Identification of recurrent atrial fibrillation using natural language processing applied to electronic health records.

AIMS: This study aimed to develop and apply natural language processing (NLP) algorithms to identify recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes following rhythm control therapy initiation using electronic health records (EHRs). METHODS AND RESULTS: We included adults with new-onset AF who initiated rhythm control therapies (ablation, cardioversion, or antiarrhythmic medication) within two US integrated healthcare delivery systems. A code-based algorithm identified potential AF recurrence using diagnosis and procedure codes. An automated NLP algorithm was developed and validated to capture AF recurrence from electrocardiograms, cardiac monitor reports, and clinical notes. Compared with the reference standard cases confirmed by physicians' adjudication, the F-scores, sensitivity, and specificity were all above 0.90 for the NLP algorithms at both sites. We applied the NLP and code-based algorithms to patients with incident AF (n = 22 970) during the 12 months after initiating rhythm control therapy. Applying the NLP algorithms, the percentages of patients with AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 60.7% and 69.9% (ablation), 64.5% and 73.7% (cardioversion), and 49.6% and 55.5% (antiarrhythmic medication), respectively. In comparison, the percentages of patients with code-identified AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 20.2% and 23.7% for ablation, 25.6% and 28.4% for cardioversion, and 20.0% and 27.5% for antiarrhythmic medication, respectively. CONCLUSION: When compared with a code-based approach alone, this study's high-performing automated NLP method identified significantly more patients with recurrent AF. The NLP algorithms could enable efficient evaluation of treatment effectiveness of AF therapies in large populations and help develop tailored interventions.

Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Risk of Dementia in a Diverse, Community-Based Population.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common, clinically relevant arrhythmia in adults and associated with ischemic stroke and premature death. However, data are conflicting on whether AF is independently associated with risk of dementia, particularly in diverse populations. Methods and Results We identified all adults from 2 large integrated health care delivery systems between 2010 and 2017 and performed a 1:1 match of incident AF: no AF by age at index date, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate category, and study site. Subsequent dementia was identified through previously validated diagnosis codes. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to examine the association of incident AF (versus no AF) with risk of incident dementia, adjusting for sociodemographics and comorbidity and accounting for competing risk of death. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, race, ethnicity, and chronic kidney disease status were also performed. Among 196 968 matched adults, mean (SD) age was 73.6 (11.3) years, with 44.8% women, and 72.3% White. Incidence rates (per 100 person-years) for dementia over a median follow-up of 3.3 (interquartile range, 1.7-5.4) years were 2.79 (95% CI, 2.72-2.85) and 2.04 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) per 100 person-years in persons with versus without incident AF, respectively. In adjusted models, incident AF was associated with a significantly greater risk of diagnosed dementia (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 1.13 [95% CI, 1.09-1.16]). With additional adjustment for interim stroke events, the association of incident AF with dementia remained statistically significant (sHR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.15]). Associations were stronger for age <65 (sHR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.29-2.12]) versus ≥65 (sHR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.10]) years (interaction P<0.001); and those without (sHR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.14-1.26]) versus with chronic kidney disease (sHR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.11]; interaction P<0.001). No meaningful differences were seen by sex, race, or ethnicity. Conclusions In a large, diverse community-based cohort, incident AF was associated with a modestly increased risk of dementia that was more prominent in younger patients and those without chronic kidney disease but did not substantially vary across sex, race, or ethnicity. Further studies should delineate mechanisms underpinning these findings, which may inform use of AF therapies.

Opioid and Naloxone Prescribing Following Insertion of Prompts in the Electronic Health Record to Encourage Compliance With California State Opioid Law.

