , Neumonía/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
Nutr J ; 10: 22, 2011 Mar 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21396086

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Vitamin B12 deficiency is common in older people and the prevalence increases with age. Vitamin B12 deficiency may present as macrocytic anaemia, subacute combined degeneration of the spinal cord, or as neuropathy, but is often asymptomatic in older people. The diagnosis and indications for treatment are clear for individuals with low plasma levels of vitamin B12 in the setting of megaloblastic anaemia and neuropathy, but the relevance of treatment of vitamin B12 deficiency in the absence of such clinical signs is uncertain. METHODS: The aim of the present study is to assess whether dietary supplementation with crystalline vitamin B12 will improve electrophysiological indices of neurological function in older people who have biochemical evidence of vitamin B12 insufficiency in the absence of anaemia. To test this hypothesis we designed a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial involving 200 older people aged 75 years or greater who were randomly allocated to receive either a daily oral tablet containing 1 mg vitamin B12 or a matching placebo tablet. The primary outcome assessed at 12 months is change in electrophysiological indices of peripheral and central neurosensory responses required for mobility and sensory function. We here report the detailed study protocol. CONCLUSIONS: In view of the high prevalence of vitamin B12 deficiency in later life, the present trial could have considerable significance for public health.


Asunto(s)
Fenómenos Fisiológicos del Sistema Nervioso/efectos de los fármacos , Vitamina B 12/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Suplementos Dietéticos , Método Doble Ciego , Humanos , Conducción Nerviosa/efectos de los fármacos
18.
J Alzheimers Dis ; 22(1): 205-24, 2010.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20847412

RESUMEN

The increasing worldwide prevalence of dementia is a major public health concern. Findings from some epidemiological studies suggest that diet and nutrition may be important modifiable risk factors for development of dementia. In order to evaluate the strength of the available evidence of an association of dietary factors with dementia including Alzheimer's disease (AD), we systematically searched relevant publication databases and hand-searched bibliographies up to end July 2007. We included prospective cohort studies which evaluated the association of nutrient levels with the risk of developing dementia and randomized intervention studies examining the treatment effect of nutrient supplementation on cognitive function. One hundred and sixty studies, comprising ninety one prospective cohort studies and sixty nine intervention studies, met the pre-specified inclusion criteria. Of these, thirty-three studies (19 cohort and 14 randomized controlled trials) investigated the effects of folate, B-vitamins, and levels of homocysteine (a biomarker modifiable through B-vitamin supplementation) or fish/fatty acids and are the focus of the present report. Some observational cohort studies indicated that higher dietary intake or elevated serum levels of folate and fish/fatty acids and low serum levels of homocysteine were associated with a reduced risk of incident AD and dementia, while other studies reported no association. The results of intervention studies examining the effects of folic acid or fatty acid supplementation on cognitive function are inconsistent. In summary, the available evidence is insufficient to draw definitive conclusions on the association of B vitamins and fatty acids with cognitive decline or dementia, and further long-term trials are required.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/prevención & control , Demencia/tratamiento farmacológico , Demencia/prevención & control , Ácidos Grasos Insaturados/uso terapéutico , Complejo Vitamínico B/uso terapéutico , Animales , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto/tendencias , Estudios de Cohortes , Ácido Fólico/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
19.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 91(6): 1725-32, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20410089

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Increased consumption of n-3 (omega-3) long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LC PUFAs), especially eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), may maintain cognitive function in later life. OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that n-3 LC PUFA supplementation would benefit cognitive function in cognitively healthy older people. DESIGN: At total of 867 cognitively healthy adults, aged 70-79 y, from 20 general practices in England and Wales were randomly assigned into a double-blind controlled trial of daily capsules providing 200 mg EPA plus 500 mg DHA or olive oil for 24 mo. Treatment-allocation codes were obtained from a central computerized randomization service. Trained research nurses administered a battery of cognitive tests, including the primary outcome, the California Verbal Learning Test (CVLT), at baseline and 24 mo. Intention-to-treat analysis of covariance, with adjustment for baseline cognitive scores, age, sex, and age at leaving full-time education, included 748 (86%) individuals who completed the study. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 75 y; 55% of the participants were men. Withdrawals and deaths were similar in active (n = 49 and n = 9, respectively) and placebo (n = 53 and n = 8, respectively) arms. Mean (+/-SD) serum EPA and DHA concentrations were significantly higher in the active arm than in the placebo arm at 24 mo (49.9 +/- 2.7 mg EPA/L in the active arm compared with 39.1 +/- 3.1 mg EPA/L in the placebo arm; 95.6 +/- 3.1 mg DHA/L in the active arm compared with 70.7 +/- 2.9 mg DHA/L in the placebo arm). There was no change in cognitive function scores over 24 mo, and intention-to-treat analysis showed no significant differences between trial arms at 24 mo in the CVLT or any secondary cognitive outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive function did not decline in either study arm over 24 mo. The lack of decline in the control arm and the relatively short intervention period may have limited our ability to detect any potential beneficial effect of fish oil on cognitive function in this study. The Older People And n-3 Long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (OPAL) Study was registered at www.controlled-trials.com as ISRCTN 72331636.


Asunto(s)
Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Cognición/fisiología , Suplementos Dietéticos , Método Doble Ciego , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/sangre , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas , Cooperación del Paciente
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