Vaccine value profile for Shigella.

Shigella is the leading bacterial cause of diarrhoea and the second leading cause of diarrhoeal mortality among all ages. It also exhibits increasing levels of antibiotic resistance. The greatest burden is among children under five in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). As such, a priority strategic goal of the World Health Organization (WHO) is the development of a safe, effective and affordable vaccine to reduce morbidity and mortality from Shigella-attributable dysentery and diarrhea, including long term outcomes associated with chronic inflammation and growth faltering, in children under 5 years of age in LMICs. In addition, a safe and effective Shigella vaccine is of potential interest to travellers and military both to prevent acute disease and rarer, long-term sequelae. An effective Shigella vaccine is also anticipated to reduce antibiotic use and thereby help diminish further emergence of enteric pathogens resistant to antimicrobials. The most advanced vaccine candidates are multivalent, parenteral formulations in Phase 2 and Phase 3 clinical studies. They rely on O-antigen-polysaccharide protein conjugate technologies or, alternatively, outer membrane vesicles expressing penta-acylated lipopolysaccharide that has been detoxified. Other parenteral and oral formulations, many delivering a broader array of Shigella antigens, are at earlier stages of clinical development. These formulations are being assessed in alignment with the WHO Preferred Product Characteristics, which call for a 1 to 2 dose primary immunization series given during the first 12 months of life, ideally starting at 6 months of age. This 'Vaccine Value Profile' (VVP) for Shigella is intended to provide a high-level, holistic assessment of the information and data that are currently available to inform the potential public health, economic and societal value of pipeline vaccines and vaccine-like products. This VVP was developed by a working group of subject matter experts from academia, non-profit organizations, government agencies and multi-lateral organizations. All contributors have extensive expertise on various elements of the Shigella VVP and collectively aimed to identify current research and knowledge gaps. The VVP was developed using only existing and publicly available information.

WHO consultation on ETEC and Shigella burden of disease, Geneva, 6-7th April 2017: Meeting report.

According to the 2015 Global Burden of Disease Study, diarrhea ranked ninth among causes of death for all ages, and fourth among children under 5 years old, accounting for an estimated 499,000 deaths in this young age group. It was also the second most common cause of years lived with disability (2.39 billion YLDs). The goal of the WHO/UNICEF Integrated Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhea (GAPPD) is to reduce deaths from diarrhea in children under 5 years of age to less than 1 per 1000 live births, by 2025. Development of new and improved vaccines against diarrheal infections is a fundamental element of the strategy towards achieving this goal. Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) and Shigella are enteropathogens that cause significant global mortality and morbidity, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. In 2016, WHO's Product Development for Vaccines Advisory Committee (PDVAC) recommended that the WHO's Initiative for Vaccine Research (IVR) engage in this area, based on PDVAC's criteria of prioritizing the development of vaccines against pathogens that will address a major unmet public health need, and for which clinical candidates with a good probability of technical success are in the pipeline. As a first step, WHO's IVR convened global subject matter experts to discuss the current global ETEC and Shigella disease burden estimates, including the current understanding of the long-term indirect effects of ETEC and Shigella infection, and how these data may affect future decision making on vaccine development for both pathogens. The available global burden estimates for ETEC and Shigella differ with respect to the relative importance of these two pathogens. The mortality estimates vary between iterations published by the same group, as well as between estimates of different groups, although the uncertainty intervals are broad and overlapping. These variances are attributable to differences in the data available and incorporated in the models; the methods used to detect the pathogens; the modelling methodologies; and, to actual changes in the total number of diarrheal deaths over time. The changes in the most recently reported mortality estimates for these pathogens, as compared to previous iterations, has led to debate as to whether investment in development of stand-alone vaccines, rather than combined vaccines, is warranted from cost-effectiveness and vaccine impact perspectives. Further work will be needed to understand better the variances and uncertainties in the reported mortality estimates to support investment decision making, and ultimately policy recommendations for vaccine use. In addition, a comprehensive assessment of the value proposition for vaccines against these pathogens is needed and will be strengthened if the long-term health consequences associated with diarrhea and dysentery due to these pathogens are better defined.