Importance: Opioid addiction or dependency is a serious crisis in the US that affects public health as well as social and economic welfare. The State of California passed Assembly Bill (AB) 2760 in 2018 that mandates the coprescription of naloxone and opioids for patients with a high overdose risk. Objective: To assess whether the AB 2760-based electronic prompts were associated with increased naloxone orders for opioid users and reduced opioid prescribing when integrated into the practitioner workflow. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used interrupted time series mixed models to evaluate data obtained from the regional integrated health care system Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019. Clinician participants were continuously employed at KPSC during the study period and ordered an opioid analgesic for eligible patients in 2018. Patient participants were KPSC members aged 18 years or older who received an opioid analgesic prescription during the study period. A series of AB 2760-based electronic prompts were integrated into the KPSC electronic health record system on December 27, 2018. The prompts are triggered or activated when 1 or more opioid prescribing conditions, defined in the AB 2760, are met at outpatient visits. Data were analyzed from January 8, 2021, to September 15, 2021. Exposures: Assembly Bill 2760-based electronic prompts for outpatient opioid prescriptions in the electronic health record system. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were changes in outpatient naloxone order rates among patients who were prescribed opioids and changes in outpatient opioid prescribing rates. Secondary outcomes were total morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs) ordered per prescriber-month, prompts-targeted objectives, and unintended consequences. Risk for opioid abuse among 3 types of patients was also assessed. Results: The 6515 eligible clinicians (mean [SD] age, 45.9 [9.43] years; 3604 men [55.3%]) included in the study served 500 711 unique patients in 1 903 289 outpatient encounters (mean [SD] age, 60.4 [15.67] years; 1 121 004 women [58.9%]) in which an opioid analgesic was prescribed. Naloxone order rate increased from 2.0% in December 2018 to 13.2% in January 2019 and then continued to increase to 27.1% in December 2019. Outpatient opioid prescribing rates decreased by 15.1% (rate ratio [RR], 0.85; 95% CI, 0.83-0.87) per prescriber-month when the electronic prompts were implemented. The postimplementation trend increased by 0.7% per prescriber-month (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.01-1.01); the overall trend was still decreasing. The total MMEs per prescriber-month decreased by 7.8% (RR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.89-0.96) after implementation of the prompts. The postimplementation trend tapered off. Other safe opioid prescribing measures also improved after implementation (decreases in concomitant muscle relaxants orders [RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.89-1.00], initial [RR, 0.86; 0.83-0.89] and renewal [RR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.62-0.69] opioid orders, and long-term high-dose orders [RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.98]). Conclusions and Relevance: This study found an association between implementation of AB 2760-based prompts and increased naloxone order rate; improved opioid prescribing measures (ie, decreased concomitant muscle relaxants orders, initial and renewal opioid orders, and long-term high-dose orders), except monthly median MMEs; and reduced opioid prescribing. The findings suggest that opioid overdose risks can be mitigated by encouraging safe prescribing habits.

Factors associated with weight gain during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: To limit transmission of COVID-19, state governments issued shelter-in-place orders. These orders coincided with a decrease in daily step count and an increase in overeating. We evaluated factors associated with weight gain of ≥ 15 pounds during the pandemic within an integrated health care system. METHODS: We included adults ages 18 and above with at least one weight measurement before the pandemic (March 19, 2019-March 19, 2020) and another measurement after COVID-19 vaccines became available, more than 9 months into the pandemic (December 14, 2020-December 14, 2021). Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with weight gain of 15 pounds or more. RESULTS: Of 524,451 adults included in the study, median age was 61 years, 43.2% were men, 36.2% self identified as White, 8.6% Black, 35.7% Hispanic, and 16.2% Asian. During the pandemic, 38,213 (7.3%) adults gained ≥ 15 pounds. A higher proportion of young adults gained weight (16.2% age 18-39, 7.6% age 40-64, 4.7% age 65-79%, and 3.1% age ≥ 80). No significant difference was observed between men and women (7.2% men and 7.4% women). Weight gain was more prevalent among adults from low-income neighborhoods (8.9% low-income neighborhoods, 8.0% intermediate-income neighborhoods, and 6.5% high-income neighborhoods). Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that compared to adults ages 65-79 years, young adults ages 18-39 years had the highest risk of gaining ≥ 15 pounds (adjusted OR 5.19, 95% CI 5.01-5.38). Black race was associated with weight gain in an unadjusted analysis (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.21-1.30). However, this association was significantly attenuated after adjusting for other risk factors including neighborhood income levels (adjusted OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10). Having a diagnosis of depression pre-pandemic was also associated with weight gain during the pandemic (adjusted OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.50-1.58). CONCLUSION: In this racially and ethnically diverse population in southern California, significant weight gain of 15 pounds or more was observed in 7.3% of the adult population during the COVID-19 pandemic. Young adults, individuals who resided in low-income neighborhoods, and patients with depression were disproportionally affected.

