RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: While unrelated bone marrow transplantation (UBMT) has been widely used as alternative donor transplantation, the use of umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) is increasing recently. METHODS: We conducted a decision analysis to address which transplantation procedure should be prioritized for younger patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) harboring high- or intermediate-risk cytogenetics in first complete remission (CR1), when they lack a matched related donor but have immediate access to a suitable umbilical cord blood unit. Main sources for our analysis comprised the data from three phase III trials for a chemotherapy cohort (n = 907) and the registry data for a transplantation cohort (n = 752). RESULTS: The baseline analysis showed that when the 8/8 match was considered for UBMT, the expected 5-year survival rate was higher for UBMT than for UCBT (58.1% vs. 51.8%). This ranking did not change even when the 7/8 match was considered for UBMT. Sensitivity analysis showed consistent superiority of UBMT over UCBT when the time elapsed between CR1 and UBMT was varied within a plausible range of 3-9 months. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that 8/8 or 7/8 UBMT is a better transplantation option than UCBT even after allowing time required for donor coordination.