Trends in all-cause mortality among people with diagnosed diabetes in high-income settings: a multicountry analysis of aggregate data.

BACKGROUND: Population-level trends in mortality among people with diabetes are inadequately described. We aimed to examine the magnitude and trends in excess all-cause mortality in people with diabetes. METHODS: In this retrospective, multicountry analysis, we collected aggregate data from 19 data sources in 16 high-income countries or jurisdictions (in six data sources in Asia, eight in Europe, one from Australia, and four from North America) for the period from Jan 1, 1995, to Dec 31, 2016, (or a subset of this period) on all-cause mortality in people with diagnosed total or type 2 diabetes. We collected data from administrative sources, health insurance records, registries, and a health survey. We estimated excess mortality using the standardised mortality ratio (SMR). FINDINGS: In our dataset, there were approximately 21 million deaths during 0·5 billion person-years of follow-up among people with diagnosed diabetes. 17 of 19 data sources showed decreases in the age-standardised and sex-standardised mortality in people with diabetes, among which the annual percentage change in mortality ranged from -0·5% (95% CI -0·7 to -0·3) in Hungary to -4·2% (-4·3 to -4·1) in Hong Kong. The largest decreases in mortality were observed in east and southeast Asia, with a change of -4·2% (95% CI -4·3 to -4·1) in Hong Kong, -4·0% (-4·8 to -3·2) in South Korea, -3·5% (-4·0 to -3·0) in Taiwan, and -3·6% (-4·2 to -2·9) in Singapore. The annual estimated change in SMR between people with and without diabetes ranged from -3·0% (95% CI -3·0 to -2·9; US Medicare) to 1·6% (1·4 to 1·7; Lombardy, Italy). Among the 17 data sources with decreasing mortality among people with diabetes, we found a significant SMR increase in five data sources, no significant SMR change in four data sources, and a significant SMR decrease in eight data sources. INTERPRETATION: All-cause mortality in diabetes has decreased in most of the high-income countries we assessed. In eight of 19 data sources analysed, mortality decreased more rapidly in people with diabetes than in those without diabetes. Further longevity gains will require continued improvement in prevention and management of diabetes. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Diabetes Australia Research Program, and Victoria State Government Operational Infrastructure Support Program.

Validating reported cause of death using integrated electronic health records from a nation-wide database.

BACKGROUND: To compare the underlying cause of death reported by the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) with diagnoses in the electronic health records (EHR) of a fully integrated payer/provider healthcare system. METHODS: Underlying cause of death was obtained from the CBS for deaths occurring during 2009-2012 of all Clalit Health Service members in Israel. The final cohort consisted of members who had complete medical records. The frequency of a supportive diagnosis in the EHR was reported for 10 leading causes of death (malignancies, heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, kidney disease, septicemia, accidents, chronic lower respiratory disease, dementia and pneumonia and influenza). RESULTS: Of the 45 680 members included in the study, the majority of deaths had at least one diagnosis in the EHR that could support the cause of death. The lowest frequency of supportive diagnosis was for septicemia (52.2%) and the highest was for malignancies (94.3%). Sensitivity analysis did not suggest an alternative explanation for the missing documentation. CONCLUSIONS: The underlying cause of death coded by the CBS is often supported by diagnoses in Clalit's EHR. Exceptions are septicemia or accidents that cannot be anticipated from a patient's EHR, and dementia which may be under-reported.

Healthcare utilization in infants and toddlers with asthma-like symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent asthma-like symptoms are common in infants, but few population studies describe diagnostic and treatment practice. METHODS: Using the electronic data repository of Clalit Health Services, the largest integrated health care provider in Israel, we evaluated children born 2005-2012, who before 3 years of age had >3 episodes of asthma-like symptoms and/or >2 bronchodilator purchases within a year. We described health care utilization and the odds ratio for subsequent utilization after 3 and 12 months' controller therapy. The primary outcome measure was respiratory-related doctor visits. Linear and categorical regression analysis measured overall effectiveness of therapy. RESULTS: Among 689 171 infants, 262 900 (38.1%) had > 3 asthma-like episodes/year during at least 1 year. Of those, 26 108 (10%) purchased controller therapy: 20 316 (77.8%) inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) with or without leukotriene receptor antagonists (LTRA), and 5792 (22.2%) LTRA alone. For these 26 108 over 3 months there were 93 845 respiratory-related doctor visits, 3110 hospital admissions, 5568 diagnoses of pneumonia, 9960 chest X-rays, 37 127 purchases for oral steroids, and 45 142 for antibiotics courses. Healthcare utilization decreased following ICS ± LTRA and LTRA alone, respectively, as follows: doctor visits 7% and 3%, chest X-rays 16% and 17%, bronchodilators 20% and 11%, systemic steroids 17% and 12%, and antibiotics by 35% and 22%, (P < .001 for all). Twelve months' therapy remained effective. CONCLUSIONS: Asthma-like symptoms are common in infants. Health care utilization is very high and physician practices should be reassessed. Following controller therapy, health care utilization decreased. Yet controllers were prescribed in only a minority of eligible children.

Diabetes control: Incidence of acute myocardial infarction and all-cause mortality among patients with 3-6 years' disease duration.

Background Optimal glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) concentrations to minimize large vessel complications and prolong life in diabetes patients are not well established. Design A retrospective cohort study from 2010 to 2012 using data from the Clalit Health Service (Clalit) integrated healthcare system's electronic data warehouse. Patients included had newly incident diabetes, had at least two HbA1c measurements during the 3 years prior to 1 January 2010 without any disruption(s) in Clalit membership between 2010 and 2014. Methods Time-dependent variables were utilized for HbA1c concentration exposure at three time periods. Diabetes control was evaluated taking average HbA1c measures per time period. Unadjusted and adjusted extended Cox regression analyses assessed the association between time-dependent average HbA1c level and acute myocardial infarction and all-cause mortality. Results Among our 61,971 participants, 2.0% experienced acute myocardial infarction and 6.9% died. Compared to patients with HbA1c 7.0 to < 7.5%, a higher risk of myocardial infarction was found with 8.5 to < 9.0% (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.91) and ≥9.0% (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.50-2.33) groups; a lower risk was found among <6.0% (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.93), 6.0 to < 6.5% (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.64-0.94) and 6.5 to < 7.0% (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.60-0.88) groups. The association with all-cause mortality was J-shaped, demonstrating a higher risk in those <6.0% (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.06-1.34), 7.5 to < 8.0% (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.02-1.35), 8.0 to < 8.5% (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.16-1.64), 8.5 to < 9.0% (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.10-1.67) and ≥9.0% (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.49-2.04) groups. Conclusions HbA1c concentration below 6.0% may be associated with an excess risk for all-cause mortality. Clinicians must be aware of this association when treating individual patients.