Safety and Effectiveness of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin for Treating Left Ventricular Thrombus.

BACKGROUND: Patients with left ventricular thrombus are at high risk for ischemic stroke and systemic embolization. The mainstay of treatment is anticoagulation, but it remains unclear if direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are a safe and effective treatment strategy compared to warfarin. We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of DOACs compared to warfarin in an integrated health system in the United States. METHODS: Consecutive patients with left ventricular thrombus on transthoracic echocardiogram from May 2010 to April 2020 were identified. Comparative effectiveness and safety of DOACs and warfarin were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: Among 433 patients with left ventricular thrombus, 134 (30.9%) were treated with DOACs and 299 (69.1%) were treated with warfarin. Patients were followed for a median of 3.4 years. For the primary effectiveness outcome of ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, and transient ischemic attack, no significant difference was observed between use of DOACs compared to warfarin (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] of 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48-1.18, p = 0.21). For the primary safety outcome of intracranial hemorrhage, gastrointestinal bleeding, and other bleed requiring hospitalization, DOAC usage was associated with a lower risk of bleeding (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.39-0.87, p = 0.0008). CONCLUSIONS: In this diverse population-based cohort of patients, DOAC treatment for left ventricular thrombus appears to be as safe and effective as warfarin treatment. These findings support the use of DOACs for patients with left ventricular thrombus.

Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Mortality in Patients Aged 60 to 90 Years.

Chronological age alone does not fully reflect a patient's prognosis. We sought to assess the association of cardiorespiratory fitness (quantified by METs) with all-cause mortality among patients aged 60 to 90 years. This retrospective study included patients who underwent exercise treadmill testing at an integrated healthcare system from 2011 to 2019. Patients were categorized into age groups: 60 to <70 years, 70 to <80 years, and 80 to 90 years; and cardiorespiratory fitness level: low (<5 METs), moderate (5 to 10 METs), and high fitness (>10 METs). Mean follow-up was 3.5 years. A total of 40,520 patients were included (mean age 67.7 ± 4.7 years, 48.6% women). Of whom, 27,021 were 60 to <70 years old (66.7%); 12,638 70 to <80 years old (31.2%); and 1,861 80 to 90 years old (4.6%). There were 3,494 patients categorized as low (8.6%), 21,863 as moderate (54%), and 15,163 as high fitness (37.4%). Low fitness level was independently associated with lower survival (hazard ratio [HR] 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15 to 2.24). Using age 60 to 70 group with high fitness level as reference, the age 80 to 90 group with high fitness level had better survival than their younger counterparts with low fitness level (age 80 to 90 years high fitness level: HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.2 to 7.2; age 60 to 70 years low fitness level: HR 4.3, 95% CI 3.1 to 5.9; age 70 to 80 years low fitness level: HR 6.8, 95% CI 5.2 to 8.9) on adjusted analysis. In conclusion, higher cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with better survival. Patients >80 years old with high fitness level have comparable or even better survival than their younger counterparts with submoderate fitness levels. Chronological age alone should not be the only factor when considering prognosis.

Automated interpretation of stress echocardiography reports using natural language processing.

Aims: Stress echocardiography (SE) findings and interpretations are commonly documented in free-text reports. Reusing SE results requires laborious manual reviews. This study aimed to develop and validate an automated method for abstracting SE reports in a large cohort. Methods and results: This study included adult patients who had SE within 30 days of their emergency department visit for suspected acute coronary syndrome in a large integrated healthcare system. An automated natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was developed to abstract SE reports and classify overall SE results into normal, non-diagnostic, infarction, and ischaemia categories. Randomly selected reports (n = 140) were double-blindly reviewed by cardiologists to perform criterion validity of the NLP algorithm. Construct validity was tested on the entire cohort using abstracted SE data and additional clinical variables. The NLP algorithm abstracted 6346 consecutive SE reports. Cardiologists had good agreements on the overall SE results on the 140 reports: Kappa (0.83) and intraclass correlation coefficient (0.89). The NLP algorithm achieved 98.6% specificity and negative predictive value, 95.7% sensitivity, positive predictive value, and F-score on the overall SE results and near-perfect scores on ischaemia findings. The 30-day acute myocardial infarction or death outcomes were highest among patients with ischaemia (5.0%), followed by infarction (1.4%), non-diagnostic (0.8%), and normal (0.3%) results. We found substantial variations in the format and quality of SE reports, even within the same institution. Conclusions: Natural language processing is an accurate and efficient method for abstracting unstructured SE reports. This approach creates new opportunities for research, public health measures, and care improvement.

