Cost-effectiveness of Virtual Bone Strength Testing in Osteoporosis Screening Programs for Postmenopausal Women in the United States.

Purpose To investigate whether assessment of bone strength with quantitative computed tomography (CT) in combination with dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is cost-effective as a screening tool for osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. Materials and Methods A state-transition microsimulation model of osteoporosis for postmenopausal women aged 55 years or older was developed with a lifetime horizon and U.S. societal perspective. All model inputs were derived from published literature. Three strategies were compared: no screening, DXA with T score-dependent rescreening intervals, and a combination of DXA and quantitative CT with different intervals (3, 5, and 10 years) at different screening initiation ages (55-65 years). Oral bisphosphonate therapy was started if DXA hip T scores were less than or equal to -2.5, 10-year risk for hip fracture was greater than 3% (World Health Organization Fracture Risk Assessment Tool score, or FRAX), 10-year risk for major osteoporotic fracture was greater than 20% (FRAX), quantitative CT femur bone strength was less than 3000 N, or occurrence of first fracture (eg, hip, vertebral body, wrist). Outcome measures were incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in 2015 U.S. dollars per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and number of fragility fractures. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was also performed. Results The most cost-effective strategy was combined DXA and quantitative CT screening starting at age 55 with quantitative CT screening every 5 years (ICER, $2000 per QALY). With this strategy, 12.8% of postmenopausal women sustained hip fractures in their remaining life (no screening, 18.7%; DXA screening, 15.8%). The corresponding percentages of vertebral fractures for DXA and quantitative CT with a 5-year interval, was 7.5%; no screening, 11.1%; DXA screening, 9%; for wrist fractures, 14%, 17.8%, and 16.4%, respectively; for other fractures, 22.6%, 30.8%, and 27.3%, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, DXA and quantitative CT at age 55 years with quantitative CT screening every 5 years was the best strategy in more than 90% of all 1000 simulations (for thresholds of $50 000 per QALY and $100 000 per QALY). Conclusion Combined assessment of bone strength and bone mineral density is a cost-effective strategy for osteoporosis screening in postmenopausal women and has the potential to prevent a substantial number of fragility fractures. © RSNA, 2017 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

NONINVASIVE FOLLICULAR TUMOR WITH PAPILLARY-LIKE NUCLEAR FEATURES: NOT A TEMPEST IN A TEAPOT.

OBJECTIVE: Encapsulated non-invasive follicular variant papillary thyroid cancer (ENIFVPTC) has recently been retermed noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP). This designation specifically omits the word "cancer" to encourage conservative treatment since patients with NIFTP tumors have been shown to derive no benefit from completion thyroidectomy or adjuvant radio-active iodine (RAI) therapy. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of consecutive cases of tumors from 2007 to 2015 that met pathologic criteria for NIFTP. The conservative management (CM) group included patients managed with lobectomy alone or appropriately indicated total thyroidectomy. Those included in the aggressive management (AM) group received either completion thyroidectomy or RAI or both. RESULTS: From 100 consecutive cases of ENIFVPTC reviewed, 40 NIFTP were included for the final analysis. Of these, 10 (27%) patients treated with initial lobectomy received completion thyroidectomy and 6 of 40 (16%) also received postsurgical adjuvant RAI. The mean per-patient cost of care in the AM group was $17,629 ± 2,865, nearly twice the $8,637 ± 309 costs in the CM group, and was largely driven by the cost of completion thyroidectomy and RAI. CONCLUSION: The term NIFTP has been recently promulgated to identify a type of thyroid neoplasm, formerly identified as a low-grade cancer, for which initial surgery represents adequate treatment. We believe that since the new NIFTP nomenclature intentionally omits the word "cancer," the clinical indolence of these tumors will be better appreciated, and cost savings will result from more conservative and appropriate clinical management. ABBREVIATIONS: AM = aggressive management CM = conservative management ENIFVPTC = encapsulated noninvasive form of FVPTC FVPTC = follicular variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma NIFTP = noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features PTC = papillary thyroid carcinoma PTMC = papillary thyroid microcarcinoma RAI = radio-active iodine US = ultrasound.