Management of Adults with Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation with and without CKD.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent in CKD and is associated with worse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes. Limited data exist on use of AF pharmacotherapies and AF-related procedures by CKD status. We examined a large "real-world" contemporary population with incident AF to study the association of CKD with management of AF. METHODS: We identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2010 and 2017 from two large, integrated health care delivery systems. eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2) was calculated from a minimum of two ambulatory serum creatinine measures separated by ≥90 days. AF medications and procedures were identified from electronic health records. We performed multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression to test the association of CKD severity with receipt of targeted AF therapies. RESULTS: Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, 34% had baseline CKD. In multivariable models, compared with those with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, patients with eGFR 30-44 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.91; 95% CI, 0.99 to 0.93), 15-29 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.82), and <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.70) had lower use of any AF therapy. Patients with eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m2 had lower adjusted use of rate control agents (aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.67), warfarin (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.94), and DOACs (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.27) compared with patients with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. These associations were even stronger for eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2. There was also a graded association between CKD severity and receipt of AF-related procedures (vs eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2): eGFR 30-44 ml/min per 1.73 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.87), eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.88), and eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.74). CONCLUSIONS: In adults with newly diagnosed AF, CKD severity was associated with lower receipt of rate control agents, anticoagulation, and AF procedures. Additional data on efficacy and safety of AF therapies in CKD populations are needed to inform management strategies.

Effectiveness and Safety of Dabigatran in Atrial Fibrillation Patients with Severe Obesity: a Real-World Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Direct oral anticoagulants such as dabigatran are the preferred anticoagulant in treating atrial fibrillation (AF) patients due to their effectiveness and safety. Whether this applies to severely obese patients needs to be determined. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness and safety of dabigatran with warfarin among AF patients with severe obesity. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: AF patients with a BMI >40kg/m2 or a weight >120kg receiving dabigatran or warfarin between 10/01/2010 and 12/31/2019 in a large integrated health system and followed through 08/01/2020. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN MEASURES: Primary effectiveness outcome was composite thromboembolism including transient ischemic attack, ischemic stroke, or systemic embolism. Primary safety outcome was composite bleeding including gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, or other bleeding. Secondary outcomes included the individual outcomes and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to create a 1:1 matched cohort and Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each outcome for dabigatran users compared to warfarin users. KEY RESULTS: A total of 6848 patients receiving either dabigatran or warfarin were identified. In a 1:1 matched cohort, dabigatran users had a HR of 0.71 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-0.91) for composite thromboembolism, a HR of 1.24 (95%CI: 1.07-1.42) for composite bleeding, and a HR of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.45-0.71) for all-cause mortality when compared to warfarin users. CONCLUSIONS: Among AF patients with a BMI >40kg/m2 or a weight >120kg in a real-world clinical setting, dabigatran was effective in reducing the risk of thromboembolism and mortality but was associated with an increased risk of bleeding when compared to warfarin. Dabigatran may be a reasonable option for AF patients with severe obesity.

Risk of hospitalization and mortality associated with uncontrolled blood pressure in patients with hypertension and COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: The role of uncontrolled blood pressure (BP) in COVID-19 severity among patients with hypertension is unclear. We evaluated the association between uncontrolled BP and the risk of hospitalization and/or mortality in patients with hypertension from a large US integrated healthcare system. METHODS: We identified patients with hypertension and a positive RT-PCR test result or a diagnosis of COVID-19 between March 1 - September 1, 2020 from Kaiser Permanente Southern California. BP categories was defined using the most recent outpatient BP measurement during 12 months prior to COVID-19 infection. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause hospitalization or mortality within 30 days from COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: Among 12,548 patients with hypertension and COVID-19 (mean age = 60 years, 47% male), 63% had uncontrolled BP (≥130/80 mm Hg) prior to COVID-19. Twenty-one percent were hospitalized or died within 30 days of COVID-19 infection. Uncontrolled BP was not associated with higher hospitalization or mortality (adjusted rate ratios for BP ≥ 160/100 mm Hg vs < 130/80 mm Hg = 1.00 [95% CI: 0.87, 1.14]; BP 140-159/90-99 mm Hg vs < 130/80 mm Hg = 1.02 [95% CI: 0.93, 1.11]). These findings were consistent across different age groups, treatment for antihypertensive medications, as well as atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk. CONCLUSION: Among patients with hypertension, uncontrolled BP prior to COVID-19 infection did not appear to be an important risk factor for 30-day mortality or hospitalization.

COVID-19 morbidity and mortality associated with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers use among 14,129 patients with hypertension from a US integrated healthcare system.

OBJECTIVE: Although recent evidence suggests no increased risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes associated with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) use, the relationship is less clear among patients with hypertension and diverse racial/ethnic groups. This study evaluates the risk of hospitalization and mortality among patients with hypertension and COVID-19 in a large US integrated healthcare system. METHODS: Patients with hypertension and COVID-19 (between March 1- September 1, 2020) on ACEIs or ARBs were compared with patients on other frequently used antihypertensive medications. RESULTS: Among 14,129 patients with hypertension and COVID-19 infection (mean age 60 years, 48% men, 58% Hispanic), 21% were admitted to the hospital within 30 days of COVID-19 infection. Of the hospitalized patients, 24% were admitted to intensive care units, 17% required mechanical ventilation, and 10% died within 30 days of COVID-19 infection. Exposure to ACEIs or ARBs prior to COVID-19 infection was not associated with an increased risk of hospitalization or all-cause mortality (rate ratios for ACEIs vs other antihypertensive medications â€‹= â€‹0.98, 95% CI: 0.88, 1.08; ARBs vs others â€‹= â€‹1.00, 95% CI: 0.90, 1.11) after applying inverse probability of treatment weights. These associations were consistent across racial/ethnic groups. Use of ACEIs or ARBs during hospitalization was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (odds ratios for ACEIs or ARBs vs others â€‹= â€‹0.50, 95% CI: 0.34, 0.72). CONCLUSION: Our study findings support continuation of ACEI or ARB use for patients with hypertension during the COVID-19 pandemic and after COVID-19 infection.

Temporal trends in heart failure mortality in an integrated healthcare delivery system, California, and the US, 2001-2017.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, decreases in mortality rates attributable to cardiovascular diseases have slowed but mortality attributable to heart failure (HF) has increased. METHODS: Between 2001-2017, trends in age-adjusted mortality with HF as an underlying cause for Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) members were derived through linkage with state death files and compared with trends among California residents and the US. Average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Joinpoint regression. Analyses were repeated examining HF as a contributing cause of death. RESULTS: In KPSC, the age-adjusted HF mortality rates were comparable to California but lower than the US, increasing from 23.9 per 100,000 person-years (PY) in 2001 to 44.7 per 100,000 PY in 2017, representing an AAPC of 1.3% (95% CI 0.0%, 2.6%). HF mortality also increased in California from 33.9 to 46.5 per 100,000 PY (AAPC 1.5%, 95% CI 0.3%, 2.7%), while remaining unchanged in the US at 57.9 per 100,000 PY in 2001 and 2017 (AAPC 0.0%, 95% CI - 0.5%, 0.5%). Trends among KPSC members ≥ 65 years old were similar to the overall population, while trends among members 45-64 years old were flat between 2001-2017. Small changes in mortality with HF as a contributing cause were observed in KPSC members between 2001 and 2017, which differed from California and the US. CONCLUSION: Lower rates of HF mortality were observed in KPSC compared to the US. Given the aging of the US population and increasing prevalence of HF, it will be important to examine individual and care-related factors driving susceptibility to HF mortality.

Comparison of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Bioprosthetic Heart Valves.

There are limited data regarding direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for stroke prevention in patients with bioprosthetic heart valves (BHVs) and atrial fibrillation (AF). The objectives of this study were to evaluate the ambulatory utilization of DOACs and to compare the effectiveness and safety of DOACs versus warfarin in patients with AF and BHVs. We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a large integrated health care delivery system in California. Patients with BHVs and AF treated with warfarin, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or apixaban between September 12, 2011 and June 18, 2020 were identified. Inverse probability of treatment-weighted comparative effectiveness and safety of DOACs compared with warfarin were determined. Use of DOACs gradually increased since 2011, with a significant upward in trend after a stay-at-home order related to COVID-19. Among 2,672 adults with BHVs and AF who met the inclusion criteria, 439 were exposed to a DOAC and 2233 were exposed to warfarin. For the primary effectiveness outcome of ischemic stroke, systemic embolism and transient ischemic attack, no significant association was observed between use of DOACs compared with warfarin (HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.48, p = 0.11). Use of DOACs was associated with lower risk of the primary safety outcome of intracranial hemorrhage, gastrointestinal bleeding, and other bleed (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.85, p < 0.001). Results were consistent across multiple subgroups in the sensitivity analyses. These findings support the use of DOACs for AF in patients with BHVs.

Single vs Serial Measurements of Cardiac Troponin Level in the Evaluation of Patients in the Emergency Department With Suspected Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Importance: Chest pain is among the most common reasons for emergency department (ED) presentations. However, most patients are at low risk for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), with low cardiac adverse outcomes rates. Biomarker testing with troponin levels is key in the initial assessment for ACS. Although serial troponin testing can improve the diagnosis of ACS in clinical practice, some patients deemed to be low risk are discharged after a single negative troponin test result. Objective: To report the clinical outcomes of patients discharged after a single negative troponin test result compared with patients discharged after serial troponin measurements. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a retrospective cohort study of ED encounters from May 5, 2016, to December 1, 2017, across 15 community EDs within an integrated health care system in southern California. The study cohort includes 27 918 adult ED encounters in which patients were evaluated for suspected ACS with a HEART (history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and troponin) score and an initial conventional troponin-I measurement below the level of detection (<0.02 ng/mL). Statistical analysis was performed from December 1, 2019, to December 1, 2020. Exposure: Single troponin test vs multiple troponin tests. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was acute myocardial infarction or cardiac mortality; secondary outcomes included coronary artery bypass graft, percutaneous coronary intervention, invasive coronary angiography, and unstable angina within 30 days of discharge. A multivariable logistic regression model was performed to evaluate the association between testing strategies and clinical outcomes. Results: A total of 27 918 patient encounters (16 212 women [58.1%]; mean [SD] age, 58.7 [15.2] years) were included in the study. Of patients with an initial troponin measurement below the level of detection, 14 459 (51.8%) were discharged after a single troponin measurement, and 13 459 (48.2%) underwent serial troponin tests. After adjustment for cardiac risk factors and comorbidities, there was no statistically significant difference in the primary outcome of acute myocardial infarction or cardiac mortality within 30 days between the 2 groups (single troponin, 56 [0.4%] vs serial troponin, 52 [0.4%]; adjusted odds ratio, 1.41 [95% CI, 0.96-2.07]). Patients discharged after a single troponin test had lower rates of coronary artery bypass graft (adjusted odds ratio, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.11-0.48]) and invasive coronary angiography (adjusted odds ratio, 0.46 [95% CI, 0.38-0.56]). Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that patients are routinely discharged from the ED after a single negative troponin test result, and when compared with serial troponin testing, a single troponin test appears safe based on current physician decision-making, with no difference in rates of 30-day cardiac mortality and acute myocardial infarction, which are low in both groups.

Higher Emergency Physician Chest Pain Hospitalization Rates Do Not Lead to Improved Patient Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Wide variation exists for hospital admission rates for the evaluation of possible acute coronary syndrome, but there are limited data on physician-level variation. Our aim is to describe physicians' rates of admission for suspected acute coronary syndrome and associated 30-day major adverse events. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of adult emergency department chest pain encounters from January 2016 to December 2017 across 15 community emergency departments within an integrated health system in Southern California. The unit of analysis was the Emergency physician. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients admitted/observed in the hospital. Secondary analysis described the 30-day incidence of death or acute myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Thirty-eight thousand seven hundred seventy-eight patients encounters were included among 327 managing physicians. The median number of encounters per physician was 123 (interquartile range, 82-157) with an overall admission/observation rate of 14.0%. Wide variation in individual physician admission rates were observed (unadjusted, 1.5%-68.9%) and persisted after case-mix adjustments (adjusted, 5.5%-27.8%). More clinical experience was associated with a higher likelihood of hospital care. There was no difference in 30-day death or acute myocardial infarction between high- and low-admitting physician quartiles (unadjusted, 1.70% versus 0.82% and adjusted, 1.33% versus 1.29%). CONCLUSIONS: Wide variation persists in physician-level admission rates for emergency department chest pain evaluation, even in a well-integrated health system. There was no associated benefit in 30-day death or acute myocardial infarction for patients evaluated by high-admitting physicians. This suggests an additional opportunity to investigate the safe reduction of physician-level variation in the use of hospital care.

Survival and risk of recurrence of takotsubo syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study is to evaluate the long-term outcomes of patients with takotsubo syndrome and assess factors associated with death or recurrence. METHODS: This is a retrospective population-based cohort study of consecutive patients who presented to an integrated health system in Southern California with takotsubo syndrome between 2006 and 2016. Medical records were manually reviewed to confirm diagnosis and to identify predisposing factors, medication treatment and long-term outcomes. Factors associated with death or recurrent takotsubo syndrome were tested using Cox regression models. RESULTS: Between 2006 and 2016, there were 519 patients with a confirmed diagnosis of takotsubo syndrome. Patients were followed for 5.2 years (IQR 3.0-7.2). During the follow-up period, 39 (7.5%) had recurrent takotsubo syndrome and 84 (16.2%) died. In multivariate modelling, factors associated with higher risk of recurrence or death were age (HR 1.56 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 1.29 to 1.87), male sex (HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.38 to 4.60), diabetes (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.43), pulmonary disease (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.37 to 2.91) and chronic kidney disease (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.47). Treatment with beta-blockers were associated with lower risk of recurrence or death (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.72). No association was observed between treatment with ACE inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers and recurrence or death (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.42). CONCLUSIONS: Recurrent takotsubo syndrome occurred in a minor subset of patients. Treatment with beta-blocker was associated with higher event-free survival.

Missed acute myocardial infarction in the emergency department-standardizing measurement of misdiagnosis-related harms using the SPADE method.

OBJECTIVES: Diagnostic error is a serious public health problem. Measuring diagnostic performance remains elusive. We sought to measure misdiagnosis-related harms following missed acute myocardial infarctions (AMI) in the emergency department (ED) using the symptom-disease pair analysis of diagnostic error (SPADE) method. METHODS: Retrospective administrative data analysis (2009-2017) from a single, integrated health system using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coded discharge diagnoses. We looked back 30 days from AMI hospitalizations for antecedent ED treat-and-release visits to identify symptoms linked to probable missed AMI (observed > expected). We then looked forward from these ED discharge diagnoses to identify symptom-disease pair misdiagnosis-related harms (AMI hospitalizations within 30-days, representing diagnostic adverse events). RESULTS: A total of 44,473 AMI hospitalizations were associated with 2,874 treat-and-release ED visits in the prior 30 days. The top plausibly-related ED discharge diagnoses were "chest pain" and "dyspnea" with excess treat-and-release visit rates of 9.8% (95% CI 8.5-11.2%) and 3.4% (95% CI 2.7-4.2%), respectively. These represented 574 probable missed AMIs resulting in hospitalization (adverse event rate per AMI 1.3%, 95% CI 1.2-1.4%). Looking forward, 325,088 chest pain or dyspnea ED discharges were followed by 508 AMI hospitalizations (adverse event rate per symptom discharge 0.2%, 95% CI 0.1-0.2%). CONCLUSIONS: The SPADE method precisely quantifies misdiagnosis-related harms from missed AMIs using administrative data. This approach could facilitate future assessment of diagnostic performance across health systems. These results correspond to ∼10,000 potentially-preventable harms annually in the US. However, relatively low error and adverse event rates may pose challenges to reducing harms for this ED symptom-disease pair.

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors or Angiotensin Receptor Blockers Use and COVID-19 Infection Among 824 650 Patients With Hypertension From a US Integrated Healthcare System.

Background Previous reports suggest that the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) may upregulate angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 receptors and increase severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infectivity. We evaluated the association between ACEI or ARB use and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection among patients with hypertension. Methods and Results We identified patients with hypertension as of March 1, 2020 (index date) from Kaiser Permanente Southern California. Patients who received ACEIs, ARBs, calcium channel blockers, beta blockers, thiazide diuretics (TD), or no therapy were identified using outpatient pharmacy data covering the index date. Outcome of interest was a positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction test for COVID-19 between March 1 and May 6, 2020. Patient sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were identified within 1 year preindex date. Among 824 650 patients with hypertension, 16 898 (2.0%) were tested for COVID-19. Of those tested, 1794 (10.6%) had a positive result. Overall, exposure to ACEIs or ARBs was not statistically significantly associated with COVID-19 infection after propensity score adjustment (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; 95% CI, 0.90-1.25) for ACEIs versus calcium channel blockers/beta blockers/TD; OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.91-1.31 for ARBs versus calcium channel blockers/beta blockers/TD). The associations between ACEI use and COVID-19 infection varied in different age groups (P-interaction=0.03). ACEI use was associated with lower odds of COVID-19 among those aged ≥85 years (OR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.12-0.77). Use of no antihypertensive medication was significantly associated with increased odds of COVID-19 infection compared with calcium channel blockers/beta blockers/TD (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.11-1.56). Conclusions Neither ACEI nor ARB use was associated with increased likelihood of COVID-19 infection. Decreased odds of COVID-19 infection among adults ≥85 years using ACEIs warrants further investigation.

Isotretinoin and Risk of Cardiovascular Events in Adults with Acne: A Population-based Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Case reports have suggested isotretinoin exposure may be associated with adverse cardiac events. There are limited data where the cardiovascular safety of isotretinoin is systematically evaluated. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the strength of association between isotretinoin exposure and adverse cardiovascular events. METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study within an integrated healthcare delivery system. Adults ≥ 18 years of age with acne between 2009 and 2018 were included. Exposure to isotretinoin was identified using pharmacy records, and propensity score 1:1 matching was performed. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular outcomes, including acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and all-cause death. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 12,140 adults (10.5%) exposed to isotretinoin and 103,126 adults who were never exposed. Mean follow-up was 7.1 ± 2.9 years. After propensity score 1:1 matching, 23,844 patients were included. The rates of the composite cardiovascular outcomes were 0.47 versus 0.48 per 1000 person-years in the isotretinoin and non-exposed groups, respectively. No significant association was observed between isotretinoin treatment and the composite cardiovascular outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62-1.58), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.62-1.95), acute myocardial infarction (adjusted HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.33-3.09), congestive heart failure (adjusted HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.14-1.40), or atrial fibrillation (adjusted HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.12-1.65). CONCLUSIONS: Among adult patients with acne, no association was found between exposure to isotretinoin and an increased risk of cardiovascular events. Physicians should not be discouraged from prescribing isotretinoin out of concern for cardiovascular effects.

ß-Blocker Use and Risk of Mortality in Heart Failure Patients Initiating Maintenance Dialysis.

RATIONAL & OBJECTIVE: Beta-blockers are recommended for patients with heart failure (HF) but their benefit in the dialysis population is uncertain. Beta-blockers are heterogeneous, including with respect to their removal by hemodialysis. We sought to evaluate whether ß-blocker use and their dialyzability characteristics were associated with early mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease with HF who transitioned to dialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adults patients with chronic kidney disease (aged≥18 years) and HF who initiated either hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis during January 1, 2007, to June 30, 2016, within an integrated health system were included. EXPOSURES: Patients were considered treated with ß-blockers if they had a quantity of drug dispensed covering the dialysis transition date. OUTCOMES: All-cause mortality within 6 months and 1 year or hospitalization within 6 months after transition to maintenance dialysis. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Inverse probability of treatment weights using propensity scores was used to balance covariates between treatment groups. Cox proportional hazard analysis and logistic regression were used to investigate the association between ß-blocker use and study outcomes. RESULTS: 3,503 patients were included in the study. There were 2,115 (60.4%) patients using ß-blockers at transition. Compared with nonusers, the HR for all-cause mortality within 6 months was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.65-0.94) among users of any ß-blocker and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.53-0.88) among users of metoprolol at transition. There were no observed differences in all-cause or cardiovascular-related hospitalization. LIMITATIONS: The observational nature of our study could not fully account for residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Beta-blockers were associated with a lower rate of mortality among incident hemodialysis patients with HF. Similar associations were not observed for hospitalizations within the first 6 months following transition to dialysis.